Altcoins Talks - Cryptocurrency Forum
Crypto Discussion Forum => Cryptocurrency Trading => Cryptocurrency Price Speculations => Topic started by: kulkhan on April 20, 2024, 06:18:55 AM
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From the Begaining we saw after bitcoin halving Bitcoin's price increased. So i think in this halving bitcoin price will also increase, i strongly believe it. History below :
2012= Bitcoin price $12 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $964.
2016=Bitcoin price $663 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $2550.
2020= Bitcoin price $8740 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $55801.
2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
Everyone can discuss here after one year thats means after one year from this halving what will the Bitcoin price? Discuss your prediction.
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The past halving history has shown bitcoin to experience a tremendous price increase within a year. What I really don't know is, whether are we going to expect the tremendous price increase in a year from today. Yes, I believe we will.
OP, are you stating the ATH of Bitcoin a year after its halving? If that's what you did, I think you got them wrong. Let's first start with the last halving of bitcoin in 2020. What was the ATH of bitcoin in a year(2021)? Is it not $69k? How about the $55801
OP, I would have pointed out other halvings, and it ATH in a year, but that will be a matter for another day because that's in the past and everyone's focus is on this year halving and what it gots for us in 2025
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From the Begaining we saw after bitcoin halving Bitcoin's price increased. So i think in this halving bitcoin price will also increase, i strongly believe it. History below :
2012= Bitcoin price $12 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $964.
2016=Bitcoin price $663 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $2550.
2020= Bitcoin price $8740 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $55801.
2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
Everyone can discuss here after one year thats means after one year from this halving what will the Bitcoin price? Discuss your prediction.
It's fascinating how we always want to predict the future price of BTC, especially in the 12-18 month period after halving because it is expected to be the time when BTC will reach the ATH of the entire cycle.
Many new things have been created in this cycle, for example, a new ATH was created before the halving, so it could come with the possibility that the cycle will end a little earlier than in the past cycles. Anyway, I believe that at an important and sensitive price zone, investor reaction is still extreme and helps turn that price zone into the top of the cycle.
I myself still expect BTC to create an ATH for this cycle at $150K-170K, possibly in early 2025. At the same time, this expectation also makes me believe that the current price of BTC is very attractive to continue accumulating instead of panicking out of the market just before the bullrun.
- BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317160.0)
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2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
The most realistic answer to that is Bitcoin's price will at least double during the bull run. I don't see it going up to as high as ~$180,000 which is almost 3x it's price after the halving event.
As the price goes even higher, the multiplier decreases as well, and in the next bull run, we might see Bitcoin's price being doubled only. I will not be surprised though if we will see Bitcoin's price going up 3x it's price during the halving event which is at around $189,000. Will it happen? Realistically speaking, it's a bit impossible, but still, anything can happen, and I would be happy if that happens, so does other Bitcoin holders out there. :)
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History below :
2012= Bitcoin price $12 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $964.
2016=Bitcoin price $663 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $2550.
2020= Bitcoin price $8740 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $55801.
According to the history of 3 previous halvings, Bitcoin price must increase significantly 1 year after the halving happened. This just makes us to be more confident about the potential of Bitcoin price in the future. We just need to wait for 1 year to see the price change significantly. But the problem is, there must be too many FUDs before we reach the significant increase of Bicoin price. If we are not patient and we don't have a strong trust on Bitcoin price, we may panic and sell the Bitcoin before we reach 1 year after the halving. So, it is about how to be patient!
2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
I think the price probably crosses $100k in the next year. 1 year after the halving will be in Q2 of 2025. So, we must be patient to wait for Q2 2025, it is the time of the price may increase significantly. I also assume that the next ATH will be in Q2-Q3 of 2025. But it is just my own prediction, mate.
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From the Begaining we saw after bitcoin halving Bitcoin's price increased. So i think in this halving bitcoin price will also increase, i strongly believe it. History below :
2012= Bitcoin price $12 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $964.
