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1
Advertise Your Stuff / Understanding Technical Analysis
« on: May 11, 2019, 05:12:52 PM »
Understanding Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is the study of historical price action in order to identify patterns and determine probabilities of future movements in the market through the use of technical studies, indicators, and other analysis tools.

Technical analysis boils down to two things:

identifying trend
identifying support/resistance through the use of price charts and/or timeframes
Markets can only do three things: move up, down, or sideways.

Prices typically move in a zigzag fashion, and as a result, price action has only two states:

Range – when prices zigzag sideways
Trend – prices either zigzag higher (up trend, or bull trend), or prices zigzag lower (down trend, or bear trend)
Understanding Technical Analysis Chart
Why is technical analysis important?
Technical analysis of a market can help you determine not only when and where to enter a market, but much more importantly, when and where to get out.

How can you use technical analysis?
Technical analysis is based on the theory that the markets are chaotic (no one knows for sure what will happen next), but at the same time, price action is not completely random. In other words, mathematical Chaos Theory proves that within a state of chaos there are identifiable patterns that tend to repeat.

This type of chaotic behavior is observed in nature in the form of weather forecasts. For example, most traders will admit that there are no certainties when it comes to predicting exact price movements. As a result, successful trading is not about being right or wrong: it’s all about determining probabilities and taking trades when the odds are in your favor. Part of determining probabilities involves forecasting market direction and when/where to enter into a position, but equally important is determining your risk-to-reward ratio.

Remember, there is no magical combination of technical indicators that will unlock some sort of secret trading strategy. The secret of successful trading is good risk management, discipline, and the ability to control your emotions. Anyone can guess right and win every once in a while, but without risk management it is virtually impossible to remain profitable over time.


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2
Advertise Your Stuff / Chandelier Exit
« on: May 06, 2019, 04:58:38 PM »
Chandelier Exit

The Chandelier Exit is basically a volatility-based system that identifies outsized price movements. Le Beau defined volatility by using the Average True Range, which was developed by Welles Wilder, creator of RSI and the Average Directional Index. ATR uses the prior close, current high and current low to determine the “True Range” for a given period. After some smoothing, the daily True Range values evolve into the Average True Range for a given period of time.
By setting the Chandelier Exit for longs three ATR values BELOW the period high, the indicator provides a buffer that is three times the volatility. A decline strong enough to break this level warrants a reevaluation of long positions. The opposite applies to short positions. The Chandelier Exit for shorts is set three ATR values ABOVE the period low, which provides a volatility-based buffer. An advance strong enough to exceed this level warrants a reevaluation of short positions.
Chandelier Uptrend and forex signals
Sometimes chartists will see a strong uptrend, but not know where to jump on and when to exit. The Chandelier Exit can be used to define the trend and set a trailing stop-loss. The example below shows Eaton Corp (ETN) breaking out in early November and starting an extended uptrend. The Chandelier Exit defined this uptrend quite well as it followed price action steadily higher. This trailing stop-loss could have been used to control risk for new long positions.
With the Chandelier Exit providing the stop-loss, traders would then need to find an indicator to trigger buy signals within this trend. A sensitive momentum oscillator can be used to capture short-term oversold conditions. The indicator window shows StochRSI, which is the Stochastic Oscillator applied to RSI. Dips below .20 reflect short-term oversold conditions. A subsequent move back above .20 suggests that the uptrend is continuing.
forex signals Chandelier Downtrend
Some stocks are more volatile than others and require a bigger buffer, which means the multiplier should be increased. The Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) example shows the stock in a clear downtrend for most of 2012. A normal Chandelier Exit (22,3.0,short) would have triggered some stops just before the downtrend continued. Notice how HPQ moved above the dashed gray line several times during this downtrend. Chartists should increase the ATR multiplier for more volatile stocks, such as techs. In this example, the red Chandelier line allows for more volatility by using 5 as the multiplier. HPQ held this Chandelier setting until the breakout in mid-December, which signaled the start of an uptrend.
The Chandelier Exit is good for stops, but chartists need to use basic chart analysis or a momentum oscillator to time entries. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) can be used to identify short-term overbought conditions within a downtrend. CCI becomes overbought with a move above +100. A subsequent move back below +100 signals that momentum is turning down again.
Conclusions
The Chandelier Exit is mostly used to set a trailing stop-loss for forex signals during a trend. Trends sometimes extend further than we anticipate and the Chandelier Exit can help traders ride the trend a little longer. Even though it is mostly used for stop-losses, the Chandelier Exit can also be used as a trend tool. A break above the Chandelier Exit (long) forex signals strength, while a break below the Chandelier Exit (short) forex signals weakness. Once a new trend begins, chartists can then use the corresponding Chandelier Exit to help define this trend.

