Halving likelihood to be in red?

[Baofeng]

Not just the whales but people trading bitcoin are many and they are holding than selling which makes bitcoin to become scarce and the price increasing. Also that if someone do not need the money invested on bitcoin, he can wait until bitcoin increase significantly in 2025. The prediction is that bitcoin bull run will last till 2025. But some people may sell earlier but not sell all which I think is a good strategy.

Basically after halving comes another bear market, I don't know how possible is this since most people always said that after halving we experience little dip which might likely affects many holders to stair them to panic sell than holding throughout the hard time. So any thing  next year is when we are going to experience full bull run than now, however is just few days left for the halving let see what the price could be.

The likely dip before the halving must has steam from it's past history. But as we look at it, could be very different as we have reach new all time high before the halving itself.

So there is this new trend that we are seeing and so we really don't know if we are going to be in red post halving as pre halving shows that it is not the case. Just a couple of weeks, it's almost the end of March and next week going to be very excited for us. And we will see another halving and personally, I'm expecting a huge bull run till the end of 2024.

[I-Bit]

Basically after halving comes another bear market, I don't know how possible is this since most people always said that after halving we experience little dip which might likely affects many holders to stair them to panic sell than holding throughout the hard time. So any thing  next year is when we are going to experience full bull run than now, however is just few days left for the halving let see what the price could be.

Don't you learn the cycle of bearish and bullish season?
If you learn it, you must be aware that it will last 4 years. 2 years for bearish and 2 years for bullish. We just experience 1 year bullish season, there should be 1 more year. And according to the history, the ATH of most coins will be in the 2nd year of bullish season. That's why people predicted the altcoins season and the ATH of BTC will be in 2025.

Why we are afraid of another bearish after halving?

[TopT3ns]

Basically after halving comes another bear market, I don't know how possible is this since most people always said that after halving we experience little dip which might likely affects many holders to stair them to panic sell than holding throughout the hard time. So any thing  next year is when we are going to experience full bull run than now, however is just few days left for the halving let see what the price could be.

Don't you learn the cycle of bearish and bullish season?
If you learn it, you must be aware that it will last 4 years. 2 years for bearish and 2 years for bullish. We just experience 1 year bullish season, there should be 1 more year. And according to the history, the ATH of most coins will be in the 2nd year of bullish season. That's why people predicted the altcoins season and the ATH of BTC will be in 2025.

Why we are afraid of another bearish after halving?

Yes, currently there may be a bearish situation because as you said, the cryptocurrency price movement cycle only has two directions, bullish and bearish, a few days ago the bullish happened, now is the time for the bearish and we have to prepare our safety belts because there will be a collapse.

[joniboini]

If you learn it, you must be aware that it will last 4 years. 2 years for bearish and 2 years for bullish. We just experience 1 year bullish season, there should be 1 more year. And according to the history, the ATH of most coins will be in the 2nd year of bullish season. That's why people predicted the altcoins season and the ATH of BTC will be in 2025.

This is my first time seeing the 4 years cycle interpreted this way. It makes sense if you view the sideway accumulation that happens as bearish (or bullish, depending on how you see it). Most people that I know of use this 4 years time frame to refer to reaching new ATH after a significant dump or bear market, not necessarily how long or how high the bull run will be.

I think some people are new to the market, or believe that the cycle can be broken this time. They are afraid of big dumps or bearish months after halving happened. It is fair to assume so since nobody knows the future, but they should also prepare other plans in case we enter a new euphoria soon after.

[Kemarit]

If you learn it, you must be aware that it will last 4 years. 2 years for bearish and 2 years for bullish. We just experience 1 year bullish season, there should be 1 more year. And according to the history, the ATH of most coins will be in the 2nd year of bullish season. That's why people predicted the altcoins season and the ATH of BTC will be in 2025.

This is my first time seeing the 4 years cycle interpreted this way. It makes sense if you view the sideway accumulation that happens as bearish (or bullish, depending on how you see it). Most people that I know of use this 4 years time frame to refer to reaching new ATH after a significant dump or bear market, not necessarily how long or how high the bull run will be.

I think some people are new to the market, or believe that the cycle can be broken this time. They are afraid of big dumps or bearish months after halving happened. It is fair to assume so since nobody knows the future, but they should also prepare other plans in case we enter a new euphoria soon after.

