Russia suffers a huge military defeat in Ukraine. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense itself, which are for official use, only killed and missing, Russia has lost over 64,000 people. Plus about 12,000 members of the Wagner PMC. It should be borne in mind that the number of wounded is usually about three times higher. And this is about 200 thousand more.
In addition, to date, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russia has lost 2,377 tanks, 4,975 armored vehicles, 1,405 artillery systems, 337 MLRS, 264 aircraft, 227 helicopters, 3,796 various auxiliary vehicles, 1,015 UAVs and other equipment in Ukraine. Russia can no longer make up for these losses, since people need to be trained, and equipment cannot be produced even on a small scale due to international sanctions, because electronics, optics and other components were supplied to it from countries that have now refused such supplies.
After this war, if Russia remains a single state, the world will be forced to redistribute spheres of influence without taking into account the interests of Russia, which means that the changes will be global.