2016=Bitcoin price $663 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $2550.
2020= Bitcoin price $8740 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $55801.
2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
Everyone can discuss here after one year thats means after one year from this halving what will the Bitcoin price? Discuss your prediction.
as I said in another post I get shivers just thinking about it, even though I own almost nothing
Such figures are scary, if you think that after the ATH there will be a correction they are even more scary!
By now it is well known about the cyclical nature of bitcoin, even the stones know it
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This is exactly what I think will happen, people are acting as if we are seeing something not that big again, but I think exactly this will happen. We should realize that the best thing to do at the moment should be just focusing on what we can do, and not really do anything bigger. I feel like accumulating as much as we can during this period is a good idea, and it will definitely give you the most return. This is usually not that simple but we need to focus on what we could improve with out strategies to get more. Maybe even getting more income from somewhere, somehow, to make bigger investments. Definitely would help out a lot on the long term.
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2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
It's exciting to think about what the price of Bitcoin will be after a year, and I'm sure many of us feel the same way. This half year differs significantly from previous ones. It created new ATH before to halving, but in the previous three halvings, new ATH occurred after the halving date. However, I am confident that $100k will be reached next year, and that figure is really likely to happen this year.
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2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
It's exciting to think about what the price of Bitcoin will be after a year, and I'm sure many of us feel the same way. This half year differs significantly from previous ones. It created new ATH before to halving, but in the previous three halvings, new ATH occurred after the halving date. However, I am confident that $100k will be reached next year, and that figure is really likely to happen this year.
Basically, those who are waiting for one year after the halving are those who hope that Bitcoin will reach a new ATH again and there will be a bull run, because in the cycle after one year of the halving, there will be a very high price increase and the altcoin season will start where many altcoins will increase their prices because of the influence. of the Bitcoin bullrun.
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this Halving is far different from everyhalving that we already had in the past , because this time it shows the craziest 4 year cycle that we experienced,
before ?each before halving we are seeing dumping market but this time? we taste ATH before that halving .
so this is now we are waiting for what will be coming in the sooner time .
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how long do you guys think it will reach in its final ath?clearly taking example from what happened in previous halvings, if I do the calculation at random I get absurd figures and I think I was wrongI need the opinion of someone else in the industry who understands halvings
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how long do you guys think it will reach in its final ath?clearly taking example from what happened in previous halvings, if I do the calculation at random I get absurd figures and I think I was wrongI need the opinion of someone else in the industry who understands halvings
There is not much to understand here, people simply expect that each halving will have a similar impact on the price as the previous one. But it is clearly visible that each future halving has a decreasing effect on the price, because the one from 2016 raised the price from some $600 to $20 000, the one from 2020 increased that ATH only by x3.5, and this halving from 2024 could have an even smaller effect on the price.
The thing is that each halving halves the reward for miners and that they, as "producers" of new BTC, have less and less influence on the market - which in some way can make all the already available coins much more valuable than they were before.
What could be concluded is that the price calculations are of a very speculative nature, and that no one can say with certainty what the price will be one or two years after the halving.
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how long do you guys think it will reach in its final ath?clearly taking example from what happened in previous halvings, if I do the calculation at random I get absurd figures and I think I was wrongI need the opinion of someone else in the industry who understands halvings
There is not much to understand here, people simply expect that each halving will have a similar impact on the price as the previous one. But it is clearly visible that each future halving has a decreasing effect on the price, because the one from 2016 raised the price from some $600 to $20 000, the one from 2020 increased that ATH only by x3.5, and this halving from 2024 could have an even smaller effect on the price.The thing is that each halving halves the reward for miners and that they, as "producers" of new BTC, have less and less influence on the market - which in some way can make all the already available coins much more valuable than they were before.What could be concluded is that the price calculations are of a very speculative nature, and that no one can say with certainty what the price will be one or two years after the halving.
