If you want to see Bitcoin transfer fees to be as cheap as in the bearish season, I think it won't happen until this bullish season ends. The increase of Bitcoin transfer fees is caused by the higher volume of Bitcoin transaction in Bitcoin network during the bullish season. Bitcoin holders become more active to move their Bitcoin because they are preparing for exit target in this bullrun season.
This bull run was completely the opposite.
You can see that the fees peaked back in December, the price didn't reach 40k by than and at the last bump it was still under 45k, despite rising to 73 k , almost doubling the fees steadily went down as the action on the exchanges is not matched by the action on the blockchain.
Too many have their funds on CEX, too many rely on custodial wallets and also a ton of the action happened because of ETFs and that's a lot of off money with really really small on chain activity.
Even now as we experience this dump and rising fees, it's all driven by ordials spam and not people rushing to sell their coins!
High traffic with a few miners, so I think this is the problem and we are going to deal with this especially now that the supply will become lesser.
The amount of miners doesn't influence the blockchain capacity.
10 or 1 trillion ASICs it's still 1vMB every 10 minutes.
Well, since popularity of Bitcoin grows, there is no way there would cheap transactions anymore. Mining becomes more complicated. Will it even be possible/profitable for miners to confirm transactions with such low fees?
Again, it doesn't matter.
Mining worked with 2sat/vb fee it will work with 100sat/vb it will work with 1sat/vb again.
If some miners will not be able to cover the expenses they will shut down, so there revenue will be split between fewer miners that will keep on mining, and as long there is even one guy with a S9 mining blocks will keep being found.