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Messages - jeraldskie11

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1
Dahil natapos na nga ang halving, maraming napapaisip kung mangyayari pa ba ang malaking pag-angat ng presyo o tuluyan na talagang babagsak.

Kung pagbabasehan kasi natin ang halving history ng Bitcoin, gumagawa lang ng panibagong ATH ang Bitcoin ilang weeks o months pagkatapos ng halving. Pero ang nangyayari kasi sa halving ngayon ay iba sa lahat kasi gumawa sya ng panibagong ATH bago pa ang halving. Maaaring nangyari ito dahil inaasahan ng karamihan na lilipad talaga ang presyo ng Bitcoin pagkatapos ng halving kaya nag-invest ang maraming investors bago pa ang halving kaya nangyari ang panibagong ATH.

Ngayon, dahil hindi na nga sinunod ni Bitcoin ang halving history nya, hindi na rin ba mangyayari ang inaasahan ng karamihan na aabot ng $100k ang presyo?

Sa pamamagitan ng Market Structure, Indicators, at Halving history ng Bitcoin, masasabi kung malaki ang posibilidad na aabot ng $100k ang presyo, at ang kasalukuyang nangyayari market ngayon ay isa lamang retracement.

2
We just need to be patient when holding bitcoin, because it's not impossible when talking about bitcoin. We have also seen how bitcoin continues to run and is always able to reach ATH when it moves up.

It's just that we can't be sure when Bitcoin will reach that price. For example, 120 thousand is not impossible, but we don't know when we will see bitcoin reach that price. There is no doubt when it comes to bitcoin.
Bitcoin is always safe to hold long term, talking about prices like you said $120K is reasonable to happen but when will it happen? End of this year or early next year. This is a question that many people ask, even though we know that Bitcoin is unpredictable and no one can predict it accurately
So that's where our patience will be tested, not to mention we will experience a market crash again which will make the price of Bitcoin fall again. Many people have taken profits now and others are still holding bitcoin because they predict the price will still move up.

I think everyone who holds bitcoin at the moment has made a profit, it's just that some have taken their profits and some have not yet taken them.
It's possible that there will be a downside movement of the price of Bitcoin because there is no enough demand to break the previous high. Those who have taken profits are the clever ones and those who still holding their assets are the one who really trust Bitcoin.
If a person is still holding their assets even if they will make profit when they sell, it's still not sure how much gain he make as long as he didn't sell their assets.

3
If the payment services in your Country was blocked and the temporary solution you're making to get the money you earned in this forum is via P2P. Then how it could be possible? The person you are trading with must be there in your Country or should be your friends. Because if you say that the person is from the other Country then the payment services in your Country was not totally blocked. In that case, trading your cryptocurrencies here in the forum is also a best solution since your very concern is high fee. Just make sure that the person is reputable and trusted.

4
Oo kabayan, alam naman nila mga ginagawa nila. Basta para sa kanila, wala namang problema ang mahalaga ay aware sila sa sitwasyon ni Binance ngayon laban sa SEC natin. Huwag lang kampante na tahimik ngayon kasi di natin alam kung ano nangyayari talaga. Pero ang pinakainaasahan natin ay sana lahat sila ay nagkakaroon ng dialogue at coordination na para sa ikabubuti ng PH market nila dahil madami silang users dito.
Yeah maganda naman talaga ang market dito sa atin lalo na at dumadami na ang pinoy na involve sa cryptocurrency. Nagsimula yata yan sa mga airdrops kaya alam na din nila yung mga exchange na posibleng mapaglistahan ng tokens na nareceive nila pero ganun paman ay wala talaga tayong magagawa kung hindi talaga magkasundo ang local sec natin at ang Binance pero sana ay magawan pa nga nila ng paraan.
Nagsimula talaga yan noong pandemic tapos axie time tapos ngayon naman mas naopen na ideya ng mga pinoy sa mga airdrops at investing sa crypto market. Kaya nga maganda ang crypto movement dito sa bansa natin dahil nagiging open na ang karamihan tungkol diyan. Kaya noong nagkaroon ng balita tungkol sa SEC at binance madami din ang nalungkot mapa big time investor at small investor man kasi lahat tayo apektado.
Ay! Uo nga pala nakalimutan ko yung surge ng NFT few years back kabayan dyan nila nagagamit ang exchange eh whether payout or magsesell sila ng mga nacollecta nilang coins. Naalala ko pa na inalok nila ako sa Axie pero di ako natempt na sumali kaya ayun ako lang yung nagkicrypro na di kumita dun haha.
Ang ganda ng serbisyo ng binance simula noong nag accept sila ng slp at axs. Ako naman frustrated investor at iniisip ko nalang na tinulungan ko mga scholars ko at kahit papano ay nakabawi naman din.
Noong hindi pa nagboom ang Axie, Binance na talaga ang pinakamagandang exchange na nagamit ko at nagsisimula na din ako magtrade sa mga panahon na yun. Ang presyo pa ng AXS ay $2 at biglang umangat ng hanggang  $120 kaya doon ko palang nalaman kung ano ba talaga ang Axie. At agree talaga ako na maraming mga pinoy ang gumamit ng Binance sa mga panahon na yun kahit wala masyadong knowledge kasi yun din ang sinusuggest ng mga matatagal na sa crypto.

