Everyone has their own decisions and the knowledge they have will give them the right way to make decisions. If you believe that the once every 4 year cycle is bullish, then how come before the halving occurs, Bitcoin has reached a new ATH? Will this violate the bullish rule which can only be done once every 4 years? Do you feel that next year there will be no bad news that can bring down the price of bitcoin? I think bitcoin price movements cannot be predicted like that.
That's a cryptocurrency whose price movements are not easy to predict, even though we have tried our best to understand market conditions, we know that no one can predict coin price movements accurately.
No one can accurately determine what will happen to crypto, because its movements are heavily influenced by all kinds of information and trading that occurs.
But the analyst can see from the habits that have been made and have been made and will usually repeat them again.
From there, it can be determined when there will be corrections and whether there will be improvements, although, of course, it cannot be accurate.
At least there is an estimate that can be made to anticipate everything.