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1
On May 26, bitcoin again failed to overcome an important resistance level of $40,000, after which its price fell to $37,000. The cryptocurrency continues to recover after first its quotes fell by a third to $30,000 on May 19, then rose above $42,000 and again fell to $31,000 on May 23.

Bitcoin fell last week amid a statement by the Chinese authorities. Vice Premier of the State Council of China Liu He called for stricter regulation of mining and crypto-trading in the country. The market collapsed despite the fact that the government did not even offer specific measures to impact the cryptocurrency industry.

The government then reiterated its tough stance on cryptocurrencies in an article titled "Urgently eliminate hype and chaos around virtual currencies," published by Xinhua news agency. After that, miners began to leave China and trading platforms began to suspend services to customers from that country.

The negative impact on the market is already built into the price, in fact, the entire current so-called "cryptogedon" is related to it. Similar bans have happened in China many times before, but all of them had only a temporary negative impact. Accordingly, we are not talking about the long term.

However, the negative background was supported not only by the news from the Celestial Empire. Elon Musk added reasons to sell cryptocurrency after he criticized bitcoin and Tesla refused to sell its products for it.

To be fair, at the time the quotes collapsed, Musk expressed support for the cryptocurrency community by posting a post titled "Tesla Has Diamond Hands." It was a hint that the company was not selling its bitcoins. And then the billionaire reported that he held a meeting with North American miners to discuss the use of renewable energy sources.

Overall, even now, the situation in the global economy and the crypto market points to continued growth. Without these bans, it is likely that the market would have continued to grow after a slight correction. In the near future, growth of 50-70% from the current marks is possible, given the outflow of bitcoins and ethers from exchanges, "free" in the market stabelcoins, as well as the very low value of the top cryptocurrencies in the current growth cycle.

After bitcoin collapsed to $30,000, the largest outflow of bitcoins from cryptocurrency exchanges since last year occurred. In 24 hours, 175 thousand bitcoins worth about $7 billion were withdrawn from trading platforms. It also became known that the main buyers of the cryptocurrency during the fall were large investment funds.

According to Glassnode service, the lion's share of bitcoins sold during the current fall were bought in the last 3-6 months. This suggests that it was mostly newcomers to the market who were selling. Not big investors, but retailers who planned to make a lot of money during the current growth cycle. However, the situation in China and Musk's imprudent statements scared them and caused panic sales. As a result, the price very impulsively sagged.

I still stick to the scenario that bitcoin will reach $80-85 thousand by the end of the year. The current fall, as I think, will only accelerate the price, as it was after the March 2020 collapse.

Much will become known after the June meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve which will either announce the beginning of the rollback of QE (quantitative easing), as well as other stimulus instruments, or not.

If it is announced, all risky assets will temporarily go down in value. However it seems to me that the Fed understands that it is not the right time to make a collapse in markets, so the stimulus rollback will be postponed and the cryptocurrency will grow and return to the highs as a result.

2
Japanese game developer, public company Nexon bought 1,717 bitcoins for about $100 million at an average exchange rate of about $58,200. President and CEO Owen Mahoney explained that the investment represented less than 2% of Nexon's total funds.

Quote
"In the current economic climate, bitcoin offers long-term stability and liquidity while preserving the value of our funds for future investments," Mahoney said. Bitcoin is likely to retain its value, he said, even if it is not yet widespread.
Nexon was founded in 1994. It develops online games. Nexon went public on the Tokyo Stock Exchange in December 2011. The company currently operates more than 50 online games in more than 190 countries.

Earlier, the Hong Kong technology company Meitu, which produces smartphones and develops software, brought its investments in cryptocurrency to $100 million.

At the same time, Elon Musk's Tesla announced that it sold $272 million worth of bitcoins at the end of March, with a profit of $101 million. The automaker's CFO, Zach Kirkhorn, stressed that the company believes in the long-term value of bitcoin and intends to maintain current assets in cryptocurrency and continue to accumulate coins received as payment for cars.

