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Messages - MrSpasybo

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1
Dogecoin Forum / Re: Dogecoin for Bull Run
« on: April 29, 2024, 11:04:17 PM »
Elon Musk might be the CEO of the Telsa company but he doesn't get to say in all final decisions. If he include Doge coin as utility payment for Tesla companies, it will take Doge coin to atleast $3 to coin but then it's going to invite a lot of eye from the government and also from agencies like Security exchange commission and also if anything later happen to Doge coin price, they will hold him responsible for involvement in price manipulation.
The potential for adoption by Tesla, SpaceX, and X-payment is one of the major drivers keeping DOGE in the spotlight and attracting investor interest in this market. While Elon Musk remains a vocal supporter of DOGE, I fear that we may not see widespread adoption of DOGE within these companies anytime soon, for various reasons, including legal ones.

Even if not adopted by X-payment in the future, the memecoin trend is here to stay, and DOGE will continue to be the largest and most prominent memecoin in the crypto market. DOGE will not be forgotten, and I still believe that DOGE will continue to make new ATHs in this bullrun and make the memecoin trend even stronger at the peak of the crypto market.

2
XRP - Ripple Forum / Re: Should I invest to Ripple?
« on: April 29, 2024, 10:49:01 PM »
You can invest in XRP with short term but not able to profit from the investment. Because as we have seen during the pumping season the others coin has increased a lot with Bitcoin but XRP has not improved its price much. I held on to this XRP coin but could not make much progress so I sold my XRP coins for a small profit. But holding BNB, Solana, some new coins is better than holding. But I also like Ethereum a lot which is why I keep an Ethereum collection in my investment portfolio.
From investment perspective, XRP has been a disappointment for investors over the past 4 years. XRP missed out on the bullrun 2021 due to its lawsuit with the SEC over its nature, and in 2023 it also did not have an impressive recovery like BTC, SOL, BNB, ETH, so many investors have also given up on Ripple's XRP. This is a personal investment decision, I do not oppose or hinder it. I hope that those investors will get more profits from other potential tokens in the market.

I myself continue to believe in the XRP token and Ripple's ability to pump XRP price, similar to what they did in 2017. Now that Ripple is no longer in legal trouble, XRP has also been re-listed on CEXs and reached hundreds of millions of users, I hope XRP will bring me profits in this bull run ^^

3
I think they're scared and they came up with this decision based on the government's continuous clampdown on various privacy enhancing tools. Based on the fact that it has been in operation for about 6 years and has offered it services to both US and non US citizens, is Wasabi really safe from the US government after this announcement? Can the government still go after it?
We will have to wait for new announcements regarding the US government's allegations against Phoenix and Wasabi Wallets. To be honest,  I am just a regular user, I am not a lawyer and do not fully understand the regulations and potential charges involved in these wallet apps. I am not in the US but I will also avoid using these wallet apps, the market has many other options that are more convenient, secure and legal than them.

I am really looking forward to more information about the allegations and the lawsuit, I do not care about the fate of Wasabi, I care about the court's views on all crypto wallet apps in the crypto market. Clear regulations can become a basis for crypto wallet apps to comply with and operate more effectively in the future, promoting the development of the entire crypto market.

4
Basic Questions about Cryptos / Re: Bitcoin or Etherum?
« on: April 29, 2024, 10:14:51 PM »
What would be the best investment for a better profit?
Well, we're talking about profits, but no one wants to use price charts and data. I'm happy to do that, as a few imgs will help us understand each other better.

In the 2017 bull run, BTC yielded a profit of 10723% ~ x108, while ETH yielded a profit of 310983% ~ x3110.

In the 2021 bull run, BTC yielded a profit of 1866% ~ x19, while ETH yielded a profit of 6417% ~ x65.


These figures show that ETH has higher returns than BTC. This means that investing in ETH will give investors more profit in the same cycle.

In general, I see BTC as a very safe option in this market, accompanied by an unimpressive price appreciation potential. ETH, on the other hand, balances both safety and price appreciation performance. The choice will depend on the investment appetite of each investor.

5
Cryptocurrency Price Speculations / Re: What are the odds
« on: April 29, 2024, 09:54:21 PM »
History repeats itself till it does so no more!

