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Messages - xaumana

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1
Announcements [ANN] / EASE DeFi Bribing System APY Boost!
« on: November 11, 2022, 12:08:13 AM »



In these truly trying times, we still believe, and we still keep building! Ease announces APY boost of its bribing system! 🚀

No better time to try it out and see what it's all about! Join a unique farming endeavor in an innovative coverage ecosystem  ;)



Stay tuned for Ease news - https://ease.org/about-ease-defi/news/

Join our socials:
Discord - discord.gg/8HuTB22
Telegram - https://t.me/Armorfi
Twitter - https://twitter.com/EaseDeFi

2
Announcements [ANN] / The Case for Ease in DeFi
« on: October 15, 2022, 02:20:55 PM »


A new thought piece is out, part of our ongoing article series!

We extrapolate on:
  • the true condition of the DeFi coverage and insurance sector
  • the repetition of bad TradFi practices
  • the true problems DeFi needs to solve, before mass adoption
  • how Ease is created with all of this in mind, positioning itself to be a key factor in DeFi's future

Enjoy!  :)




Stay tuned for Ease news - https://ease.org/about-ease-defi/news/

Join our socials:
Discord - discord.gg/8HuTB22
Telegram - https://t.me/Armorfi
Twitter - https://twitter.com/EaseDeFi

3
Announcements [ANN] / ease Quarterly Update: Q3 ’22
« on: October 08, 2022, 03:24:40 PM »


The end of September market what could easily be the most important Quarter in our protocol's history so far! It finalized the last stage of our deep rebrand from Armor.fi and sets us on the journey to cover every dollar in DeFi, no matter the chain!




Stay tuned for Ease news - https://ease.org/about-ease-defi/news/

Join our socials:
Discord - discord.gg/8HuTB22
Telegram - https://t.me/Armorfi
Twitter - https://twitter.com/EaseDeFi

4
Announcements [ANN] / Don't trust TVL!
« on: October 03, 2022, 03:50:10 PM »



Crypto introduces numerous futuristic innovations the old TradFi financial system has never seen. But this also makes it much harder for investor to do their own research and make educated decisions when searching for value projects and prospects.

In this early stage in the evolution of crypto, Total Value Locked (TVL) is an on-chain metric that has become one of the main indicators when judging a protocol's success and potential, compared to all others. But are the majority of investors becoming victim to the illusions stemming from this misunderstood dynamic?

We @EASE shed some light on the dark corners of crypto Market Cap and TVL!


Stay tuned for Ease news - https://ease.org/about-ease-defi/news/

Join our socials:
Discord - discord.gg/8HuTB22
Telegram - https://t.me/Armorfi
Twitter - https://twitter.com/EaseDeFi

5
Announcements [ANN] / [ANN] EASE DeFi - The New Paradigm Shift
« on: September 27, 2022, 05:15:37 PM »


Ease.org (previously Armor.fi) is a coverage protocol in the DeFi insurance sector that simply cnanges the rules of the game and brings a whole new paradigm shift to how yield bearing tokens are covered.

As Armor.fi, underwritten by Nexus Mutual, the project dived deep into the problems of the sector. It solved the problem of DeFi coverage not being entirely DeFi friendly. It provided solutions for circumventing Nexus Mutual's KYC requirement, which made a huge difference for all users! It also made Nexus Mutual's coverage freely tradeable, transferable and stackable - something a DeFi user naturally expected it to be from the beginning.

However, CEO Robert Forster saw giant problems in the whole fundamental principle of DeFi coverage. The future of DeFi coverage looked almost non-existent, as the whole model is extremely unfit for the blockchain and resembles a game of musical chairs for every participant. I've outlined this in the "Reciprocally Covered Assets - The Future of DeFi Coverage? thread" --> https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=280305.0

And ff you haven’t already, you can read the full RCA Whitepaper here: https://ease.org/learn-crypto-defi/get-defi-cover-at-ease/ease-defi-cover/rca-uninsurance-whitepaper/

Previously an underwritten coverage aggregator, the implementation of the RCA principle put Armor.fi on the path of a strong evolution, turning it into a DeFi coverage provider itself... as well as a first mover for the biggest innovation in the sector. Hence, the protocol rebranded to Ease.org and has just completed the last phase of this transformation, launching its new $EASE and $gvEASE tokens on September 26th!



To DeFi with Ease - The New Paradigm Shift

With Ease, coverage has never been more approachable. The protocol is heavily focused at providing a safe haven for all crypto newcomers and crypto newbies entering the field of DeFi farming.