The largest bitcoin holder among public companies is MicroStrategy. According to Bitcoin Treasuries, it owns 91,500 BTC worth about $5 billion.

3
Customers of the U.S. payment system got the opportunity to use digital money to pay for goods and services. Experts explained why this is important and can influence similar decisions in Apple Pay and Google Pay.

PayPal has allowed U.S. customers to use cryptocurrency. Users who hold Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin in their wallets will be able to convert them into fiat currencies at the time of purchase at 29 million merchants that work with the payment system.

Against this backdrop, the bitcoin exchange rate rose sharply, peaking at $59,300 for the first time since March 20. Quotes for the cryptocurrency came close to the all-time high of $61,800 set on March 14.

PayPal’s announcement is another milestone in the global acceptance of cryptocurrency as a means of payment and a reinforcement of its fundamental importance, explained Vladimir Smetanin, CEO of Newcent, Swiss financial firm.

The event follows a string of other announcements — Tesla’s recent announcement, Visa’s news yesterday — but it is different in that it covers a huge number of outlets (29 million, according to PayPal) and therefore potentially customers worldwide — with the appropriate country legislation and access to full functionality.

Last week, Tesla added the ability to pay for its products with bitcoins. For now, the service is only available to U.S. customers; it will appear in other countries later this year. The company will not convert BTC received as payment into fiat currency.

At the same time, Visa became the first of the major payment systems which began to carry out transactions in cryptocurrency. The company transferred USDC Stablecoin using the Ethereum blockchain. Previously, it allowed its users to make transactions only in fiat currency.
PayPal, Visa, Tesla are American companies, and this is important because the cryptocurrency industry depends on certain decisions of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Amid this news, bitcoin may soon update its historical high in value.

This kind of green light from PayPal and other payment systems could influence similar decisions in Apple Pay and Google Pay. Especially since Apple Pay executives have spoken quite positively about cryptocurrencies and have even done integration with BitPay.

Back in the fall of 2019, Apple Pay vice president Jennifer Bailey said the payments company was interested in the digital space. She said that cryptocurrencies have long-term potential and great prospects for the future. At the same time, in February of this year, cryptoprocessing service BitPay announced that it would add its card to Apple Pay.

4
Bridgewater Associates’ director of investment research explained how bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies can reduce volatility as well as increase liquidity.

Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, is ready to invest in Bitcoin if its volatility declines and liquidity increases. The fund’s director of investment research told Bloomberg TV about this in an interview. According to her, now the value of the main digital coin may fluctuate in the range of 10% because of publications on Twitter. Bitcoin’s volatility is ten times higher than that of the U.S. dollar. She is confident that such a volatility rate is not suitable for most institutional investors.

Another problem of bitcoin is low liquidity, Bridgewater Associates representative said. According to Patterson, it is possible to increase this indicator by creating a regulatory ecosystem to ensure comfortable work with cryptocurrencies for investors.

“The more a real regulated ecosystem is developed around bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, the more other types of investors will start to get comfortable with crypto assets. That will bring liquidity. It will reduce volatility,” the expert explained.

At the end of January this year, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio, changed his attitude towards cryptocurrency. He wrote about it in the company’s daily newsletter, which is sent to the fund’s clients. Dalio said that in the future bitcoin could become an asset “similar to gold” and stated his willingness to invest in the main digital coin a sum of money that he wouldn’t be sorry to lose.

Head of MicroStrategy Michael Saylor announced the company’s purchase of 19.4 thousand bitcoins worth $1.02 billion on February 24. Now there are 90.5 thousand bitcoins in MicroStrategy’s portfolio.

5
In February, Elon Musk’s favorite cryptocurrency became really popular. Here is a column about the altcoin meme’s journey from being a joke to billion-dollar capitalization project.

In 2013, the first bitcoin bull market occurred — it crossed the $130 mark and moved into an active growth phase, exceeding $1100 in a few months. The cryptocurrency sphere was becoming more and more popular. At the same time, two programmers — Billy Marcus from IBM and Jackson Palmer from Adobe — turned their attention to it. Palmer jokingly created the cryptocurrency Dogecoin, and Marcus joined him a few days after registering the domain Dogecoin.com.