I think there were impressions that the cycle can be broken because indeed we have seen the market getting into a new all time high prior to the halving. And that is the first and so with that, who knows, maybe we will see super bullish cycle or super bearish on in-between, it's hard to know for now.

But once thing is for sure, as we experience the halving, the price will go on a parabolic rise, as how big? we really can't say and only predict that a minimum of $100k can be reach this cycle.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

This is mainly focused on those that deal on future or don't have strong hands because holders can persevere through trying times and come out victorious.
Okay this is born out of my pessimism though. What if the early stage of this halving would be similar to ETF approval.
Like people are already buying the rumor I believe many would sell the news and a dump would occur after or a day/two before the halving.  What are your thoughts on this?
Does selling the news still apply here?


Note :This is not really a advice. In my opinion if you longing bitcoin in future in this coming months do so with sufficient funds and good risk management accompanied by lower leverage.
We all know that there would be a rise after an halving,  but who would benefit are those with strong hands and the ability not to be swayed by market dip.

Still on the topic, what are your thoughts on the early days of this halving?

We don't have to worry ourselves on anything that is not worth it, we have to take advantage in making investments, there's nothing we can do in helping ourself in this than to invest and hodl, if we say that we are going to go by the way the current market plays being unpredictable on us, we are just going to be roaming about with it in fear and we may not arrive at anything, ours is to wait and hodl with our investment.

The HODL strategy is undeniably the best approach to use when approaching Bitcoin investment, this is why so many experts would always  recommend HODLing onto your Bitcoin rather than trying to time the market, which is the worse approach an investor can ever think of employing. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, and trying to buy and sell at the perfect moment is often more difficult than it seems. There's no way to be sure of future outcome when it comes to Bitcoin. It doesn't really matter what majority of investors are saying, it could still turn out to have quite the opposite outcome.

[doc]

The HODL strategy is undeniably the best approach to use when approaching Bitcoin investment, this is why so many experts would always  recommend HODLing onto your Bitcoin rather than trying to time the market, which is the worse approach an investor can ever think of employing. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, and trying to buy and sell at the perfect moment is often more difficult than it seems. There's no way to be sure of future outcome when it comes to Bitcoin. It doesn't really matter what majority of investors are saying, it could still turn out to have quite the opposite outcome.

Bitcoin is a coin that is suitable to hold for the future, and this has been proven for years by the price of Bitcoin getting more expensive in a 4 year cycle. Whether we see the price of bitcoin reach over $1B in the future, this is likely to happen.

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

In the world of crypto/Bitcoin investment, you're expected to be observant and also expect anything and everything because speculations drawn from past performances is not guaranteed to influence future results so while you're HODLing, the market might take unexpected turns and new speculations may arise and if you're not strong enough to stick to HODLing, you might be swept off by the news or the speculations around which may lead you to making hasty decisions that may affect your investment.

So whatever turn the market may take, whether a DIP before, on or after the Halving, we should always remember one thing, and that's the fact that Bitcoin has the potential of recovering from every DIP, and that should always be your inspiration to keep HODLing.

[IvugeoEvolutionCoin]

Bitcoin is a coin that is suitable to hold for the future, and this has been proven for years by the price of Bitcoin getting more expensive in a 4 year cycle. Whether we see the price of bitcoin reach over $1B in the future, this is likely to happen.

Agree, with bitcoin we can make a lot of profit because as you said, once every 4 years we can sell it at a high price if we want to make a profit, to buy bitcoin I recommend buying during the bearish season or when the price of bitcoin collapses.

[Jamal Aezaz]

Agree, with bitcoin we can make a lot of profit because as you said, once every 4 years we can sell it at a high price if we want to make a profit, to buy bitcoin I recommend buying during the bearish season or when the price of bitcoin collapses.

If we hold Bitcoin longer then we can minimise our loss therefore hold Bitcoin if you think that price is lower and selling cannot give you profit. Now the price is lower so selling at this stage will not help anyone to create greater profit therefore wait for halving to increase the worth of Bitcoin so you can easily benefit from increasing the price of Bitcoin.

Currently the price will collapse so if someone trusts that Bitcoin will go to 100k$ should buy now because 60k$ is very much lower price than 100k$ which will happen in current year or start of the next year.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Agree, with bitcoin we can make a lot of profit because as you said, once every 4 years we can sell it at a high price if we want to make a profit, to buy bitcoin I recommend buying during the bearish season or when the price of bitcoin collapses.