Ease builds an ecosystem of DeFi protocols that are heavily audited and thoroughly inspected for reliability and security. All crypto newcomers who still lack orientation in the blockchain jungle or don't have the means to conduct a deep research themselves, can be confident that by browsing Ease's list of covered protocols, they are making a sound and reasonable choice for DeFi farming.

Some DeFi protocols can be quite confusing. For example, even experienced crypto-natives can rarely describe how the Curve ecosystem functions without stuttering, and with additional protocols built on top of previous functionalities things get truly convoluted! It's often a challenge for a crypto newbie who just entered DeFi to buy yield bearing tokens on their native platforms, then transfer them to a coverage protocol and deposit them in order to receive secondary or tertiary token representations, let alone do that in scale.

At Ease, newcomers will be able to enter DeFi farming by directly buying ezTokens - these are yield-bearing tokens with inherent coverage against hacks. On top of it all, Ease offers auto-compounding of the underlying assets, which saves you many gas fees for constantly restaking your gains. With Ease, you can just Set-and-Forget!

And - because of the Reciprocally Covered Assets - all coverage offered by Ease is totally free! Ease users never pay premiums for keeping their assets safe. In the event of a hack, the cost everybody pays is but a fraction of the total cost of all monthly premiums one needs to pay on the TradFi underwritten model (all of this is based on historical research of past hacks data). Considering such an event may never happen at all, there's no better place for starting your DeFi farming business than Ease.org.


The new Growing Vote model

The $EASE token is special too! You can use it to influence the amount an RCA vault will be slashed for in case a hack occurs, further decreasing the eventual cost of coverage, potentially reaching 0%.

$EASE can be staked, which turns it to $gvEASE. Gv stands for growing vote, inspired by the Curve system. The longer the user holds $gvEASE, the more his voting power in the DAO grows, reaching a maximum of additional 100% in the time of 1 year. $gvEASE also brings yields to the staker in the form of bribes for leasing its power to other entities who wish to influence the coverage of their vaults. Thus $gvEASE is a revenue vector for holders without being subjected to inflation as the max supply of both Ease tokens is never diluted!

Ease.org changes the whole image of DeFi and opens new and original opportunities for business and innovations! If you are still wondering how Ease is going to surpass it's competitors that still bet on the TradFi model, the simple truth is summarized on our Competitive Differences page --> https://ease.org/learn-crypto-defi/get-defi-cover-at-ease/ease-defi-cover/competitive-differences/



Find out more:
our Homepage - https://ease.org/
our Team - https://ease.org/about-ease-defi/the-team-at-ease/
the RCA model (Whitepaper) - https://ease.org/learn-crypto-defi/get-defi-cover-at-ease/ease-defi-cover/rca-uninsurance-whitepaper/
the $EASE and $gvEASE tokens - https://ease.org/learn-crypto-defi/get-defi-cover-at-ease/token-documentation-get-defi-cover-at-ease/what-is-gvease/

Stay tuned for Ease news - https://ease.org/about-ease-defi/news/

Join our socials:
Discord - discord.gg/8HuTB22
Telegram - https://t.me/Armorfi
Twitter - https://twitter.com/EaseDeFi


Special Thanks to Altcoins Talks' Moderator Team for being responsive and supportive! Cheers! :)

6
Reciprocally Covered Assets - The Future of DeFi Coverage?

Coverage in crypto is a bit weird topic. Most crypto newcomers are pursuing "financial freedom", interpreting it as "increased income". Crypto is mostly famous for its very high risk and, consequently, high rewards, so people are rushing for the mad gains, "landing on the moon with lambos"... and most people lose their money fast. Those who hit gold with an insanely risky investment in a token that appeared just minutes ago serve as an example that getting rich fast is nevertheless possible.

Very few people are entering crypto with a proper risk management and even fewer have the idea to insure their assets in some way and get coverage where possible. The main reason is the lack of risk-oriented culture in crypto's mainstream image, but the next big reason is that coverage is goddamn expensive. Right? We enter crypto to make risky investments and collect huge gains, not to pay premiums for insurance!?

The few people who explore coverage options are usually experienced investors, coming from the world of Traditional Finance. The TradFi world offers financial instruments that have been utilized for thousands of years and we've grown all too familiar with them - so much so, that we no longer can clearly see their flaws. The majority of developers in crypto are no exception - despite all the world-changing innovations in crypto every single day, up to now the sector of DeFi coverage has been content just to copy-paste the TradFi coverage model in the world of crypto and DeFi.

However, when you try and do that, all the flaws of the TradFi coverage model become glaringly obvious as it just can't be made to fit the out-of-this-world innovations in DeFi.

So let's dive in the problem, and let's compare the TradFi model and the only crypto-native reinvention of coverage up to this date, called Reciprocally Covered Assets.


