How soon will SBF get released from prison?

[TomPluz]

I am picking 2030-2039 for the fact that he remains to have some money hidden elsewhere plus he got the connection most especially the Democrats he funded on their schemes to get elected...and of course he should be showing a  lot of good behavior so he will be getting the recommending for earlier release. Now, would it be possible that after his release he will continue to be a big player in the cryptocurrency industry...well this can only be possible if there will still people who will trust him or he can choose to be a proxy type of a financier to projects. Anything is possible if one has the money and the clout otherwise he should just stay hidden and enjoy his years somewhere.

[Lucius]

I have selected «2040-2048 serves most of the time», but I think he will serve all of his 25 years. Prosecutor asked for more, for 40-50 years, so his 25 years are already a light sentence.
~snip~

Even if it were some scumbag from the bottom of society, it would not be realistic for him to spend the full amount of the sentence in prison, and for what you have chosen, the chances for me personally are less than 5%. I already wrote in another topic that no one should be surprised that Bankman gets out of prison much sooner than most hope - especially if Trump wins the elections.

The president of the United States is authorized by the U.S. Constitution to grant a pardon for a federal crime. The other forms of the clemency power of the president are commutation of sentence, remission of fine or restitution, and reprieve. --- President Donald Trump frequently issued pardons and commutations after conferral with his White House staff, though clemency was granted to some applicants through the Office of the Pardon Attorney.

[bitbit97]

I have selected «2040-2048 serves most of the time», but I think he will serve all of his 25 years. Prosecutor asked for more, for 40-50 years, so his 25 years are already a light sentence.
~snip~

Even if it were some scumbag from the bottom of society, it would not be realistic for him to spend the full amount of the sentence in prison, and for what you have chosen, the chances for me personally are less than 5%. I already wrote in another topic that no one should be surprised that Bankman gets out of prison much sooner than most hope - especially if Trump wins the elections.

The president of the United States is authorized by the U.S. Constitution to grant a pardon for a federal crime. The other forms of the clemency power of the president are commutation of sentence, remission of fine or restitution, and reprieve. --- President Donald Trump frequently issued pardons and commutations after conferral with his White House staff, though clemency was granted to some applicants through the Office of the Pardon Attorney.

25 years, that is 9125 days and chances that he will get involved into something with other prisoners. Its is not like activities will come from him, but people who have crossed law line, can drag him into troubles, make him part of scheme. Based on pictures of him in prison, he isnt on a vacation, and him prison mates arent from white-collars. Even he will act calm, or normal. His prison mates can do something that he will be moved to infirmary and that will lower chances for early release. People above the fence are totally different from us, and prison changes people a lot.

[Sunderland]

He will only serve around 13 years (min) and 20 years (max) in prison. He certainly wont spend 25 years in prison.
So he could be released as early as 2037, with condition he get the maximum sentence reduction.
My guess, he will be release between 2039 and 2043.

[philipma1957]

He will only serve around 13 years (min) and 20 years (max) in prison. He certainly wont spend 25 years in prison.
So he could be released as early as 2037, with condition he get the maximum sentence reduction.
My guess, he will be release between 2039 and 2043.

Close enough to my thoughts. Which are 2035-2039

making him  43-48 years old.

[masfuerte]

I think its 2030-2039.