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Messages - MrSpasybo

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1
I - Onchain data từ 52Hz Onchain

SmartWhale rút về ví 2.388 ETH ($8.5M) từ Binance [1].


Trước đó thì SmartWhale đã chuyển lên Binance 19M USDT, có lẽ số USDT trên đã được dùng một phần để mua ETH khi giá có sự điều chỉnh trong ngày hôm qua.

Ở quá khứ, địa chỉ này đã bắt đầu tích lũy rất nhiều ETH ở vùng giá $1.9K- $2.2K, đây cũng là vùng giá mà các tay to phố Wall bắt đầu mua OTC trên Coinbase Prime.


Với việc liên tục tích lũy này, SmartWhale đang nắm giữ lên đến 20.548 ETH ($73M), hiện tại vẫn tiếp tục tích lũy thêm cho thấy họ đang khá bullish về ETH.


Sau Dencun Upgrade thành công thì Rumor ETH ETF sẽ là catalyst giúp ETH tăng trưởng mạnh mẽ ở thời gian sắp đến.

II - Phân tích kỹ thuật (khung tuần)

Cả 2 chỉ báo RSX và MACD đều xác nhận xu hướng tăng của ETH price, chưa xuất hiện tín hiệu đảo chiều từ tăng thành giảm. Đồng thời sau DenCun, sự tích cực đến từ BTC Halving và ETH Spot ETFs đang hỗ trợ rất tốt cho tâm lý thị trường, có thể thúc đẩy ETH price sớm tạo ATH mới ngay sau halving.



[1] Money Flow

Bài đăng tiếng anh: https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=319836

2
I - Onchain data from 52Hz Onchain (in Vietnamese)
I translated the 52Hz Onchain's post from Vietnamese to English, with refinements and explanations of crypto market slangs. I will present text + images so we can view, quote and discuss more easily. I think this is better than sending a simple link.

SmartWhale withdrew 2,388 ETH ($8.5M) from Binance [1].


Before that, SmartWhale transferred 19M USDT to Binance, perhaps a part of USDT was used to buy ETH when ETH price adjusted yesterday.

In the past, this address has started to accumulate a lot of ETH in the $1.9K-$2.2K price range, which is also the price range where Wall Street whales started buying OTC on Coinbase Prime.


With this continuous accumulation, SmartWhale is holding up to 20,548 ETH ($73M), and is currently continuing to accumulate more, showing that they are quite bullish on ETH.


After the successful Dencun Upgrade, the Rumor ETH ETF will be the catalyst that helps ETH grow strongly in the near future.

II - Technical analysis (Weekly chart)

Both the RSX and MACD indicators confirm the upward trend of ETH price, there is no signal of a reversal from increase to decrease yet. At the same time, after DenCun, the positivity from BTC Halving and ETH Spot ETFs is strongly supporting market sentiment, which could prompt ETH price to soon create a new ATH right after halving.


[1] Money Flow

3
The price of bitcoin increases all the time so I am interested in holding on to it. Is there a limit to this bitcoin season?

Basically I want to know about investing strategy.
I don't think I can give financial advice to anyone, you should research the market carefully before investing. I will only present my point of view and approach, if you can refer to it, it is good, if not, keep fiat because you will not lose money.

From what I understand, the market has a 4-year cycle. The time when BTC reached ATH all cycle is 2013-2017-2021. If this repeats, BTC will peak in 2025, between May and November. This is also the time when I will closely monitor the market and place pre-orders for profit taking in both positive and negative cases.

You can also use Weekly EMA34 in the Sonic R indicator to track and take action. I consider the BTC price falling below Weekly EMA34 to be a bad signal for bullrun.

4
I had the same opinion about two weeks ago!
But now I think a run to 100k, be it before the halving or after the halving is impossible to avoid unless something major happens such as a war or got knows that would make everyone run for the hills.

There is simply too much confidence, money keeps flowing, and the US has billions if not in the trillions area of money to be invested, Nvidia alone added 1 trillion in one quarter, the amount of $ on the market is insane and even if crypto gets only one tiny percentage it will still mean a lot if everyone is just focusing on higher price and doesn't want to cashout before 100k.
Furthermore, despite me being one of the worst pessimists when it comes to price I don't see a dump even after the new ATH, a small decline then side movements but nothing even remotely close to the ones BTC was used to, the likes of 60-70% down.
I am also quite surprised that the BTC price continues to rise without any significant adjustments. If this continues, we may have $100K at the Halving in April, which will be the next crazy thing we have to witness in this cycle.

