Altcoins Talks - Cryptocurrency Forum

Crypto Discussion Forum => Cryptocurrency Trading => Topic started by: MrSpasybo on February 06, 2024, 07:28:09 PM

Title: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 06, 2024, 07:28:09 PM
First of all, this is not financial advice. I have no interest or responsibility in other people's investments. I share my technical analysis opinion, I hope it will be of reference value for everyone.

I have read many topics predicting BTC's ATH in the cycle 2024-2025, but none of the predictions are really clear enough and presented on the price chart. This prompted me to create this topic to share my views and receive constructive feedback from everyone.

My predictions for BTC ATH:
1. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317160.0)
2. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Parallel channel ~$150K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317218)
3. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316)
4. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317387)

1. Elliott wave count

Because Elliott wave counting is subjective, I respect each person's wave counting method. In this topic, I present my wave counting method: I think we are in a correction wave that started in 2018 and lasts at least 7 years. The complexity of the correction makes it difficult to count the waves. For the time being, I consider this a multiple wave WXYXZ.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/fpB56bsL/)

2. Fibo retracement

a) In the 2012-cycle: wave III is an impulse wave so we have a peak at Fibo 2.618.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/0xRr5Zb6/)

b) In the 2016-cycle: wave V is an impulse wave so we have a peak at Fibo 2.618.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/HsZ6iyLv/)

c) In the 2020-cycle: wave X1 is a corrective wave so we have a peak at only Fibo 1.618.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/LwxJPDDF/)

d) In the 2024-cycle: wave X2 is a corrective wave so we may have a peak at Fibo 1,618 ~ $160K.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/rINVhPmy/)

So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $160K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😊
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: masudginanjar on February 07, 2024, 06:33:32 AM
So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $160K.
This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.
I hope to receive your comments on my prediction
164,000 USD is a very big value for me, if I had just 1 Bitcoin I might already have a nice house and 1 car.
But unfortunately I haven't had 1 Bitcoin since I got to know cryptocurrency, I also sold the bounty coins because I needed them for my small family.

Maybe I can only pray that Bitcoin can reach a price of 164,000 USD so that all the altcoins that I own can rise so quickly and significantly and provide profits.
BTW, you are very skilled at drawing charts, predictions and various information about cryptocurrency, I appreciate that, friend!
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: LogitechMouse on February 07, 2024, 08:23:45 AM
I watched this video from a Youtuber that I always watch and it's all about the prediction of the price of Bitcoin in 2024, and in 2025 as well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UX8LPbMGyl4 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UX8LPbMGyl4)
I'll give a warning that the contents of that video are very hard to understand (at least on my point of view) that I needed to watch it twice to understand because the prediction involves a bit of science, and math.

Anyway, watch the video if you have spare time, but to cut it short, it says on that video that we might see Bitcoin's price between $150,000 - $200,000 by the end of 2025, and it will happen at the middle of next year. It also says on that video that we might see the price of Bitcoin reaching $1,000,000 by year 2030. Sounds impossible, but it's a prediction so... yeah.

I, and OP already said that it will reach 6 digits possible next year so for those who are hesitant to buy Bitcoin still, don't think twice and buy already. :P
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 07, 2024, 02:44:43 PM
Maybe I can only pray that Bitcoin can reach a price of 164,000 USD so that all the altcoins that I own can rise so quickly and significantly and provide profits.
BTW, you are very skilled at drawing charts, predictions and various information about cryptocurrency, I appreciate that, friend!
As BTC grows, altseason will also take place and many alts will also create new ATH. I hope the alts in your portfolio won't disappoint you in 2025.

Thank you, I always try to be as clear as possible on the price chart. A picture is worth more than a thousand words ^^

I watched this video from a Youtuber that I always watch and it's all about the prediction of the price of Bitcoin in 2024, and in 2025 as well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UX8LPbMGyl4 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UX8LPbMGyl4)
I'll give a warning that the contents of that video are very hard to understand (at least on my point of view) that I needed to watch it twice to understand because the prediction involves a bit of science, and math.

Anyway, watch the video if you have spare time, but to cut it short, it says on that video that we might see Bitcoin's price between $150,000 - $200,000 by the end of 2025, and it will happen at the middle of next year. It also says on that video that we might see the price of Bitcoin reaching $1,000,000 by year 2030. Sounds impossible, but it's a prediction so... yeah.

I, and OP already said that it will reach 6 digits possible next year so for those who are hesitant to buy Bitcoin still, don't think twice and buy already. :P
The method is not too complicated, just use Log(Price) and Log(Time), then linear regression to obtain a model that tells the story of what happened to BTC and predicts for the future. This method is similar to the method of Harold Christopher Burger[1], I will also present a similar method to predict BTC's local ATH in 2025.

