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Messages - Alcor

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16
In the short to medium term, Ethereum price movement will depend on whether Bitcoin spot ETFs are approved, which is expected on January 10th. But even in this case, there are different opinions about the future price of Bitcoin, and therefore the altcoin market that will follow it.
However, overall, 2024 will definitely be bullish, given the expectation of the Bitcoin halving in April.

17
Well, in 2023 the crypto market has picked up a lot. Bitcoin has risen in price to $45,000, and altcoins are also starting to rise. In three months, in April, we expect the next Bitcoin halving. This leaves a positive imprint on the current movement of the cryptocurrency market. In the second half of 2024, Bitcoin should grow to about one hundred thousand dollars.

18
Almost two years have passed since Russia has been attacking Ukraine with all military and non-military means. Over the last five days of the New Year holidays, Russia fired several hundred cruise and ballistic missiles, as well as attack drones, into Ukraine, which it had been specially saving for several months in order to wish the Ukrainians a Happy New Year. Moreover, most of them fell on residential buildings, hospitals and energy infrastructure. This is fully consistent with the chosen position of the terrorist state.

But Russia is also facing growing problems due to the protracted war. Foreign commercial structures, people and capital are leaving Russia en masse. International sanctions are gradually doing their job. But contrary to general opinion, we have not yet seen cryptocurrency being used in Russia to circumvent sanctions. True, the Kremlin will not make this public, even if it uses cryptocurrency for international trade. But the desire of the Kremlin alone is not enough here. It is necessary that the trading partner also agrees to accept or pay with cryptocurrency. And this seems to be a big problem.

19
There is no need to worry about digitalization in Russia because President Putin has already made a law for this matter, and this, of course, provides its own reinforcement, even though there are restrictions that are, of course, regulated too. They already know well about crypto, and there are quite a lot of enthusiasts and users of it in one of the largest user countries. Of course, this gives confidence that there are no problems related to crypto. You are right that there will be no crypto ban in Russia because they really enjoy it, and many investors from there are growing because of the role of crypto. [/size]I think there will be no prohibition, and even if there is, it will only be restrictions so that there are no abuses that the state might fear, and that is legal and can be done by any country.
You do not take into account the fact that Russia has been waging war against Ukraine for almost two years. Moreover, she is bogged down in this war and hopes for its quick and positive end for Russia are fading every day. As a result of international sanctions and catastrophic war costs, its economy is rapidly declining and far-sighted Russians are trying to take out their capital even before the expected catastrophe. Under these conditions, the Kremlin will try to prevent this and the ban on the use of cryptocurrency will be one of the mechanisms to prevent the flight of capital from the country.

20
The terrorist war launched by Russia against Ukraine has no significant and direct impact on cryptocurrency.

I was watching the market, and I assumed that the economic destabilization on a global scale, which became the cause of economic terrorism of russia in some markets (primarily - oil and gas market), could provoke the withdrawal of funds to "safe havens" such as gold and, I assumed, cryptocurrencies. But as practice has shown, the world economy, this time and in this situation, did not consider cryptocurrencies as the "safe haven" to wait out the "economic storm on the planet".
The transfer of funds from national money and, above all, from rubles to cryptocurrency, may now be happening, but not at the level of states, but at the level of Russian citizens. But in Russia itself it is unlikely that such statistics will be published. Everything that does not contribute to the propaganda of war and the far-fetched stabilization and development of the economy is prohibited or hidden there. But such a process must take place, if only because many Russian citizens are leaving their country and exporting their capital. And the best way to do this is in cryptocurrency.

