Top global risks in 2024

[Yamane_Keto]

During recent years, the crises have become very successive: epidemics, wars, famines, fires, livelihood crises, unrest and the high cost of living. All of these reasons prompted the World Economic Forum to conduct a referendum on the biggest risks for the year 2024. The results of the referendum were as shown in the graph.





The economy and environment were at the top of the list. Do you see these as the most prominent threats in 2024, or will the year be full of surprises and unexpected events?

[Perfect540]

In keeping with the world, the poverty rate, unemployment rate, rise in commodity prices, robberies, murders, robbery, drought, floods, cyclones, untimely floods, political instability, shortages etc. are constantly increasing in my country.  At some point my country will face a situation like a war which is not possible for our country to handle.

[Yamane_Keto]

At some point my country will face a situation like a war which is not possible for our country to handle.

Many countries have already reached war mode. You have Russia, Ukraine, Israel and Gaza, Guyana, Venezuela, Iran and Pakistan, North Korea, and the dispute over Taiwan. The world is on a hot plate and there is a weather crisis, fires and environmental repercussions that have begun to appear. this will affect the economies.

[DrBeer]

In terms of the causes of these risks, I would put destabilization on a global scale at the top of the list. The fact is that the world, unfortunately, missed the moment and allowed several anti-human regimes to fully develop, which ignore the rules, laws and commitments undertaken. Their goal is total destabilization. This can be expressed in any actions - economic sabotage, pushing for local/regional conflicts (e.g. military coups, illegal seizure of power and "export of terror",...), as well as direct terrorist and hybrid threats of both military and economic nature.
Unfortunately, the world has played into softness, the world has allowed the penetration of wild corruption at the highest levels of power, where they do not squander money from bloody regimes. Whether we like it or not, it must be recognized, because recognizing the problem is the first step to solving it.

[Yamane_Keto]

Unfortunately, the world has played into softness, the world has allowed the penetration of wild corruption at the highest levels of power, where they do not squander money from bloody regimes. Whether we like it or not, it must be recognized, because recognizing the problem is the first step to solving it.

The essence of this conflict is a conflict over resources and not managing them well. Even if you are a peaceful country and governance is simple and there are no disputes between its members, and it was discovered that this country is floating under a large reserve of oil or gas, you will find that the hands of the conflict have extended to them, and the politicians began to demand rights and violations occurred. And wars.
Climate change threatens the lives of simple residents who wanted to move away from the world and live in remote villages. These people are the ones who pay the climate change tax (along with the planet and animals) more than the industrial companies that pollute the environment.

[DrBeer]

Unfortunately, the world has played into softness, the world has allowed the penetration of wild corruption at the highest levels of power, where they do not squander money from bloody regimes. Whether we like it or not, it must be recognized, because recognizing the problem is the first step to solving it.

The essence of this conflict is a conflict over resources and not managing them well. Even if you are a peaceful country and governance is simple and there are no disputes between its members, and it was discovered that this country is floating under a large reserve of oil or gas, you will find that the hands of the conflict have extended to them, and the politicians began to demand rights and violations occurred. And wars.
Climate change threatens the lives of simple residents who wanted to move away from the world and live in remote villages. These people are the ones who pay the climate change tax (along with the planet and animals) more than the industrial companies that pollute the environment.

Absolutely agree !
Nowadays, if you own critical resources, it has become "fashionable" to manipulate the market. One good thing - there is no monopolization and there are adequate alternative suppliers, which, for example, demonstratively solved the problem of gas supplies to the EU after 2022.

But there is another option - if you have such reserves - you can attract "unnecessary attention" of those who want to manipulate this market, if your resources can be competitors (read - you can become an alternative supplier). That's why I think that we should move away from non-renewable natural resources and replace them with renewable ones....

[Yamane_Keto]

Absolutely agree !
Nowadays, if you own critical resources, it has become "fashionable" to manipulate the market. One good thing - there is no monopolization and there are adequate alternative suppliers, which, for example, demonstratively solved the problem of gas supplies to the EU after 2022.

You will not have the luxury of choice. Countries like Venezuela did not have enough reserves of a resource like oil to be stable, and countries that were dependent on a source like Chile are now outside the competitive market. And sometimes because of your materials, you bring yourself destruction, as happens in some mines in Africa. Therefore, the rule is not Fixed, even if you have resources and want to use them well, you may not be able to do so.
I believe that the conflicts of 2030 will be as simple as the conflict over fertile land or water.

[Uruhara]

I am more worried about the conflict between countries which is currently heating up in the Red Sea. Because if the war doesn't stop, there will be a bigger economic impact. Because the impact of war will not only cause inflation but also spread to other chaos, such as humanity, most importantly.
The food crisis may be starting to be resolved in several countries. But in countries involved in war conflicts, I think the food crisis will really be the most worrying thing.

[DrBeer]

Absolutely agree !
Nowadays, if you own critical resources, it has become "fashionable" to manipulate the market. One good thing - there is no monopolization and there are adequate alternative suppliers, which, for example, demonstratively solved the problem of gas supplies to the EU after 2022.

You will not have the luxury of choice. Countries like Venezuela did not have enough reserves of a resource like oil to be stable, and countries that were dependent on a source like Chile are now outside the competitive market. And sometimes because of your materials, you bring yourself destruction, as happens in some mines in Africa. Therefore, the rule is not Fixed, even if you have resources and want to use them well, you may not be able to do so.
I believe that the conflicts of 2030 will be as simple as the conflict over fertile land or water.

Sorry, but I have to correct you regarding the oil information:

The share of the largest 10 countries in the world's
of oil reserves at the end of 2019 (OPEC estimate)

       19.6% Venezuela
       16.7% Saudi Arabia
       13.5% Iran
       9.4% Iraq
       6.6% Kuwait
       6.3% UAE
       5.2% Russia
       3.4% USA
       3.1% Libya
       2.4% Nigeria
       14.0% Other countries

Venezuela has more than enough oil reserves to provide a great life for the citizens of this beautiful country. But. The ruler of this country does not have enough brains, conscience, and reason to use it for the good of the country and the population

[DrBeer]

I am more worried about the conflict between countries which is currently heating up in the Red Sea. Because if the war doesn't stop, there will be a bigger economic impact. Because the impact of war will not only cause inflation but also spread to other chaos, such as humanity, most importantly.
The food crisis may be starting to be resolved in several countries. But in countries involved in war conflicts, I think the food crisis will really be the most worrying thing.

I highly recommend this approach - I propose to consider war as a severe disease of the organism called "Earth". And as we know - the disease does not just arise, but as a consequence of some causes. It is either an external impact on the body (poisoning, intoxication, trauma,...) or viruses, "inadequate cells", pathogens. So if we are talking about war, its consequences, and most importantly - how to reduce the impact on our lives, and to CURE, then as we know - it is necessary to CURE the causes, not to try to remove the manifestations.  Therefore, speaking about war, we should look for "pathogens" that "triggered" this "disease", and not be afraid of the manifestations of the disease, but look for methods to influence the "pathogens" of our organism.ыы