The TradFi model

According to Investopedia, the first insurance concepts have been articulated in the Babylonian king Hammurabi's Code. Since then, these basic concepts haven't seen any major evolution in their fundamental principles and it all boils down to this:

  • You pay monthly premiums for something that may or may not happen.
  • You pay the premiums to somebody else (the insurer/underwriter), who essentially adopts the risk you want to run away from.
  • If the bad thing happens, this entity will take all the loss.
  • If nothing bad happens... you paid money for something you didn't need in the end.
  • So, in effect, fear costs you money.

Of course, this model is not evil. It's obviously flawed and very limited, but it worked for thousands of years. So, it's definitely bad, but we made it thus far thanks to this financial tool. Question is - can it serve us any further?

The answer is no. The TradFi coverage model was deemed adequate by an inherently flawed and doomed to failure fiat financial system. Before that, it served a primitive financial system of physical money and stores of value. So it's easy for a flawed financial tool to fit the low standards of a primitive system. Today, the world has evolved to never before seen levels of inter-connectivity, globalization and sophistication of daily and commercial life. Cryptocurrency and DeFi are the dawn of the New World - the incorruptible language of value and decentralization.


The new dimensions of risk

Since freedom is the ultimate risk, DeFi brings many new vectors in this regard:

DeFi is characterized by it's occasional hacks. Interesting thing is, we can't remove hacks from the sector, namely because crypto is build on dynamic and constant innovation. Hacks play an integral and necessary part in crypto innovation and evolution. Constant innovation means ever newer risks, that cannot be truly assessed, nor truly priced.

That's why these risks have been called emergent risks - a bad thing that nobody can assess, price or anticipate. When a standard DeFi coverage protocol underwrites (assesses the risk of) a given protocol to be covered, nobody in the world can tell if the monthly premiums you'll pay are adequate. They may be way too expensive, which means you're being ripped off. They may be way too cheap, in which case the whole underwriter itself is put in risk of liquidation, because the delicate balance of minimization of losses and maximization of consistent gains gets violated. And that's something the heavily leveraged coverage protocols of today can't handle without risking insolvency themselves.

With DeFi's current TVL, we are in a situation where coverage protocols themselves are in the dark. They simply don't have the capacity to continue covering DeFi's emergent risks - this is the common opinion of all major coverage protocols, shared by their respective spokespersons on the Secureum’s TrustX panel at the DevConnect event in Amsterdam, 4/22/2022. In this current bearmarket we observe hacks are becoming less frequent, but their impact increases. If this trend continues, it's a matter of time before coverage protocols with TradFi underwriter models are wiped out one by one.


The lonely innovation that can possibly save the future of DeFi coverage - Reciprocally Covered Assets

All major DeFi coverage protocols have their way of providing their services. But, as commonly stated on Secureum’s TrustX panel at the April DevConnect event (2022), all of them share the same basic problems:
  • Emergent risks are impossible to correctly price and assess, which may very well wreak havoc on staking, leverage and risk models for coverage protocols themselves;
  • Not enough capacity. To quote Hugh from Nexus Mutual, "the most amount of capacity between all of us right now is $150, maybe $200 million". This means that current DeFi coverage protocols try to cover "a small amount of large, catastrophic risks". The coverage sector simply lacks underwriting funds to provide sufficient capacity, and the current ways to increase them also increase the leveraged risks for protocols.

The only speaker at the event that had a solution, directly addressing these fundamental problems instead of circumventing them, was EaseDeFI's CEO Robert Forster. His solution is an innovation, called Reciprocally Covered Assets, or RCA.


RCA Fundamentals

In this new crypto-native iteration of the financial coverage idea, assets themselves are also the collateral for coverage. This simply means, that in case of a bad event, the covered assets themselves are going to be slashed with the fee for the coverage. Thus it introduces a level of flexibility the TradFi underwriter model doesn't possess.

That approach makes it possible to eliminate monthly premiums - no more will the user pay periodic premiums for an event that may never happen. The RCA method makes it possible to only pay what you need to pay and when you need to pay it. If a hack or an exploit happens, your assets are slashed with an appropriate amount. EaseDeFi's team members stress out, that based on their own research of historical hack data, they expect this slashing to be significantly less than the combined amount of premiums a user would've paid under the TradFi underwriter model. Since this RCA model of coverage is an innovation, it's yet to be battletested (at the time of writing). So looks like time will tell if this new proposed model produces the expected results in this regard.

Under the RCA method, coverage is organized by vaults. Each vault represents deposited DeFi yield-bearing assets. All the vaults comprise the ecosystem. When a protocol is hacked, its respective vault with deposited assets, expectedly, takes a loss. Reciprocal Coverage means, that all other vaults in the ecosystem will share the loss of the event, effectively chipping in, so instead one vault suffering enormous losses, all vaults in the ecosystem suffer a small loss.

