Price Analysis 5/15: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, BSV, LTC, BNB, EOS, XTZ, XLM
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A month after the first halving, Bitcoin (BTC) moved up by 7% but following the second halving, the price slipped by 10% in a month. This suggests that if history were to repeat itself, the top-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap will remain volatile but a large move in either direction is unlikely in the first month. However, the derivatives markets could be giving a signal that this time is different.
This week CME Bitcoin options open interest increased to about $142 million, an increase of over 1000% since the end of April, according to data from Skew. This shows that the options traders are expecting a sharp move in price within the next few days.
There are approximately $661.7 million worth of long positions open, compared to $252 million in short positions, on the three major futures exchanges. This suggests that the futures traders are holding on to their long positions as they are confident that Bitcoin could soon break above the psychological barrier of $10,000.
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