This makes me a little worried, it could be that we will see the market cycle shorten: BTC will create a full cycle top in 2024 and 2025 will belong to the crypto winter. I don't expect this at all. I once expected that the good liquidity of the US market could meet the buying power from BTC Spot ETF, but it seems that the net inflows are too large! Anyway, let's enjoy this sweet price increase!

If a market price of something is volatile and good as bitcoin which is not too volatile, it will encourage traders to trade and also encourage holders to continue smart DCA. So this is good for the market. But how people will trade and hold is what I am not interested in because many people are trading bitcoin. Also that I do not care if it is Americans because bitcoin is not just for Americans but for the whole world.
I just want to mention that the good liquidity in the US market makes the fluctuations in the psychology of US investors have a big impact on the market: for example, when they start buying BTC Spot ETF, BTC price is pushed up strongly and sustainably instead of being pushed down when facing selling pressure from investors in Asia or Europe. Good liquidity has absorbed the selling pressure and maintained a fairly stable uptrend.

This can help us understand why the impact of Spot ETFs in the US is greater than the impact of Spot ETFs in Canada or Spot ETPs in Europe.

5
It is human nature to want more than what we want to achieve, so we seem greedy. Greed can begin to arise if one cannot control himself that what he has obtained is worthy of being received, but still thinks that it is still not enough, so that when that moment is no longer there, only regret remains. Almost everything happens in all areas, but most often in crypto trading, when you have reached the peak you want to let go but don't do it because you see the trend is still moving up, so when there is an unanticipated decline, then only losses are acceptable, perhaps in terms of time Or value.
Greed and fear are extreme human emotions, and they are not necessarily useless or dangerous. It would be good if we were greedy at the bottom and fearful at the top, but the market cannot exist if the majority makes a big profit. Conversely, the market only exists by creating losses for the majority by making them greedy in a bull run and continuing to have unrealistic expectations at the top. In other words, it is the majority of investors who create the top and bottom with their own greed and fear.

I am not surprised that this has been repeated for hundreds of years, throughout dozens of cycles of traditional markets and now in the crypto market. And I fully believe that it will continue until the last day of the market. I don't think we can all control our greed, because it is impossible and can cause the market to crash, but at least experienced investors can protect the profits they have made in a bull run. Those who cannot control their greed will have to pay tuition to learn that.

6
OMG, you always come up with unique and interesting posts, that are totally new for me, just like the article in this post that says China never bans crypto completely, I mean I read news where the Chinese government punished a government officer for using crypto and gave him a long sentence, I read many other news as well, but what I did not know that $90 billion of dollars are traded only on Binance and only in one month that's shockingly amazing.

Well, this indicates one thing that all the western media or other media that are creating an environment in the world's population's mind, that china is not supporting crypto and strictly prohibit it, are the actors of a single country which is getting the most of the benefit, I mean, before it was china, on which all eyes were, and now its USA and the most benefit is also to USA as well, and there is no doubt that big influencers sitting in USA have great control on all types of medias. Well, sadly that's not right. Things should be made crystal clear to people.
I don't like to dwell on conspiracy theories, but I've always believed that the Chinese government has always had many big plans to increase its position in the world: economically, technologically, and even in crypto. China is very enthusiastic about researching and finding ways to apply blockchain technology, and at the same time implementing CBDC as e-CNY, they don't want to miss out on this attractive market. The only thing we don't know is: when will China return and what strategy will they return with?

I think there is always room for Chinese investors in the crypto market, and their capital will make the crypto market grow stronger. But I fear that China's CBDC will be learned and applied in other countries, making CBDC popular and having a negative impact on people through high control.

7
it is easy to call doge just a meme coin, but it is a huge pow coin generates vast mining profit and in about 3 weeks when btc 1/2 s it will be more profitable in comparison to btc.
I think DOGE has always been a memecoin, and it is the KING of memecoins! This is a recognition of DOGE's role in this crypto market.

