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Author Topic: What about your exit Plan ?  (Read 7993 times)

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #150 on: September 03, 2024, 01:05:06 PM »
I never think i could think ahead of that time of 1-2 years, what i still going plan is just for this year, that depends this coming bear months, if i can profit or not by just holding and stacking weekly from signature campaign payments.
That would be also good idea, Because there is still more than one or two years left for the bear season. It is also a good strategy to be able to invest in Bitcoin in the DIP market with time opportunity, I will call this strategy more like DCA strategy, which is the best for risk management. And the main thing is that depending on your earnings, you can target the bear season after one more year and accumulate funds for investment.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #150 on: September 03, 2024, 01:05:06 PM »

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #151 on: September 03, 2024, 04:43:03 PM »
I think we need to think about the 4 year cycle and just how much it can shift price. Each cycle has had less of an effect on price.

2013, 1300
2017   19800
2021   69000
2025    100,000?

Maybe so.

13 to 17 we did 15x
17 to 21 we did  3.2
21 to 25 a reduced num
Hm, that above calculation is already wrong I think because in March of 2024 we had new all time high meaning it can't be reduced number compared to 2021.

As many here, I do think that $100k is attainable this cycle, but I don;t think we gonna go much more than that and I expect many selling when we reach that barrier.
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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #152 on: September 04, 2024, 02:05:13 PM »
I never think i could think ahead of that time of 1-2 years, what i still going plan is just for this year, that depends this coming bear months, if i can profit or not by just holding and stacking weekly from signature campaign payments.
That would be also good idea, Because there is still more than one or two years left for the bear season. It is also a good strategy to be able to invest in Bitcoin in the DIP market with time opportunity, I will call this strategy more like DCA strategy, which is the best for risk management. And the main thing is that depending on your earnings, you can target the bear season after one more year and accumulate funds for investment.
Agreed. DCA in this case comes handy as an investment approach during a bear market since it enables you to buy more Bitcoin for your money and at the same time, minimize your exposure to risks. By investing wisely, increasing and decreasing the amount of money that you invest depending with your earnings and also periods of bear and bull markets, you shall be able to invest during a bad market period and get prepared for a better market period in the future. Besides, it enables you to deal with risks and can be beneficial when seeking to get the biggest share of your profit.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #153 on: September 04, 2024, 02:07:20 PM »
I think we need to think about the 4 year cycle and just how much it can shift price. Each cycle has had less of an effect on price.

2013, 1300
2017   19800
2021   69000
2025    100,000?

Maybe so.

13 to 17 we did 15x
17 to 21 we did  3.2
21 to 25 a reduced num
Hm, that above calculation is already wrong I think because in March of 2024 we had new all time high meaning it can't be reduced number compared to 2021.

As many here, I do think that $100k is attainable this cycle, but I don;t think we gonna go much more than that and I expect many selling when we reach that barrier.

Perhaps he was looking at the 4 year cycle, and with that even though we have reaches $73,000 in March it's not the all time high and we could be look at 2025 to see $100,000++.

So still a long way to go, and if his calculations is right, reduce x number of returns, and so we will have all our predictions, < 2.xxx returns?
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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #154 on: September 04, 2024, 04:46:28 PM »
I think we need to think about the 4 year cycle and just how much it can shift price. Each cycle has had less of an effect on price.

2013, 1300
2017   19800
2021   69000
2025    100,000?

Maybe so.

13 to 17 we did 15x
17 to 21 we did  3.2
21 to 25 a reduced num
Hm, that above calculation is already wrong I think because in March of 2024 we had new all time high meaning it can't be reduced number compared to 2021.

As many here, I do think that $100k is attainable this cycle, but I don;t think we gonna go much more than that and I expect many selling when we reach that barrier.

Perhaps he was looking at the 4 year cycle, and with that even though we have reaches $73,000 in March it's not the all time high and we could be look at 2025 to see $100,000++.

So still a long way to go, and if his calculations is right, reduce x number of returns, and so we will have all our predictions, < 2.xxx returns?
Yes 2025 may be a good time for Bitcoin according to Bitcoin's four year circle and logic and then Bitcoin may cross a major milestone for the first time which is $100k. Many of us dream of seeing Bitcoin at this price. And many are investing heavily in Bitcoin with the intention of Bitcoin hitting this price. Perhaps our wait is about to end very soon. And Q4 of 2024 is left to reach 2025. And within this period, a major correction in Bitcoin price will create a strong position.

