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Messages - MrSpasybo

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1
You have created a very good topic, thank you OP.  As far as possible here is the best strategy to talk about Bitcoin, i.e. when the halving takes place in the current time, this is April 2024, so we are very close to the bull market from here, because the past halvings indicate that the year after the halving takes place  2025 is likely to be the peak bull run.  Hence, it would be best for an investor to hold Bitcoin for the long term from now on. Then you can come and enjoy the full share of next year's market.
It is very difficult for us to analyze and predict the price movement of BTC in the next 12-18 months. While I am optimistic that BTC will reach $150K-$170K in this cycle, it is very difficult for me to provide any specific scenarios for BTC's price movement. Perhaps when BTC ends its current correction and starts to rise, it will be easier for us to analyze based on theories such as LPPLS, Wyckoff, Elliott waves, RSI, MACD...

Currently, with BTC trading sideways, it is very difficult to make reliable predictions. The only thing I can be confident of at the moment is that BTC will not create a new bottom lower than $15K and we will soon have a new ATH in 2024, followed by $100K and $150K.

2
The only external P2P platform that I've ever used was Localbitcoins and it was far back when they weren't even asking for KYC verification and stuff, later when Binance started its P2P services, I moved to Binance because I was already making my trades on the platform and it was more convenient because I didn't have to withdraw the funds to the external platform to sell them for fiat as I could do that directly within Binance.

So somehow, I also agree that after the emergence of in-exchange P2P services, the platforms that were providing P2P services alone started fading away, this was the basic reason why Localbitcoins closed shop because they weren't getting enough users after Binance and other exchanges started providing P2P services.
Well, I also used Localbitcoins when I first entered the crypto market. That's where I bought my first satoshi. Its interface is quite user-friendly, although not as modern as Binance P2P. Besides, Remitano is also a place I used when I was in Vietnam, it was also very popular in 2018. Unfortunately, they currently do not serve users in my country so I can no longer use them.

Binance P2P has become a better choice for me and my friends: very good liquidity, good support and very easy to use. I think new P2P platforms will find it difficult to compete with the P2P services of leading CEXs. I would never try using a new P2P platform, it could be a scammer's trap.

3
Hey folks, been thinking. As we enter into the bull run. What are they safe practices you'll be adhering to in order to maximize profits? Kindly share below let's have a discussion
I also see the halving as the start of a new cycle and bull run, more importantly, we will have an altseason in the future. Before the halving, I focused on DCAing BTC and a few top ALTS, but after the halving, I decided to use most of my capital to DCA ALTS and allocate a small portion to BTC. I believe that ALTS will soon outperform BTC in price and can bring more profits.

At the same time, I think that for now we can continue to monitor the market and wait for a growth in Q4. Q2 & Q3 should be a time for the entire crypto market to re-accumulate as we have had a continuous recovery process lasting for more than 1 year. DCA & Hold is the only action I will take throughout Q2 & Q3.

4
Ví bitcoin của El Salvador đã bị vi phạm an ninh, đánh dấu cuộc tấn công mới nhất vào chương trình tiền điện tử quốc gia của nước này.

Nhóm tội phạm mạng CiberInteligenciaSV đã rò rỉ đoạn mã nguồn của ví và thông tin truy cập VPN trên một diễn đàn hack trực tuyến. Việc khai thác này đánh dấu một trong những cuộc tấn công mới nhất nhằm vào Ví Chivo chính thức của El Salvador để lấy bitcoin, vốn đã gây khó khăn cho chương trình khi giá của một số loại tiền điện tử tăng lên mức cao nhất trong hai năm.
Tin này khá tiêu cực, nhất là khi nó diễn ra ở quốc gia đầu tiên trên thế giới chấp nhận BTC trong nền kinh tế. Nó có thể trở thành lý do để những quốc gia khác thận trọng hơn trong tiến trình chấp nhận BTC và crypto. Nhưng nhìn từ khía cạnh tích cực, nó vẫn chỉ diễn ra ở quốc gia nhỏ như El Salvador, chưa phải ở Hoa Kỳ hoặc những cường quốc khác, nó giúp chúng ta có thể xử lý những lỗi bảo mật có thể bị khai thác trong tương lai, tránh được những hậu quả lớn hơn khi áp dụng hàng loạt.

Mình hy vọng chính phủ El Salvador sẽ sớm xử lý được vấn đề này để tiếp tục tiến lên trong hành trình áp dụng crypto rộng rãi và khẳng định sự đúng đắn mà họ đã bắt đầu từ 2 năm trước.

