The UFC Discussion and Prediction Topic

[electronicash]

(...)
I was shocked when I saw how low odds on Bo Nickal are to win against Cody Brundage, I would never put anything on his win, and I am considering taking a small bet against him.
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I was thinking of that too.
Generally speaking, I don't think it makes sense to bet on anything below x1.10 on an mma fight (or even boxing), doesn't matter how good the fighter is. We've seen some weird injuries out of nowhere (e.g. Aspinall, Fiziev, Rakic), plus, there are lucky punches, disqualifications etc, there are too many things that could go wrong for such low pay-out bets to be worth it.

Nickal is too strong healthy to have get that injuries but lucky punch i guess could maybe derail his win. but say he has a physical therapist like everyone in UFC. sure thing they don't need to be examined thru EEG or EKG test procedure.
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Nickal Bo by KO is 2.22 on Stake.com and  BO By Submission is 1.81
either of them will happen but not decision so you just have to speculate between the two which is highly likely to happen for this is the method with higher odds.

what is more interesting is Tsarukyan about to defeat Charles. they said whoever will win will have the chance to fight Islam again.

[pawel7777]

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what is more interesting is Tsarukyan about to defeat Charles. they said whoever will win will have the chance to fight Islam again.

It's either one of them or the winner of Gaethje Vs Holloway.
Islam will almost definitely be defending the title before that fight, in June. He called out Dustin Poirier, and Dustin allegedly agreed. Of course Islam will be a massive favourite, but this is MMA, so anything can happen.

As for Tsarukyan Vs Oliveira, I think Arman is a favorite but only a slight one. If Charles is still in his peak, he has what it takes to win, be it by KO or by submission.

[electronicash]

i read in the other thread from tokeweed, he posted one of his parlay[ b] Nickal, Weili and Gaethje[/b] the 3 will likely win to which he will also be creating another parlay to include Arman and Hill.  kind of a good practice to hedge his parlay with another parlay.    Holloway use to be the bad ass in the cage but this time he is in decline also.

i don't know why as early as Alex defense, there are already doubts about him against Hill. I think he can KO Hill in just a

[notblox1]

As for Tsarukyan Vs Oliveira, I think Arman is a favorite but only a slight one. If Charles is still in his peak, he has what it takes to win, be it by KO or by submission.

I would not write off Oliveira so easy, he is amazing fighter but I didnt watch Tsarukyan in many fights so maybe I cant judge correctly.
This should be one of the more interesting fights in this fight card, because it is going to be a clash of styles.
I am surprised that Prochazka vs Rakic fight is not promoted better by UFC.

[pawel7777]

I would not write off Oliveira so easy, he is amazing fighter but I didnt watch Tsarukyan in many fights so maybe I cant judge correctly.
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Tsarukyan trains a lot in a wrestling style similar to the Dagestani one, so probably could dominate Oliveira in grappling if he chooses to. But I think he prefers fighting in a stand-up, where he could get punished by Charles.
I don't think it's likely that Charles will submit Arman, although some fighters are predicting that to happen.
It should be a good one though.

[pawel7777]

OK, so tonight's the night of the long-awaited UFC 300 event. Here are all the cards as a reminder:
Main:


Prelims:


Early prelims:


We should see plenty of action tonight, especially given the increased $300k performance bonuses.

[notblox1]

Tsarukyan trains a lot in a wrestling style similar to the Dagestani one, so probably could dominate Oliveira in grappling if he chooses to. But I think he prefers fighting in a stand-up, where he could get punished by Charles.

From what I read about him he has more background in Muay Thai than in wrestling, and most of the fights he won was in stand up with KO or TKO punches or kicks.
Oliveira is better on ground and he won most of his fights with submission on the ground, but both of them have other set of skills.
There is a small reach advantage for Oliveira, but Tsarukyan is seven years younger and more hungry.

[Zed0X]

What a card, UFC lived up to expectations! So many highlights and so many things to talk about but my favorite moment is when Max telling Justin to trade blows in the middle of the octagon with just seconds remaining. That was a BMF moment right there because he could easily dance around until the time expires and wait for his name to be announced as the winner. Yet, he didn't care and took the risk to slug it out.

