what seems easier to me is as you say, that it can reach about $200k, I think that is a good prediction, I would assume that the price will range between $150k and $180k, but what you say is very valid.
That's just my prediction and I'm just guessing at will without clear and meaningless rules, hehe
What if we reverse the situation, and don't predict that Bitcoin prices will continue to rise because we are talking about the mainstream.
If Bitcoin is still priced at 40,000 USD after the Halving and continues into the future, and even after the Halving the Bitcoin price drops back to 30,000 USD and continues to be stable, what do you think?
-Do you still want to buy Bitcoin?
-Will you still continue to be on cryptocurrency forums?
-Will you hate and leave Bitcoin because the price continues to remain stable at 30,000 USD?
I Well, according to my personal opinion, very personal and due to my experience, I would buy even more, why? It's simple, we all know that bitcoin is going to have another new ATH, and the ATHs are much juicier than the previous one, that alone motivates me to buy, in fact if we compare it with other speculative markets, such as the stock market, investors will buy their shares and the period where they receive their profits is 8-10 years later, otherwise we have to see how Warren Buffet made his fortune, the same way it happens in bitcoin, only not with so much time, usually There is a pattern that may or may not be fulfilled this time, but it is that every 4 years there is a very good bullish movement and it is enough to consider that the bitcoin movement can grow to more than $100k, so there is no question. lose faith
Now the things that are straightforward to do are that the speculators, the investors know that many expect the price of bitcoin to grow, what can they do with their money? do the opposite effect, lower the price and then when the weak hands have sold, then if they let the price grow like a sponge, that is sometimes traps that are made in the market.