5
Cryptocurrency Trading / Re: Do not sell, Just HODL (v2)
« on: May 08, 2024, 06:57:28 PM »
I believe that many people get disappointed by the halving and might think this would be the worst halving history. But for me, we can't tell yet if this would be really the worst because we still in the bullish market. And what we see in the market now is just a retracement and the retracement was not yet finished. There is a lot of zone in the bottom where the price possibly go, not only the literal SNR but also the imbalances and swing points. I see a lot of imbalances below and it's not filled yet. There is a high chance that the price will hit that area before the price explodes.

Why the disappointment? Never in the history of Bitcoin had we had pump immediately when the halving occur, I have check the chart and it was a year later that we do have the bull run but somehow, a lot happened in this cycle that institutional investors are controlling the market, they don't want to see their investment go down and they are  holding it from collapse.

Another thing you should put into consideration is that there must be a correction else no one would be confident about the bull run and right now, the market is doing the opposite and if it remain like this, there is no certainty yet about bull run but in the future, something must happen.
This halving year is different from past Bitcoin halving. As we can see in the history from the first halving to the third, new ATH only happen after halving, which did not occur in this halving year. People expected the new ATH to occur after the halving based on past halving, but instead, it occurred before the halving. We noticed that when the price creates a new ATH, there is a high probability that the price will explode because there is no obvious resistance above that has to be broken, which has been true in past halving. And this may be the reason why many are disappointed, because I noticed many complaints if this would be the end of bull market.

6
Philippines (Tagalog) / Re: HALVING Good/Bad
« on: May 08, 2024, 06:28:49 PM »
Baka isipin ng karamihan na ito na ang magiging weak low bago mag-explode ang presyo ng Bitcoin. Pero marami pang zone na posibleng puntahan ng presyo kase may mga imbalances pa na hindi pa nafifill. Tingnan nyo sa $45k na presyo, posible talaga yan puntahan. Kaya mainam din na DCA ang gagamiting strategy, huwag agad ubusin ang funds baka may ibababa ang presyo.

Nakakagulat talaga ang presyo ng bitcoin sa ngayon lalo na kung ikaw ay baguhan sa pag-invest gamit ang bitcoin siguradong mai-stress ka sa kakatingin sa mga pulang chart pero tama ka kabayan, gumamit lang ng DCA para kahit papaano ay hindi masyadong malayo or medyo makakabawi pa tayo kung aangat siya ng kaunti.
Yeah, kung ayaw ng stress kabayan the best na choice ang DCA kasi regardless of rice movements safe sya gamitin di tulad nung talagang lalaruin mo ang market medyo makakahilo lalao na kapag wala tayong masyadong knowledge about technical analysis tulad ko hinuhulaan ko na lang yung next na movement eh kaya panay luge. 😅
Effective talaga ang DCA hindi lang sa wala masyadong kaalaman sa pag-aanalyze sa market pati na rin sa mga may alam talaga. Mas malaking advantage naman kasi yung gumagamit ng DCA kahit alam naman talaga nila mag-analyze sa market kasi mas napapalaki ang probabilidad na magkakaprofit ka at mas napapaliit ang risk. Minsan kasi nahihirapan ang iba gumamit ng DCA kasi maliit lang funds nila, kaya ayun imbes na kumita kahit konti, nalugi pa ng malaki.

7
Cryptocurrency Trading / Re: Do not sell, Just HODL (v2)
« on: May 08, 2024, 06:06:55 PM »
1 more day to go for halving but I don't see any sign of strength in the market. 4h time frame shows us that the market is in the down trend but if you look in a weekly tf it shows us it will going to retrace. In my opinion, the halving is just a way for others to invest because they thought it will send up the price higher but in reality it's just a pull back in a 4h tf. So there is a high possibility that the price will go deeper to gather enough demand in order to boost the price higher and create another ATH.
Boom, We have been through the halving for almost a month, but it seems there is no good news that can trigger an increase in the price of bitcoin, in fact after the halving occurred the price of bitcoin tended to fall. This is a pretty bad halving history because Bitcoin has no support for another price increase.
I believe that many people get disappointed by the halving and might think this would be the worst halving history. But for me, we can't tell yet if this would be really the worst because we still in the bullish market. And what we see in the market now is just a retracement and the retracement was not yet finished. There is a lot of zone in the bottom where the price possibly go, not only the literal SNR but also the imbalances and swing points. I see a lot of imbalances below and it's not filled yet. There is a high chance that the price will hit that area before the price explodes.