[1] Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth (https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: masudginanjar on February 08, 2024, 03:55:48 AM
As BTC grows, altseason will also take place and many alts will also create new ATH. I hope the alts in your portfolio won't disappoint you in 2025.
Thank you, I always try to be as clear as possible on the price chart. A picture is worth more than a thousand words ^^
I also want to see the altcoins that I own in the local market can increase drastically when the Bull Run occurs in 2025.
Unfortunately I only have a little at the moment because I'm not good at trading cryptocurrency.
Unlike you, surely you have a lot of altcoins that are ready to explode to the moon, right?

The image is more detailed and easier to understand, especially adding the right words, this will make a post more meaningful and easy for all members to understand. 8)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: bounceback on February 08, 2024, 05:09:39 AM
Really huge expected with bitcoin all time high prediction in 2025 by  Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement  around $160k, its need more than x4 with current bitcoin price right now to raise with the highest price prediction in 2025. I am in realistic position seems difficult left one year bitcoin will raise most highest price more than $160k.
Its not easy with bitcoin still can't defend from correction and many people get panic for selling their bitcoin in lower price, need more than three years later for bitcoin can up above $100k and likely the prediction price by Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement seems need more than five years later.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 08, 2024, 07:51:34 PM
I also want to see the altcoins that I own in the local market can increase drastically when the Bull Run occurs in 2025.
Unfortunately I only have a little at the moment because I'm not good at trading cryptocurrency.
Unlike you, surely you have a lot of altcoins that are ready to explode to the moon, right?

The image is more detailed and easier to understand, especially adding the right words, this will make a post more meaningful and easy for all members to understand. 8)
I am still continuing to DCA BTC to Halving, after which I can consider a few alts to DCA until 2025. A few trends seem very potential: Layer-0, Layer-2, RWA ... Restaking is very hot but I don't believe in its sustainability.

I have my own YouTube channel, I have presented and received many comments from everyone to improve and increase the details of the analysis. There is no secret to hide here!

Really huge expected with bitcoin all time high prediction in 2025 by  Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement  around $160k, its need more than x4 with current bitcoin price right now to raise with the highest price prediction in 2025. I am in realistic position seems difficult left one year bitcoin will raise most highest price more than $160k.
Its not easy with bitcoin still can't defend from correction and many people get panic for selling their bitcoin in lower price, need more than three years later for bitcoin can up above $100k and likely the prediction price by Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement seems need more than five years later.
We will watch together, and maybe I am too optimistic when predicting the price of $100k for BTC right in the 2024 cycle. Anyway, I still believe that the cycle of BTC will continue to be valid, And although BTC will not be able to reach $ 160k, I will still sell BTC in 2025.

In addition to this prediction, I have a few different approaches with the expected price in the $150K-170K area, you can refer to. When many approaches suggested a result, I have more basis for high expectations for BTC in 2025.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: LUCKMCFLY on February 08, 2024, 07:58:29 PM
It is a great prediction, but nevertheless things can turn out like this, I like how Fibonacci applies, everything, but it is something that I love the way it makes it look, I am into doing technical analysis, primarily in the long term and I will find it in shorter periods and that is what I analyze like this but using Wyckopff and the truth is that it has helped me a lot, I also apply the knowledge that I have acquired in Livermore's books, I apply all of that, I highlight the analysis that you do, I like it because It is very complete and considering a possible fundamental analysis without taking into consideration very large Fundamentals, well yes, I see that things are like that.

So when we are looking for things with the best prediction, but so far according to the articles that I have read, that I have seen, I see this prediction as very good, very technical and that has logic everywhere, this is something that makes me It shows another way of looking at market analysis, I hope it happens, because it is very complete.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: masudginanjar on February 09, 2024, 08:15:25 AM
I am still continuing to DCA BTC to Halving, after which I can consider a few alts to DCA until 2025. A few trends seem very potential: Layer-0, Layer-2, RWA ... Restaking is very hot but I don't believe in its sustainability.
Awesome, you don't seem to run out of trading capital to continue buying Bitcoin and this really admires me.
You also apply DCA purchasing techniques very closely and for me I don't really understand how DCA works.
But I have a question "Restaking", does this Restaking have anything to do with Bitcoin trading or not?

I have my own YouTube channel, I have presented and received many comments from everyone to improve and increase the details of the analysis. There is no secret to hide here!
Oh really??
Do you have a YouTube channel about trading Bitcoin and various altcoins?
Please send your YouTube channel link, I will visit it later and will learn about Bitcoin from your videos on your YouTube channel.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: yhiaali3 on February 09, 2024, 10:04:13 AM
I'm not a big technical analysis expert but I follow a lot of analyzes across different channels, so I think you did a great job using the different analysis tools.

Of course, it is difficult to accurately predict Bitcoin's price path, but most analyzes agree that we will see the price rise to 100-160K$ during the years 2024-2025, so I support your analysis in the scenarios that you predicted.

