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Messages - MrSpasybo

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1
I've worked in the Risk department of a CEX, and all transactions were analyzed by an AML/CTF algo. On the other hand, it's a set of factors more than the transaction itself that can lead to the transaction being frozen. Each user has a Risk Score based on the frequency of deposits/withdrawals, the amounts, the origin of deposits, their country of residence, and the SoF questionnaire they filled in on registration (income, expected volumes on the platform, etc.). Clearly, coins with a history with a casino or mixer aren't a problem if they're the user's only red flag, but if other flags are present, they'll use this as a pretext to justify asking for the origin of the funds.
Thank you for the very useful information. I had no idea how CEXs analyze and make decisions on user accounts. In the past, Binance has also frozen user BTC related to CoinJoin, so I am quite worried.

I hope that the silly proposal related to crypto Mixers will not be passed and users will have one less worry about Mixers.


2
Litecoin Forum / Re: LTC Vs ADA coin.
« on: Today at 01:33:36 AM »
I also invest in both, litecoin and ADA. But honestly I prioritize Cardano ADA over Litecoin. Everyone definitely has their own considerations and analysis, and I also agree with you that we should have both because these coins have the potential to be held until next year.
I also used to love and invest in LTC in the bullrun 2021, but LTC did not bring me significant profits. Litecoin currently does not have any major updates either, its ecosystem is quite boring and not as strongly developed as the Cardano ecosystem. Therefore, LTC has not been in my investment portfolio this bullrun, while ADA continues to be a safe choice thanks to new projects, new proposals and new growth potential. I hope the ADA token will once again create a strong price increase and attract the attention of the entire crypto market and soon return to the top 5 on Coinmarketcap.

3
So what am saying is this, we should focus more on building more knowledge about this crypto space. Like for instance we have pro and experienced traders here that can direct those who are interested in knowing about how trading work. And we also have  users here who are really good when it comes to securing of wallet and fixing of any technical issues, and some that can guide us when it comes to investing etc .
There are many members who have been active on AltcoinsTalks for many years now, even during the crypto winter and there are absolutely no bounty campaigns on the forum. Discussing the issues in the crypto market is also really interesting and necessary for our investment journey. Of course, everything will be better for AltcoinsTalks when bounty campaigns motivate members to be more active and create more interesting and useful content.

I believe that many of the views and knowledge shared on AltcoinsTalks are unique and will be valuable to someone in the present and in the future. To be honest, many times I have felt sorry for only reading useful shares after I lost money investing in a token, I wish I had the capital management and psychology experience like that before investing.

4
Yes, I used a demo account when I first learned to trade, and before I didn't know Binance and other exchanges, one of my friends asked me to trade on one of the platforms, but it was very difficult to trade on that platform, after I got to know crypto and the first market I knew. I know Indodax (local) for global Yobits if I'm not mistaken
I think most traders have used a Demo account when they first enter the financial market because everything is quite complicated for newbies and they are all afraid that a mistake could make account/balance disappear, or they were in a hurry to understand more about technical analysis methods that they have just heard from KOLs ^^

Currently, all CEXs have Demo accounts, even projects/companies in the crypto market also provide this service to users. It is easy to create a simple portfolio to track the real portfolio or Demo portfolio on Tradingview, Coinmarketcap, Coingecko... Perhaps crypto traders no longer need to create manual trading journals on notebooks or Excel like many years ago!

5
That's right, a scarcity of BNB will occur when the longer they burn BNB, the more difficult it will be to get BNB, ultimately making the price very expensive. For now, BNB may still have quite a lot of supply, but in the next 20 years, BNB will probably be very expensive. difficult to obtain and expensive.
In fact, as the price of BNB increases, Binance will buy back and burn less BNB, which means that the burn rate will also slow down and we will not see the total supply of BNB reach 50% anytime soon. At the same time, I think that 100M BNB is also enough to meet the usage needs of users in the BNB chain and opBNB ecosystem. Burning tokens can indeed increase the scarcity of BNB, but I think it has a stronger impact on the price in terms of marketing.

It would be too early to say whether BNB can reach a price of tens of thousands of $ in the future. I am only waiting for BNB to set a new ATH in this bullrun and possibly conquer the $1K price range in 2025.

