BTC halving event - What can we expect?

[pablobitcobarofficial]

As the BTC ETFs are now approved, the market is looking onto the next bullish catalyst for the crypto market known as the BTC halving event. The BTC halving event takes place every four years and cuts the rewards for Bitcoin mining in half. It has occurred three times so far in 2012, 2016 and 2020. The next halving event is on April 22nd, a month prior to possible ETH ETF approvals.

Looking at past data reveals mixed patterns in BTC halving occurrences leading up to the event. Some data suggests market corrections preceding the halving, while other data points to market surges. However, a consistent trend emerges for all post-halving periods, showing that each of the three halving events initiated a bullish cycle in the crypto market on HTF. This indicates that any market correction around the BTC halving event is a generational investment opportunity from a a long-term perspective.

The first BTC halving was followed by a 10300% rise of BTC over a period of 12 months.
The second halving event was followed by a 3000% rise of BTC over a period of 18 months.
The third halving event was followed by a 750% rise of BTC over a period of 18 months.

After each halving event, the percentage move by BTC decreased significantly compared to the previous halving event. Nevertheless, the halving event has historically initiated a super cycle that lasts between 12 and 18 months. This year, the BTC halving event meets other bullish events such as the BTC and ETH ETFs. A possible long-term impact of ETFs includes an increase in the demand for BTC. On the other hand, the BTC halving event reduces mining rewards for BTC by 50%, effectively reducing the supply of BTC. Looking at the supply and demand chart in economics, an increase in asset demand paired with a reduction in its supply typically results in an increase of the asset's price. In our case, an increase in the price of BTC.

The market will speculate about this

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[Yamane_Keto]

In the short term, there is a correction coming, as the price fails to stay above $43,418 (50% Fibonacci Retracement level), which is the minimum limit to stay at $43,000 to $48,000. Continuing to stay below this level means that the correction is a matter of time unless the price returns. For a break of $43,418.



The next prices are either $38,000 or $32,000.

[Ambatman]

Is hard to know the perfect entry
Just enter when you can by buying small units rather than buying large quantity once
Been doing this since December
Any dip i buy a small unit
Yeah it would fall but we know the likelihood of it beating $50K is 99%. The rate of increase has reduced, i would say price plays a factor though
Imagine 120% increase is around $100K .
With ETF many skeptical about Bitcoin would jump into the boat before it becomes too late. This pump would catapult most altcoins to new ATH. Even this minor increase has already created a new ATH in relatively new coins like Maverick,Wld etc.

[Asiska02]

I am not seeing the approval of Bitcoin ETF to have a long term effect on the market to the extent of having effect on the price and making it to surge. The many fake news that was released before the ETF approval made it lose its credibility before it was finally approved. I feel that is what made it not to have impact on the price of bitcoin at the time of approval. I have not yet given up on it not having an impact on the price later, but for the time being, it is advisable to keep buying bitcoin as it dips. Bitcoin halving event and the upcoming bull run will make the market be on an upward trajectory for long that will benefit all of the holders today.

[Cryptsafe]

I am not seeing the approval of Bitcoin ETF to have a long term effect on the market to the extent of having effect on the price and making it to surge. The many fake news that was released before the ETF approval made it lose its credibility before it was finally approved. I feel that is what made it not to have impact on the price of bitcoin at the time of approval. I have not yet given up on it not having an impact on the price later, but for the time being, it is advisable to keep buying bitcoin as it dips. Bitcoin halving event and the upcoming bull run will make the market be on an upward trajectory for long that will benefit all of the holders today.

As at the initial time when the Bitcoin ETF was making waves to be announced, there was a surge in  Bitcoin price which made people think that it is likely the beginning of bull run but little did they know that there will be retraction and corrections.  People who were quick to buy at that high price are likely being trapped at the moment but only those who bought to hold for a long term are the ones who would not feel any worries because they would definitely make their profit with time as long as they would not panic sell.

[Gurujebs]

I am not seeing the approval of Bitcoin ETF to have a long term effect on the market to the extent of having effect on the price and making it to surge. The many fake news that was released before the ETF approval made it lose its credibility before it was finally approved. I feel that is what made it not to have impact on the price of bitcoin at the time of approval. I have not yet given up on it not having an impact on the price later, but for the time being, it is advisable to keep buying bitcoin as it dips. Bitcoin halving event and the upcoming bull run will make the market be on an upward trajectory for long that will benefit all of the holders today.