Although we have noticed a good rise in Bitcoin over the past two days, it is not too late for those interested in DCA because we have plenty of time before reaching ATH.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: doc on February 11, 2024, 11:27:00 AM

Of course, it is difficult to accurately predict Bitcoin's price path, but most analyzes agree that we will see the price rise to 100-160K$ during the years 2024-2025, so I support your analysis in the scenarios that you predicted.
~


Always good to read many predictions about will rise to $100-160K. Several investors predict bitcoin will touch more 100K USD , I think I'm agree. Current bitcoin price is $ 48K, It's before halving. Meanwhile bitcoin will have bullish at 2025 maybe at mid 2025. It's long time, So I think bitcoin price will soar. $150K is reasonable.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: TopT3ns on February 11, 2024, 01:44:04 PM
Always good to read many predictions about will rise to $100-160K. Several investors predict bitcoin will touch more 100K USD , I think I'm agree. Current bitcoin price is $ 48K, It's before halving. Meanwhile bitcoin will have bullish at 2025 maybe at mid 2025. It's long time, So I think bitcoin price will soar. $150K is reasonable.
Well, there are too many people who try to predict Bitcoin price movements, while I laugh when I see people who like to make predictions like that because so far no one has been able to predict exactly what price Bitcoin will go to. So far, my benchmark is that Bitcoin supply is very limited while demand is very high, which will provide an opportunity for the price of Bitcoin to rise, but I never mention the price of Bitcoin with certainty because it is clear that price movements are unpredictable.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 17, 2024, 05:48:39 PM
It is a great prediction, but nevertheless things can turn out like this, I like how Fibonacci applies, everything, but it is something that I love the way it makes it look, I am into doing technical analysis, primarily in the long term and I will find it in shorter periods and that is what I analyze like this but using Wyckopff and the truth is that it has helped me a lot, I also apply the knowledge that I have acquired in Livermore's books, I apply all of that, I highlight the analysis that you do, I like it because It is very complete and considering a possible fundamental analysis without taking into consideration very large Fundamentals, well yes, I see that things are like that.

So when we are looking for things with the best prediction, but so far according to the articles that I have read, that I have seen, I see this prediction as very good, very technical and that has logic everywhere, this is something that makes me It shows another way of looking at market analysis, I hope it happens, because it is very complete.
Even though we only have one market, there are many approaches and analyzes, so each method has its own value. I really like the methods of Wyckoff and Livermore, they are both giants in technical analysis.

I present the different approaches I'm working on so everyone can easily understand and follow along. I hope I am lucky enough to correctly predict BTC's ATH in 2025. If not so lucky, I will have more lessons and experience for the following predictions.

Awesome, you don't seem to run out of trading capital to continue buying Bitcoin and this really admires me.
You also apply DCA purchasing techniques very closely and for me I don't really understand how DCA works.
But I have a question "Restaking", does this Restaking have anything to do with Bitcoin trading or not?
~
Oh really??
Do you have a YouTube channel about trading Bitcoin and various altcoins?
Please send your YouTube channel link, I will visit it later and will learn about Bitcoin from your videos on your YouTube channel.
You can try searching for information about DCA tactics:
With dollar-cost averaging, you invest your money in equal portions, at regular intervals, regardless of the ups and downs in the market[1].

Simply: I use $10 per week to buy BTC, regardless of market fluctuations. This helps me accumulate a lot of BTC at the bottom price zone without having to predict the bottom of the market.

Restaking is just one of the hot trends at present, it does not temporarily affect BTC. Although it is attractive, I still do not participate, I continue DCA BTC.

I have a Youtube channel but only present my predictions in Vietnamese, the content is similar to my topics on AltcoinsTalks ^^

I'm not a big technical analysis expert but I follow a lot of analyzes across different channels, so I think you did a great job using the different analysis tools.

Of course, it is difficult to accurately predict Bitcoin's price path, but most analyzes agree that we will see the price rise to 100-160K$ during the years 2024-2025, so I support your analysis in the scenarios that you predicted.

Although we have noticed a good rise in Bitcoin over the past two days, it is not too late for those interested in DCA because we have plenty of time before reaching ATH.
The crypto market is really complex and not easy to predict. I also don't put too much confidence and expectation in these target $150K-170K. We will follow the market together and wait for BTC's strong growth. It would be great if BTC could reach $160K in 2025!

[1] The Pros and Cons of Dollar-Cost Averaging (https://www.finra.org/investors/insights/dollar-cost-averaging)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Dr.Bitcoin_Strange on February 17, 2024, 10:35:24 PM
d) In the 2024-cycle: wave X2 is a corrective wave so we may have a peak at Fibo 1,618 ~ $160K.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/rINVhPmy/)

So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $160K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😊

My prediction for this coming ATH of Bitcoin is between $100k and $120k. I feel very assured that the price of Bitcoin will go above the $100, 000 mark, but I am not very sure at what price it will end. Although my speculation is very high, I just decided to keep it in the $120k range. If it really goes above that, then it's going to be crazy, lol, crazy profit for investors. 
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Primo1760 on February 17, 2024, 11:50:43 PM
So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $160K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😊
We who make bitcoin predictions make bitcoin predictions mainly based on assumptions. But since I can't technically make predictions, I can guess that between 2024 and 2025, the price of Bitcoin will be between $100k and $170k. Moreover, I have also seen the predictions of unique influential analysts who predict that Bitcoin will hit such a target between 2024 and 2025. I agree with your opinion as Bitcoin going to $160k is possible. But it is not enough to make predictions about the price of Bitcoin. Of course, you need to invest immediately.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: KryptoBull on February 19, 2024, 02:58:42 AM
So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $160K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😊
Your method of counting Elliott waves is interesting, and it seems quite reasonable to explain the double top pattern in 2021 or the bottom below 20K USD of BTC in 2022. As I understand it, currently Fibo 2.6 cannot be used anymore because the wave mode has changed from impulse to correction, we have to use 1.618.