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3
General Discussion / The Average True Range (ATR)
« on: March 04, 2019, 02:38:00 PM »
The  Average True Range (ATR)
Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the Average True Range (ATR) is an indicator that measures volatility. As with most of his indicators, Wilder designed ATR with commodities and daily prices in mind. Commodities are frequently more volatile than stocks. They were are often subject to gaps and limit moves, which occur when a commodity opens up or down its maximum allowed move for the session. A volatility formula based only on the high-low range would fail to capture volatility from gap or limit moves. Wilder created Average True Range to capture this “missing” volatility. It is important to remember that ATR does not provide an indication of price direction, just volatility.
Wilder features ATR in his 1978 book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. This book also includes the Parabolic SAR, RSI and the Directional Movement Concept (ADX). Despite being developed before the computer age, Wilder's indicators have stood the test of time and remain extremely popular.
True Range and forex signals
Wilder started with a concept called True Range (TR), which is defined as the greatest of the following:
Method 1: Current High less the current Low
Method 2: Current High less the previous Close (absolute value)
Method 3: Current Low less the previous Close (absolute value)
Absolute values are used to ensure positive numbers. After all, Wilder was interested in measuring the distance between two points, not the direction. If the current period's high is above the prior period's high and the low is below the prior period's low, then the current period's high-low range will be used as the True Range. This is an outside day that would use Method 1 to calculate the TR. This is pretty straightforward. Methods 2 and 3 are used when there is a gap or an inside day. A gap occurs when the previous close is greater than the current high (signaling a potential gap down or limit move) or the previous close is lower than the current low (forex signals a potential gap up or limit move).

Average True Range (ATR) Conclusions and free forex signals
ATR is not a directional indicator, such as MACD or RSI. Instead, ATR is a unique volatility indicator that reflects the degree of interest or disinterest in a move. Strong moves, in either direction, are often accompanied by large ranges, or large True Ranges. This is especially true at the beginning of a move. Uninspiring moves can be accompanied by relatively narrow ranges. As such, ATR can be used to validate the enthusiasm behind a move or breakout. A bullish free forex signals reversal with an increase in ATR would show strong buying pressure and reinforce the forex signals reversal. A bearish support break with an increase in ATR would show strong selling pressure and reinforce the support break.



4
General Discussion / Parabolic SAR Conclusions and forex signals 96
« on: February 28, 2019, 02:56:15 AM »
Parabolic SAR Conclusions and forex signals

Parabolic SAR Conclusions and free forex signals
The Parabolic SAR works best with trending securities, which occur roughly 30% of the time according to Wilder's estimates. This means the indicator will be prone to whipsaws over 50% of the time or when a security is not trending. After all, SAR is designed to catch the trend and follow it like a trailing stop. As with most indicators, the forex trading signals quality depends on the settings and the characteristics of the underlying security. The right settings combined with decent trends can produce a great trading system. The wrong settings will result in whipsaws, losses, and frustration. There is no golden rule or forex trading signals one-size-fits-all setting. Each security should be evaluated based on its own characteristics. Parabolic SAR should also be used in conjunction with other indicators and technical analysis techniques. For example, Wilder's Average Directional Index can be used to estimate the strength of the trend before considering forex trading signals .

5
General Discussion / Moving averages Conclusions and forex trading signals
« on: February 23, 2019, 12:53:55 PM »
Moving averages Conclusions and forex trading signals
The advantages of using moving averages need to be weighed against the disadvantages. Moving averages are trend following, or lagging, indicators that will always be a step behind. This is not necessarily a bad thing though. After all, the trend is your friend and it is best to trade in the direction of the trend. Moving averages ensure that a trader is in line with the current trend. Even though the trend is your friend, securities spend a great deal of time in trading ranges, which render moving averages ineffective. Once in a trend, moving averages will keep you in, but also give late forex trading signals . Don't expect to sell at the top and buy at the bottom using moving averages forex trading signals . As with most technical analysis tools, moving averages should not be used on their own, but in conjunction with other complementary tools. Chartists can use moving averages to define the overall trend and then use RSI to define overbought or oversold levels.

