History repeats itself till it does so no more!

Bitcoin has broken all patterns to date and it will continue to do so, people clung to things live never going below the previous ATH, like no double  ATH during a cycle, no bull run before the halving, one has to understand that we had just three cycles, it's such a low pool of data that you can't draw patterns out of it!

Plus, there is the change in the economic environment, the ban in China, and the approval of Bitcoin ETF, how were those present in previous cycles, and furthermore, if there had been no halving, would that have meant no bull run? Of course not! Past experience means nothing, if suddenly the US would ban crypto due you think patterns will matter anymore? If China would say Bitoin is legal tomorrow won't we have a bull run prior to the expected date again? 
But most important of all, if everyone thinks that it will take 4 months for the bull run won't everyone just buy now and dump then, artificially creating and ending the bull run just because they think it should happen when it's all a matter of their own actions?

Current technical cycle-based analysts are quite confused because BTC has created a new history for itself: a new low below the previous cycle's peak, a new ATH before halving. Based on history and the belief that BTC price will repeat history, we have no basis for continuing to predict BTC price movements in this bullrun. The only thing I can think of is cyclicity: BTC has peaked in 2013 - 2017 - 2021, so I also expect the peak of this cycle to come in 2025.

Looking back in the past, facing BTC price volatility or rather the volatility of their account balances, investors are always confused because there are too many choices and we can always buy and sell easily 24/7. At the 2020-halving, we also had a new history when BTc price dropped sharply just before the halving, or many traders also doubted the ability of BTC price to continue to create new peaks as in the past. The boredom of cyclicity & the strangeness of new history, both make it difficult for investors to make decisions.

I think we don't need to focus on speculating future, we should continue to hold faith in the bullrun, while not forgetting to prepare for actions when the market has unusual fluctuations. I will still wait for BTC price to reach $150K-170K in 2025

Quote from: Wiseman on April 26, 2024, 07:38:41 AM

Any investment is freedom, but you shouldn’t forget that (what kind of freedom?) if for this you have to work for decades and buy Bitcoin, then I don’t think that this is the right decision, I think that if you have little money, then you only need to invest in your training and not in Bitcoin, investing in Bitcoin is better left to people who are already firmly on their own two feet.

Anyone can invest in Bitcoin if they have the capital to do so, if they want to learn and try investing with capital from bounties and airdrops, that is also a good step. and freedom also does not mean for those who can stand strong on their own, but those who want to be better for their economy can also invest here

There is no discrimination in being able to invest in Bitcoin. Anyone who has more funds can do that if they are interested, so there are no restrictions for certain people.
I agree that if you really want to learn how to make initial investments, it can be from capital obtained from airdrops or bounties, so that there is no fear of losing, because the capital comes from prize money.
Indeed, it would be better if you invest using funds that are not connected to your daily needs, aka extra funds, not precisely the funds needed for your needs. It will be detrimental if you make a mistake in your analysis.

Yes Demo account can be used to learn the basics of trading things like, how to buy & sell, how to set TP/SL etc.... Demo account contains fake money so there is no risk so don't mix real trading account with demo account. But I would not say that a demo account will not help a person in any way in learning trading. Demo account can help only those who are totally noob in trading

Similar to technical indicators, the value of a Demo account depends on how users utilize it for their own purposes. Learning to use the features of CEXs, technical indicators, capital management, time management, psychological management, getting acquainted with market volatility... - each user will have their own purposes when approaching a Demo account, even professional traders can use Demo accounts as a form of entertainment because they do not have enough capital to invest in all markets, all assets, all tokens. I have been involved in crypto trading since 2017, but I still continue to use Demo account to test both classic and modern technical indicators.

Quote from: JoyMarsha on April 21, 2024, 10:10:24 PM

Quote from: tranthidung on April 17, 2024, 04:44:19 PM

Quote from: JoyMarsha on April 16, 2024, 10:57:39 PM

The good thing is that after the dump, it provides an opportunity to dive into the crypto market to buy Bitcoin at a discount price and for Bitcoin to increase in price more than it has before.

People can hope to have cheaper price to buy and they can wait for a while but when market has a dip, they will feel panic and reject good opportunities to buy.

That's the reality that most people are going to throw themselves at, soon. As the bitcoin price increases, they will think of buying when decreases. When it has decreased, they will find it hard to buy because they will think it won't increase as fast as possible.

That's the whole mentality of most newbies. To procrastinate when to buy bitcoin

for beginners they need experience, dude. so let them gain that experience by studying the market and determining when to buy. because there must be doubts when buying for beginners when they see a dump market. because they don't have a good analysis of the market

Well I always recommend something, it is a little more effort but it is better, some people go to take courses in large academies, in many places where they also sell signs, but it doesn't make much sense because the important thing is to learn, it is the only way to We can always win, what we learn will always be ours, that is why I recommend reading books, but not just any book, I do not Recommend technical analysis, but knowing how the market moves, yes these market Speculators are those who can give us samples of how they handled certain situations in the market, this is something that will always look great in terms of learning, the more you learn the more money you Will make.

Quote from: DrBeer on April 28, 2024, 10:41:19 AM

Обмен а рубли/ в крипту как раз и есть "совершения гражданско-правовых сделок или операций, влекущих за собой переход цифровой валюты от одного обладателя к другому".
Вероятно на основе этого ктото из "своих" получит лицензию на проведение таких действтий, НО - 100% КУС, отпечатки, паспорт, пояснить происхождение крипты, проверить не являетесь ли  вы "инноагентом" (а друг вас финансируют коварные империалисты)... и 10% Комиссии - ничего личного просто обеспечение государственной безопасности.

Если представить, что этот законопроект приняли, то какие наши действия? Делать все по правилам? Но не все захотят идти на поводу у власти, которые теперь точно будут знать, у кого что имеется и будут пристально следить за этими людьми и их счетами. Бросать крипту как-то не очень хочется, но и потратить накопленное не получится.

Когда вводятся такие законы, то у них как правило 2 цели:
1. Решить "свои задачи" - в данном случае тотальный запрет/контроль слабоконролируемых финансовых решений (крипта как никак). Цель ? Да просто - от ограничения финансирования оппозиционных течений и прочих "врагов народа" (решить свои личные потенциальные проблемы), до ... "а зачем вам крипта, если все продается только за рубли" (попытка както стабилизировать локальную валюту)
2. Любой запрет - это спрос того что запретили, т.е. искусственного "запретного плода". Если крипту нельзя свободно обменивать, то... надо на этом ЗАРАБОТАТЬ ! И как я уже писал - будет созданы "истинно верные обменники", где по будут менять крипту, на рубли. С конскими комиссиями, тотальным контролем, (паспорта, фото, профиль, анфас, подпись, сдал, принял,.. ) и т.п.. На всякий случай, мало ли, ну и чтобы не расслаблялись и про глупости всякие не думали - "у нас все ходы записаны" !
А если хоть сатоши мимо - иноагент, шпиён, контра, итого -  10+ лет строгача, конфискация. И все "счастливы". Бабло опять течет рекой, из нового канала профита, крипта в руках "тех кого надо, у кого не надо - рубли, которые надо както "сжигать" чтобы сдерживать работу печатающего станка.