The altcoin was issued on the Litecoin blockchain, making its issuance unlimited. Dogecoin immediately gained a community on the wave of cryptocurrency hype — only a month after its launch, Dogecoin.com was visited by more than a million people.

Reddit played no small role in the spread of the asset. Its users began to use the token for donations — coins were cheap, as well as transaction fees. The cryptocurrency was also used to fund the Jamaican bobsleigh team. Its performance at Sochi Olympics in 2014 was in jeopardy, and some of the funds were raised in the form of donations in Dogecoin.
This is not the only appearance of cryptocurrency in the world of sports. For example, in 2014, the community raised over $50,000 and placed an altcoin logo on a NASCAR racing series car.

The community is a distinctive feature of the project. This case occurred at the dawn of its inception, in December 2013. Then hackers stole almost all the coins from the Dogewallet platform. To help the affected customers of the platform, a fundraiser called “SaveDogemas” was organized. After a month, the amount of donations was enough to cover all the losses.

Elon Musk’s interest

In April 2019, the project conducted a mock poll on its Twitter, asking users to choose a new CEO. Among the contenders were Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin, Litecoin founder Charlie Lee, Tesla and SpaceX head Elon Musk, and Metal startup CEO Marshall Hayner. Musk won almost half of the votes and was solemnly announced as the new head of Dogecoin.

“Dogecoin might be my favorite cryptocurrency. It’s very cool,” Musk wrote at the time. After that, he called himself the former CEO of the altcoin and published several joking tweets about it. However, businessman began to actively promote the asset almost two years later — at the beginning of 2021.

Dogecoin’s multiple growth in 2021

At the end of January, altcoin quotes rose 1115% in three days — it was trading at $0.007 on January 27 and set a historical high of $0.087 on the 29th. This growth was caused by the movement of WallStreetBets, which influenced the “pamp” shares of various companies, including Gamestop, a chain of video game stores.

Dogecoin’s first spike in quotes this year came after Twitter user WSB Chairman (938,000 followers) wrote about the cryptocurrency. He noted that a lot of people are talking about Dogecoin and asked what kind of asset it is.

However the growth turned out to be short-lived. Immediately after the price set a historical high of $0.087, there was a “dump”, the next day it fell almost 4 times, to $0.022. The cryptocurrency began to recover in February amid a slew of reports about it from Elon Musk.

On February 7, quotes of the asset on the crypto exchange Currency.com reached an all-time high above $0.089, after which it went into a decline phase again. As of February 24, the asset is trading at $0.052.

6
Analysts of the consulting company plan to use cryptocurrency to protect against inflation. They talked about plans to hold the asset for “many years.”

The Motley Fool consulting company announced on Twitter that it will invest $5 million in Bitcoin. According to representatives of the company, in the long term, the first cryptocurrency could go up in price 10 times from its current levels.

The Motley Fool predicts that Bitcoin’s volatility will decline in the next decade, allowing the main digital coin to become a payment instrument. The company plans to use the asset as a hedging tool to protect against inflation.

On February 18, the value of bitcoin once again renewed its all-time high, reaching $52,600. The market capitalization of the main digital coin rose to $970 billion.

“While bitcoin may continue to be volatile in the short term, we believe it has 10x the potential from today’s levels in the long term as part of a diversified portfolio. We plan to hold this bitcoin investment for years to come,” The Motley Fool said in a release.

The company said it does not intend to buy the ETH at an inflated price, but plans to buy BTC directly. Analysts at The Motley Fool have already begun recommending Bitcoin investments to their clients by including the coin in their “10x portfolio.” This portfolio contains 39 assets that could show 10x growth over the next 15 years.

According to SimilarWeb, The Motley Fool is the world’s fifth-largest site in the investment category, with 87 million monthly visitors.
Earlier MicroStrategy announced plans to increase its investment in bitcoin by $900 million.