5
Stablecoin đang nóng hơn bao giờ hết. Theo nguồn dữ liệu rwa.xyz, số lượng địa chỉ nắm giữ stablecoin được chốt bằng tiền điện tử và đồng đô la tăng 15% trong năm nay lên trên 93,6 triệu, thiết lập mức cao nhất trong lịch sử.
Stable coin đã đóng vai trò cực kỳ quan trọng trong thị trường crypto, có thể xem nó chính là máu của thị trường: liên tục luân chuyển để tạo ra sự tăng trưởng, chỉ cần có thêm nguồn cung, có thêm người dùng và có thêm hoạt động giao dịch thì không lo cho tương lai của thị trường này. Dữ liệu tăng số người dùng và chủ sở hữu của stable coin cũng chỉ là một phần mà thôi, còn nhiều người nắm giữ trên CEXs mà dữ liệu onchain không thể nào thao dõi và đánh giá được.

Khi dữ liệu này còn tăng thì chúng ta có thể yên tâm rằng thị trường crypto sẽ còn tăng trưởng mạnh trong chu trình này và tạo ra bullrun cực lớn trong khoảng thời gian cuối năm nay và đầu năm sau. Sự điều chỉnh hiện tại chỉ là sự tái tích lũy cần thiết sau khoảng thời gian thị trường đã tăng quá nóng, không đáng lo ngại!

6
Em mong đây chỉ là tạm thời, tiếp tục có dòng tiền đi ra thì sẽ tiêu cực trong tâm lý thị trường, đồng thời kéo theo lực bán xả hoảng loạn nếu khiến nhà đầu tư lo lắng về sự suy thoái kinh tế. Hiện tại một số ngày đã có dòng tiền vào dương dù chỉ khoảng 100M USD nhưng cũng đã tích cực hơn so với trước đây. Em chỉ theo dõi thị trường, không mua bất cứ token nào nhưng cũng muốn thấy thị trường này phát triển, như thế thì em gửi USDT cũng sẽ có lãi cao hơn hẳn so với mùa đông crypto.
Thực ra chuyện này là tất yếu, không quá đáng lo ngại, tiền vào rồi sẽ lại có tiền ra, chỉ là tính tổng thì tới hiện tại đã có hơn $12B đã được thu hút vào sản phẩm BTC Spot ETFs, giá BTC cũng tăng từ $40K lên $60K hoặc thậm chí cao hơn, nghĩa là chúng ta vẫn đang trong giai đoạn tăng trưởng. Sự điều chỉnh này kéo theo sự thay đổi trong tâm lý đầu tư, nhà đầu tư bán bớt 1 phần ETFs cũng là bình thường, chúng ta không cần quá quan tâm.

Mình còn hy vọng thị trường sẽ điều chỉnh sâu hơn, tích lũy nhiều chút để có thể hồi phục mạnh mẽ hơn trong tương lai thay vì tăng gấp trước khi FED giảm lãi suất rồi lại sụp đổ vì những lý do nội sinh liên quan tới bong bóng đã được bơm đủ để vỡ.

7
Crypto gaming (GameFi) / Re: Play. Earn. Reform
« on: April 25, 2024, 04:54:42 PM »
Green-powered RWA base-building game, simplifying interactions with real-world assets through addictively enjoyable gameplay and intuitive management platform.
I'm not quite clear about "RWA" in this game, it seems like it's not tokenization, but just an in-game resource management feature. Is the RWA trend being abused to promote this project?

I've reviewed the project's documentation, and it would be better if we had enough information about the Team and Partner, especially the investment funds backing the ElectroWizy project. The only bright spot is that the development progress is still being updated regularly on Twitter, although I cannot verify it. I think we should wait for the Gameplay and the involvement of major investment funds before investing in this project. I hope ElectroWizy will provide an interesting and playable game in the GameFi trend.

8
Cardano Forum / Re: Best wallet for holding cardano
« on: April 25, 2024, 04:40:21 PM »
As of now there are  many cardano wallet,like flint,yoroi,vespr,nami, and last but not the least Daedalus.buy cardano has no official wallet ,but in website the primary wallet highlighted is Daedalus,  but the difference of Daedalus does not support other block chains ,for my opinion it's not the best option if I want to hold all of crypto in single wallet,so it's your decision which  wallet you  preferred
Currently, there are many popular multi-chain wallets available for storing ADA. I am currently using TrustWallet, SafePal, and Exodus, all of which seamlessly support the Cardano blockchain. It is a bit unfortunate that Binance Web3 wallet does not yet support Cardano, so I cannot use it to decentralize risk.