Bitcoin has broken all patterns to date and it will continue to do so, people clung to things live never going below the previous ATH, like no double  ATH during a cycle, no bull run before the halving, one has to understand that we had just three cycles, it's such a low pool of data that you can't draw patterns out of it!

Plus, there is the change in the economic environment, the ban in China, and the approval of Bitcoin ETF, how were those present in previous cycles, and furthermore, if there had been no halving, would that have meant no bull run? Of course not! Past experience means nothing, if suddenly the US would ban crypto due you think patterns will matter anymore? If China would say Bitoin is legal tomorrow won't we have a bull run prior to the expected date again? 
But most important of all, if everyone thinks that it will take 4 months for the bull run won't everyone just buy now and dump then, artificially creating and ending the bull run just because they think it should happen when it's all a matter of their own actions?
Current technical cycle-based analysts are quite confused because BTC has created a new history for itself: a new low below the previous cycle's peak, a new ATH before halving. Based on history and the belief that BTC price will repeat history, we have no basis for continuing to predict BTC price movements in this bullrun. The only thing I can think of is cyclicity: BTC has peaked in 2013 - 2017 - 2021, so I also expect the peak of this cycle to come in 2025.

Looking back in the past, facing BTC price volatility or rather the volatility of their account balances, investors are always confused because there are too many choices and we can always buy and sell easily 24/7. At the 2020-halving, we also had a new history when BTc price dropped sharply just before the halving, or many traders also doubted the ability of BTC price to continue to create new peaks as in the past. The boredom of cyclicity & the strangeness of new history, both make it difficult for investors to make decisions.

I think we don't need to focus on speculating future, we should continue to hold faith in the bullrun, while not forgetting to prepare for actions when the market has unusual fluctuations. I will still wait for BTC price to reach $150K-170K in 2025 8)

6
Yes Demo account can be used to learn the basics of trading things like, how to buy & sell, how to set TP/SL etc.... Demo account contains fake money so there is no risk so don't mix real trading account with demo account. But I would not say that a demo account will not help a person in any way in learning trading. Demo account can help only those who are totally noob in trading
Similar to technical indicators, the value of a Demo account depends on how users utilize it for their own purposes. Learning to use the features of CEXs, technical indicators, capital management, time management, psychological management, getting acquainted with market volatility... - each user will have their own purposes when approaching a Demo account, even professional traders can use Demo accounts as a form of entertainment because they do not have enough capital to invest in all markets, all assets, all tokens. I have been involved in crypto trading since 2017, but I still continue to use Demo account to test both classic and modern technical indicators.

7
Cryptocurrency discussions / Re: Do you still believe in old coins?
« on: April 29, 2024, 09:26:20 PM »
Honestly speaking, I did some research on old coins, and I discovered that most of the old coins started when the intensity of the hype that they did before and the others that became their ATH was too much when they started to enter the crypto space, then when there was a massive drop in price and they were no longer able to reach or surpass their previous ATHs.

Although others continued to raise their tokens as time went by, others remained stagnant because they didn't do any innovation with their tokens, unlike ETH, which, even though it took a long time, the innovation was continuous.
Yeah, many old coins from bullrun 2017 emerged during the ICO wave and were able to easily raise hundreds of millions of $ and set truly impressive ATHs: NEO, EOS, TRX, BCH... However, the value they brought to users in terms of both utility and growth potential was negligible during bullrun 2021. The same could happen in this bullrun for old coins from the bullrun 2021: SOL, NEAR, FTM, UNI... They have huge communities, but whales typically want to choose new tokens to make it easier to accumulate tokens, manipulate prices, and generate as much profit as possible. Only a few old coins that are truly attractive in terms of community, cash flow, and new narrative continue to be chosen for pumping and stand out in this harsh crypto market.

I believe that when selecting tokens for their portfolios, investors should focus more on the profitability and growth potential of the ecosystem than on the age of the project and its token.

8
Ethereum Classic / Re: Do you like ethereum classic
« on: April 29, 2024, 12:03:29 AM »
what is a bifurcated coin?
Classic ETH is not that bad as an investment, but if you are looking for long-term profits Classic ETH is not an option, it is better to just invest in ETH
Yeah, the Ethereum ecosystem is developing very well and has many more attractive options for investors: ETH, ARB, OP, STRK... Even if investors prefer POW, ETHW with a smaller market capitalization is also an interesting and more potential choice than ETC. I haven't heard of any major updates from ETC in the past few years, and it seems that the ETC ecosystem is not really vibrant or has many users, so I would not choose ETC for my portfolio.