7
Digital money industry valuation exceeds $1.175 trillion for the first time amid rising bitcoin and other coins.

On Friday, February 5, the total capitalization of the crypto market reached an all-time high of more than $1.175 trillion, with total daily trading volumes reaching $160 billion. This came on the back of the rise in the value of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

Over the past week, the main digital coin gained 13%, Ethereum gained 24%, and Polkadot gained 20%. At its peak, bitcoin’s capitalization exceeded $700 billion and ETH was $190 billion.

Earlier payment giant Visa announced the release of its own system (API) for the purchase of cryptocurrencies, which will be integrated by banks. The launch of the product is scheduled for the end of this year. The first user of the service will be a digital bank First Boulevard.

Source: https://medium.com/switchere-news/crypto-market-capitalization-hit-a-new-historic-high-35af88dee4ca

[edited to include source]

8
Cryptocurrency discussions / Re: Is it going to be the end of bull market ?
« on: December 01, 2020, 08:18:31 AM »
Seems like it's just the beginning 8)

9
Since the beginning of the year, the Ethereum exchange rate has increased by 270%. Analysts expect the upward movement to continue, but there is a factor that may cancel the scenario with growth.

The number of long positions on Ethereum at BItfinex has set a new historic high at 2.093 million ETH. Since the beginning of the year, this figure has grown by more than 300%. On the one hand, this is a favorable factor for the exchange rate of the cryptocurrency, as it indicates the confidence of investors in its future. On the other hand, the cost of altcoin has increased by 270% to $490 since January. If investors start fixing profit, that may lead to lower quotations.

Ethereum maintains growth potential, NewsBTC analyst Aayush Jindal said. According to this forecast, the coin rate may rise up to $500 in the nearest future. If this level of resistance is overcome, the price is likely to continue rising up to $520.

Jindal specified that the Ethereum quotes drop is also possible. The price may go down to $465. A key support level has been formed at this level, which will protect the cryptocurrency rate from a significant decline.

Cointelegraph analyst Rakesh Upadhyay is also optimistic. In his opinion, Ethereum may rise to $520 and then to $550 soon. But to do this, the price of the coin must be fixed above the resistance level of $488, which is actively protected by sellers.

Upadhyay stressed that it is important for the altcoin holders to keep an eye on the $442 level. An important support level has been formed here. If the Ethereum price falls below it, it will cancel the upside scenario and make it possible to drop to $399.

The day before yesterday, November 18, IBC Group, an investment company based in Dubai, announced that it had invested about $10 million in Ethereum. The firm acquired 20,000 ETH and transferred them to a deposit contract for the second version of the altcoin network. When it is launched, this will allow the company to passively increase the number of coins through the stacking function.

Source: https://medium.com/switchere-news/will-ethereum-rise-up-to-550-what-should-investors-expect-d8be0156006f

10
In the next month there will be several events on the crypto market that may affect both the value of individual assets and the market as a whole.

Stratis STRAT: Starting the main network

The Stratis blockchain working on the Proof of Stake (PoS) algorithm was created as a competitor of Ethereum and NEO. The launch of the main network is scheduled for November 12. The exchange will last until October 16, 2021, after which all unclaimed STRAX tokens will be “burned”.

Bitcoin Cash BCH: Hardfork

On November 15 another hardfork Bitcoin Cash is scheduled. Perhaps there will be a division into two separate blocks. This is due to the fact that the developers of Bitcoin Cash ABC decided to increase the commission for miners up to 8% for the produced block, which caused a split among the community members.

If there is a chain split after hardfork, the new one will be called Bitcoin Cash Node (BCHN). Many exchanges have already announced their support for the upcoming hardfork. For example, Binance has supported the miners and will be considered the main chain Bitcoin Cash Node. To get coins in the new blockcheck must keep tokens Bitcoin Cash ABC on your wallet or on any exchange that has declared support for hardfork. Recall that Bitcoin Cash is the fork of the first Bitcoin cryptographic currency, the division of the two chains occurred on August 1, 2017. Later in 2018 Bitcoin Cash was divided into 2 more chains — Bitcoin Cash ABC and Bitcoin Cash SV.