I will wait to confirm this prediction in 2025. If BTC will indeed reverse and create an ATH around 160K USD, this topic of yours on AltcoinsTalks will become famous  ;)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 20, 2024, 08:14:25 PM
Your method of counting Elliott waves is interesting, and it seems quite reasonable to explain the double top pattern in 2021 or the bottom below 20K USD of BTC in 2022. As I understand it, currently Fibo 2.6 cannot be used anymore because the wave mode has changed from impulse to correction, we have to use 1.618.

I will wait to confirm this prediction in 2025. If BTC will indeed reverse and create an ATH around 160K USD, this topic of yours on AltcoinsTalks will become famous  ;)
Elliott wave counting is deeply subjective so I don't use it often, I only use it to reinforce Fibo ratios. I believe there are more accurate wave counts that we will have as more data becomes available on the BTC price chart.

I hope that these predictions will be of reference value for everyone as they follow BTC's journey in the upcoming cycle. If I have predicted correctly, I will be very happy. On the contrary: I will be able to refine and improve my prediction models.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Trongduy on February 22, 2024, 12:42:44 PM
So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $160K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😊
Thank you for providing clear images so I can easily follow and understand your work. I don't really understand how to count Elliott waves but it seems quite reasonable, 160 thousand dollars is the right price for 2025, we shouldn't be too FOMO like we were waiting for 100 thousand dollars in 2021.

I just need Btc to create a new peak above $69k and that's good, then Alts will grow extremely strongly when investors are optimistic about the growth potential of this market. Btc at 160 thousand dollars will be an opportunity for large capital investors believing in Btc, but I will still wait for the halving and look for opportunities with Altcoins.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Aanuoluwatofunmi on February 22, 2024, 02:37:02 PM
Everyone is giving their own prediction on the possible outcome to expect on the bitcoin market after the halving when we begin to see bullrun happening, there's this more confident that what you happen to see most people speculating about to likely turn to the real expectation on what is going to happen with the market price, and this is one of the reason why i also join in support of anything above $100,000 and below $200,000 this coming bullrun season. 
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 22, 2024, 05:48:36 PM
Thank you for providing clear images so I can easily follow and understand your work. I don't really understand how to count Elliott waves but it seems quite reasonable, 160 thousand dollars is the right price for 2025, we shouldn't be too FOMO like we were waiting for 100 thousand dollars in 2021.

I just need Btc to create a new peak above $69k and that's good, then Alts will grow extremely strongly when investors are optimistic about the growth potential of this market. Btc at 160 thousand dollars will be an opportunity for large capital investors believing in Btc, but I will still wait for the halving and look for opportunities with Altcoins.
$100K in 2021 is just an expected price without too much reliable prediction basis, I think it comes from PlanB's prediction in 2019. Many people missed the opportunity to take profits in the $60K zone in 2021 because they believe BTC will conquer $100K.

Altcoins investment planning can also be conducted from reference to BTC price. When BTC shows signs of distribution or loses momentum, Altcoins holders can also place profit protection orders.

Everyone is giving their own prediction on the possible outcome to expect on the bitcoin market after the halving when we begin to see bullrun happening, there's this more confident that what you happen to see most people speculating about to likely turn to the real expectation on what is going to happen with the market price, and this is one of the reason why i also join in support of anything above $100,000 and below $200,000 this coming bullrun season. 
Currently, most BTC's ATH predictions put the price at $100K-200K, but I believe that as soon as BTC surpasses $100K, many people will set higher expectations like $288K or even $500K. Predictions made early while the market is in crypto winter will always remind us to control greed during the bullrun ^^
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Jamal Aezaz on March 02, 2024, 05:48:35 PM
We who make bitcoin predictions make bitcoin predictions mainly based on assumptions. But since I can't technically make predictions, I can guess that between 2024 and 2025, the price of Bitcoin will be between $100k and $170k. Moreover, I have also seen the predictions of unique influential analysts who predict that Bitcoin will hit such a target between 2024 and 2025. I agree with your opinion as Bitcoin going to $160k is possible. But it is not enough to make predictions about the price of Bitcoin. Of course, you need to invest immediately.

Predictions are not essentially true all the time but when we see the past history then there is a possibility that bitcoin will show the same pattern as it has shown in the past but there will be change in the actual price of bitcoin at the timing of halving.