Usually, altseason will come after BTC Halving and it is possible that DOGE's price performance will be greater than BTC. I don't have DOGE in my portfolio but I will always wish that DOGE investors will receive great profits like what happened in the bullruns of 2017 and 2021  ;D

8
Theo lãnh đạo tài sản kỹ thuật số tại BlackRock Robert Mitchnick, mặc dù Bitcoin đã có những thời điểm hoạt động giống như cổ phiếu công nghệ có rủi ro cao nhưng “hãy nghĩ về nó giống như vàng kỹ thuật số,” ông gợi ý, đồng thời lưu ý hành vi tương đồng đáng kinh ngạc của nó với vàng khi nhìn vào biểu đồ tương quan của chúng theo thời gian. Khái niệm này đảo ngược xu hướng coi Bitcoin như một tài sản rủi ro của thời kỳ hậu Covid, điều mà Mitchnick nhanh chóng làm rõ liên quan đến một ván game hoàn toàn khác do Bitcoin thiếu mối tương quan nhất quán với cổ phiếu và thu nhập cố định.
Khi thị trường còn non trẻ thì BTC được xem là tàu lượn, bơm thổi, lừa đảo, rủi ro cao. Đến khi thị trường phát triển, nhà đầu tư có nhu cầu bỏ tiền vào tài sản như BTC thì các ông lớn từ Wall Street nhảy vào giới thiệu BTC Spot ETF và nối BTC là vàng kỹ thuật số, tiềm năng cực kỳ lớn... Cuối cùng thì họ cũng chỉ muốn giá BTC luôn tăng, củng cố niềm tin và lòng tham của nhà đầu tư truyền thống, khuyến khích họ mua Spot ETFs và kiếm được doanh thu từ phí quản lý tài sản.

Hiện tại, chúng ta đã quen với những đánh giá tích cực từ những công ty lớn nhất thế giới về BTC, việc còn lại chỉ là chờ đợi toàn bộ tác động tích cực mà những Spot ETFs này ảnh hưởng đến giá BTC và toàn bộ thị trường. Mình thì không nghi ngờ khả năng năng trưởng của BTC trong chu trình này, dù có hay không sự tồn tại của BTC Spot ETF.

9
Đầu tư vốn tổ chức vào các công ty khai thác Bitcoin công khai đã gây bất lợi cho thợ đào cá nhân và quy mô nhỏ, nên có thể có tác động lâu dài đến động lực mạng.

Họ gợi ý rằng thợ đào Bitcoin được niêm yết công khai đánh dấu sự thay đổi khỏi tầm nhìn phi tập trung của thợ đào riêng lẻ góp phần đảm bảo bảo mật mạng vì lợi ích cá nhân.
Sự hợp nhất, thâu tóm và từ bỏ trong ngành khai thác BTC có thể khiến cho tính phi tập trung của mạng lưới Bitcoin bị suy yếu, khi mà những miners nhỏ lẽ sẽ khó mà tiếp tục tồn tại trong tình hình khó khăn, trong khi những công ty lớn có tài chính dồi dào, có lợi nhuận cao và còn nguồn vốn từ tổ chức đầu tư hàng đầu trong thị trường tài chính. Mình nghĩ đây sẽ trở thành vấn đề đáng bận tâm trong tương lai, nhưng hiện tại nó vẫn chưa trở thành một chủ đề đủ gây nguy hiểm cho mạng lưới và giá trị của BTC.

Dần dần, mình có cảm giác khai thác BTC sẽ trở thành sân chơi của những công ty hàng đầu, BTC sẽ không còn là tài sản thực sự thuộc về tất cả người dùng mà có thể được thao túng liên quan đến tổng cung, tốc độ và tính ứng dụng.

10
In fact, the risks that must be faced like that will provide a lot of profit. As you mentioned, being trapped at high prices on meme coin is really not good and should be avoided by always paying attention to the exchange so as not to be late in making decisions to stop losses.
CEXs often support OCO orders, which we can use to protect our capital and profits instead of having to constantly monitor the price chart.

I don't think putting most of capital into memecoins is a safe decision for investors. Memecoins are created for fun, investors should seek profit rather than fun in this market. I know many people have gone all-in on crypto and all-in on memecoins and then become rich, but not everyone is so lucky enough. Capital management is the most important part of investment strategy in every market.

11
Bitcoin Forum / Re: Has BTC really become more attractive than gold?
« on: March 27, 2024, 09:10:44 PM »
To me, this move by Nilam confirms the growing recognition of BTC as a truly valuable asset class. Not only that, it also shows the potential of BTC has really won over companies in the gold market. They may prefer gold over BTC because gold has brought them wealth in the past, but they will not ignore BTC with the potential to bring them more profits in the future.

I would like to know your views on BTC and gold:
  • Are you investing in BTC or gold?
  • Do you think BTC has become more attractive than gold in the investment sector?
  • Have people like Peter Schiff accumulated a lot of BTC while still badmouthing BTC in the media?
These companies are created to seek profit, gold is just a financial instrument they have chosen in the past, and now their attention is on BTC because BTC has really had impressive growth in the past time, accepted at the level of organization, company, asset management fund and country. As long as an asset creates significant profits, these companies will invest, regardless of their previous field of operation as gold mining. This also confirms the attractiveness of BTC to large companies in the economy.