Zcash ZEC: Halving the award

In the Zcash blockchain, halving occurs every 840,000 blocks produced or approximately every 4 years. Initially, the reward for the mined block was 12.5 ZEC, and after the upcoming halving will be reduced to 3.125 ZEC. The main purpose of halving is to control the emission of crypto material and to contain its inflation. In contrast to fiat money, the total supply of crypto is limited: no more coins can be issued than the original crypto.

Golem GNT: Migration of tokens

November 19 starts the exchange of GNT tokens to new tokens standard ERC-20, which is necessary for the operation of the New Golem block. After running the main network of New Golem, the old GNT token will no longer be supported by developers. The exchange process has no end date, so users can take their time. Also developers Golem Factory said that they will provide a user interface for easy exchange and warned that they will inform the name of the new ticker only on the day of launch. This is done in order to prevent fraudsters to mislead Golem users. The name of the new ticker will appear on the day of exchange in the developers’ blog (blog.golem.network).
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11
The growth of the crypto rates is influenced by many factors — from the introduction of stacking and the withdrawal of tokens on the exchanges to acquisitions and obtaining financing.

There are at least 15 reasons that can cause a gradual or sharp rise in the price of cryptocurrencies. Cryptocurrency price hikes occur after disclosure of important information about the project development. They may be:

  • Project mergers and acquisitions
    Conclusion of partnerships
    Receiving financing
    Introduction of Stacking
    Burning tokens
    Adding a token to a new exchange
    Starting the main token network

On average, in the first hour after the disclosure of such information token price rises, but slightly — only by 0.5%. This is due to the fact that it takes some time for information to spread in the crypto community. On the first day after the publication of the news, the asset price rises by 0.8–1.3%, and within a week — by 2–8.2%.

In the short term, announcements of significant improvements to the project and mergers and acquisitions have the greatest impact on the crypto exchange rate. In the long run, news about stacking implementation, partnerships, and halving also becomes an important driver.
News of mergers of projects or takeovers of one another in 90% of cases leads to an increase in token value within a week. On average, in such cases, assets increase by 8.23%.

12
The situation with the spread of coronavirus is worsening, the number of diseases is growing, and restrictive measures are increasing. In March, this led to a decline in financial markets and increased demand for cryptocurrencies. Experts are confident that now everything will be different.

COVID-19 impact on the interest in cryptocurrencies

Transfer of people to remote work due to the pandemic, as well as in spring, will have a positive impact on the number of new clients of the Crypto Exchanges. This shows that the clients of the platforms are very active.
There are very different forecasts for activity on decentralized trading floors where DeFi tokens are traded. This sector will continue to grow in the coming months, and thanks to the integration of multiple services among each other and the ability to repeatedly re-pledge loans received under the crypto-security, this area offers interesting opportunities for profitability and risk hedging in the conditions of instability in traditional financial markets.

Stock market and Bitcoin vs Coronavirus

In March, there was panic on the financial markets against the background of the imposition of restrictions. Against the backdrop of a fall in the U.S. stock indices, the Bitcoin price fell by 50% to $3800. Now, if the pandemic in the U.S., Europe and, for example, China starts to gain momentum, it will inevitably affect the markets again.

Now the S&P index is overheated: the spread between companies’ returns and their capitalization is huge, it is a real financial bubble. Therefore, in case of a sudden worsening of the situation with the pandemic, a downward correction will inevitably occur. How deep it will be will largely determine U.S. monetary policy, new liquidity injections will support the market. However, it will not continue forever.

It is difficult to predict the behavior of Bitcoin in case of a stock market crash. The first cryptocurrency may both fall with it and go up. Fundamentally, the second scenario has more prerequisites, as BTC has already become “digital gold” and should play the role of an asset shelter.
There will be no hard quarantine (as it was in spring), so we should not wait for the same sharp decline in financial markets, although the decline will occur. He also noted that investors perceive bitcoin more as a protective asset, so its rate should continue to grow.