8
That is true. But if you are good at forecasting the market and you prove it many times that the price of a currency will go up high in this kind of market structure, then go. All types of investment has risks and we all know that cryptocurrency is volatile, and that volatility is the reason why people get rich instantly. So if you want to invest in a clever way, you should know that you only invested solely to Bitcoin.
That's true but it's still worth noting that, no matter how many times you've predicted the market correctly, it doesn't always mean that you can trust the predictions completely, it's always advisable to thread with caution at all time and always remember that the market can take a different turn from how you're currently seeing it at any time.
That's why we should only invest what we can afford to lose, because if we go all in knowing that our analysis doesn't work 100% there is a high risk of losing your money. To prevent that to happen, we should diversify our money to different cryptocurrencies if we are going to invest, but if we want to trade in futures, we should only use a a tiny portion of our overall assets so that you can still make up if you lose your current trades.

9
Pump & Dump / Re: Top Gainers
« on: May 08, 2024, 05:09:57 PM »
In those coins which you want to catch the pump only, then you have to connect to the website of those coins or different telegrams and social media, you will invest in the coins as soon as there is any good news on social media officially. Then those coins will start pumping and you will continue to invest. And while listing on the exchange, there are various reviews on the exchange site, you can understand by looking at those reviews. Invest those coins and keep reaping the benefits.
This is what we should do when we look for a good coin that are going to pump in the future, the coin that are still accumulating because later on it will create a big pump of the price. But we have to aware of that "too good to be true" projects because they are more likely a scam. Instead, we should have a specific criteria and check it very well if this coin is legit because no matter how good the chart is, if there's a mistake or error in the project it will still go dump in the future.
Be careful when you look for tokens that are being pumped, usually it is manipulation that has been carried out by whales who control the exchange well. It's better if you wait until the price drops first. Never buy when prices are high because it will trap us in high prices.
Yeah, most pumped coin are going to fall afterwards because that's normally happen in the market. The market always make an retracement before the price breaks the previous high. Most whales can manipulate the price in the market especially those currency with only a few holders and small market capitalization, but with Bitcoin they having a hard time because they are not the only one who wants to manipulate the market. That's why instead of expecting for the price to go down, it goes to the opposite direction.

10
Philippines (Tagalog) / Re: Bitcoin Stocked sa 63k
« on: May 08, 2024, 04:30:38 AM »
Kung titingnan natin sa weekly time frame, madaming mga zone na pwede nyang puntahan, marami pa kasing mga imbalances na hindi pa nafifill na posibleng puntahan ng presyo. Sa 4h tf naman makikita natin na nahihirapan na basagin ang $65k na resistance kasi wala pa masyadong demand which is sa tingin ko na malaki ang posibilidad na kumuha pa ng liquidity sa ibaba para mangyari yung pag-explode ng presyo.

11
Ngayon ko lang din narinig yung DCA ginagamit sa futures, kasi kadalasan sa mga traders kinokonsider nila na mali ang analysis nila kapag inabot ng presyo ang kanilang nilagay na stop-loss. Ibig sabihin lang siguro nya na mataas ang nilagay nyang stop-loss tapos habang papalit ang presyo sa stop-loss nya ay bibili sya ulit. Kasi kung hindi sya maglalagay ng stop-loss sa futures tapos gumamit sya ng DCA ay napakarisky nito na maaaring mas malaki pera ang pwedeng mawala sa kanya.

Depende naman sa analysis kailangan mo parin talagang ianalyze yung market kasi minsan talaga na hihit ang stop loss e kaya ginawa ko mag DCA pero hindi naman ako nalagpas sa tatlong beses na DCA kinuconisder ko nang loss pag hindi bumalik sa expected na galaw ng presyo.

Chaka unpredictable talaga yung galaw wala talagang analysis na perfect kaya kailangan nasa mababang leverage lang para maiwasan din na matalo ng malaki.
Agree ako dyan kabayan, unpredictable yung market kaya need talaga natin ianalyze yung market para matulungan tayo kung sa anong presyo bibili, magtitake profit at maglagay ng stop loss. Alam naman natin sa sarili natin kung kailangan ba talaga natin lakihan ang leverage, pero kung sa tingin natin matatalo lang tayo ng mabilis kung masyadong taasan ang leverage ay huwag nalang natin itaas. Mas risky kasi kung ganon.

