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Messages - TomPluz

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1

With the "bearish" mood of the Bitcoin market right now just around two weeks after the halving, many are really wondering where is the direction the King of Cryptos can be taking us and whether we can soon see the impact and benefits of the halving come to the market so we can experience a new bull run either this year or 2025. Now, we know that halving will not immediately make Bitcoin a very attractive asset again...and surely this can be taking some months.

According to Bitfinex market report: "Bitcoin could experience up to two months of price consolidation following the halving.
Bitcoin could continue to be the price action benchmark for the crypto market in May and the leading indicator for the entire cryptocurrency market cap. In addition, the macroeconomic environment is more resilient than in previous years and the likelihood of rate cuts remains low in the short term."

In case this analysis can be true, then it would be good to just continually hodl and wait as this is not a question of IF but of WHEN. This can be the best time to exercise caution and not be swayed by temporary movements of the market and look for the long-term prospect of Bitcoin.




2

Any company based and doing business in the United States must never allow transactions to proceed with people of countries under economic sanctions otherwise sooner or later there will be government agencies to go after it. I am a little bit surprised that it took a whistleblower to open the Pandora's box for Block Inc. Let's see how the government will be handling this case and if there will be some personalities that can be getting some prison terms or will there will be a huge fine to be imposed on the payment company. Block is not operating here in my country so am not so familiar with this platform but I see that this came into popularity all because of Jack Dorsey, a well-known cryptocurrency supporter and was associated a lot with the former Twitter (now X under Elon Musk). I guess 2024 will also be a year where cases are filed against crypto-related platforms for various forms of violations...am hoping the same will not be true in 2025.

3


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4
...if we are in this kind of situation where the electricity is still on like its normal situation still and internet is accessible, wouldn't it make sense for the warlords to accept BTC and other crypto?

I am going to see where I can watch this supposedly good movie According to Wikipedia: "Civil War is a 2024 dystopian war film written and directed by Alex Garland. It follows a team of journalists traveling across the United States during a civil war fought between an authoritarian federal government and several regional factions." Now, to answer your question, I think the producers and writers of the said movie have never thought of cryptocurrency and that is why they opted for Canadian Dollar. We have to remember that in case there can be a nationwide civil war, the government will not be functional well and central banking can be collapsing so fiat money can be worthless. In case, there can still be electricity (solar option can surely be available unless there is already a nuclear war) and the internet, then money can be Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto gang and there can be some that will introduce war memecoins. Of course, all of these things are just speculative ideas as nobody can be sure of what can happen in case we can experience a big civil war disruption. Let's hope we can never have the bitter taste of a civil war in our lifetime.






5
The condition remains the same in every field, an exception could be the medical field.

Maybe for now the medical field is spared from possible huge job losses but with the emergence of technologies prodded by AI the time will come when this industry will also be facing its own headwinds. In the past many months, I always read news of many big corporations like Meta and Google who slashed their human resources as they faced some bleak future possibilities. And I think this trend will continue to be affecting many businesses all over the world most especially in USA. Indeed, we can say that the global economy is downsizing and we should be prepared the ill-effects of this continuing problem.

6
Also wondering how many of you invested in memecoins last time? Or did you quit too soon?  :P

I am not into memecoins and all because for me this has become like a gambling type of projects. Most memecoins are not solid and in fact they will only think of their utility cases after they achieve some level of popularity. However, that is in fact the very nature of memecoins...they are here for some people to make some money and people behind any memecoin will be gone when they see that the project is going nowhere. I can see that these days, it would not be easy to start a memecoin and I think you just need some minimal capital for this enterprise and then use some hypes to reach out to as many investing people as possible. I read somewhere that 99% of new memecoins will naturally die within their first 3 weeks of existence...am not sure if that is true but the point is that they can be liken to mushroom that will sprout abundantly and then will be gone soon after. And we have to be careful in choosing what memecoins to support, if one is really so attractive to this option and then pray that they would pole-vault x100 as soon as possible otherwise one can just be wondering what happened.




7
Meme Coins / Re: Started by two whales who know how to HODL
« on: Today at 06:13:24 AM »
...it's like looking for a needle in a haystack and finding a meme that will turn out like Shiba and PEPE, they have the same features they are all pump and dump and there's no utility whatsoever. I'm just surprised by the longevity of this meme trend, developers keep creating while investors keep losing money.

At this point, getting into memecoin type of  projects most especially newly sprouted is going to be a very risky proposition. I understand that it is Solana that has become the biggest beneficiary of this strong trend these past many months and because this has become a popular movement so many new players are coming in for the sake of taking advantage of the willing market thereby making some money as much as possible. There is only one big problem as most of these memecoins will not actually make it and see the daylight leaving many trusting and investing supporters holding digital assets with no real value. I have seen the same developments when ICO was at rage in 2017 and 2018...and in 2023 and 2024 we are seeing the same thing. I am so careful with risky project and that is why I prefer not to risk my hard-earned money with a project like this...not unless it is endorsed by Elon Musk.



8
News related to Crypto / Russia prepares for total crypto ban
« on: May 01, 2024, 01:55:44 PM »

After China banned cryptocurrency years ago, I think we can be facing the same development in Russia which is supposedly a good market for cryptocurrency but because the government in Kremlin is not so friendly with it there had been some skirmishes against the industry players based in Russia and now this news that restriction will finally be imposed except digital financial assets issued in Russian jurisdiction starting in September 2024.

"Russia will enforce a strict ban on the general circulation of crypto assets such as Bitcoin, allowing only digital financial assets issued within its jurisdiction. This initiative, led by Anatoly Aksakov, Chairman of the State Duma Committee on the Financial Market, is part of a broader governmental effort to control the crypto ecosystem amid rising geopolitical tensions.
Aksakov stated that the forthcoming legislation aims to restrict non-Russian crypto operations to reinforce the ruble’s dominance."