6
Trading (Not crypto) / How to get forex signals from Ichimoku Cloud 69
« on: February 20, 2019, 06:02:35 AM »
How to get forex signals from Ichimoku Cloud

The Ichimoku Cloud is a comprehensive indicator designed to produce clear trading signals. Chartists can first determine the trend by using the Cloud. Once the trend is established, appropriate forex trading signals can be determined using the price plot, Conversion Line, and Base Line. The classic signal is to look for the Conversion Line to cross the Base Line. While this forex signal can be effective, it can also be rare in a strong trend. More forex trading signals can be found by looking for price to cross the Base Line (or even the Conversion Line).
It is important to look for signals in the direction of the bigger trend. With the Cloud offering support in an uptrend, traders should also be on alert for bullish forex trading signals when prices approach the Cloud on a pullback or consolidation. Conversely, in a bigger downtrend, traders should be on alert for bearish signals when prices approach the Cloud on an oversold bounce or consolidation.
The Ichimoku Cloud can also be used in conjunction with other indicators. Traders can identify the trend using the Cloud and then use classic momentum oscillators to identify overbought or oversold conditions. Click here for a live example using the Ichimoku Cloud.

7
Trading (Not crypto) / forex signals and expanding triangle elliott wave
« on: February 19, 2019, 04:17:30 AM »
forex signals and expanding triangle elliott wave

gold Free forex signals live from the best accurate forex signals provider
GOLD
SELL @ 1321
TP @ 1311
SL @ 1326
free forex trading signals today Description by text
GOLD XAU USD is preferred to sell on Gold market
trading type order is Market Execution
Take profit TP @ 1311
Place stop loss   SL @ 1326
analysis of Free forex trading signals
gold Trend : gold move in sideways trend during last week
expanding triangle elliott wave is the Price pattern recognized for free forex signals live today
gold price touched the lower line of expanding triangle  two times
and gold tested the upper line of expanding triangle twice before and now price test the upper line for third time that generate sell gold forex signals
the currently bullish wave is equal 1.38 Fibonacci EXPANSION of previous wave
Important resistance level today is 1326
small shooting star Candlestick pattern formed on hourly chart
Free forex signals trading Intuition indicates bearish Next wave and trading sell signals


8
Trading (Not crypto) / Bollinger Bands guidelines
« on: February 08, 2019, 12:02:08 AM »

Bollinger Bands guidelines
 
forex signals : W-Bottoms
W-Bottoms were part of Arthur Merrill's work that identified 16 patterns with a basic W shape. Bollinger uses these various W patterns with Bollinger Bands to identify W-Bottoms. A “W-Bottom” forms in a downtrend and involves two reaction lows. In particular, Bollinger looks for W-Bottoms where the second low is lower than the first but holds above the lower band. There are four steps to confirm a W-Bottom with Bollinger Bands. First, a reaction low forms. This low is usually, but not always, below the lower band. Second, there is a bounce towards the middle band. Third, there is a new price low in the security. This low holds above the lower band. The ability to hold above the lower band on the test shows less weakness on the last decline. Fourth, the pattern is confirmed with a strong move off the second low and a resistance break.

forex signals : M-Tops
M-Tops were also part of Arthur Merrill's work that identified 16 patterns with a basic M shape. Bollinger uses these various M patterns with Bollinger Bands to identify M-Tops. According to Bollinger, tops are usually more complicated and drawn out than bottoms. Double tops, head-and-shoulders patterns, and diamonds represent evolving tops.
In its most basic form, an M-Top is similar to a double top. However, the reaction highs are not always equal. The first high can be higher or lower than the second high. Bollinger suggests looking for signs of non-confirmation when a security is making new highs. This is basically the opposite of the W-Bottom. A non-confirmation occurs with three steps. First, a security creates a reaction high above the upper band. Second, there is a pullback towards the middle band. Third, prices move above the prior high but fail to reach the upper band. This is a warning sign. The inability of the second reaction high to reach the upper band shows waning momentum, which can foreshadow a trend reversal. Final confirmation comes with a support break or bearish indicator forex trading signals .