160k$ is not hard to achieve as now the bitcoin has almost reached to the previous ATH so there is a possibility that 100k$ will be achieved at the time of halving so let's see what happen to the worth of bitcoin. Immediate investment is necessary as price is going more higher and higher so if once it cross 70k$ then we will hardly invest in it and we will miss the opportunity and will regret for not investing at the current worth.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: kulkhan on March 03, 2024, 08:59:57 PM
First of all, this is not financial advice. I have no interest or responsibility in other people's investments. I share my technical analysis opinion, I hope it will be of reference value for everyone.

I have read many topics predicting BTC's ATH in the cycle 2024-2025, but none of the predictions are really clear enough and presented on the price chart. This prompted me to create this topic to share my views and receive constructive feedback from everyone.

My predictions for BTC ATH:
1. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317160.0)
2. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Parallel channel ~$150K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317218)
3. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316)
4. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317387)

1. Elliott wave count

Because Elliott wave counting is subjective, I respect each person's wave counting method. In this topic, I present my wave counting method: I think we are in a correction wave that started in 2018 and lasts at least 7 years. The complexity of the correction makes it difficult to count the waves. For the time being, I consider this a multiple wave WXYXZ.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/fpB56bsL/)

2. Fibo retracement

a) In the 2012-cycle: wave III is an impulse wave so we have a peak at Fibo 2.618.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/0xRr5Zb6/)

b) In the 2016-cycle: wave V is an impulse wave so we have a peak at Fibo 2.618.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/HsZ6iyLv/)

c) In the 2020-cycle: wave X1 is a corrective wave so we have a peak at only Fibo 1.618.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/LwxJPDDF/)

d) In the 2024-cycle: wave X2 is a corrective wave so we may have a peak at Fibo 1,618 ~ $160K.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/rINVhPmy/)

So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $160K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😊
$160k is big amount but it is not impossible i think. Cryptocurrency market is always unpredictable, so any time anything could be happen i think. 2021 and 2025 fully different Because now huge good news we are seeing. Some days ago bitcoin ETC happen and after some days bitcoin halving will happen so Bitcoin price will increase regularly there has no doubt. So i think in 2025 bitcoin price will will hit $160k in this time i strongly believe it.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 03, 2024, 09:19:03 PM
Predictions are not essentially true all the time but when we see the past history then there is a possibility that bitcoin will show the same pattern as it has shown in the past but there will be change in the actual price of bitcoin at the timing of halving.
Yeah, the most interesting part of predicting is finding a narrative that can present the history of BTC's fluctuations in a clear, logical, and understandable way. My narrative talks about Elliott and Fibo for BTC, I hope that this narrative is reasonable and reliable to predict BTC's price fluctuations in the upcoming cycle.

Many of my predictions never came true, the market is more interesting than we might think. At least we have a scenario to monitor and come back to test in the future, once BTC's ATH will be actually determined after 2025.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: UNIVERSE on March 14, 2024, 11:51:39 PM
Many of my predictions never came true, the market is more interesting than we might think. At least we have a scenario to monitor and come back to test in the future, once BTC's ATH will be actually determined after 2025.
Yes, because sometimes there are several external factors that can influence market movements very significantly. Hopefully there is no big FUD which is likely to shake Bitcoin prices very quickly. So, this time, BTC could actually surpass $100k. Because that's the rate we often talked about and expected to be there last season.

BTC price movements are sometimes quite influenced by other factors, which may also make any increase or decrease in price very significant. Oh, anyway, if BTC can rise to $100k much faster, does that mean that the Bullish era will really be successful this year or even next year?
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 15, 2024, 09:21:01 PM
Yes, because sometimes there are several external factors that can influence market movements very significantly. Hopefully there is no big FUD which is likely to shake Bitcoin prices very quickly. So, this time, BTC could actually surpass $100k. Because that's the rate we often talked about and expected to be there last season.

BTC price movements are sometimes quite influenced by other factors, which may also make any increase or decrease in price very significant. Oh, anyway, if BTC can rise to $100k much faster, does that mean that the Bullish era will really be successful this year or even next year?
Experience tells me that the market is more vibrant than we think and there is still a lot to learn, prediction is just an entertainment for the market because the market has its own behavior  8)

Although there is no clear basis, I expect the ATH in 2025 to be $150K-170K. Some extreme factors can affect the timing of the ATH, but I expect it to come in 2025 and we will have a long enough altseason for the market to reach a total cap of ~ $10B.

For me, when BTC creates ATH above $69K, the bullrun can be confirmed. Perhaps the bullrun has been going on since the beginning of 2023 and helped BTC price +350%  ;D
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Jamal Aezaz on March 16, 2024, 08:57:27 AM
Always good to read many predictions about will rise to $100-160K. Several investors predict bitcoin will touch more 100K USD , I think I'm agree. Current bitcoin price is $ 48K, It's before halving. Meanwhile bitcoin will have bullish at 2025 maybe at mid 2025. It's long time, So I think bitcoin price will soar. $150K is reasonable.

May be it touch the value of 100k$ but it will takes time because after reaching to 73k$ bitcoin again decreases to 66k$ so i think achieving 100k$ of worth is not an easy achievement. The bullish trend is in 2024 because of halving but the duration of existence is unknown.