6
Nice to hear that Hong Kong can now buy and sell crypto there, can it be used as a payment method or is it just an investment? but we all know that Hong Kong is a tourist destination, maybe there we can use crypto as a payment method.
As I understand it, crypto is currently only considered an asset and investment in Hongkong. Since Hongkong is ultimately governed by China, it is unlikely that crypto will become a legal tender in the near future. While BTC and ETH spot ETFs have been approved and have begun to attract inflows from traditional investors, the uptake has not been particularly impressive. Nevertheless, these represent the initial steps in experimenting with crypto, and I hope that Hongkong's success will encourage China to seriously consider the potential of crypto for the economy,  hence the crypto market has the opportunity to once again receive a huge inflow of capital from Chinese investors.

7
$150k indeed would really be something realistic or something that achievable for this upcoming bull run. Somehow its not really that shocking that people would really be expecting more
but it would be better that you should be keeping low with your expectations so that you wont really be ending up on having that kind of frustration on the time that the price wont really be able to hit up those numbers. There are really just those people who are really that too positive when it comes to price predictions on which they do expect that much just like into those previous
bull runes. Well its not bad but for this time it would be better to keep or expect something low.
I believe that $150K is a reasonable expectation. It would be great if BTC could conquer higher price levels, but I would start taking profits when BTC reaches $150K-170K in this bullrun.

Based on historical precedent, I think BTC will not be able to break through $260K in this bullrun, so I only dare to set my expectations for the $160K zone. This could be the price zone where investor sentiment becomes volatile and they start to consider taking profits, creating a fairly wide distribution zone before the market enters crypto winter.


8
Chúng ta cứ chờ đợi xem sao, EU cũng là cộng đồng kinh tế lớn, không thể vì sự kêu gọi của Đức mà vội vàng và mạo hiểm với CBDC. CBDC không phải là giải pháp thực sự tốt trên mọi mặt, nếu vậy thì nó đã được áp dụng từ lâu thay vì phải được đánh giá thận trọng trong suốt nhiều năm qua. Em thấy EU cũng đang chờ đợi những đánh giá rõ ràng và đầy đủ trước khi ra quyết định, có thể sự thử nghiệm ở vài quốc gia khác đã thất bại hoặc không có giá trị tích cực đủ thuyết phục nên họ cũng chưa dám áp dụng. Điều tương tự cũng đang diễn ra ở Mỹ: CBDC là thứ được đề xuất nhưng lại bị thù ghét bởi cả cộng đồng crypto và người dùng phổ thông.
Chúng ta còn chưa biết MiCA sẽ có tác động như thế nào và sẽ được tiếp tục áp dụng và chấp nhận ở EU trong tương lai hay không, hiện tại không phải là thời điểm phù hợp để nói về CBDC vì vấn đề quản lý vẫn chưa được xem xét kỹ lưỡng. Nếu CBDC được triển khai, các ngân hàng thương mại có thể sẽ mất khách hàng, nền kinh tế sẽ có vấn đề liên quan đến luân chuyển dòng tiền và đi vào khủng hoảng tài chính.

Sẽ tốt hơn nếu những quy định tổng quát về crypto được thử nghiệm trong chu trình này và những bước tiến lớn hơn xa hơn sẽ được triển khai trong chu trình tới, ví dụ như CBDC hoặc token hóa những tài sản có giá trị lớn.

9
Memecoin cứ được tạo ra, những bơm thổi cứ được tiến hành thì cũng là điều tốt cho thị trường về mặt vốn hóa mà bác, còn ai được lời ai thua lỗ thì do năng lực đầu tư của họ quyết định. Em thấy làn sóng memecoin bây giờ tồn tại liên tục chứ không chỉ là trend ngắn hạn nữa, đủ để giúp cho thị trường sôi động và có câu chuyện để nhà đầu tư ở lại, không dời đi như nhiều giai đoạn trước. Những câu chuyện về người nào đó giàu có nhanh chóng nhờ 1 memecoin thực sự vẫn thu hút được lượt đọc, lượt chia sẻ và kích thích nhu cầu đầu tư vào thị trường này.
Thị trường tự do nên ai cũng có thể tạo ra dự án vui vẻ của riêng mình, nhất là memecoins chẳng cần có công nghệ hay giải pháp nào đặc biệt, chỉ cần vui vẻ, thú vị và được thao túng tốt trên đường giá là đủ để nhà đầu tư đến tìm kiếm cơ hội. Nhu cầu của các hệ sinh thái đối với memecoins cũng lớn để thúc đẩy tương tác, đốt thêm nhiều native token, đồng thời thu hút nhà đầu tư và người dùng tìm đến trải nghiệm những tính năng tốt nhất của họ.