ETC's growth in bullrun 2021 was also really attractive, but I don't dare to believe that history will repeat itself. To balance risk and return, I would rather choose BTC and ETH.

9
Bitcoin Forum / Re: Phoenix Wallet to be removed from US app stores
« on: April 28, 2024, 11:49:24 PM »
So far, it doesn't look like the US government is interested in going after Phoenix Wallet at all. This is simply a precautionary measure the team has taken in order to avoid the same fate as Samourai wallet. Whether or not that will actually work in the end is up for debate.

However, they would definitely like to pick off the crypto wallets from the app stores one by one if they could. As if anyone even stores large amounts of crypto in a mobile phone  ;D
I am concerned about the allegations surrounding Phoenix Wallet and the implications for other crypto wallet applications and the development of the crypto market. I do not use Phoenix Wallet and am not aware of its differences from Trust, Coinbase, SafePal, Exodus... wallets. It seems that the US government is acting very hastily and causing crypto wallet services to be cautious. Acinq's Phoenix Wallet and zkSNACKs' Wasabi Wallet have announced early termination of service to US customers, which could just be the beginning of bigger problems in the future for crypto market. This could be the last dump before the bullrun officially starts.

10
Litecoin Forum / Re: Do you use Litecoin for cheap Transaction Fees?
« on: April 28, 2024, 11:34:58 PM »
Simple question because let's today see if Litecoin is still a helpful coin for daily transactions due to low transaction fees compatretd to Bitcoin and Ethereum. 
Do you use Litecoin for cheap Transaction Fees?

Yes
or
No?
For remittance purposes, I often use USDT on Tron because the transaction fees are quite cheap and the speed is fast, and the recipient also wants to receive USDT instead of any other token, including BTC. For investment purposes: I invest to make a profit, not to save transaction fees, so I would rather choose BTC and ETH with higher transaction fees than invest in LTC because I don't like LTC's price performance.

In the 2021 bull run, LTC had a new ATH but it was not significantly higher than the 2017 ATH, suggesting that LTC may have been forgotten by investors and whales. At the same time, the Litecoin ecosystem is not really developing or attracting users, meaning that LTC has less upward momentum in this bullrun. I used to love LTC but I will not choose LTC for my portfolio in this bullrun.

11
Meme Coins / Re: Solana MemeCoins And Its Continued Growth; $MANEKI.
« on: April 28, 2024, 11:19:29 PM »
The pump for these projects comes from the ease of promoting them. Solana is witnessing more momentum and memes are still attracting investors, but once this trend ends, we will see that the value of these projects will return to being very low, and some of them may have no value, so it is better for your investment in them to be limited or short-term.
We all know the predictable fate of most memecoins like these in the market. Thousands of memecoins have emerged, but only a few are still known today, such as DOGE, SHIB, AKITA, FLOKI, PEPE, BONK, and BOME. The remaining 99% have been forgotten after causing investors to lose money.

While the Solana ecosystem is growing strong, and I love its dynamic ecosystem, I won't touch memecoins right now, I'd rather buy SOL. Every my $ will be used to DCA into BTC and top ALTs. Memecoins will not have a chance to enter my portfolio before the market enters altseason.

12
Way too many people are talking about it, I remember the time when China wasn't against bitcoin, and they had bunch of miners, almost all of bitcoin mining was there, that wasn't like 100 years ago, its recent memory, and bitcoin did well but not like something unreal happened. We should definitely consider that as a good news if it ever happens again, it would be something to celebrate, but do not expect like overnight a million dollars per coin type of thing, maybe a small increase but that's about it. I don't get why people suddenly started to talk about this, and not only that but hype the possibility as well.
This is a scenario that many investors are hoping for, as China is the world's 2nd largest economy and its citizens are willing to take on higher risks and invest more in crypto to change their financial situation. China's crypto policy is also quite interesting: they do not ban crypto outright, they still recognize crypto as an asset, and they allow Hong Kong to adopt crypto as a small-scale experiment.