This is illustrated in the RCA model Whitepaper:


This solves the problem with the limited capacity the TradFi underwritten model suffers from. Actually, it even transcends the capacity problem, as under this new method there's almost unlimited capacity, the assets also being the collateral itself. I call this method a crypto-native reinvention, because it theoretically has the capacity to cover every single dollar in DeFi! Something that the TradFi premiums model simply can never do, as it's just not tailored for the blockchain and the freedom it can offer.

When this method is put in practice, it quickly becomes obvious it does away with pricing risk as well - the other major problem in the coverage sector right now. Since assets themselves are the collateral, and since users only pay when, that is IF they need to at all, the whole system is theoretically always solvent as it's very hard indeed to suffer insurmountable losses as a result of any unforeseen emergent risk vector. That's because the RCA system doesn't need to leverage its capital pool for coverage, like most protocols on the TradFi method frequently do.

They illustrate solvency in RCA's Whitepaper like this:



Possible other applications

There's not a whole lot of information of other applications for the RCA principle, but I think it may be integrated in many places in the GameFi sector also, like systems with a lot of pools or value pots... I won't be surprised if, eventually, it becomes the basis for some new algorithmic stablecoin principle in the future? So maybe watch out for topics in that direction...

7
DeFi tokens / Re: Why is DeFi good
« on: September 22, 2022, 10:59:22 PM »
DeFi enables any two parties to securely and directly transact without involving an intermediary or central authority. The result is that many more people can access financial services at lower costs or receive better interest rates than those offered by traditional financial institutions.

I would argue your statement is not entirely correct.

To clarify - Enabling any two parties to securely and directly transact without an intermediary is a trait of the blockchain itself.

What defines DeFi is the reinvention of all those financial instruments the old money system has - borrowing and lending, coverage and insurance, leverage, arbitrage, exchanges... but also new ones, like staking. It's important to underline, that these are not exact copies of TradFi, but reinvented crypto-native iterations of these tools, while staking doesn't exist and is not possible in TradFi.

More importantly, lower costs and better interest rates are not at all given in DeFi! Nothing makes it impossible to be worse, it's merely incentivized to be better. But this can easily get worse than TradFi if a DeFi protocol goes out of balance. E.g., DeFi on Ethereum is hell of a lot more expensive because of the gas fees, compared to a TradFi network like VISA.

So, lower costs (depending on the blockchain, mind you) and better interest rates are just a side effect from the annihilation of centralized intermediaries, which is the main purpose of DeFi.

By decetralizing finance, the blockchain destroys corruption and control. It's that simple :) Hence "financial freedom" - it doesn't mean getting ultra-rich and fast... it means you are free to do financial conduct without any authority's supervision or mediation.

8
Gamers had already adopted the vision before Bitcoin provided it
[...]
Gaming society strived for decentralization long before BTC brought DeFi
[...]
The invention of BTC found a fertile soil in gamers around the world right from the start
[...]

To add to my case here...

Gamers were masters at programmability and standardization of ecosystem parameters and imaginary world development looong before BTC.

Since the beginning of RPGs, long before their digital versions, character creation has been a central part in many game genres. To create a character and after that to play with it, changing its stats in some parameter margins, while doing work (playing, investing time, attention and effort) is THE SAME as creating a new token and an ecosystem powered by it.

To create an RPG character, you need a regulated environment. The Dungeons&Dragons system is an immortal classic ever since the board days of gaming! It's THE SAME as having a token standard as a ERC-20 for example.

To say blockchain is becoming an integral part of gaming is a fallacy. It's quite the opposite - GAMING is actually an integral part of the blockchain, as the fundamental underlying vision for decentralization, minting of assets, distribution and ecosystem management can be traced to gaming decades before BTC was first invented.

9
Absolutely. But things are rapidly developing on that front too...

The underlying reason for DeFi's risks is pretty simple and profound - Decentralized Finance brings you financial freedom. And there's no riskier thing in the world than freedom. So much so, the bulk of humanity has grown used to trading their freedom (risk) for security.

Since DeFi is about financial freedom, newbies have to understand, that risk itself is a fundamental factor in DeFi. It's NECESSARY. That is a totally new concept for TradFi people, who view risk as an ultimate threat, but never as something constructive.

DeFi is still maturing (as crypto itself) and the technology that utilizes DeFi's inherent risk is just starting to appear.