Mình thực sự nghĩ chúng ta nên cẩn trọng với memecoins dù luôn công nhận những giá trị mà memecoins đang mang đến cho thị trường. Vốn nên được đầu tư vào top coins uy tín trong thị trường để đảm bảo an toàn và lợi nhuận chứ không nên may rủi cờ bạc với memecoins.

10
Trong bối cảnh token hóa tài sản thế giới thực (RWA) đang đạt được lực kéo, đồng sáng lập Tether đã nhận định rằng việc token hóa các loại tiền tệ fiat như đồng đô la Mỹ là bước đột phá công nghệ vĩ đại nhất kể từ khi tiền fiat ra đời và nó sẽ kích hoạt các cơ chế mới trong nền tài chính toàn cầu trong những năm tới.
Bên cạnh AI, RWA được xem là 1 trong những trend lớn nhất của chu trình này vì có sự tham gia của những quỹ lớn như BlackRock và những công ty khác. Nếu hàng chục tỷ $ tài sản được token hóa, nhu cầu sử dụng những nền tảng RWA sẽ tăng lên, tạo ra một làn sóng đầu tư vào những giao thức RWA và đẩy giá của chúng tăng mạnh mẽ như những gì mà ChatGPT đã tạo ra cho những token AI. Token hóa tài sản đã là câu chuyện mà chúng ta nói đến từ nhiều năm trước nhưng chỉ được thực hiện với sự trưởng thành của NFT, oracle và những giải pháp mới thực sự hiệu quả cho mục đích này.

Mình hy vọng RWA và AI sẽ sớm bùng nổ để đưa toàn bộ thị trường vào altseason lớn trong chu trình này, khi đó những trend khác cũng sẽ nhận được dòng tiền và luân phiên được bơm thổi cực cao.

11
Meme Coins / Re: Top MEME Coins For 2025
« on: May 12, 2024, 12:58:22 AM »
What looks surprising, that OP tried to add latest popular meme coins, but ignored dogecoin or shiba inu. I think that dogecoin has more chances to gain than any of the mentioned in voting meme coin. During all those years, despite everything that happens to the market, dogecoin still manage to gain. The year 2025 is still far away, but old meme coins will not be in trend. For example in US, president election will happen in November and today market is pumping Trump related meme coins. Find out what is going to happen in 2025 and related to that meme coins will be pumped.
Yeah, I also want to vote for DOGE because I believe that DOGE will still be the memecoin with the largest marketcap in the memecoin trend. DOGE has also just been accepted by Tesla, and there is a great chance that it will be accepted by X-payment, we should not forget this famous memecoin! Creating memecoins has become extremely easy in many ecosystems, so we can see many memecoins related to elections or something crazy and fun in the bullrun. Their prices can increase x100, but I don't think their marketcap can exceed DOGE marketcap.

For now, my attention and capital is not on memecoins, I will only start thinking about them in the bullrun and only invest in the top memecoins which are DOGE, SHIB and PEPE, the other memecoins are too risky and not attractive enough for me.

12
Fees on BSC is still relatively low but you'll feel it when you constantly move assets. From my experience, transferring NFTs from gaming became costly when I have to move them through the games marketplace. I had to spend at least $10 daily on transaction fees alone. With opBNB, a $1 seems a lot already.
opBNB is a Layer-2 solution for the BNB chain that aims to achieve 4K tps speeds. However, Layer-2 solutions on the BNB chain have not really attracted much attention from users and investors. Perhaps transaction fees on the BNB chain are already low enough to satisfy users, meaning that the impact of opBNB's reduced transaction fees is not as significant as that of Layer-2 solutions on Ethereum. I myself have never used opBNB, and I only accumulate BNB and ARB for my investment portfolio.