Biggest loser of the night is definitely Oliveira.

[pawel7777]

What a card, UFC lived up to expectations! So many highlights and so many things to talk about but my favorite moment is when Max telling Justin to trade blows in the middle of the octagon with just seconds remaining. That was a BMF moment right there because he could easily dance around until the time expires and wait for his name to be announced as the winner. Yet, he didn't care and took the risk to slug it out.

Max is an absolute savage. I'm not a big fan of the "BMF" belt concept, but if anyone deserves it, it's MAx Holloway, hands down. The ending of the fight was simply perfect. A cold KO literally a second before the end of the fight is not something you would see even in a movie.
I'm yet to check who received performance bonuses, but Max has to be one of them.

Here are the highlights of the fight for those who haven't seen it:

[Zed0X]

~
I'm yet to check who received performance bonuses, but Max has to be one of them.

Max and Jiri got the performance of the night bonuses.
Max vs Justin was the fight of the night.
All in all, Max got $600K in bonuses only.

Here are the highlights of the fight for those who haven't seen it:

Video must have been taken down or set to private.

Another badass moment that needs to be highlighted was Pereira gesturing to Herb Dean to move aside and not interrupt the fight. Seconds later, the fight was already over

[notblox1]

Alex Pereira proved to be a king of Light Heavyweight division after win against Jamahal Hill.
They way he did it was dominating in first round so there is no doubt who was a better fighter.
I think his next fight is going to be against Prochazka who won his fight against Rakic in the same fight card.

Max is an absolute savage.

Gaethje made a big mistake of entering in such exchange with Max.

[electronicash]

Alex Pereira proved to be a king of Light Heavyweight division after win against Jamahal Hill.
They way he did it was dominating in first round so there is no doubt who was a better fighter.
I think his next fight is going to be against Prochazka who won his fight against Rakic in the same fight card.

Max is an absolute savage.

Gaethje made a big mistake of entering in such exchange with Max.

he engaged in the middle i think because he knew by points he loses the fight. i think its an attempt for him to win the fight. gaethje i think lost all 4 rounds and that broken nose had affected his fight plan.

i rarely win a parlay but glad i didn't add the fights that i'm unsure like max vs gaethje. even hill vs alex is risky but i did add them anyway in my parlay. i didn't bet a big amount though.

[pawel7777]

Max and Jiri got the performance of the night bonuses.
Max vs Justin was the fight of the night.
All in all, Max got $600K in bonuses only.
(...)

Yeah, I've seen Dana's interview later. Well deserved for Max. Dana has also said that other fighters who performed well that night will also get some special bonuses.

Video must have been taken down or set to private.

It's still up in the UK. MAybe it's just not available in your location.

Gaethje made a big mistake of entering in such exchange with Max.

He had no choice. He knew he would lose by decision so had to take the risk. It was actually a strategically a bad decision by Max, but sometimes bad decisions can pay off big time.

(...) gaethje i think lost all 4 rounds and that broken nose had affected his fight plan.

Yeah, that spinning body kick that landed on Justin's face turned out to be crucial. There's no way to perform at 100% with a broken nose and compromised breathing. He also suffered 2 eye pokes, which could had some effect on his sight.

i rarely win a parlay but glad i didn't add the fights that i'm unsure like max vs gaethje. even hill vs alex is risky but i did add them anyway in my parlay. i didn't bet a big amount though.

Congrats and well done!

[notblox1]

He had no choice. He knew he would lose by decision so had to take the risk. It was actually a strategically a bad decision by Max, but sometimes bad decisions can pay off big time.

This was a desperate move from him, but he didnt give up until the end, I will give him that.
I expected to see more from him but there is no way you cant beat Max with that strategy.
Prochazka was losing from Rakic and his move turned in his favor, but power of light heavyweight category fighters is something else.

[pawel7777]

Odds are in for the 1st June, UFC 302 event:

Islam Makhachev x1.25 Vs Dustin Poirier x3.80

Sean Strickland x1.41 Vs Paolo Costa x2.80

And for the 22nd June, UFC 303:

Conor McGregor x1.85 Vs Michael Chandler x1.96

I think the payout rate for Chandler is very generous. Thoughts?