Read more here: https://cryptobriefing.com/russia-crypto-ban-reinforce-ruble/

Though this is truly sad news, I would say that this development will not anymore have any impact with cryptocurrency in general as I think the market has had already discounted Russia and China years ago. Do you agree with me?





9


I am very sympathetic to CZ on his case in USA and I was actually sad of learning that he is facing some possible jail time...now when the sentence finally came there is a big sigh of relief that it is just actually just four months. Of course, there can be some other penalties included that can affect how he can do business in USA however the most important thing is that CZ is not getting what SBF received. I am sure that the whole cryptocurrency industry is rejoicing with this bittersweet moment of CZ though, of course, we believe that the case should have never brought on against this pioneering figure that contributed a lot to the industry's development.


10
Bitcoin News & Updates / Re: Roger arrested
« on: May 01, 2024, 01:35:25 PM »


This is a surprising turn of events of Roger Ver, one of the few people who really benefitted a lot in owning and subsequently selling BTC in its pioneering years and is very much known to be leading his own Bitcoin Cash (BCH), first of the Bitcoin forks. Arrested in Spain, the man is facing mail fraud, tax evasion and filing false tax returns alleged to have caused a loss to the IRS of at least $48 million. So right now, we are seeing a barrage of many cases against people who worked and made money in the cryptocurrency industry. Lat year, we witnessed the fall of FTX and later on the 25-year sentence of Sam Bankman-Friend and then Changpeng Zhao just got four months of prison terms for violating US money-laundering laws when Binance allowed transactions circling on child sex abuse, the illegal drug trade and ‘terrorism’. This case on Roger Ver is worth watching and let's wait how many months or years will he get as a sentence. I am just wondering if there is really a coordinated movement by the US government to go after people in cryptocurrency.



11


So far, it is quite clear that ETFs for Bitcoin in any other country than USA failed to really make the market moves for BTC. Even before the approval and operation of ETFs in USA, there were already other countries that started their own ETFs but just like the recently opened Hong Kong market, they are not considered to be big players in the market all because of minuscule business volume, unlike the one we witnessed in USA. What is clear to me right now is that ETFs in USA is now becoming a major direct influencer for the price of Bitcoin in the global market and we can see how it can be affecting the asset in the next many years...where its ups and downs are inextricably linked to each other. Will there are those who assumed that ETFs in Hong Kong can be of big help for Bitcoin in terms of pushing demand, what happened is the opposite where its lackluster performance somewhat contribute to further weakening of the price of Bitcoin.

12
Bitcoin Forum / Re: Has the bear market started?
« on: May 01, 2024, 12:59:55 PM »
Do you think we are headed for a bitcoin bull market or a bear market?

Right now, BTC is at $57K and I would say that this is a dramatic fall as it was more than $60K some days ago. I am in fact quite surprised by this weakening stance of Bitcoin and I am sure that we can expect some further deterioration of its price as the market sentiment is now enveloped by a big bearish mood. Now, can we say that we are already in the bearish market? I would not speculate on that but judging by the coin's performance for the past many days, I think we are witnessing the return of the bear though it does not mean that the bull is already out as there can also be a big chance that the market will be reversing in a moment. The weakening of Bitcoin is happening partly due to the continuing outflows in ETFs so unless there can be a new direction in the market, most probably we can see BTC going backward as low as $40K...and that is something I dread and should not happen.


13
Cryptocurrency discussions / Re: Again, Don't Ignore Security
« on: May 01, 2024, 12:43:12 PM »
These measures may seem elementary, yet it is astounding how easily they can be disregarded when one is fixated on chasing the "next 100x" gain.

Honestly speaking, the cryptocurrency industry has become the hotbed of innovations as well as scams and frauds...and we are witnessing it almost everyday when we heard of news of this platform and that site hacked and millions of dollars worth of assets were stolen - some were recovered while many were not. Sad to say, this industry is really representative of the phrase and the idea of the "fruit of both good and evil." We know that the blockchain and cryptocurrency can be the next step for humanity most especially when it comes to money, finance, banking and here we are talking of empowering people to decide their future right on their fingertips but there are so many dangers around with twisted people all fantasizing and planning to steal as many coins and tokens as they can and bringing chaos and havoc to many victims. With the new technology comes the very risk of being exposed to frauds with the aim to steal from platforms and people their digital assets. And it is so vital that we must be on our toe in making sure everything is secure so these evil people will not have any chance to get to us. Certainly, there is no point of experiencing the next x100 gains if one day they will all be gone to someone else we never authorized.





14

Quote

Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs began trading in Hong Kong, but day-one trading volumes were a fraction of those recorded in the United States in January 2024.

Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) finally hit Hong Kong markets, but trading volumes suggest that the launch of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States set an exceptionally high bar to match.

The six new crypto ETFs' total trading volume at the closing bell on day one in Hong Kong was 87.58 million Hong Kong dollars ($12 million). This number pales in comparison to the first-day trading volume of U.S. Bitcoin ETFs, which was valued at $4.6 billion.



Read more of this crypto news here!








15

Quote

MicroStrategy, often dubbed a prominent “Bitcoin development firm” has once again garnered attention following its financial update for Q1 2024. Despite reporting a net loss of $53.1 million, the firm remains steadfast in its pursuit of acquiring Bitcoin, further expanding its already significant cryptocurrency holdings.

Between April 1 and April 26, MicroStrategy went on to add a whopping 122 BTC to its reserves. This was worth $7.8 million. While this figure might be pale compared to previous purchases, it symbolizes MicroStrategy’s unwavering dedication to strengthening its Bitcoin portfolio. This comes amidst turbulent market conditions.



Read more of this news here!




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