Recently, BTC & ETH Spot ETFs have been approved in Hong Kong, although mainland money is not allowed to flow into these products, this also shows the development of the crypto experiment, suggesting optimistic responses from the mainland about crypto and it is very likely that China will soon allow crypto trading activities on the mainland.

13
Cryptocurrency Price Speculations / Re: Who is HODLing?
« on: April 28, 2024, 10:18:28 PM »
I am HODLing not because I desire to;
I am HODLing because I have no knowledge how the charts work;
While the experts know when the price will fall and rise, they buy and sell respectively. But I hold on to my coins;
I refuse to sell cheap to them. I didn't sell cheap to them. I don't lose because I am HODLing;
An old but ever truest thread.
BTC halving has taken place, and even slightly experienced investors can easily recognize that the new bullrun has just begun and the crypto market will continue to grow well for the next 12-18 months. Holding may be a more correct decision than selling off and exiting the market. I am also holding and DCA BTC + ALTS, it is naive to sell tokens and be satisfied with the current profit.

In some cases, I also want to trade to optimize profits or the number of tokens in the account, but the boring sideways movement of the BTC price and the entire crypto market right now does not make me feel comfortable with my decision. Better traders will trade, while I will only continue to focus on DCA & Hold while waiting for the BTC price ATH of the entire cycle.

14
Cryptocurrency Trading / Re: Trading is not same thing as Gambling
« on: April 28, 2024, 10:03:56 PM »
For those who don't quite understand the definitions of gambling and trading, it's natural that there are still many who misunderstand the equation between trading and gambling. Even though these two things are different as you said.

Gambling is just guessing and testing your luck by betting on something and our bets have no impact on that something. But trading means that we are directly involved in the market and our participation is also a driver in the market itself.
For many new traders, trading is just gambling because both gives them the opportunity to get rich. For me, capital management ability is not a reliable criterion to distinguish between trading and gambling, because an experienced gambler will also manage capital really well when participating in gambling.

I think the most important criterion we can use to distinguish them is the ability to make judgments: trading is conducted based on trading history, market data and tools that the trader can use to make possible scenarios for price fluctuations, then decide and manage orders. Meanwhile, gambling does not give any suggestions to players based on past data, or the dice have no memory. Most of the results will have the same probability, outside the player's efforts. All the player can do is manage capital and stop when necessary.

I myself never touch gambling, I want to focus on trading and control my investment carefully with my personal ability, not just relying on probability.

15
Tuy nhiên, xu hướng tăng trưởng lớn hơn có thể sớm tiếp tục khi các nhà phân tích kỳ vọng thông báo tái cấp vốn hàng quý (QRA) vào tuần tới từ Bộ trưởng Tài chính Hoa Kỳ Janet Yellen sẽ đưa ra biện pháp cứu trợ cho các loại tài sản rủi ro.

Thông báo nêu chi tiết về nhu cầu vay vốn trong ba tháng của chính phủ Hoa Kỳ, đã trở thành vấn đề then chốt trong thế giới hậu Covid 19 với khoản nợ kỷ lục, lạm phát và lãi suất tăng cao. Thông báo cũng tiết lộ quy mô và thời gian phát hành trái phiếu, cũng như số dư được giữ trong Tài khoản chung của Kho bạc (TGA).
Đây cũng là một trong những cách mà chính phủ Hoa Kỳ có thể sử dụng để thúc đẩy nền kinh tế, giúp cho nền kinh tế không đi vào suy thoái mà chưa phải nhờ đến quyết định giảm lãi suất của FED trong bối cảnh lạm phát trở lại vì sự tăng giá của dầu do chiến sự. Mình cũng không thực sự hiểu tác động của điều này, nhưng chỉ cần có dòng tiền lớn đổ vào nền kinh tế, bao gồm cả crypto thì thị trường crypto cũng sẽ tăng trưởng và mang lại lợi nhuận cho nhà đầu tư.

Mình mong rằng trong thời gian tới, khả năng này sẽ được xem xét và đánh giá một cách đầy đủ bởi những chuyên gia trong thị trường tài chính, bởi không có giải pháp này là toàn diện, nếu có thì nó đã được áp dụng từ lâu. Nhất định nó phải có một nhược điểm chí mạng nào đó về nguồn vốn, rủi ro hoặc sự đồng thuận mang tính chính trị mà chúng ta chưa thể nào hình dung hết được.

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