Bitcoin will reach to 150k$ but when nobody sell their bitcoin due to panic, market correction and also due to little increase after halving so there is a chance that bitcoin will reach to 150k$. Once people start to sell their bitcoin after it touching the value of 80k$ then hardly it will attain 100k$ because rise or dip always follow the demands.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 16, 2024, 06:21:11 PM
May be it touch the value of 100k$ but it will takes time because after reaching to 73k$ bitcoin again decreases to 66k$ so i think achieving 100k$ of worth is not an easy achievement. The bullish trend is in 2024 because of halving but the duration of existence is unknown.

Bitcoin will reach to 150k$ but when nobody sell their bitcoin due to panic, market correction and also due to little increase after halving so there is a chance that bitcoin will reach to 150k$. Once people start to sell their bitcoin after it touching the value of 80k$ then hardly it will attain 100k$ because rise or dip always follow the demands.
The market is really complicated and it is difficult for us to specifically predict the behavior of investors under the manipulation pressure of Market makers. In my prediction, I only point out a price zone according to Fibo where the psychology of investors when following the price chart will be greatly affected, making them easy to make important decisions such as selling BTC and many other crypto assets, and at the same time creating a wave of sell-offs that will cause the price to fall and put the market into the next crypto winter.

However, the market is more complicated than we think. If BTC can quickly break through $160K, I will consider $160K to be a good support zone for BTC's uptrend in the bullrun.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: 36B on March 25, 2024, 04:45:07 PM
$160k is big amount but it is not impossible i think. Cryptocurrency market is always unpredictable, so any time anything could be happen i think. 2021 and 2025 fully different Because now huge good news we are seeing. Some days ago bitcoin ETC happen and after some days bitcoin halving will happen so Bitcoin price will increase regularly there has no doubt. So i think in 2025 bitcoin price will will hit $160k in this time i strongly believe it.
In cryptocurrency nothing is impossible, you have to look at bitcoin from 2009 until now, did anyone think that the price of bitcoin could reach this high? Of course there will never be, because many of them underestimate Bitcoin until in the end only a certain number of people still hold Bitcoin and become very rich. I totally agree bitcoin price will hit $160k soon.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: kulkhan on March 25, 2024, 04:54:28 PM
$160k is big amount but it is not impossible i think. Cryptocurrency market is always unpredictable, so any time anything could be happen i think. 2021 and 2025 fully different Because now huge good news we are seeing. Some days ago bitcoin ETC happen and after some days bitcoin halving will happen so Bitcoin price will increase regularly there has no doubt. So i think in 2025 bitcoin price will will hit $160k in this time i strongly believe it.
In cryptocurrency nothing is impossible, you have to look at bitcoin from 2009 until now, did anyone think that the price of bitcoin could reach this high? Of course there will never be, because many of them underestimate Bitcoin until in the end only a certain number of people still hold Bitcoin and become very rich. I totally agree bitcoin price will hit $160k soon.
Yes it is reality, We saw Bitcoin price came where to here. We know in 2010-2012 bitcoin price was near about $10 to something. But now Bitcoin price near about $70k. So $160k is not impossible. I am also agree with you.
And we know few months ago Bitcoin price was near about $20k. Now $70k, it has been increased 2.5x within 5-5 month. So it is possible to increase 2x from here.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Charles-Tim on March 26, 2024, 09:05:33 AM
Yes it is reality, We saw Bitcoin price came where to here. We know in 2010-2012 bitcoin price was near about $10 to something. But now Bitcoin price near about $70k. So $160k is not impossible. I am also agree with you.
And we know few months ago Bitcoin price was near about $20k. Now $70k, it has been increased 2.5x within 5-5 month. So it is possible to increase 2x from here.
Maybe bitcoin will surprise and rise more than expected. What we have been expecting is all-time-high to begin in 2024, followed by six figures and by 2025 that it is possible bitcoin may get to $170000. But with what is happening, I am starting to doubt my analyses that I had since bitcoin was $16000 to $17000 and think maybe bitcoin may increase higher than that. But let us see what will happen.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 26, 2024, 03:02:34 PM
Maybe bitcoin will surprise and rise more than expected. What we have been expecting is all-time-high to begin in 2024, followed by six figures and by 2025 that it is possible bitcoin may get to $170000. But with what is happening, I am starting to doubt my analyses that I had since bitcoin was $16000 to $17000 and think maybe bitcoin may increase higher than that. But let us see what will happen.
Yeah, I was also surprised by this: the BTC price increased too quickly and exceeded the expectations of even the most optimistic people. Most of us didn't dare to believe that BTC could create a new ATH before the halving, but this happened. I also expected a strong correction of BTC at $49K, but BTC only dropped to $39K and then continued to grow strongly in the past few months. At this time, there are 2 cases: BTC could increase to a price range of more than $170K in 2025, or BTC will end the bullrun early and the all-cycle peak will be created in 2024.