In addition, the opBNB ecosystem has not really developed yet as it has not received the inflow of money and attention from Dapps. I hope that during this bullrun, opBNB can become an environment for NFTs & GameFi, and then compete with Arbitrum and Optimism in the Layer-2 trend.

13
Just to clarify, I only meant pure supply/demand market mechanisms, not the psychological effect (such as losing confidence etc).

Let's try to break it down:
So what would happen if such dump caused the price of shares to go below the price of bitcoin (ie. they would be traded below company's market value)? If the arbitrage could be applied, i.e. new shareholders could force the company to sell bitcoins - then all is clear. But if new shareholders could not make the decision to sell, then the only impact on BTC price would be that some potential BTC buyers would choose to buy cheaper company shares instead (so reducing demand for BTC and causing the price to drop).

I can't think of any other factors.
I think it is normal for Saylor to sell MSTR. The market is maintained by the buying and selling of assets, and Saylor is also an investor. He has the right to sell his shares when he needs to.

This decision could have a temporary negative impact on MSTR price and cause MSTR investors to worry that something negative is about to happen to the stock. However, this decision has no direct impact on BTC and the crypto market because MS has not sold any BTC.

In fact, we can believe that Saylor is selling MSTR to continue accumulating BTC himself, as Saylor is known as BTC diamond hands in the market. This could boost investor confidence and optimism in BTC, giving them more reasons to invest more in BTC, driving up BTC price.

14
Basic Questions about Cryptos / Re: Are Bitcoins a good investment?
« on: May 12, 2024, 12:00:13 AM »
Well said, booking profit and then waiting for the next entry point is the best way to make some profit, as sometimes most people buy BTC and hold it with a wish in mind that they will become rich if they will hold BTC for a long term. But that's now how things work, if you want to become rich you have to consider other factors too, like the time of entry, the amount you entered with, the time period you are holding for, etc., etc.

IMO it's a little hard to book profit and re-enter market again. Because to successfully pull this up, you have to be an experienced trader or holder, because there are plenty of factors that can cause us to lose our profit. For example when BTC was around $32k and my buying was around $28k I thought it will come back to $28k and I booked some profit at $32k and it never came down to that point and I still regret on that decision but not that much. Same thing happen when BTC was at $72k I thought to book the profit but I thought it will go further up and end up at $55k haha

Well, it means I still lack knowledge.
I think only short-term investors care too much about price fluctuations and temporary losses with BTC. For long-term investors, willing to hold BTC for 2 years or more, all they need to care about is the main trend of BTC: uptrend or downtrend, bullrun or bearsleep. BTC is a special asset in this market: BTC has continuously set new ATHs in the past cycles, meaning that as long as investors hold BTC long enough, they will make a profit. Therefore, we always hear that: have BTC in crypto portfolio to ensure safety and profit in the future. For me, this is still true, especially during the market recovery phase: BTC.D rising means that BTC's price performance is better than most ALTS in the market. So: don't throw BTC from our portfolio!

15
Someone gave their views on Bitcoin price movements after the halving via their social media account. He is a trading expert from my country and also actively provides signals for paid trading.

For all of you, is it patent to rely on the price change pattern of previous halvings?

We see that the BTC price graph is almost similar to the data from the BTC price graph during the previous halving. So, what makes you want to hold or add more accumulation? Are you guided by the charts alone or are there other things that you think have a big influence on Bitcoin?
I like this trading idea, and I also see the coincidence of this cycle with the cycle 2016: we have a strong and continuous recovery of BTC instead of a sharp drop right before the halving like the cycle 2020. I expect BTC to re-accumulate over the next few weeks, even until the end of Q3 this year, before growing sustainably and creating a bull run in Q4 2024-Q1 2025.

The only unusual thing is that the new ATH was made before the halving and makes me think about the possibility of an early end to this bull run. I used to expect the ATH of this whole cycle in 2025 but I would be ready to take profits if BTC hits $150K-170K in 2024.




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