forex signals : Walking the Bands
Moves above or below the bands are not signals per se. As Bollinger puts it, moves that touch or exceed the bands are not forex trading signals , but rather “tags”. On the face of it, a move to the upper band shows strength, while a sharp move to the lower band shows weakness. Momentum oscillators work much the same way. Overbought is not necessarily bullish. It takes strength to reach overbought levels and overbought conditions can extend in a strong uptrend. Similarly, prices can “walk the band” with numerous touches during a strong uptrend. Think about it for a moment. The upper band is 2 standard deviations above the 20-period simple moving average. It takes a pretty strong price move to exceed this upper band. An upper band touch that occurs after a Bollinger Band confirmed W-Bottom would signal the start of an uptrend. Just as a strong uptrend produces numerous upper band tags, it is also common for prices to never reach the lower band during an uptrend. The 20-day SMA sometimes acts as support. In fact, dips below the 20-day SMA sometimes provide buying opportunities before the next tag of the upper band.
Bollinger Bands reflect direction with the 20-period SMA and volatility with the upper/lower bands. As such, they can be used to determine if prices are relatively high or low. According to Bollinger, the bands should contain 88-89% of price action, which makes a move outside the bands significant. Technically, prices are relatively high when above the upper band and relatively low when below the lower band. However, relatively high should not be regarded as bearish or as a sell forex signals . Likewise, relatively low should not be considered bullish or as a buy signal. Prices are high or low for a reason. As with other indicators, Bollinger Bands are not meant to be used as a stand-alone tool. Chartists should combine Bollinger Bands with basic trend analysis and other indicators for confirmation.

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9

xau usd Free forex trading signals live
GOLD
SELL @ 1286
TP @ 1272
SL @ 1293
forex trading signals today Description by words
XAU USD is preferred to sell on GOLD market
type order Market Execution
Take profit  TP @ 1272
Place stop loss SL @ 1293
Free forex trading signals LIVE analysis
gold finished the up Trend in near and medium term and started corrective wave
free forex signals expects the bearish wave will continue in near term
gold prices break down Trend line near level 1285
Price pattern recognized today for daily free forex trading signals
expanded flat pattern  and symmetrical Triangles
Price action after symmetrical Triangles breakout gold Prices move down quickly
Fibonacci EXPANSION the decline current wave expect to be wave c of  expanded flat pattern and wave C will equal wave A
Important resistance level today is 1298
gold price chart formed many bearish engulfing Candlestick pattern
Free forex signals analysts team trading Intuition indicates to bearish Next move for gold price
the best accurate GBP USD FREE forex trading signals today
GBP USD
SELL @ 1.3035
TP @ 1.2965
SL @ 1.3075
the summery of GBP USD forex technical analysis is to sell
 

10
Trading (Not crypto) / Double Tops Eve and Eve from free forex signals
« on: January 20, 2019, 10:23:57 PM »
Double Tops Eve and Eve from free forex signals

Double Tops, Eve & Eve from free forex signals
Two peaks at about the same price level. Both peaks have wide, rounded looking tops
Upward price trend. Since we are dealing with tops, price must trend upward leading to the pattern and leave trending downward. Although that description may sound simple, a study of twin-peak patterns found that 65% climbed away from the pattern instead of dropping down to the confirmation line. The upward price trend leading to the double top need not be long
Top shape Both Eve peaks should appear rounded and wide, not made of a single, narrow price spike. The two peaks
should look the same.
Valley between tops Patterns with a large dip (a tall pattern) perform better than small (short) ones. The valley depth usually measures in the 10% to 20% range, but allow exceptions.
Top high prices Top to top price variation is small, usually 0% to 3%, but allow higher differences. Top separation Tops should be at least a few weeks apart with most falling in the 2–6 week range.
Confirmation price Confirmation is a close below the lowest low between thetwo tops. It confirms the twin top as a valid double top.
The confirmation price is also the breakout price
forex signals take profit and Measure rule
Compute the pattern height from the lowest low between the
two tops to the highest peak then divide in half. Subtract the
result from the lowest low. The result is the target price. Prices hit the target 73% of the time in a bull market, 76% in a bear market.
forex trading signals tips
Wait for breakout Wait for a close below the confirmation point before selling—usually.
Wait for trend change If you can determine when the forex bottoms or if the pattern busts, then buy.
Select patterns in a bear market for the best average decline
Pullbacks hurt performance, so check for underlying support
Tall and narrow patterns perform best
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11
Trading (Not crypto) / Diamond Tops and Trading Tactics
« on: January 12, 2019, 10:20:27 PM »
Diamond Tops and Trading Tactics