As a predictor, I hope that my prediction of a $160K peak will come true, but as an investor, I hope BTC can exceed $200K in 2025 ^^
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Captain Corporate on March 26, 2024, 06:31:46 PM
Reaching these levels should be fine and I do not think that there will be any trouble, what I am worried about these days is that people are just reacting to the price too quicky, they are acting like they are all leverage day traders, and that's not going to really work well for anyone. We need more investors, and long term ones as well. I do not mean this with just price, the actual action of investing vs trading might be doing fine, what I am really worried is the discussions. When you look at the discussions you will see that there are plenty of stuff that people are overlooking and just talking about daily trades they have.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Crypto Library on March 26, 2024, 07:11:42 PM
Yeah, I was also surprised by this: the BTC price increased too quickly and exceeded the expectations of even the most optimistic people. Most of us didn't dare to believe that BTC could create a new ATH before the halving, but this happened. I also expected a strong correction of BTC at $49K, but BTC only dropped to $39K and then continued to grow strongly in the past few months. At this time, there are 2 cases: BTC could increase to a price range of more than $170K in 2025, or BTC will end the bullrun early and the all-cycle peak will be created in 2024.

As a predictor, I hope that my prediction of a $160K peak will come true, but as an investor, I hope BTC can exceed $200K in 2025 ^^
You are not alone in this line that who are being surprised by Bitcoin it has moved faster and more quickly than I expected , You thought that Bitcoin would not cross its all-time high price before the halving, while I thought that Bitcoin would not cross its all-time high price before 2025.  And like everyone else I thought that before 2025 Bitcoin price would fluctuate from 37k to around 50k. Now I think Bitcoin can cross 80k before 2025 .
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: 1020kingz on March 27, 2024, 08:08:15 AM
Nice charting for the price of BTC. I personally agree with this measurement of the elliot wave. Of course the price will be not exactly on 160k but it will range on that because market will make a liquidty to make the price move and make healthy corrections. As of it's price many people will have their dream come true if they still hold BTC until that day, considering the chart analysis is based on monthly and weekly charts. It will take several years to take place. The question is, do still hold your BTC that much of a time?  ;)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: 1020kingz on March 27, 2024, 08:23:43 AM
Reaching these levels should be fine and I do not think that there will be any trouble, what I am worried about these days is that people are just reacting to the price too quicky, they are acting like they are all leverage day traders, and that's not going to really work well for anyone. We need more investors, and long term ones as well. I do not mean this with just price, the actual action of investing vs trading might be doing fine, what I am really worried is the discussions. When you look at the discussions you will see that there are plenty of stuff that people are overlooking and just talking about daily trades they have.

I suggest to don't mind or take it seriously the discussions you've seen on social media and other platforms, because some of them are full of hypes and mostly FUD on price predictions, if you do believe in it or fall for it, then it will be your loss. Take time to study and read aticles or price anlysis or how the market works like the OP did, it has a strong foundation of how the market will move according to the plan. Study and learn the market, because whatever you do the market is still there, whether you win or loose.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: WolfwOod on March 27, 2024, 05:19:25 PM
We all have our own predictions about BTC. The Elliott Wave is indeed a powerful strategy for price prediction, and I agree with your assessment. Personally, I also utilize Fibonacci, integrating deviation measurements into my analysis. Currently, I foresee a short-term correction followed by BTC rising to $100k. My prediction is that this will occur sometime within this year, in 2024. Chart analysis in Weekly Time frame
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 27, 2024, 07:59:16 PM
Nice charting for the price of BTC. I personally agree with this measurement of the elliot wave. Of course the price will be not exactly on 160k but it will range on that because market will make a liquidty to make the price move and make healthy corrections. As of it's price many people will have their dream come true if they still hold BTC until that day, considering the chart analysis is based on monthly and weekly charts. It will take several years to take place. The question is, do still hold your BTC that much of a time?  ;)
My Elliott wave count suggests that BTC is in a corrective wave, and it is very difficult to predict the amplitude of these X waves, so I use Fibo. Everything is just my personal opinion, I hope I am lucky enough to be able to predict accurately the full cycle top of BTC will be at ~$160K.

I don't have much BTC, but I will hold them until BTC reaches $160K, or the market has clear signals of a reversal of BTC price from bullish to bearish. I expect the predictions but always be ready for market volatility.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Jamal Aezaz on March 30, 2024, 06:50:01 PM
Always good to read many predictions about will rise to $100-160K. Several investors predict bitcoin will touch more 100K USD , I think I'm agree. Current bitcoin price is $ 48K, It's before halving. Meanwhile bitcoin will have bullish at 2025 maybe at mid 2025. It's long time, So I think bitcoin price will soar. $150K is reasonable.
Current price is 70k$ which is increased value than 48k$ but 160k$ is not possible to happen in current year as still we are far from 100k$ and as people are predicting prices so prediction is Easy but reaching to that price in reality is difficult.

Prior to the halving bitcoin crossed the previous ATH by creating new ATH of 73k$ but again bitcoin is facing dump which is due to correction or due to the reason that many people have sold their bitcoin at 73k$.