I have not delved too deeply into the Cardano ecosystem, so I have not yet tried using dedicated wallets like Yoroi or Daedalus. For now, I am primarily focused on investing in ADA and prioritizing convenience over POS-related features.

9
Bitcoin Forum / Re: Looking for a way to optimize my strategy
« on: April 25, 2024, 04:06:58 PM »
So you were doing quick scalping and now you are doing it with the DCA method where you buy in portions after it drops a certain amount from its price and you use an equally divided portion of your capital each time and then sell for profit after each bought portion earns you at least 2% or 2% as a fixed profit. That is a good strategy and it will work as long as you don't exhaust your capital and Bitcoin doesn't drop to a point where you can't buy anymore, in that case, you will need to just sit and wait for it to recover.

If you think your strategy is flexible, you can increase the price interval in which you are buying if you see the market doing a long correction so that you don't get out of funds before the dip reaches its bottom.
For me, this strategy is quite complex and does not promise profit or capital management security. If the investor really believes in the future of BTC, DCA over time will be more suitable, especially DCA in the 2022-2023 accumulation zone.

In the case of a trader who wants to make short-term profits, he can trade based on a specific method: Price action, Wyckoff, RSI, MACD, Ichimoku... with decisions made based on analysis instead of emotions related to price zones spaced apart by $5K. I also don't know why it's $5K instead of $1K or $10K.

10
That's right, X is a tool to enrich the company and himself, so he will use it as much as possible.
Because the nature of an entrepreneur is to seek profit for his company.
As long as it is profitable, it is not impossible that all X payments will be entrusted to crypto.

But is always open to using crypto, as long as it is something that can provide additional profits back to himself and the company.
We just have to wait and see what Elon will do with everything related to X in the future.
There will always be surprises that will keep him in the conversation and this will greatly benefit his reputation.
At this moment, Elon Musk is probably also aware that it is not advisable to talk too much about crypto. Elon Musk is facing more pressing issues related to the future of Tesla in the context of the electric vehicle market no longer being as positive as in previous years. At the same time, X-payment is still only focusing on the process of obtaining operating licenses in the states, it has not shared any information related to future operations.

I hope that something exciting will be announced by Elon Musk in Q4 of 2024, when X-payment will be launched and the crypto market will be at its hottest. I guess it will be positive news related to DOGE and we will see the crazy volatility of memecoins again similar to the bullrun 2021.

11
If it doesnt goes up then it goes down and vice versa. This has been that the condition that we are facing on this market on which there's no assurance on when it would really be able to hit up a particular price point but since we are speaking about $100k then this isnt something a too far off price as we do all know. We do hit up 70k on its ATH oh which 30k isnt really that too far off
in speaking about on reaching out that price point but the main question is on when? Of course everyone would really be eyeing this one on bull run market which it could happen anytime specially on post halving period.
$100K is not an overly ambitious target for BTC in this cycle, especially considering the strong recovery we've seen over the past year and BTC's new ATH before the halving, driven by momentum from BTC Spot ETFs. However, I believe that BTC price and the entire crypto market need to undergo a reaccumulation now in order to continue growing strongly and sustainably for the rest of the bullrun.

If we continue to surge to $100K right away in Q2 2024, I fear that the bubble will burst very soon and we will see an extremely short bullrun with limited price appreciation for many ALTs in the market. I hope we will have a boring Q2 & Q3 with BTC price while many ALTs will recover and create a huge crypto summer before BTC price continues to grow and conquer $100K in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025.

And $100K is not the biggest goal, I still expect $150K-170K for BTC in this cycle.

12
Cryptocurrency Trading / Re: Any indicator thatnworks like 3/2 in 1?
« on: April 25, 2024, 03:13:43 PM »
What I am looking for is the indicator that are combined together that tradingview will only count as 1.

Just trying to circumvent the subscription, too high for me. we are limited to 3 but if there is a combined RSI and stocastic and fibo counted as one then we can add two more.