I want to ask you a very spicy question, do you think this doesnt happen?now I dont know if we will get to a x3 situation this time, but usually the real ATH manifests itself after about a yearwe have seen this and bitcoin has proven to be a very cyclical asset
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I want to ask you a very spicy question, do you think this doesnt happen?now I dont know if we will get to a x3 situation this time, but usually the real ATH manifests itself after about a yearwe have seen this and bitcoin has proven to be a very cyclical asset
I believe that we will have a big bull run even after this halving, but I am always ready that history will not repeat itself. We can never know what will happen in the world and how it will affect the global market, and Bitcoin has become part of that market and often the events on that market are reflected on its price.
What we didn't have before were spot ETFs in the US, and I think the price will depend a lot on them. Although they are responsible for the price increase since the beginning of the year, currently the outflows from the funds are much greater than the inflows, and this is also reflected in the price of BTC.
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History below :
2012= Bitcoin price $12 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $964.
2016=Bitcoin price $663 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $2550.
2020= Bitcoin price $8740 at halving, After one year bitcoin price were $55801.
According to the history of 3 previous halvings, Bitcoin price must increase significantly 1 year after the halving happened. This just makes us to be more confident about the potential of Bitcoin price in the future. We just need to wait for 1 year to see the price change significantly. But the problem is, there must be too many FUDs before we reach the significant increase of Bicoin price. If we are not patient and we don't have a strong trust on Bitcoin price, we may panic and sell the Bitcoin before we reach 1 year after the halving. So, it is about how to be patient!
2024= Now bitcoin price is $63300 at halving after one year bitcoin price...........?
I think the price probably crosses $100k in the next year. 1 year after the halving will be in Q2 of 2025. So, we must be patient to wait for Q2 2025, it is the time of the price may increase significantly. I also assume that the next ATH will be in Q2-Q3 of 2025. But it is just my own prediction, mate.
This circle might not be exactly one year before we will see the bull run for bitcoin price to increase significantly. This circle is different from the rest, and it might not be up to one year before we will see the price of bitcoin increase significantly, because bitcoin was able to make a new ATH before the halving which has never happened in bitcoin history also we have the ETF on business which was not in other circles. But let's just relax with patience and see what will happen next.
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The only difference compared to the past is the fact that we had ATH before the halving instead of afterwards, which is fine when you think about it because we had the ETF business during this time, and that meant tens of thousands of bitcoins were bought just from there, and a lot of hyped people bought bitcoin because of it as well, so all of that combined made the price go up. Look at the price at the start of the year and look at it now, some people feel bad because price went down recently, but when compared to year to date, we are quite high. That is why I feel like bull run will still come, we just had a different start to it.
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The only difference compared to the past is the fact that we had ATH before the halving instead of afterwards, which is fine when you think about it because we had the ETF business during this time, and that meant tens of thousands of bitcoins were bought just from there, and a lot of hyped people bought bitcoin because of it as well, so all of that combined made the price go up. Look at the price at the start of the year and look at it now, some people feel bad because price went down recently, but when compared to year to date, we are quite high. That is why I feel like bull run will still come, we just had a different start to it.
yes ok but what does this mean?
If we have already reached one of the ATHs, will the ETF factor lead to Bitcoin having an ATH on steroids? This is very interesting if you think about it, we don't know if ETF will have a multiplier effect, it's a new factor
he certainly had it in the halving phase
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yes ok but what does this mean?
If we have already reached one of the ATHs, will the ETF factor lead to Bitcoin having an ATH on steroids? This is very interesting if you think about it, we don't know if ETF will have a multiplier effect, it's a new factor
he certainly had it in the halving phase
I had the opinion that ETFs + halving would be a perfect storm and it is possible that this will happen in the future, despite the fact that at the moment it seems that investors in BTC through ETFs have decided to take a break. We can speculate that this is because the investors simply misunderstood what halving is and when the price did not rise immediately, they decided to sell.