“It is not for nothing that institutional investors are increasingly investing in the cryptocurrency market — digital finance acts as a “safe haven” in times of instability,” the expert concluded. Bitcoin is now traded at $10,687. In September, the first cryptocurrency several times unsuccessfully tried to overcome the $11,000 level. In August, the asset set its annual maximum value at $12,400, showing a 277% growth over 5 months.

13
Cryptocurrency Trading / Bitcoin remains in a stable upward trend
« on: September 23, 2020, 10:18:34 AM »
There is a tendency to accumulate BTC in the cryptomarket, according to Delphi Digital analysts. They found that this year the time horizons of digital coin holders have increased.

In 2020, Bitcoin is in a more stable upward trend than last year, according to a new report by the analytical company Delphi Digital. Experts have found that this year the balances of cryptocurrency exchange wallets continued to fall, despite the rise in the price of the main digital coin. This suggests that traders and investors, selling the asset, put less pressure on its quotes, Cointelegraph.

“This indicates a more stable upward trend in bitcoin compared to 2019. The data indicate that the time horizons of crypto holders have increased,” — experts believe.

Over the past 6 months, the balance of crypto-exchange wallets has fallen from a historical high of 2.96 million BTC in late February to 2.59 million BTC in mid-September. Then the cryptocurrency was traded at the level of $9580, now it costs $10,430. Delphi Digital emphasized that when the rate of crypto is growing and its stocks on the stock exchanges are decreasing, it indicates a tendency to accumulate an asset.

14
Jack Dorsey, the general director of the social network, is sure that the cryptocurrency meets the principles of the World Wide Web, so it can become its monetary unit. But there are several obstacles that hinder the recognition of the BTC.

The Internet requires its own currency, and Bitcoin is the best contender for this place, said the head of Twitter and Square Jack Dorsey in an interview for Reuters. According to him, the cryptocurrency and the Worldwide Web have a common feature — these tools are developed by the community and built according to common interests.

“The Internet requires its own currency, and bitcoin is the best option at the moment. I don’t see how this can change, given all the people who have the same goal and are working to unlock the potential of the cryptocurrency,” Dorsey said.

He added that there are several obstacles to recognizing the cryptocurrency. First, it is necessary to solve the bitcoin network problems regarding the speed of transactions — it is low. BTC blockchain is able to conduct 4–7 transactions per second, when, for example, this figure for Visa payment system is 24 thousand transactions per second. Secondly, the society has not yet learned all the advantages that digital assets have.

Dorsey is a strong supporter of cryptocurrency and helps to spread it in the society. For example, in May, the Cash App from Square, which is owned by Jack Dorsey, was added to the opportunity to acquire digital assets. And in July, the Bitcoin logo appeared on the NASCAR car sponsored by Square.

15
Cryptocurrency Price Speculations / BTC and ETH price at the end of 2020
« on: September 01, 2020, 01:32:03 PM »
Since the beginning of this year, the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of capitalization showed high growth in value. The bitcoin rate increased by 65% to $11,800, the Ethereum price - by 240% to $455. Crypto-experts have a positive outlook on the digital money market in the next few months.

Our considerations about Bitcoin


Bitcoin is now in the range of $11-12k, we see a decrease in volatility, but we believe that in the fall we will see the main cryptocurrency at a price of $14k, and maybe even higher - all the prerequisites for this are there. Tension and instability are growing in the world. This is now the main catalyst for the growth of crypto prices, and institutional investors are beginning to enter this market.

Our considerations about Ethereum

As to Ethereum, it's very difficult to predict, because everything rests on the success of the transition to Ethereum 2.0 and the solution of the problem of network scalability. Nevertheless, we can see that despite significant risks, most investors are positive: the exchange rate of the cryptocurrency is growing, the number of addresses where ETH is stored is increasing.

What do you think about it? ;)

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