Diamond pattern forms after an upward price trend. Breakout is upward.
identification guidelines for diamond tops
Prior price trend. The short-term price trend is up just before the formation,
leading to the minor high on the left. Then prices decline and form a
minor low before moving higher again. In late September, prices reach a new
high before cascading downward to finish below the prior minor low. Again,
prices rise up and form another minor high before breaking down through the
upward trend line on the right.
Diamond shape. The fluctuations of minor highs and lows form a diamond
shape when the peaks and valleys connect
Volume trend. The volume trend is receding, especially in the latter half
of the formation when the price is narrowing (and the chart pattern resembles
a symmetrical triangle).
Breakout volume. The breakout volume is usually high but is not a prerequisite
to a properly behaved diamond.
Should you locate a diamond pattern and discover that it may be a headand-
shoulders top, do not worry. In both cases, the formation is bearish. When
such a collision occurs, choose the formation that gives you the more conservative
performance results (see the measure rule).
Support and resistance. Support and resistance for diamond tops commonly
appear at the top of the formation
target price Measure rule Compute the formation height by subtracting the lowest low
from the highest high in the formation. For downward
breakouts, subtract the difference from the location where
prices pierce the diamond boundary. For upward breakouts,
add the difference to the breakout price. The result is the
minimum price move to expect. Alternatively, formations often
return to price levels from which they begin. The base serves as a minimum price move.
Wait for breakout For best results, wait for price to close outside the diamond
trend line before placing a trade signal .
Risk/reward Look for support (risk) and resistance (reward) zones before
placing a trade. These zones are where the trend is likely to
pause or even stop. From the current closing price (before the
breakout), compute the difference between the zones and the
current price. The ratio of the two must be compelling enough to risk a trade.

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12
  daily XAU USD Free forex trading signals live from the best free forex signals provider
GOLD
SELL @ 1294
TP @ 1280
SL @ 1301
GOLD forex trading signals today Description by words
gold is preferred to sell on gold market – type order Market Execution
Take profit  TP @ 1280
Place stop loss   SL @ 1301
Free forex trading signals analysis live
gold Trend in medium term is bullish and gold stop rising near level 1297
and started sideways move
forex trading pattern recognized for daily free forex trading signals
is ZIGZAG pattern , wave A (five waves) from level 1276 to level 1295
wave B (three waves), from level 1295 to level 1279 and wave C (five waves) started at level 1279 and ended at 1297
the current Measured move pattern generate gold sell trading signals today
Fibonacci EXPANSION
free forex signals expects expanded flat pattern and gold price will decline where wave c = 1.62 % of wave A
Important resistance level today IS 1297
BEARISH engulfing Candlestick pattern appears on hourly chart and give entry sell point
Free forex signals dot com trading Intuition indicates bearish Next wave on very near term
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13
Advertise Your Stuff / Diamond Bottoms and Trading Tactic
« on: January 08, 2019, 07:22:22 PM »
Diamond Bottoms and Trading Tactic
Diamond pattern forms after a downward price trend. Breakout is upward.
Prior price trend. Since we are dealing with diamond bottoms and not
tops, the prevailing price trend is downward leading to the diamond.
The hardest part of identifying any pattern is seeing the shape prices make.
For diamonds, they are especially difficult to identify. However, they occur
many times at price turning points. Thus, look for diamond bottoms at the end
of a downward price trend. Rarely, diamonds appear in the middle of the trend
and prices continue lower instead of reversing.
Diamond shape. When prospecting for diamonds look for prices to widen
out over time forming higher highs and lower lows. The price pattern should
look like a broadening bottom chart pattern. Then, prices narrow, forming lower
highs and higher lows. The second half should look like a symmetrical triangle.
If you draw trend lines around the minor lows and highs, the result should
appear diamond shaped. More likely, the diamond’s top or bottom will be
pushed to one side, making it appear as though the chart pattern is leaning over.
Diamond Bottoms and Trading Tactic
Measure rule Measure the diamond height from the highest high to the lowest
low and then add the result to the breakout price if the breakout is
upward; subtract the result from the breakout price for downward
breakouts. The result is the target price.
Quick rise/fall Prices often return to the base following a quick rise or fall preceding
the diamond.
Wait for breakout The diamond can break out in any direction, so wait for the breakout.