Main risks in DeFi are:
  • Investing in and using a hollow protocol - a rug pull or ponzi. Prevention: DYOR, but sometimes it can't be researched (by the majority), like the Terra incident.
  • Investing or using a protocol with low security - hacks. Prevention: Get coverage on your assets, although there's a big inefficiency and insufficiency in current coverage protocols (a question for another thread).
  • Bad financial decisions - the chosen protocol is sound, but the user is not managing their assets properly. Prevention: More education! Of course, the learning curve for the crypto beginner is very, very steep.


So, obviously there's an untapped niche for new and innovative protocols, that:
  • Help you DYOR in sound DeFi protocols with their risk know-how;
  • Bring innovations in the neglected sector of DeFi coverage and insurance;
  • Help you climb the steep learning curve;

I think there already are protocols that do just that... but I'm sure the readers can research them on their own.

DeFi cannot continue forward without addressing said problems. Indeed - if DeFi addresses these problems on its own, it will evade all those regulations that are about to be imposed on the sector. Don't forget that US and EU legislation, as well as the Eastern governments, are looking for ways to get rid of DeFi in an attempt to "keep the fiat financial stability".

So protocols that address these problems may not only be instrumental in DeFi's further evolution, but may very well be the saving grace for DeFi against KYC and centralized control by governments.

10
Cryptocurrency discussions / Re: Which crypto has the highest potential??
« on: September 20, 2022, 04:36:43 PM »
Well, you are considering coins that have been on the market for a long time and have shown themselves in many ways, I would like to hear about new coins that have just entered or are about to enter the market

Me too.

Imo there are only two sectors with high demand for crypto, and that's GameFi and DeFi.

GameFi, cos gamers are consumers. A gamer plays games as he eats food, games are addicting. I'm not saying that in a bad sense, I mean humans like to play games all their life, no matter the age. There's no demand for crypto in a bearmarket when all money leave risk-on assets. But you NEED crypto to play games in the GameFi sector. Bearmarket or bullmarket - you NEED to buy those tokens.

(But, imo, avoid investing in the tokens of a single game. Invest in projects that make the GameFi ecosystem stronger, don't invest in singular games)


DeFi, cos, actually, that's the place to go if you want your money to work for you. Bearmarket or bullmarket - you NEED your money to work for you, if you want to keep your wealth. Although, DeFi has noticeably weaker demand in a bearmarket than GameFi, but it still has much demand... unlike Cardano e.g. and many others.


Because, tell me, what the hell do you need ADA for? Who buys ADA? You don't even have DEXs on Cardano! Invest and speculate all you can. But investing in a coin that has no demand and usecases that are popular enough is just like participating in a ponzy - you invest, hoping to get your hands on other investors' money and be the first to sell.

Cardano - ponzy for speculators
Shib - ponzy for speculators
APE - same thing

At least SOL has everything - it has some of the most advanced DEXs, supports much GameFi, has the most promising NFT platforms... So you NEED SOL for those transactions.
Same for MATIC
Same for Cosmos, you know, you NEED it to do stuff
Same for LINK

But TRON? Really? What can you do on TRON better than other places? Why? "On the face of it, there isn’t much that separates TRON from its competitors." - that's a popular statement in mass media reviews about TRON, and it's damn true. Good luck investing and hoping for returns.

Sandbox is narrow. It's a niche in a sector. It will never be important for the ecosystem, it will only be important for its own cause. Yeah, I respect its usecases. But they won't make ripples outside the boundaries of its own world.


So SAND, TRON, ADA, SHIB, APE - I would remove them from that list. So the 10 become 5.

Personal opinion. Don't follow it blindly.


P.S.
Me, personally, I now hold much more BTC than ETH, I see no future for ETH after PoS is in. I know - that's against the grain... so I must be wrong, right?
I hope I am. But I will invest in BTC and Monero instead of ETH any day. I'll sell all my ZEC the moment they go PoS.

11
As a hardcore ex-gamer I do have an opinion, and I'm willing to share it.

Gamers had already adopted the vision before Bitcoin provided it

It runs deeper than the general public is willing to see. Gamers were ready to accept crypto's innovations much before BTC was invented. Back in the day, gamers were a special bunch - they formed a special social layer of fantasy. Gamer societies were home to all kinds of future-thinking people and those who had alternative views of life. Old-school gamers like me, we were making our gatherings at the weekly meetings of fantasy and sci-fi novel writers in town, to discuss games with them.

The so called Real World was the world of stupid people who were living the boring reality of everyday life, deprived of magic. In games you could run away from the oppressing System, away from having to find a sh*tty job, getting robbed by the status quo every day, get an education you never wished for, raise a family just because you are supposed to and then slave away for the rest of your unhappy life. Gaming offered you the chance to reimagine the world in a form that you thought could make you happy - with more thrill, with more magic, with more obvious truths and less obfuscations to what is valuable in this accursed existence.