The price of the coin has been down a lot for a few days and today is still down. This may be the last major correction of Bitcoin.  And then we will probably see a much bigger Bull Run in Bitcoin.
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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #155 on: September 04, 2024, 07:29:58 PM »
Agreed. DCA in this case comes handy as an investment approach during a bear market since it enables you to buy more Bitcoin for your money and at the same time, minimize your exposure to risks. By investing wisely, increasing and decreasing the amount of money that you invest depending with your earnings and also periods of bear and bull markets, you shall be able to invest during a bad market period and get prepared for a better market period in the future. Besides, it enables you to deal with risks and can be beneficial when seeking to get the biggest share of your profit.
Many people think that they have little funds, so if they invest in Bitcoin, nothing will happen, I mean they will not get any profit, but this is actually a wrong thinking, there is no obligation to invest a large amount in Bitcoin. You can invest a certain amount every week or every month regularly for long term and in this case it is definitely more profitable. And this is basically what we consider as DCA method.

If we see most of the newbies have this misconception that they have to invest huge amount of money in Bitcoin and for that reason they don't dare to do Bitcoin investment and avoid it. Moreover, another thing is that many new investors make large investments in Bitcoin at the beginning and later sell Bitcoin at a loss due to panic.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #156 on: September 04, 2024, 09:44:19 PM »
The exit plan varies from one person to another depending on the circumstances and conditions of each person. Some people have the ability to go all the way, but some are unable to do so, so they may find an early exit plan.

But in general, for me, achieving a profit of 100-150% would be a very good thing. This means that if I bought Bitcoin at a price of 35-40K$, it would be very appropriate for me to sell it at a price of 100K$. If your conditions are good, you can sell 50% at a price of 100K$ and hold The rest until the price reaches 150K$.

In general, I prefer the exit strategy to be at different price stages, just like the DCA strategy.

Your holding strategy may be categorize into long term investment level because if you buy Bitcoin at 35- 40k price level and you are targeting to sell at $100k, and another percentage at $150k, it show that you be aiming to sell at some time in the future. Bitcoin may not touch $100k in a short period after last All Time High of $75k but may be moving gradually till another All Time High which may be difficult to predict the time or season.
In addition, every individual, whether investor, Trader, Holder know his/her own exit positions, and your ext positions may be based on your set profit or loss rates.
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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #156 on: September 04, 2024, 09:44:19 PM »


Offline Hamza2424

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #157 on: September 04, 2024, 11:31:30 PM »
If we see most of the newbies have this misconception that they have to invest huge amount of money in Bitcoin and for that reason they don't dare to do Bitcoin investment and avoid it. Moreover, another thing is that many new investors make large investments in Bitcoin at the beginning and later sell Bitcoin at a loss due to panic.

Hmm, well i've seen that, bu that's not a misconception you can say that it's a mindset, as you know Bitcoin is already at a high market cap and to make 2x or 3x returns it takes a lot of time and major developments, so if they invest a small amount they cant multiply their returns over a certain period. That's the reason they look for a little higher risk and better rewards where they can invest little and earn more returns.

They actually know they can make smaller investments in Bitcoin but just to make good returns they use if you don't have enough money to invest in other coins, I've seen many small investors as well investing in Bitcoin as they care about reliability.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #158 on: September 05, 2024, 06:41:28 AM »
Your holding strategy may be categorize into long term investment level because if you buy Bitcoin at 35- 40k price level and you are targeting to sell at $100k, and another percentage at $150k, it show that you be aiming to sell at some time in the future. Bitcoin may not touch $100k in a short period after last All Time High of $75k but may be moving gradually till another All Time High which may be difficult to predict the time or season.
In addition, every individual, whether investor, Trader, Holder know his/her own exit positions, and your ext positions may be based on your set profit or loss rates.
Yes, this is a long-term investment strategy. I believe in long-term investing, so I am not in a hurry. Unless circumstances beyond my control force me to exit early and sell at the market price.

Of course, it may take a long time, perhaps a year or two, to achieve the goals, but I find that better than being exposed to short-term risks and fluctuations that are nerve-wracking due to the constant monitoring of indicators, news, etc. and chasing ups and downs.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #159 on: September 05, 2024, 09:16:32 AM »
Your holding strategy may be categorize into long term investment level because if you buy Bitcoin at 35- 40k price level and you are targeting to sell at $100k, and another percentage at $150k, it show that you be aiming to sell at some time in the future. Bitcoin may not touch $100k in a short period after last All Time High of $75k but may be moving gradually till another All Time High which may be difficult to predict the time or season.
In addition, every individual, whether investor, Trader, Holder know his/her own exit positions, and your ext positions may be based on your set profit or loss rates.
Yes, this is a long-term investment strategy. I believe in long-term investing, so I am not in a hurry. Unless circumstances beyond my control force me to exit early and sell at the market price.