Fake news was an illusion perpetrated by the SEC itself, the timing was too obvious that they release that news intensionally. The investigation that was carried out by Twitter security says opposite of what SEC claimed to have happened and that means they lied, they accepted Bitcoin ETF on lies to deceive the Bitcoin community of their commitments on making Bitcoin adoptable for people.

Halving will surely impact the market but you know it's when people least expect it to pump the market it usually does pump. Miners revenue will be halve and many of them will suffer a catastrophic business in mining with loss if they don't get compensated enough. Even though traders don't want to be bullish, trust me the miners will be bullish after the halving.

[Yamane_Keto]

With ETF many skeptical about Bitcoin would jump into the boat before it becomes too late. This pump would catapult most altcoins to new ATH. Even this minor increase has already created a new ATH in relatively new coins like Maverick,Wld etc.

ETF approval does not necessarily mean that billions will flow into the market. It is more like there being a transaction ceiling of $10,000 per day for your account, and then this ceiling was raised to $100,000 it does not mean that you will transfer more than $10,000 per day.

Fake news was an illusion perpetrated by the SEC itself, the timing was too obvious that they release that news intensionally. The investigation that was carried out by Twitter security says opposite of what SEC claimed to have happened and that means they lied, they accepted Bitcoin ETF on lies to deceive the Bitcoin community of their commitments on making Bitcoin adoptable for people.

The story of that tweet is confusing. As long as the approval was granted 24 hours after it, why say that the account had been hacked and that approval would not occur?

[bitterguy28]

if I were you then better stop expecting so much because there are so  many things happening this year and i don't think that we have to look for  more as we have seen the effect of ETF approval  when many have been looking for a positive response but it remains in the level how we ends December 2023.

I am sure there is something cooking for us this after halving but first we must experience dumping .

[Stompix]

Looking at past data reveals mixed patterns in BTC halving occurrences leading up to the event.
~
The first BTC halving was followed by a 10300% rise of BTC over a period of 12 months.
The second halving event was followed by a 3000% rise of BTC over a period of 18 months.
The third halving event was followed by a 750% rise of BTC over a period of 18 months.

So, we can expect at most ~70k over 18-24 months? 
Because that's where this pattern is leading to!

The investigation that was carried out by Twitter security says opposite of what SEC claimed to have happened and that means they lied, they accepted Bitcoin ETF on lies to deceive the Bitcoin community of their commitments on making Bitcoin adoptable for people.

Where did you get that information?
https://twitter.com/Safety/status/1744924042681897343

We can confirm that the account
@SECGov
 was compromised and we have completed a preliminary investigation. Based on our investigation, the compromise was not due to any breach of X’s systems, but rather due to an unidentified individual obtaining control over a phone number associated with the
@SECGov
 account through a third party. We can also confirm that the account did not have two-factor authentication enabled at the time the account was compromised. We encourage all users to enable this extra layer of security.

That's exactly what the SEC said themselves!
Besides, if they wanted to hurt Bitcoin they would have denied the ETF, how does that even work? Is this reverso worlds?

Even though traders don't want to be bullish, trust me the miners will be bullish after the halving.

Miner here, want to swap places after the halving, cause I ain't feeling any bullishness right now! ?

[Sim_card]

The expectation of investors on bitcoin price after the approval of spot ETF was not met, as majority of them felt that once SEC approves ETF, the price will skyrocket but instead we had a correction back to 42k+. This has made some of the to be disappointed and maybe sell off their bitcoin since some bought at 45k+ due to FOMO. However, it is the halving event that will have more effect on bitcoin price because it is the halving that leads to the bull run. The price is still at an affordable price and investors should see this as an opportunity to stash up their bitcoin portfolio in preparation for the next bull run. Hodlers are not worry about this little drop in price but it is short term investors that are after quick profits, that are worried.

