Study Finds Google Search can Forecast Bitcoin Price Rises

[Goodcat49]

A recently published study by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) alludes that crypto markets vary based on the type of attention they get - which is not the case with traditional financial markets.

Differently with other traditional financial assets, Cryptos don't behave or react to the same platform of market factors as traditional financial instruments but instead, they vary more closely with "Crypto specific factor," as per the non-profit's report.   

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Among factors include, investor attention and market momentum, which is also depicted as the "time-series crypto momentum at the daily and weekly frequencies."

Aleh Tsyvinski and Yukun Liu, authors of the paper, from Yale University, allude that contrary to public stance, "the markets do not see Cryptos similarly to standard asset classes."

With the help of price data series over multi-year time frames, the paper properly compared actual returns to the projected returns using a standard finance pricing model called CAPM.

Liu and Tsyvinski further compared Crypto returns with traditional currencies like Euro, metals such as gold, and macroeconomic factors like consumption growth.

All these lead to findings that are statistically insignificant, alluding to a heavy narrative in other proxies, which Tsyvinski and Liu take as the main measure of returns a day or a week prior.

Importantly, the Crypto price rise across 1, 3, 5 or 6 days could be predicted by a single every day return, while a return for a week could signal a 1, 2, 3 or 4-week crypto market movement.

Read the details in the article of Coinidol dot com, the world blockchain news outlet: https://coinidol.com/study-finds-google-search-can-forecast-bitcoin-price-rises/