ETF has happened and I can be correct to say that the effect is negative. Even if it will have positive effects in the future, it is currently negative. So, I am scared that Halving shouldn't just be a replica of ETF.
I would not say the effect is negative, it just hasn't had any short term effects, i know that too many people expected the price to begin pumping immediately after the halving, but it has not happened that way and it would be a long term effect.
The BTC halving has always had positive impacts and if we are to to by what happened in the past, it would happen again, so i believe that with the etf approval and halving happening this year, the effect on the price would be very positive, but take note that it would not happen immediately.