I use to see one with lazybear but I couldn't see them anymore. Any suggestions.
Currently, TradingView only allows users to use a maximum of 2 indicators at the same time instead of 3 as before, and this causes some difficulties for users. TradingView wants users to pay to unlock more features, but I think ordinary traders don't need to use too many indicators. They should focus on 1-2 indicators to use all of their strength.

Some solutions you can try:

1. Find combo-indicators created by Tradingview users with the keyword "many indicators". They have combined multiple indicators into a single indicator and you can use it easily.

2. You can create a similar combo-indicator yourself according to your needs using PineScript on TradingView. This is also not too complicated, sometimes you can use ChatGPT to create a combo-indicator in minutes.

13
General Discussion / Re: Have you won anything online?
« on: April 25, 2024, 02:59:09 PM »
Nowadays, Twitter is full of giveaways. If you look at some platforms like Binance, Trust Wallet, Bitget, Kucoin ; even some KOLS that do giveaways. I saw some good giveaway prices like PS5, Laptops and more. I know that doesn't seem true, cos I always thought they used to farm engagements. But looking forward to now it doesn't look even fake, since people are still getting the stuff they won and announcing it on their profile.. :o
The crypto market has become extremely vibrant with many investors, traders, companies, projects... Each company wants its products to reach users and contests with large prizes are an effective way to market. We also know that many users have received rewards thanks to their ability or luck, events from reputable projects are not scams and are worth participating in if users have time or ability.

Unfortunately, I have never received a reward from such events. I am not a regular trader to participate in and win trading competitions, and I am not lucky enough to be one of the tens of thousands of users selected in Twitter information sharing events. Anyway, participating in sharing information about CEX is quite interesting, it gives me a little bit of hope and also helps CEX develop more in the future, me and other users will be more assured and the crypto market will also develop.

14
Trong bối cảnh thị trường tiền điện tử không ngừng phát triển, hàng triệu đô la tài sản tiền điện tử vẫn chưa được xác nhận trong các hợp đồng cầu nối khác nhau.

Theo ghi nhận của Arkham Intelligence, cá voi DeFi, nhà sưu tập NFT và thậm chí cả các tổ chức nổi tiếng đã để lại số tiền đáng kể trong các hợp đồng này, có khả năng không biết về sự tồn tại của chúng.
Có thể những tài khoản này chưa có nhu cầu thu hồi tài sản crypto từ cầu nối, họ sẽ sớm thực hiện nhiều tương tác cả thu hồi hoặc sử dụng cầu nối trong bullrun, khi thị trường trở nên ấm hơn. Trong trường hợp hàng trăm ngàn hoặc hàng triệu $ bị bỏ quên thì nhờ những báo cáo như thế này, họ có thể tiếp cận và thu hồi. Mình không nghiêng về khả năng thứ 2, hàng trăm ngàn $ là số tiền lớn, có thể mua được nhiều BTC, đó không phải là thứ mà nhiều tài khoản có thể bỏ quên trong chu trình trước diễn ra cách đây chỉ vài năm.

Đây cũng là 1 trường hợp cho thấy tính năng của Arkham thực sự hữu ích trong phân tích dữ liệu onchain. Hiện tại onchain cũng đang là phương pháp thú vị thu hút được nhiều nhà đầu tư trong thị trường này, hy vọng chúng ta sẽ thấy có nhiều KOLs cung cấp nhiều thông tin hữu ích cho cộng đồng trong thời gian tới để kịp chốt lời trước khi thị trường sụp đổ.

15
Of course, there is a reason behind it. The rank-up up now tied with many things like your number of karma, how much time you have spent on the forum (like logged-in time on Bitcointalk) and most importantly, the activity count as well. Now, the admin said somewhere that those formulas are hidden because it will help abusers know what to do to rank up faster. Even usual forum members will focus on ranking up quickly.

The Admin kept the formula hidden to prevent focusing on ranking up which is not a bad decision. The forum stopped counting your activity because it may think you haven't spent enough time to get more activity. This is why login time is also another requirement of rank up in this forum.
Yeah, we are aware of this and I don't think it's really important because when activity = 2000, the member rank is already Legendary and eligible to experience the Karma system and receive maximum rewards in bounty signature campaigns. I don't think higher ranks are necessary, similar to Karma, they are just recognition of a member's contributions to the forum.

For bounty managers, I think they will understand and check the participant's profile before making a decision on the reward (in BTC/LTC) for the premium signature campaign. Usually, in signature campaigns with rewards in project tokens, hunters are required to report links to their posts for the week and bounty managers can easily check and verify.

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