Timing of reaching to the worth of 100k$ to 160k$ totally Concerned with the effects of halving and after effects of halving due to which many will sell their bitcoin and price will alter again.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: bayu7adi on March 30, 2024, 07:09:08 PM
Current price is 70k$ which is increased value than 48k$ but 160k$ is not possible to happen in current year as still we are far from 100k$ and as people are predicting prices so prediction is Easy but reaching to that price in reality is difficult.

Prior to the halving bitcoin crossed the previous ATH by creating new ATH of 73k$ but again bitcoin is facing dump which is due to correction or due to the reason that many people have sold their bitcoin at 73k$.

Timing of reaching to the worth of 100k$ to 160k$ totally Concerned with the effects of halving and after effects of halving due to which many will sell their bitcoin and price will alter again.
but that's what bitcoin is like, where miracles can happen in a short time. Maybe you didn't realize that in the previous cycle even reaching $69k seemed impossible before the 2020 halving occurred. However, it turned out that the bullrun lasted for so long and caused a new ATH price to be created.

For this year's halving moment, I think we can still look forward to this miracle, because of that, I think there are still many who are holding and even buying more at this time. ...

$150k is still unlikely right now, but when prices start to rise and MicroStrategy doesn't sell its BTC at this time, it could happen.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 30, 2024, 09:08:20 PM
but that's what bitcoin is like, where miracles can happen in a short time. Maybe you didn't realize that in the previous cycle even reaching $69k seemed impossible before the 2020 halving occurred. However, it turned out that the bullrun lasted for so long and caused a new ATH price to be created.

For this year's halving moment, I think we can still look forward to this miracle, because of that, I think there are still many who are holding and even buying more at this time. ...

$150k is still unlikely right now, but when prices start to rise and MicroStrategy doesn't sell its BTC at this time, it could happen.
Wow, I'm even worried that $160K is too low of an expectation for BTC in this bullrun because BTC has created a new ATH before the halving and the upward momentum is extremely strong ^^

Halving is just the beginning of the bullrun, it could be a good time for many holders to sell to take profits but the uptrend of BTC price will not be affected. I don't think we need to worry too much about this, BTC will soon give us the answer this year and next year  8)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Kemarit on March 30, 2024, 09:15:15 PM
but that's what bitcoin is like, where miracles can happen in a short time. Maybe you didn't realize that in the previous cycle even reaching $69k seemed impossible before the 2020 halving occurred. However, it turned out that the bullrun lasted for so long and caused a new ATH price to be created.

For this year's halving moment, I think we can still look forward to this miracle, because of that, I think there are still many who are holding and even buying more at this time. ...

$150k is still unlikely right now, but when prices start to rise and MicroStrategy doesn't sell its BTC at this time, it could happen.
Wow, I'm even worried that $160K is too low of an expectation for BTC in this bullrun because BTC has created a new ATH before the halving and the upward momentum is extremely strong ^^

Depends on who you asked, of course, we want to see higher price than that so that we can get a good ROI. Nevertheless, $160,000 is already a great prediction and who knows, maybe we can achieved that in this bull run as this could be massive.

Halving is just the beginning of the bullrun, it could be a good time for many holders to sell to take profits but the uptrend of BTC price will not be affected. I don't think we need to worry too much about this, BTC will soon give us the answer this year and next year  8)

Or Halvening is the catalyst for a bull run. It's been proven already that every 4 years we will see new all time high. But the only difference right now is that we have achieved new all time high before the halving itself. Time for accumulation is the bear market as the price is really cheap specially if you invested when FTX collapsed, pushing the price to just $15,500.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: Captain Corporate on March 30, 2024, 10:59:45 PM
Seriously, I keep saying that it's possible and it makes me sad to see all this many people who doubt it. Guys, trust Bitcoin and trust that it will do fine, there is really nothing that will make it any tough for anyone, its something that we could just see without checking anything, it's very normal and should not be all that complicated for anyone. Yes, I get that it's not going to be easy right away, but it's not going to be impossible either. Let alone impossible, it's literally very likely for us to see something like this, there is no reason why it can't be 160k and I bet that (literally, have my money in BTC) it will get there.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 31, 2024, 09:13:56 PM
Depends on who you asked, of course, we want to see higher price than that so that we can get a good ROI. Nevertheless, $160,000 is already a great prediction and who knows, maybe we can achieved that in this bull run as this could be massive.

Or Halvening is the catalyst for a bull run. It's been proven already that every 4 years we will see new all time high. But the only difference right now is that we have achieved new all time high before the halving itself. Time for accumulation is the bear market as the price is really cheap specially if you invested when FTX collapsed, pushing the price to just $15,500.
I was also confused when BTC created a new ATH before the halving, but I see it as a good sign for a stronger bullrun, rather than a bad sign that the market is changing its behavior and will no longer maintain the 4-year cycle as it has for over a decade.

In the meantime, based on my analysis, I think $160K is still a price zone worth watching carefully in this cycle as it could be where the BTC price trend will change, despite the positive impact from the BTC Spot ETF.