Of course, it may take a long time, perhaps a year or two, to achieve the goals, but I find that better than being exposed to short-term risks and fluctuations that are nerve-wracking due to the constant monitoring of indicators, news, etc. and chasing ups and downs.
Long-term investment is indeed safer and it takes a year if you invest today because the bullish season is likely to occur next year. Short-term investment requires constant monitoring of the market affected by news, etc., I also prefer long-term investment.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #160 on: September 05, 2024, 02:28:28 PM »
I think we need to think about the 4 year cycle and just how much it can shift price. Each cycle has had less of an effect on price.

2013, 1300
2017   19800
2021   69000
2025    100,000?

Maybe so.

13 to 17 we did 15x
17 to 21 we did  3.2
21 to 25 a reduced num
I have had some peace of mind all these while that I don't do all these calculations again. The last calculation I saw Franky1 did in the other forum gave me some resounding hope. But this that Philip did seems not favourable.
From 15x to 3.2x, that means the next should be less than 1x. Does this mean we are already done with the bull run? I don't like this calculation.
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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #161 on: September 05, 2024, 03:44:43 PM »
Perhaps he was looking at the 4 year cycle, and with that even though we have reaches $73,000 in March it's not the all time high and we could be look at 2025 to see $100,000++.
Maybe, but as it stands those ~$73000 bitcoin reached back in March is current all time high and there is no guarantee that we gonna go higher than that in this bull run cycle. Though, if that happaned it would be the lousiest bull market ever and imho that could happen only if we reach some new major crisis or if war in Ukraine escalates further and expands to other countries.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #162 on: September 05, 2024, 07:37:05 PM »
Perhaps he was looking at the 4 year cycle, and with that even though we have reaches $73,000 in March it's not the all time high and we could be look at 2025 to see $100,000++.
Maybe, but as it stands those ~$73000 bitcoin reached back in March is current all time high and there is no guarantee that we gonna go higher than that in this bull run cycle. Though, if that happaned it would be the lousiest bull market ever and imho that could happen only if we reach some new major crisis or if war in Ukraine escalates further and expands to other countries.
I think $73K will not be the highest price in this 4-year cycle, because it is likely that by the end of this year the price of bitcoin will reach a new ATH above $80K, and next year the price of bitcoin will likely reach more than $10K, that's what many people predict and I agree with them.
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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #163 on: September 05, 2024, 08:49:37 PM »
If we see most of the newbies have this misconception that they have to invest huge amount of money in Bitcoin and for that reason they don't dare to do Bitcoin investment and avoid it. Moreover, another thing is that many new investors make large investments in Bitcoin at the beginning and later sell Bitcoin at a loss due to panic.

Hmm, well i've seen that, bu that's not a misconception you can say that it's a mindset, as you know Bitcoin is already at a high market cap and to make 2x or 3x returns it takes a lot of time and major developments, so if they invest a small amount they cant multiply their returns over a certain period. That's the reason they look for a little higher risk and better rewards where they can invest little and earn more returns.

They actually know they can make smaller investments in Bitcoin but just to make good returns they use if you don't have enough money to invest in other coins, I've seen many small investors as well investing in Bitcoin as they care about reliability.
The people I talked to definitely don't invest in Bitcoin thinking about so many details and that's why they fall into misconceptions.  I can't quite agree with you.  Because I myself invested in DCA currently in double profit of my investment yes it took a long time but guaranteed me my profit.

And that is definitely not available in other cryptocurrencies especially those who invest in alt coins to get more profit with less investment most of them face loss.  Because the alt coin projects are mostly scams and if not, they perform well for a few days and then their market just goes down. And I think investing in cryptocurrencies should not be considered as a quick rich scheme and even if it is a late double or triple profit from Bitcoin investment, it should be considered enough.

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Re: What about your exit Plan ?
« Reply #164 on: September 05, 2024, 09:01:24 PM »
Thinking about leaving will only make you look at the exit door, and you will not be making that much money. I think the best part about this would be considering how we could just see this moving away, and that is why its going to be quite important to check out whats going on in the market at all times instead of trying to just focus on getting out. I have no exit plan, my exit plan would be "be rich enough to retire", which I know I won't have which is why in theory there is an exit plan but in practice there is no exit plan for me and I will keep on holding as long as I can afford to hold it.

 

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