In other words, gamers despised the Old World and the status quo, but were too geeky and nerdy to seriously state their case in a philosophical and serious manner.


Gaming society strived for decentralization long before BTC brought DeFi

Gamers attracted the likes of all kinds of people who were unhappy with the world of their day. And, in response, the world refused to take them seriously, because the Old World hates and fears those who can foresee a greater future beyond the veil of the Matrix.

For it was just so - anyone who's been a gamer between the 90s and 2015, basically, can testify to that: we called "the Matrix" the so called Real Life, and we accepted the world of gaming as our truer reality.

Before BTC was invented, the gaming social layer was already maturing. People started to make a living through gaming, because they flat out refused to grow up! Older generations of gamers HAD to grow up, because the Old World was stronger, the Matrix people were much more numerous and they could make you grow up, even if you didn't want to.

But as gaming was maturing, more and more grown-up gamers, who were forced to leave gaming behind, were building a new kind of future for their children - a kind of future they themselves were deprived of. More and more gamer-fathers were leaving their children alone when they were playing PC games, because they could now relate to that childhood feeling. This was the case after 2007, when many of the 90s gamers grew up to have kids of their own.

So... when multiple generations of gamers started to overlap, they began building their own world - they wanted to be able to make money in gaming and make a living, despite the way the Old World was built. They started organizing huge tournaments with bigger and bigger prizes. Understand? Old gamers now wanted young gamers to receive prizes with REAL value, and not stuffed animals. So hard cash entered gaming.

It was all centralized, of course. The technology wasn't there. And tournaments had bigger and bigger prizes, but they were just for show, remaining inaccessible for 99% of gamers across the world. Only the best of the best were playing at those tournaments with real prizes, and Koreans were dominating (rightfully so, hats off to them and what they did for gaming around the world).

Soon after gamers started wanting fame too! They wanted to be recognized, just like all the other sports. So the term "e-sports" emerged, attempts were made to include e-sports and DOTA in particular in the regular Olympic games.

But the technology just wasn't there.

The invention of BTC found a fertile soil in gamers around the world right from the start

BTC was first mined with regular PCs. Gee, I wonder what audience was most accessible for BTC adoption!

Small wonder the blockchain and all developments of the DeFi and crypto are basically tailored for gaing. GameFi is not just a "play-to-earn" trend. Please... Neither is it a comfortable excuse to make use of useless NFTs.

The blockchain means board games turned into reality! E-sports is just a precursor to GameFi! Welcome to the future people!


12
Cryptocurrency discussions / Re: Few crypto thoughts of the day
« on: September 18, 2022, 09:31:39 PM »
1. The minimum deep that BTC dived to was 17,500$ do you still think we are going below 13,000$? If yes please explain.
2. Does it matter if you build a crypto portfolio at 15k per BTC or 10k per BTC.
3. In 2020 covid was the reason why BTC crumbled to 3,500$ what will happen in 2023 that will bring the same deep dive to crypto market.
4. Crypto keeps looking stronger every year, it's getting more recognised and big players of the world are saying BTC is a better store of value than the dollar for long term, are they right.


Here's my personal thoughts (don't follow blindly):

1. I'm totally prepared for BTC to at least wick down to ~15K, or linger there for months.
The most important thing to remember here is, the Fed is not printing money anymore. (For the newcomers: USD is world's reserve currency, that's why that's so important). So... it's pretty hard to attract the moneyflow necessary to fuel a bullmarket. The money aren't there. Rich people prefer bonds in these conditions, the so-called "risk-off" sector. Stock market and Crypto market are viewed as risky investments (crypto much more so). So, crypto needs a damn good catalyst to start a bullmarket outside of money-printing conditions.
If the Fed doesn't pivot, we may not see money-printing for many months to come. Now... foreign (foreign to the US) chaos may pressure the Fed to start printing sooner, because the war in Europe is enough chaos for the world right now. Everything else (like Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Taiwan etc.) is crossing the line.
The bad thing is, recession is looming (if not here already), and, unlike previous times, the Fed cannot resume money-printing to get the world economy out of the recession like it usually does. We may have to live through a recession without money-printing. And that would mean an exceptionally long bearmarket (not enough dry powder to fuel a bullmarket in crypto).
Oh, don't forget housing market crashing too. Wealth is being destroyed here. And since nobody is buying property right now, you basically can't sell your house and buy BTC. Cos, simply, nobody will buy your house right now. No buyers. So - no bullmarket in crypto too.