[Aanuoluwatofunmi]

As the BTC ETFs are now approved, the market is looking onto the next bullish catalyst for the crypto market known as the BTC halving event. The BTC halving event takes place every four years and cuts the rewards for Bitcoin mining in half. It has occurred three times so far in 2012, 2016 and 2020. The next halving event is on April 22nd, a month prior to possible ETH ETF approvals.

Maybe we should even first take away this Ethereum of a thing out of the radar for now, also we should consider less the effects of bitcoin ETF for now because the deal has been done and there's nothing to pick up on at the cause, now it's high time we focus on the halving, but before then, what are the possible expectations and after the event, the bullrun always occurs after halving, but we can buy and hodl now in preparation for that, going through the history on previous performances will give us more confirmation on that.

[MrSpasybo]

The expectation of investors on bitcoin price after the approval of spot ETF was not met, as majority of them felt that once SEC approves ETF, the price will skyrocket but instead we had a correction back to 42k+. This has made some of the to be disappointed and maybe sell off their bitcoin since some bought at 45k+ due to FOMO. However, it is the halving event that will have more effect on bitcoin price because it is the halving that leads to the bull run. The price is still at an affordable price and investors should see this as an opportunity to stash up their bitcoin portfolio in preparation for the next bull run. Hodlers are not worry about this little drop in price but it is short term investors that are after quick profits, that are worried.

BTC Spot ETF will have a long-term impact, I think in the next few months, combined with the halving, the supply shock will come and BTC price will increase sharply.

However, for more than a decade, BTC has survived and maintained its bullish trend without a Spot ETF. Halving will still be a milestone for a new bullrun of BTC and the entire crypto market.

Despite the short-term fluctuations taking place with BTC and Altcoins, history shows that prices did not create a new bottom after the Halving, instead showing strong growth. I think it's time we think about BTC price at Halving and the new ATH in 2025.

You can predict BTC price at halving here: Predict BTC price at Halving

[gunhell16]

Is hard to know the perfect entry
Just enter when you can by buying small units rather than buying large quantity once
Been doing this since December
Any dip i buy a small unit
Yeah it would fall but we know the likelihood of it beating $50K is 99%. The rate of increase has reduced, i would say price plays a factor though
Imagine 120% increase is around $100K .
With ETF many skeptical about Bitcoin would jump into the boat before it becomes too late. This pump would catapult most altcoins to new ATH. Even this minor increase has already created a new ATH in relatively new coins like Maverick,Wld etc.

Yes, you are right there. It is still good to buy bitcoin as long as you can afford to buy it if you want to hold bitcoin in the upcoming halving. But if you don't want to DCA BTC, then don't worry about the price value of Bitcoin in the upcoming halving a few months from now.

After the SEC's approval of the spot ETF, it seems that most people did not feel the change in the rise of bitcoin because many expected and thought that once approved, the value of bitcoin would rise immediately, which is not what will happen. So, this is just proof that the market is still unpredictable.

[Faisal2202]

I cannot agree more with you but tbh I thought the ETF approval would be a bigger catalyst in compared to the halving event because it will drive billions of dollars into BTC but I was wrong about it because Billions of dollars have been flown into the BTC market (like BTC ETFs market) but BTC still not going up and no following the trend that you have wrote at the last paragraph and that's what I predicted but things are not happening the way they should or I think I was anticipating them wrong.

Anyway, now the big catalyst to drive the BTC price is halving only and I know it will not oppose my prediction. by the way, what do you mean by ETH ETFs being a catalyst for BTC price? I don't think the ETH's ETFs play any role in this, because BTC's price isn't influenced by ETH's developments and news, so I don't think it would be right to say ETH's ETF will drive BTC price.

This year, the BTC halving event meets other bullish events such as the BTC and ETH ETFs.

[kulkhan]

Yes we all know Bitcoin halving will happen near future. We saw previously halving Bitcoin price increased huge. Bitcoin halving is the reward for Bitcoin mining is cut in half and takes place every fours years. And when it happen then market were positive, then we saw green candle for bitcoin and all cryptocurrency. I think in future halving same things will happen. Even we are seeing it’s impact already visible. Now bitcoin price is near about $43k and i thik wjen halving will happen then Bitcoin price will hit minimum $80k i am strongly believe it.