21
It will have a strong impact on the purchase of all cryptocurrencies on the market because countries in conflict definitely need tools to defend and attack, such as guns, cannons and various weapons of war.
If an invasion or coup occurs, etc., commodity prices from various sectors could increase due to high demand for war supplies.
Cryptocurrency is a decentralized financial sector and does not have restrictive regulations (it is not centralized).
Perhaps at the beginning of the invasion, there was a fear that there would be an embargo, so it would clearly have a strong impact on purchasing crypto currency in anticipation that if it was needed later, it could be used to purchase all kinds of commodities that did not require local money because of the embargo. So you are right that crypto is not centralized and easy to use if there are problems with transactions with local currency, but that was the beginning of the invasion. It seems that now the Russian invasion of Ukraine has anticipated this and there will be no problems, so the impact of the current invasion This is no longer felt in crypto.In principle, every time there is a conflict in a country where an embargo occurs, the solution is that the use of crypto will increase to anticipate problems that might occur.
So far we see that Russia as a state does not use cryptocurrency in its trading operations on the international market. Due to sanctions imposed on it for waging an aggressive war in Ukraine, it is deprived of the opportunity to use the dollar, euro and other currencies that are widely used in the international market. The state does not want to take the Russian ruble, so Russia, while supplying its products, tried to take it with national money, such as the Chinese yuan and the Indian rupee. But big problems arose with this, since not in all cases the Chinese yuan is accepted by other states, and the rupee in large quantities has become impossible to withdraw from India. But even after such problems, Russia did not switch to payments in cryptocurrency, because this requires the consent of the trading partner country.

22
As Bitcoin is a fully decentralized currency, no matter how many government and central bank restrictions are imposed for now, there will be no negative impact on Bitcoin. Because the control system of Bitcoin is not solely with the government and central bank. However, when any government and central bank bans on Bitcoin may temporarily affect the Bitcoin market, Bitcoin investors are not at all worried about government bans. Recently, the Indian government and parliament have imposed a ban on all types of central exchanges, which has not had any impact on the Bitcoin market.
Not everything is as good as we want it to be. States and their governments, with their common decisions, may well put cryptocurrency on the brink of survival and force it to go illegal, which will collapse the price of cryptocurrency to almost zero. If there is a corresponding decision, say, from the G20 countries, states will close exchanges and exchangers, this will end very badly for cryptocurrency. It’s just that states have not yet finally decided on the future of cryptocurrency and we hope that they will only loyally regulate it and not ban it.

24
Bitcoin Forum / Re: Don't buy bitcoin only because of FOMO
« on: December 30, 2023, 07:14:15 PM »
I think most of the people who bought Bitcoin when it was falling in value couldn't keep their savings. In fact, very few people have an accurate idea of when a bull market will occur. But those who have been patient after investing in bitcoins have benefited a lot at the end of the day. So my personal opinion is that holding bitcoins has the potential to be profitable in the future. But most people cannot survive for this. It is not possible for everyone to be patient for a long time.
The next Bitcoin halving is expected in April next year, which is just over three months. It is recommended to buy Bitcoin about six months before this event. By the end of 2024, it should rise significantly in price and surpass its previous price record. Therefore, now it is quite possible to buy until its price rises significantly. But I think that before the halving there will still be a significant price correction. Then you can buy it much cheaper than today's price. But this is everyone's choice.

25
Bitcoin Forum / Re: Bitcoin Halving 2024: Predicting the Price.
« on: December 29, 2023, 06:58:07 PM »
We have seen the price of Bitcoin in 2021 at 69 thousand. That was the highest price increase in Bitcoin history. In between, the price of bitcoins gradually decreased to 15,000. From the current bullishness of the market we can say with certainty that the price of Bitcoin will turn into a bull market next year as the Bitcoin halving awaits. Then the value of Bitcoin will exceed 1 lakh dollars.
With each subsequent halving, the price of Bitcoin significantly increases its previous price record for approximately eight months after this event. Since it was previously priced at approximately $69,000, this time I expect the price to be around one hundred thousand dollars. Many people are talking about one million dollars, but it is unlikely to be achievable next year. That goal may not even be this decade, if Bitcoin is ever able to reach that price.

26
Bitcoin Forum / Re: wanna invest in Bitcoin, the best time is now
« on: December 29, 2023, 06:48:40 PM »
Since Bitcoin halving will happen next year, I think this year is going to be the best time to invest in bitcoin. We have seen bitcoin slowly grow over the past few months. And a pretty good bullish market is catching up. So I think you should invest in Bitcoin now before the whole bullish market takes hold.
I'm still waiting for the market correction to make appropriate purchases. Before a period of prolonged growth, there must be a price correction and this will be a good time to buy. At the same time, I like Ethereum more and invest more in it. Moreover, according to forecasts, this coin may in the near future surpass Bitcoin in terms of capitalization.