I think that the US market still speculates a lot about when interest rates will fall, and there are strong indications that it will happen soon, which means that money will somehow become cheaper, which could mean more investments.
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yes ok but what does this mean?
If we have already reached one of the ATHs, will the ETF factor lead to Bitcoin having an ATH on steroids? This is very interesting if you think about it, we don't know if ETF will have a multiplier effect, it's a new factor
he certainly had it in the halving phase
I had the opinion that ETFs + halving would be a perfect storm and it is possible that this will happen in the future, despite the fact that at the moment it seems that investors in BTC through ETFs have decided to take a break. We can speculate that this is because the investors simply misunderstood what halving is and when the price did not rise immediately, they decided to sell.
I think that the US market still speculates a lot about when interest rates will fall, and there are strong indications that it will happen soon, which means that money will somehow become cheaper, which could mean more investments.
I think so too, but since we don't have data it becomes difficult to predict something like this (very difficult to be honest)
we can already make weak speculations based on previous halvings
if we face a new fact it becomes even more complex to speculate, given that we have no data or history about it
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I think so too, but since we don't have data it becomes difficult to predict something like this (very difficult to be honest)
we can already make weak speculations based on previous halvings
if we face a new fact it becomes even more complex to speculate, given that we have no data or history about it
Data is one thing, but facts are something completely different. The facts show that there is considerable interest in investing in BTC through spot ETFs, and that some very large US companies have invested significant funds. I have no doubt that such investments will continue, and that the halving will still have its effect as before.
In the past 3 days, spot ETFs have finally reversed the trend outflows and bought about 7000 BTC, which seems to have been immediately reflected in the price. And news like this is not to be underestimated either -> https://twitter.com/BitwiseInvest/status/1790830802911048112
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Yes I understand what you mean Lucius
yes the trend has reversed but we always talk about the fact that we are under halving, the effects of the same are historically not seen before 200 days from the halving
so it doesn't worry me at all
for me bitcoin grow, long
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This circle might not be exactly one year before we will see the bull run for bitcoin price to increase significantly. This circle is different from the rest, and it might not be up to one year before we will see the price of bitcoin increase significantly, because bitcoin was able to make a new ATH before the halving which has never happened in bitcoin history also we have the ETF on business which was not in other circles. But let's just relax with patience and see what will happen next.
You are right, it may increase faster than the previous cycle. We achieve the ATH very early, the next ATH may come earlier, too. I know some people predicted the ATH may be in the end of this year (Q4 2024). But we still don't know what will happen exactly, it can be different or same with the previous cycle. ETF is one of the factors that triggers the price of Bitcoin increases faster this year. As long as we have good news about ETF, it is possible to achieve a new ATH soon.
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You are right, it may increase faster than the previous cycle. We achieve the ATH very early, the next ATH may come earlier, too. I know some people predicted the ATH may be in the end of this year (Q4 2024). But we still don't know what will happen exactly, it can be different or same with the previous cycle. ETF is one of the factors that triggers the price of Bitcoin increases faster this year. As long as we have good news about ETF, it is possible to achieve a new ATH soon.
we did the ATH before, but that doesn't mean it ended there
always remember that the halved reward for miners means suffering for them, it means changing hw and mining with a lower return
consequently this will push prices upwards, less supply, greater demand.. boom!
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Yes I understand what you mean Lucius
yes the trend has reversed but we always talk about the fact that we are under halving, the effects of the same are historically not seen before 200 days from the halving
so it doesn't worry me at all
for me bitcoin grow, long
Maybe this time the halving will show its effect in 100 days or we will feel it only in 250 days - which is actually not so important if we look at the overall picture. The fact is that there is quite a lot of interest in Bitcoin from very powerful and rich companies, but which are not as influential for most investors as Google, Amazon or Apple would be if the news appeared that they had invested in BTC.
I am sure that many (who otherwise wouldn't) will try to profit from Bitcoin this year and next, and that only means that the law of supply and demand will have a positive effect on the price.