2. I don't believe it matters.
IF you have an income that doesn't classify you as poor, this means you can put reasonable sums aside every month. A $5K margin is nothing, really, it's a tight range for BTC. If BTC falls to $15K-$10K range, this means you have time to DCA your portfolio all over that tight range, and it would be pretty good, imo.
Don't look at it as separate levels, like, "you f-ed up cos you invested at 15K BTC and it fell to 10K", no. It's a tight range, I personally view these two levels as one singular bottom range, and I would like to be all over the place there.

3. I don't believe there will be such an event. COVID was a one-off, a Black Swan event. Black Swans are not regular, as some TA line drawers and fractal-pasters lead people to believe.

4. Yes, they are right. I believe in this.
I think it will be quite the digression to give an explanation here. But you will really benefit from googling "The Origin of Modern Money - and its Dark Future", it's a great explanation.
HOWEVER - do not interpret this as "BTC will only gain in value against the dollar". BTC is a better store of value and the centralized fiat financial system is failing, but that doesn't mean there's no danger for you as an investor to lose your money in the turbulence ahead. Also, do take into consideration the financial war CBDC's are going to start. It is guaranteed metaphorically, but I personally think there will be a real confrontation too.

13
OK, here's my story

I'm anti-government, anarchist kinda guy... meaning I don't believe in the authority of institutions. "I believe in a voluntary society", as the slogan goes.

That's not because I'm antisocial or a general hater, or I don't care about people - it's just the opposite. So after I spent my youth as a social rebel, when I grew up I had to confess, most people need to be governed and there will always be governments, for the good of a very solid portion of humanity. I realized the world would go through a gradual evolution in the future, leaving institutions behind, but that would happen long after my time.

So I chose the life of a city hermit. I withdrew from active social life and dived in myself. I filled my time building a free online library, I translated various books from English to my native language - mainly non-fiction books, investigative journalism, many science articles and documents, also a lot of patents too. I also loved translating declassified FBI documents, and stuff.

When I learned of BTC and crypto in 2021 (yeah, a bit late!) I got very enthusiastic. I started translating crypto materials only and opened up a crypto dedicated section on my free library.

Thing is, I wasn't alone in this. Besides me, there was one more admin for the library - I provided all the content and designed the interface, he was handling the IT support, hosting and the technical stuff. This other admin had his own accounting house, that was his business.

So, we very quickly started to fight. He was making money by all the people who were paying their taxes... and there I was, not only undermining faith in governments as a whole, but now actually providing information on how this new internet money can actually help you to evade taxes and ditch the System, building decentralized society.

We went too far pretty quickly - I accused him of conflict of interests. I meant it metaphorically, but I guess I hit a nerve somewhere, cos he just banned my access to the whole site.

I got so pissed that I decided to F this SH and go all in crypto. That was April 2021.

My biggest position was in an altcoin gem at the time. After several months my biggest investment just kept crashing and crashing... so I decided to dive into its social channels and, kinda, see what's happening on the spot.

I became pretty active and kinda vocal I guess... so, when the team announced to the community they had an open position for Customer Support, I applied.

A month later I left my TradWorld job and joined the team fulltime. I'm now Community and PR Lead at the project and, actually, in this capacity I'm here in this cool forum :) (The project in question is the one in my signature... I hope I have a signature soon lol)

14
Cryptocurrency Trading / Re: GREAT ART OF A TRADER
« on: September 17, 2022, 10:18:52 PM »
Allow me to clarify things for totally new traders or people who have trouble becoming successful traders, because I feel they won't be able to apply all of this information here.

Before any of the information aggregated here can be useful to you, you must become a successful trader. Otherwise, the info presented here will only make it so much more easier for you to lose your money fast.

Because, really, you only need one successful trading strategy for the market conditions you find yourself in. A successful trading strategy can consist of as less as 2-3 indicators, really one never needs any more than that.

So this thread is very useful if you're hunting for indicators and trading ideas. But it assumes you're already a successful trader.




The core skill that makes one a successful trader can be divided in two parts:
  • Learn to trade without fear
  • Find an optimal risk management (in most cases it's 1% of portfolio)
Only then can you start building your trading strategy.






Trading without fear
In a nutshell (just goggle "trading without fear"), learning to trade without fear means to start perceiving trading on a statistical basis. Your goal is not to be right or wrong, your goal is to have a positive statistic over time - win more when you win, and lose small when you lose.
You may lose many times before a win, but your goal is to have a net positive gain when you do win, occasionally.
So you must leave emotion behind, and just be a manager of this developing statistic over time.

The risk management
This is the numbers part that actually gives shape to the statistic you want to achieve.
In most cases it's best to risk no more than 1% of your portfolio on every trade.
In most cases it's best to aim at trades that can promise you at least 3 to 1 returns. (your win is 3 times your Stop Loss)



The calculation:
If X is your total dry powder (stablecoins you can afford to lose), then it's

    1%.X       
  Stop Loss %

Let's say your portfolio is $1000.
1% of that is $10. (The minimum trade on Binance currently is a $10 order)

Let's say you want to trade Long BTC.
Let's say, that, according to you, Support is near, but you want to put a wider Stop Loss in order not to get wicked-out. You want to put a 5% stop loss.