27

too bad for Doge holders.

but i doubt this one because he had been playing with money all his life and he likes technology. he is even the first to have adopted BTC like accepting it even before the rest of the world had tried adopting BTC.

i doubt he had not accumulated more BTC in the past which i guess he must be thinking he had enough and promoting it more this time he will create more enemies including the Biden administration.
His statements about his attitude towards cryptocurrency are quite logical. He just treats cryptocurrency as a hobby, playfully. He likes to intrigue the masses and manipulate them. Therefore, thinking that he accumulated bitcoins or other cryptocurrencies seems frivolous. He earns millions and billions on something completely different, and he hardly seeks to make money on cryptocurrency.

28
Cryptocurrency discussions / Re: Coinbase blocks 25,000 Russian addresses
« on: December 28, 2023, 01:38:54 PM »
If desired, it is easy to do. It is a pity that politics breaks into the cryptocurrency space as well.
Cryptocurrency cannot exist in states and not be influenced by the state and its policies. Otherwise, cryptocurrency would be immediately banned. This is especially true for finances. Money has always been in the exclusive sphere of influence of each state. Therefore, it is not surprising that cryptocurrency exchanges and other structures related to cryptocurrency invariably fall under the influence of authorized government bodies. This is not to say that this is completely bad for cryptocurrency.

I do not agree that cryptocurrencies are prohibited in countries. But they could be so by not being something controlled by the governments of those states, the interests of a powerful few over the masses, so as not to lose their status. With FIAT it is different, because they are the ones who control it and can do whatever they want, but cryptocurrencies have no owner or issuer, and that's what scares them the most.
The fact is that the form of social structure on our planet is states, and it is states that determine what can be money and what will be the conditions for its circulation. The opinion of individuals or groups is not decisive in this regard until they have the opportunity to legally influence political processes in the country.
Cryptocurrency cannot exist in a society and be free from the general laws of this society. Therefore, if we want cryptocurrency to develop, we need to have more supporters in the legislative bodies of each state.

29
Cryptocurrency discussions / Re: Can dollar be replaced?
« on: December 28, 2023, 01:25:48 PM »
There was a claim that China want their currency which is yuan to replace the US dollar as the worlds global currency. That would give it more control over its economy. sometimes I just be wondering how this countries always push their own currency in the forefront ahead of other country, regarding to what China is saying about their yuan currency in trying to make it gain more value than US dollar. Base on your own opinion can that be possible?
The yuan can compete with the dollar, but replacement in the global monetary system requires economic stability, open markets and international agreements, which will take time.
This is a complex process, as the dollar has long-term stability and global trust. The implementation of such changes requires broad support from the global community. But still, everything is possible, nothing lasts forever, not even currency.
This issue is even more political than financial. Replacing the dollar with the yuan or another currency as a global reserve currency is only possible if the United States ceases to be a superpower and actively influence global political processes. Yes, China, Russia, Iran and some other states that have fallen under international sanctions or may fall under them are interested in weakening the dollar and strengthening their currency. But so far these efforts have not led to anything serious. The dollar is not threatened in this regard yet.

30
It is click_me news, and most of it is without logical analysis or previous study and aims to collect more views and profits from advertisements than being real news. Bitcoin is not directly affected by politics, and none of the political leaders have expressed a real intention to change the situation related to Bitcoin, so nothing new will happen. Also, the legislation of laws passes through Congress and not just by the US President, and therefore it is bigger than just a change in the presidency if we assume that it may affect On the price.
Still, the views of the country’s top officials, especially such as the president, are very important for the development of the cryptocurrency market. Politicians, by passing relevant laws, have the opportunity to directly influence the circulation of cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrency has so far received little attention from politicians. But such a time will come anyway.
I hope that Trump will not become President of the United States again because of his negative attitude towards supporting Ukraine in defense against Russian military aggression.

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