12
It's wrong for one to use loan money to invest in crypto. Using loan money to invest in crypto, totally means that one knows the future of crypto they are investing into, which can't be possible

I believe that there will be people who are going to invest in crypto with loan money because of the upcoming bull run, but whoever does so, should first think about how much loan they are taking up and the time for the loan to elapse. If it is after 2 years, take up a payable loan and invest in bitcoin and sell off around 2025, but if the loan is within 2 years, it will not be wise to take up loan money to invest in crypto.

I couldn't agreed more.. in crypto, invest in what you can loose..not using loans
I don't support or encourage the use of loan money to invest in crypto. But there might be some people who may have the intuition to invest in crypto despite that, due to what they have heard about the bull run giving many profits to investors who will be investing in bitcoin and some other top coins.
I think it depends on the nature of the loan obtained, the terms of obtainment and also the repayment terms. And also it depends on the kind of coin you intend to purchase or invest in, although even if one eventually decides to go through with investing with loan money, one should always consider the volatility of the crypto market and also weigh the risks involved in crypto investment.
Again, it's advised never to invest what you cannot afford to lose, if the loan money is what you can afford to repay via other revenues, should incase the investment happens to crash or takes longer than anticipated before maturity, you won't get caught in the dilemma.
That is true. But if you are good at forecasting the market and you prove it many times that the price of a currency will go up high in this kind of market structure, then go. All types of investment has risks and we all know that cryptocurrency is volatile, and that volatility is the reason why people get rich instantly. So if you want to invest in a clever way, you should know that you only invested solely to Bitcoin.

13
My advice is just be patient. Even though we are in the bullish trend in a higher time frame, there is always a retracement. So if for you we are bullish, we should expect for a downward movement to occur. Sometimes this movement can make you hesitant, so we have to bear in mind that don't sell your asset if this happened because it's normal. And if you have more funds, add more investment. Following these ways can maximize your profit.

14
Tulad ng aking inaasahan ay mangyayari nga ang aking prediction na ang pwedeng pinakasagad na ibababa ni Bitcoin ay nasa around 50 000$ tapos magrecover siya ulit ng konti sang-ayon sa consolidation na nakikita na aabutin pa naman ito ng ilang buwan bago sa pagtake-off ni bitcoin sa merkado.

Kaya tulad ng sinasabi parin ng ilan at aking naiisip parin ay magandang chances ito na bumili at magdca sa mga altcoins na nais nating bilhin at ihold sa long-term o bull run mismo ng bitcoin.

Pag alam mo ang market mag DDCA ka lang sa alam mong dip o mga support area pero kung random lang mag dca at patuloy lang ang pagbagsak na sayang ang opportunity na makabili ng masmababa.
Kailangan din talaga ng sariling analysis pag dating sa DCA sakin nga sa futures ako nag ddca para makapag loan din sa leverage kahit papano pag umakyat mas malaki ang profit ko basta hindi lang mahit ang liquidation limit ko pero malayo dahil gumagamit naman  ako ng mababang leverage atleast yung maliit na puhunan ko e lumaki dahil sa leverage yun nga lang hindi ko totally own yung altcoin pero pag tumaas at nagka profit once na binatawan ko na yung position pwede ko naman sya ilipat sa spot.
Sa ngayon sideway ang galawan ni Bitcoin at napaaga yung breakout parang trap nga ito sa mga naka short isa nako sa nakaset ng short at sana bumaba ng konti at ok na ko dun para maiclose ko na yung position ko kasi perang delikado at parang mag bounce ang price pataas e.

      -      Hindi ba parang delikado yang ginagawa mo mate? Well, kung gamay mo naman yang futures ayos lang at kung ang timeframe mo ay per daily ay ayos lang dahil hindi ka naman nkaaset cross at sabi mo nga mababa lang yung leverage mo kaya ayos lang.

Pero ingats kapa rin kabayan, baka mamaya nyan malingat ka at magkamali ka ng set up mo, icheck mo nalang from time to time apara hindi makain ang balance fund mo kapag hindi k anakamonitor.
Ngayon ko lang din narinig yung DCA ginagamit sa futures, kasi kadalasan sa mga traders kinokonsider nila na mali ang analysis nila kapag inabot ng presyo ang kanilang nilagay na stop-loss. Ibig sabihin lang siguro nya na mataas ang nilagay nyang stop-loss tapos habang papalit ang presyo sa stop-loss nya ay bibili sya ulit. Kasi kung hindi sya maglalagay ng stop-loss sa futures tapos gumamit sya ng DCA ay napakarisky nito na maaaring mas malaki pera ang pwedeng mawala sa kanya.

15
Indeed! There are various ways to generate money in cryptocurrency besides trading and investing. You can earn money by staking your assets and participating in launchpads and launchpools. Honestly, it all depends on their gimmick. Just as in Memeland, I simply hold a memecoin to receive a steak every week, and the steaks I earn can be used to claim a part of an airdrop. If you have crypto-related skills, it could be a source of money for you.

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