1. I am investing in BTC, I do not have gold in my portfolio. BTC is easier to buy and there is no need to worry when storing, all I need to do is protect my private key.

2. In fact, BTC has actually become a more attractive asset than gold in terms of growth and profit, even though BTC's cap is still modest compared to gold.

3. I believe they have been and are collecting BTC. They are smart people, when they criticize BTC, they also realize its potential, if they just spend a small part of their assets to accumulate BTC from more than 10 years ago, they will also have BTC worth billions of $.

12
Cardano Forum / Re: ADA is not a shitcoin as Arthur Hayes believes
« on: March 27, 2024, 08:52:49 PM »

Fud usually done so they could bring the price down, sometimes its not even true. but i guess its also your time to buy when they wanna buy.

recently there's the news about USDM just launched in Cardano which is the newest stablecoin in the network that is backed by fiat USD. it was a week ago but i haven't seen it listed anywhere yet. pundits say USDM has superior properties to USDT and USDC in that it can’t be frozen.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/usdm-stablecoin-retail-rollout-april-mehen-founder
Thank you for the update on USDM. It could be the perfect alternative for USDT and USDC, which cannot be seamlessly integrated into the Cardano ecosystem due to their limitations. I hope that when widely adopted by both retail users, USDM can help DeFi on Cardano grow more strongly, thereby promoting the development of both the ecosystem and ADA token price.

We are already busy with the updates of the Cardano ecosystem, we do not have enough time to follow the FUDs on the market. FUD will soon become FOMO when ADA token price surges above $1  8)

13
Tokenization remains a key focus of BlackRock’s digital asset strategy. Through the tokenization of the Fund, BUIDL will offer investors important benefits by enabling the issuance and trading of ownership on a blockchain, expanding investor access to on-chain offerings, providing instantaneous and transparent settlement, and allowing for transfers across platforms. BNY Mellon will enable interoperability for the Fund between digital and traditional markets.

The token will be on the Ethereum blockchain, but the Tokenization of securities will be a radical change in the concept of investments, as profits will be deposited in new tokens every month.
Tokenization of securities is one of the major goals that we have been thinking about since 2017 and currently asset management funds like BlackRock have done. We can call this the RWA trend: bringing real-world assets into the crypto market to increase liquidity through access to a large number of investors worldwide.

I really want to see the widespread deployment of this product from BlackRock. I want to know how investors outside of the US will be able to invest in these tokens and then receive dividends, this will be really interesting and worth watching.

I'm not surprised that Ethereum was chosen, it's still a decentralized, secure blockchain with enough features to ensure trust in the issuer and the holder of the security token.

14
Polkadot Forum / Re: Your expectations for Polkadot in 2024
« on: March 27, 2024, 08:20:26 PM »
As I said before Polkadot currently doesn't seem to be having any good moves, at the time bitcoin touched $73K, polkadot just wasn't showing any good moves. If you say polkadot, it's still worth it but I'd rather use my money to invest in solana than polkadot. Because Solana is showing good progress.
It is true that Solana ecosystem is developing more strongly than Polkadot at the moment, but the need for cross-chain will return in the bull run and Polkadot will also return. I think that each token will have its own opportunity and moon time, and DOT will also have the opportunity to return and grow strongly in this cycle, bringing development to the Web3 trend and profits to investors.

The Cosmos ecosystem is also developing strongly, but the ATOM token has not been able to return to the race for token price. It seems that the cross-chain trend has not yet received cash flow and its tokens are still hidden gems in the crypto market  ::)

15
Nice charting for the price of BTC. I personally agree with this measurement of the elliot wave. Of course the price will be not exactly on 160k but it will range on that because market will make a liquidty to make the price move and make healthy corrections. As of it's price many people will have their dream come true if they still hold BTC until that day, considering the chart analysis is based on monthly and weekly charts. It will take several years to take place. The question is, do still hold your BTC that much of a time?  ;)
My Elliott wave count suggests that BTC is in a corrective wave, and it is very difficult to predict the amplitude of these X waves, so I use Fibo. Everything is just my personal opinion, I hope I am lucky enough to be able to predict accurately the full cycle top of BTC will be at ~$160K.

I don't have much BTC, but I will hold them until BTC reaches $160K, or the market has clear signals of a reversal of BTC price from bullish to bearish. I expect the predictions but always be ready for market volatility.

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