FreshForex News

[FreshForex]

JAPAN'S NIKKEI INDEX HITS HISTORIC HIGH!

The Nikkei 225 - Japan's key stock index comprising 225 companies from the Land of the Rising Sun listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is calculated as the arithmetic mean of their values. The index was introduced in 1950 and named after the newspaper that first applied such a calculation methodology to the Japanese stock market.


The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) is one of the largest in the world, with over 2,000 companies represented, including brands known to everyone - Toyota, Sony, Mitsubishi, Nintendo, SoftBank, and many others. In terms of market capitalization, TSE is second only to the New York Stock Exchange.

The historic peak of #NIKKEI was reached on December 29, 1989, when the index rose to 38,957 points during the day's trading. And now, for the first time in 34 years, in our days, #NIKKEI has exceeded the 40,000-point mark.

FreshForex analysts point to the following factors driving the growth of the Japanese stock market in 2024:

• Strengthening of technology company stocks and reports of high corporate earnings,
• Investor optimism amid billionaire Warren Buffett's investment in major Japanese companies (Berkshire Hathaway holding),
• Exporter stocks supported by a weakening yen, increasing their profits in the national currency,
• Rising inflation to 2.8% - a radical change compared to the deflation of previous years when constant price declines negatively affected company profits.

Thanks to these factors, traders worldwide see increasing opportunities in the Japanese market.

In 2023, the Nikkei 225 gained 29%, marking the highest annual growth in a decade. And since the beginning of the current year, it has added another 22%, making the contract extremely attractive for investment.

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[FreshForex]

BLACK GOLD CONTINUES ITS RISE!

Oil prices are rapidly increasing at the beginning of the week, driven by a number of factors: geopolitical conflict threats, prospects of production cuts from OPEC+ members, and the depreciation of the dollar.
 
 
As of today, Brent crude oil has reached a price of $86 per barrel!

OPEC+ reaffirms its position on limiting oil production and sees no need for changes, reports Bloomberg, citing several informed sources. On April 3, the alliance will hold an online meeting to assess the progress of the latest production agreements, which are set to run until the end of June.

According to commodities analyst Giovanni Staunovo from UBS Group AG, the rise in oil prices is attributed to positive data from China, including refinery activity levels and increased oil demand. According to Chinese authorities, crude oil processing volumes in January and February reached a historic high of 118.76 million tons, exceeding last year's figure by 3%.

Goldman Sachs analysts predict an increase in commodity prices this year, based on central bank rate cuts worldwide. This forecast is supported by other market participants such as Macquarie Group and Carlyle Group.

FreshForex traders agree with the above factors: about 64% of positions are opened for long trades! Start earning too, trade with us!

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[FreshForex]

GOLD HAS ALREADY HIT RECORDS, NOW IT'S COPPER'S TIME

According to the CME Group, demand for copper futures contracts continues to grow steadily, and institutional funds continue to increase their volumes.

As a result, since the beginning of the year, copper has risen by almost 10%, and the price of the CUCUSD contract confidently reached a 14-month high.


Key growth factors include:

- Increased demand for the metal due to the transition to "green" energy. Solar or wind power stations, electric vehicles, any form of renewable energy - they all require copper because if you need to electrify something, conduct electricity, you need copper.

- Supply reduction risk. On April 3, Canadian mining company Ivanhoe Mines reported a quarterly production decrease of 6.5% at the Kamoa-Kakula mining complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo. In addition, drought in Zambia threatens the planned expansion of the country's mining industry. This leads to supply shortages and further price increases. Goldman Sachs predicts a copper deficit of over 500,000 tons in 2024.

- Expected reduction in the Fed rate. The rise in CUCUSD increased after statements by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the key rate. He stated that despite higher-than-expected inflation data, the overall situation remains unchanged and a rate cut will be necessary "at some point this year."

According to CNBC analysts' forecasts, by 2025, copper prices could rise by more than 75% and reach new historical highs. FreshForex analysts make more modest forecasts but also expect an upward trend in CUCUSD as a more likely scenario, especially in the case of an improvement in the global economy.


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[FreshForex]

S&P 500 INDEX CONTINUES TO RISE - UP 9% SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR!

S&P 500, the key stock index comprising shares of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the US, showed a growth of 23% in 2023, and has already added 9% since the beginning of this year, as can be clearly seen on the chart:

FreshForex analysts have highlighted the following growth factors:

• Stable economic growth in the US and significant corporate earnings.
• Shares of the "Fabulous Seven" (companies strongly influencing the index such as #Apple, #Amazon, #Google, #Meta(Facebook), #Microsoft, #Nvidia, and #Tesla) are rising due to the implementation of artificial intelligence. The "Fabulous Seven" are still available for trading on our platform and represent an interesting idea for long-term investments. The Fed has again confirmed its readiness for three interest rate cuts, supporting growth in the American stock markets. Investors are eagerly awaiting new signals about the dynamics of interest rates in the US.
• Last month, analysts at HSBC and BofA Global Research forecasted that by the end of 2024, the index would reach 5400, while Oppenheimer estimated it at 5500.
• And yesterday, Wells Fargo, one of the largest financial companies in the US, forecasted that the #SP500 index will rise to 5535 points by the end of this year. This is the highest forecast among all brokerage firms on Wall Street.

Thus, investors around the world seem to be ignoring the possibility that stock valuations have risen too high against the backdrop of the overall market rally, providing even more opportunities for growth. At the same time, professionals will be monitoring whether Wall Street giants can justify the huge rise in stock prices seen over the past three months.

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BRIGHT SHINE OF GOLD ABOVE NEW PEAKS

On April 12, gold once again set a record, surpassing the $2400 per ounce mark. Since the beginning of the year, XAUUSD has already risen by +15%, which currently outpaces the US stock market nearly threefold (Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 are currently showing growth of around 6%).

Against the backdrop of this historical surge, experts predict further price hikes for the precious metal, confidently stating the possibility of reaching $3000 per ounce.

FreshForex analysts have repeatedly forecasted such growth since November 2023. We believe that gold continues to be a profitable investment, supported by several factors:

• Geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty. Last year, gold prices increased by more than 19%, and according to analysts, there is still room for growth in this rally. Conflicts in the Middle East and other hotspots around the world increase the premium for geopolitical risk, maintaining interest in gold.
• Forecasts from major financial institutions' analysts. Bank of America and Citigroup are optimistic about gold's future, predicting its rise to $3000 per ounce in the coming years. Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast to $2700 per ounce, and UBS expects it to reach $2500 by the end of 2024. Analysts believe that increased investor inflows, expectations of US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and active purchases by major central banks and consumers in China will support this growth.
• Investors view gold as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.Demand for the precious metal strengthens during periods of declining confidence in risky assets such as currency, stocks, and bonds, and it is forecasted that this trend will continue, pushing gold prices to new heights.

Thus, confidence in gold remains unshaken, giving the green light for new investment flows and trading ideas. Our traders have assessed market sentiment and actively use the XAUUSD trading pair in their strategies.

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