If we hold Bitcoin longer then we can minimise our loss therefore hold Bitcoin if you think that price is lower and selling cannot give you profit. Now the price is lower so selling at this stage will not help anyone to create greater profit therefore wait for halving to increase the worth of Bitcoin so you can easily benefit from increasing the price of Bitcoin.

Currently the price will collapse so if someone trusts that Bitcoin will go to 100k$ should buy now because 60k$ is very much lower price than 100k$ which will happen in current year or start of the next year.

You are right, in fact I have a thought that is always very correct, if the price of bticoin is below the last ATH, then it is a great option to buy, there is no other option, because it is not good to buy when it is going up, however When this happens, the eproans in the world get into coins and start buying bitcoin as if they were crazy, without realizing that they may be losing money, but how is this controlled? It is difficult because most people always try to do things very differently, they always want to make money now, immediately and that makes things go wrong, because they buy when it is going up and for example they buy at $100k and when they have it at $50 k and they get scared and sell, when they don't sell they realize that the price goes up to $150k of course this is a hypothetical thing, but wow it can happen.

[doc]

Agree, with bitcoin we can make a lot of profit because as you said, once every 4 years we can sell it at a high price if we want to make a profit, to buy bitcoin I recommend buying during the bearish season or when the price of bitcoin collapses.

If we hold Bitcoin longer then we can minimise our loss therefore hold Bitcoin if you think that price is lower and selling cannot give you profit. Now the price is lower so selling at this stage will not help anyone to create greater profit therefore wait for halving to increase the worth of Bitcoin so you can easily benefit from increasing the price of Bitcoin.

Currently the price will collapse so if someone trusts that Bitcoin will go to 100k$ should buy now because 60k$ is very much lower price than 100k$ which will happen in current year or start of the next year.

You are right, in fact I have a thought that is always very correct, if the price of bticoin is below the last ATH, then it is a great option to buy, there is no other option, because it is not good to buy when it is going up, however When this happens, the eproans in the world get into coins and start buying bitcoin as if they were crazy, without realizing that they may be losing money, but how is this controlled? It is difficult because most people always try to do things very differently, they always want to make money now, immediately and that makes things go wrong, because they buy when it is going up and for example they buy at $100k and when they have it at $50 k and they get scared and sell, when they don't sell they realize that the price goes up to $150k of course this is a hypothetical thing, but wow it can happen.

Everyone has a strategy and belief in buying coins with their own considerations and analysis. They can buy now because the price is still below the previous ATH, because bitcoin is predicted to rise and reach a new ATAH in the next few months.

[JoyMarsha]

Whether the halving is likely to be red or green, is not my area of concern at the moment because what I am looking at, is what will be of bitcoin, months after the halving.

It is already predicted based on the history of bitcoin, that bitcoin will skyrocket more than before, months after the halving. However, whatever price I see at this time, be it red candlelight, it's in my favor to accumulate bitcoin at a discount price. Months later there will be a big price movement in the crypto market affecting the price of bitcoin and other altcoins

[TopT3ns]

Everyone has a strategy and belief in buying coins with their own considerations and analysis. They can buy now because the price is still below the previous ATH, because bitcoin is predicted to rise and reach a new ATAH in the next few months.

But I prefer to buy bitcoin because there is very profitable potential when we can hold bitcoin assets for a very long time. We can see the price of Bitcoin from year to year the price of Bitcoin has a very expensive price so I am very confident in Bitcoin for the future better.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Everyone has a strategy and belief in buying coins with their own considerations and analysis. They can buy now because the price is still below the previous ATH, because bitcoin is predicted to rise and reach a new ATAH in the next few months.

You are right, well I have said these things because I have read some articles where things are basically presented like this, according to Kiyosaki he says that it can reach $250k, according to other investors they say that they can reach a price close to $150k, of course I don't want to sound sensationalist, but the halving has already passed, we have to be aware of the impact of these things, because in 2025 another 4-year cycle will be completed, and as we have seen it is like a pattern of increasing the price and if the effect increases further halving and because of the effect that ETFs have, which should already begin to be seen, because taking these things into consideration it is likely that if a great ATH results in a new great ATH, then these things are why Everything they say is clear Here it makes me see the market in a different way and that is what enriches us.