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14
Trading (Not crypto) / Cup with Handle Inverted and sell trade signal
« on: January 02, 2019, 02:03:39 PM »
Cup with Handle Inverted and sell trade signal

Appearance Price follows the shape of an inverted cup followed by a handle. Price breaks out downward.
Upward price trend Just over half the time, the pattern forms as a price top, meaning that prices enter and exit the pattern from the bottom.
Rounded cup Look for a smooth, rounded cup, but accept deviations.
Cup rims The starting and ending points of the cup should stop near the same
price, usually less than 6% difference.
Cup handle Between the right cup rim and the breakout is the handle. It can be
any length. The median is 40 days long.
Cup retrace Price in the handle must not climb above the top of the pattern but
should bounce upward. The three most frequent retrace amounts
are, in order, 42%, 35%, and 60%.
Breakout Price must close below the right cup rim before the pattern is valid.
Cup with Handle Inverted and free forex trading signals
Measure rule Compute the handle height then subtract it from the price of the
right rim low. Warning: This only works about half the time
Head-and- shoulders Look to the left of the cup to see if another handle appears. If so, this might be a head-and-shoulders top with a fat head and two
handles as shoulders.
Open short When price closes below the right rim low, short fx signals .
Close short If prices decline quickly, several points in a few days (almost
vertical), consider closing the short position. Prices usually rebound after such quick declines.
Trend line
Draw a trend line down from the handle. When price closes above the trend line, cover your short.
Measured move down
The handle may be the corrective phase of a measured move down (MMD). Sell when prices near the amount of the first leg decline.


15
Trading (Not crypto) / Cup with Handle and buy trading signals
« on: December 30, 2018, 10:37:43 PM »
Cup with Handle and buy trading signals
Cup with Handle and generate buy trading signals
Cup with Handle is Looks like a cup profile with the handle on the right
brief review of the guidelines I found important.
Rise before cup is at least 30%. As I was selecting cup-with-handle patterns, it became apparent that
locating cups during an uptrend was important.
So I used O’Neil’s minimum rise to the left cup lip of 30%. To measure this, I applied the same method as
for finding the trend start and reviewed those that fell short of 30%. If the trend start using
the mechanical method was shy (usually by just a few percentage points) of the
required 30% but the price trend appeared longer on examination, I accepted
the pattern. Just 15 of 471 patterns (3%) were in this category.
U-shaped cup, handle duration. I removed all V-shaped cups and kept
the U-shaped ones. I am not sure about the performance effect of this. Also
removed were those cups with handles shorter than 7 days (5 trading days). A
cup without a handle is a rounding bottom. I considered the handle length as
the distance from the right cup lip to the breakout.
Cup duration. I used a strict interpretation of O’Neil’s cup duration.
Removed were short cups (fewer than 7 weeks) and overly long ones (over
65 weeks).
Handles form in upper half of cup. I used a more lax interpretation of
where the handle forms on the cup. In other words, I visually inspected the
cups to be sure prices in the handle drifted no lower than halfway down the
cup. I removed those drifting lower (include all with downward breakouts).
When measuring distance, use an arithmetic chart
Cup lips near same price. Finally, I selected cups with lips (tops) at
approximately the same price level. Cups with uneven lips are better classified
as scallops.
determine take profit of forex trading signals
Measure rule Compute the formation height by subtracting the lowest low
reached in the cup from the high at the right cup lip. Add the
difference to the high at the right cup lip and the result is the
target price to which prices will climb, at a minimum. Only 50% of
the formations rise that far in a bull market; 27% hit the target in a
bear market. Use half the cup height to get a more realistic price
target (met 76% of the time in a bull market; 55% in a bear market).


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