This means, you divide $10 (1% of your portfolio) by 5% (your Stop Loss). You get $200. You have to open a Long trade BTC with $200, with a 5% Stop Loss. This way you will lose 1% of your portfolio if market hits your Stop Loss.



Next Trade

Your portfolio is now $990.
1% of it is $9.9

Your trading strategy gives you an entry signal, but you'll have to put a 3.5% Stop Loss.

Divide $9.9 by 3.5% to get ~$283. So, in order to risk only 1% of your portfolio on this trade, you need to get Long BTC with a bid of $283. If the market hits your Stop Loss, you will lose 1% of your portfolio.






If you go for trades with a win potential of at least 3 to 1, you can afford to lose 3 trades out of every 4, to be at net 0.

Your goal now is to find a trading strategy that is successful >50% of the time. A trading strategy that's successful at least 60% of the time will easily make you a successful trader, if you stick to risking 1% of your portfolio on every trade and aim at 3 to 1 returns.

You can always "let your trade run" if you are dead certain an up-trend has begun. This happens during a bullmarket, don't hope for it happening in a bearmarket (we are currently in a bearmarket).

Of course, everything is the same for Short Trades. But new traders are almost never Short traders, 99% of new traders start as Long only traders (and should be extra careful in a bearmarket).


AND NOW, armed with this knowledge, you can start experimenting with PAPER MONEY ON TRADING VIEW to test if a trading strategy is >50% successful over a period of time. Use the info in this thread to find the indicators and tools you like the most and build or copy a strategy you heard about.

If your trading strategy is successful - if it is successful more than 60% of the time - you apply Trading without fear (statistical approach) every time when you have an entry signal, risking 1% of your portfolio on every trade. This will make you a successful trader.


Don't do that - don't trade like that, or try trading like that with a losing strategy - and you WILL lose your money eventually. (So remember that you have to change your trading strategy if the general market conditions change. Ranges are traded differently than trends, just use the guides provided by the OP in this thread.)


You're welcome :)

15
Crypto was not created to be regulated. "Crypto regulation" is a perversion.

I know it sounds strong, maybe even obscene. You most certainly won't find these words spoken on any of the crypto mass media, like CoinTelegraph, Crypto Daily and whatnot. Nobody would release an article mentioning crypto regulation is the biggest nonsense imaginable. Go to governance forums of major protocols - DAO or not, you're not allowed to spit on government regulation.

There's more than one generation in crypto nowadays, and the newer generations seem to be all in for the money - you enter crypto and receive money from the sky, "financial freedom" in the house! No wonder "crypto regulation" is deemed to be good for the industry.

I really doubt newcomers to crypto today have even read the BTC Whitepaper. I can't imagine Satoshi taking into account the future "crypto regulations".

I personally think a grave mistake is being made by the majority of crypto natives today, thinking any regulation whatsoever might be in any way good for the sector. No, it can't be.

The only way I can justify this common trend is by telling myself the majority of people just don't recognize who the enemy is, what they are capable of and how they operate. I also know that many people are trigger happy to call something a conspiracy theory, just because somebody mentions a "they" and an "enemy". Honestly, if somebody thinks that crypto, as a sector, as a phenomena if you will, has no enemies and nobody powerful hates it, well... maybe he should stay out of crypto for his own sake.

Crypto needs restraint - of course! - but not by frikin governments!? Crypto needs to reinvent it's own mechanisms for regulation, just like it reinvents gaming, just like it reinvents the financial system, just like it reinvents the web...

A government regulation by traditional institutions is like a bullet to the head for crypto. What we need is the invention of regulatory crypto protocols. OR, regulatory standards, like some DAO voted wide regulatory traits, that are made part of the future basic token standards. Crypto regulation should be crypto native.

If we are in crypto, it's because we don't need Them (governments) anymore. And not because we do. If I was happy with my government and its regulations, hell, I could just buy a frikin CBDC - correct me if you think I'm wrong.

P.S.
If institutional investors are waiting on the sidelines, because they need "more regulations" to enter crypto... excuse me, that's not good for crypto? That just means they are SLAVES to the powers that be - governments and TradFi regulators - that's why institutional investors wait for regulations to enter. Government regulations would mean crypto is a conquered sector, and institutional investors will be allowed to get in only after their masters have taken control of this new sector.

So the problem is all theirs. Lack of regulations is not crypto's problem. Obviously.

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