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Crypto Discussion Forum => Cryptocurrency Trading => Topic started by: MrSpasybo on February 10, 2024, 01:38:27 AM

Title: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 10, 2024, 01:38:27 AM
First of all, this is not financial advice. I have no interest or responsibility in other people's investments. I share my technical analysis opinion, I hope it will be of reference value for everyone.

I have read many topics predicting BTC's ATH in the cycle 2024-2025, but none of the predictions are really clear enough and presented on the price chart. This prompted me to create this topic to share my views and receive constructive feedback from everyone.

My predictions for BTC ATH:
1. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317160.0)
2. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Parallel channel ~$150K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317218)
3. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316)
4. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317387)

1. Linear regression

Linear regression is a popular method for finding descriptions for existing data sets and making predictions for the future. For BTC, there have been many studies using linear regression, of which Harold Christopher Burger's 2019 study[1] is extremely detailed and worth referencing than the remaining studies.

I will present the gist of this model: Log(Price) = a * Log(Time) + b
In other words, on the plane [Log(Time), Log(Price)], the resulting graph is a straight line.

Linear regression method will help determine a and b in the function.

(https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/images/twobands.png)

2. My approach

I respect Harold's results, but they are not accurate because there are many limitations such as missing data or the model has not converged to the predictable region.

I believe the peak is where the most investor participation is, meaning it is worth predicting. I will focus on predicting BTC's ATH based on past peaks.

3. Verification and prediction

a) 2021: use 3 peaks to predict the 4th peak ~ $60K.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/LcZ4r1wv/)

b) 2025: use 4 peaks to predict the 5th peak, assuming peak reached in November 2025 ~ $170K.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/RoP2ZDP6/)

So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $170K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😁

[1] Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth (https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Mr. Magkaisa on February 11, 2024, 09:24:54 PM
         -   Honestly speaking, because of the institutional investors who are accumulating Bitcoin at the moment, especially the companies that have been approved by the SEC in the Bitcoin spot ETF, I think that the linear line that I see in the image that you gave me is more than 101% and will continue.

No one can say exactly how much Bitcoin's ATH will reach in the coming years. The aforementioned predictions may happen or maybe more, and that depends on what happens. The only thing I'm sure of right now is that it's in really high demand at the moment.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: TomPluz on February 12, 2024, 01:36:46 PM

Honestly speaking, because of the institutional investors who are accumulating Bitcoin at the moment, especially the companies that have been approved by the SEC in the Bitcoin spot ETF, I think that the linear line that I see in the image that you gave me is more than 101% and will continue. No one can say exactly how much Bitcoin's ATH will reach in the coming years. The aforementioned predictions may happen or maybe more, and that depends on what happens. The only thing I'm sure of right now is that it's in really high demand at the moment.


Any market is all about supply and demand...the more demand and the lesser is the supply can be a big force that can strongly determine the price of any asset. The same thing is happening right now with Bitcoin with the recent approval of many ETFs. And days ago, I can really feel the force coming to Bitcoin. I am not good at technical analysis and I am so poor in trading but as an ordinary observer of things I can understand and in fact anticipate that soon we can really see Bitcoin go astronomical within 2024 and 2025. So I fully agree with OP MrSpasybo that there is a big possibility BTC can reach a new ATH around $170K...more or less. I am sure the whole crypto industry will be rejoicing once it would happen...for now we have to make sure that we have more BTC on our own wallets so we will not be left behind with coming its skyrocketing growth.



Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: dkbit98 on February 12, 2024, 04:23:25 PM
I am not sure if this is going to happen in 2025 but think we can see Bitcoin going much higher than $170k you predicted, with dollar and all other fiat currencies going down rapidly.
However, better be ready for down trend and bear markets in Bitcoin also, price can't always go up, and it's healthy to have some corrections.
Maybe Hall Finney BTC price prediction is not looking so unreal anymore ;)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 12, 2024, 07:04:51 PM
         -   Honestly speaking, because of the institutional investors who are accumulating Bitcoin at the moment, especially the companies that have been approved by the SEC in the Bitcoin spot ETF, I think that the linear line that I see in the image that you gave me is more than 101% and will continue.

No one can say exactly how much Bitcoin's ATH will reach in the coming years. The aforementioned predictions may happen or maybe more, and that depends on what happens. The only thing I'm sure of right now is that it's in really high demand at the moment.
I agree with you: that it is difficult to predict BTC price, but that doesn't mean all predictions are useless ^^

I learn approaches to analysis and prediction, so we can monitor and be proactive in all future scenarios. The calculation model only includes data and mathematical formulas, it is not a prophet, so the results are for reference only.

Given the coincidence in 2021, I expect that this model will continue to be as lucky in 2025. We will have an answer to confirm again in about 2 years  ;D
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: JoyMarsha on February 12, 2024, 11:06:32 PM
         -   Honestly speaking, because of the institutional investors who are accumulating Bitcoin at the moment, especially the companies that have been approved by the SEC in the Bitcoin spot ETF, I think that the linear line that I see in the image that you gave me is more than 101% and will continue.

No one can say exactly how much Bitcoin's ATH will reach in the coming years. The aforementioned predictions may happen or maybe more, and that depends on what happens. The only thing I'm sure of right now is that it's in really high demand at the moment.
I agree with you: that it is difficult to predict BTC price, but that doesn't mean all predictions are useless ^^
Not that all predictions are useless, just that people can't predict the actual price of Bitcoin because of how unpredictable and volatile the crypto market can be.

A crypto analyst can predict a higher price of bitcoin before a particular time, and bitcoin might turn out to give a lower price at that time. We have seen it happen several times, that now makes it difficult for people not listen to people's predictions because of that, because they never get the price correctly no matter how many times they try
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: debra on February 12, 2024, 11:43:00 PM
My predictions for BTC ATH:
1. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317160.0)
2. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Parallel channel ~$150K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317218)
3. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316)
4. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317387)
According to the predictions, the maximum ATH may be $170K and the minimum ATH is around $150K. So, it is safe to say the chance for the next ATH is $150K at least. It is good if we really can reach $150K, it is a significant improvement of BTC price. If we look at the current pattern of Bitcoin price movement, it is not impossible to reach $150K. Even if it fails to reach $150K, I really expect the price may reach $100k at least.

Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: KryptoBull on February 12, 2024, 11:46:30 PM
Linear regression is a popular method for finding descriptions for existing data sets and making predictions for the future. For BTC, there have been many studies using linear regression, of which Harold Christopher Burger's 2019 study[1] is extremely detailed and worth referencing than the remaining studies.

I will present the gist of this model: Log(Price) = a * Log(Time) + b
In other words, on the plane [Log(Time), Log(Price)], the resulting graph is a straight line.

Linear regression method will help determine a and b in the function.

So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $170K.
I tried reading Harold's article and the linear regression method but still don't quite understand how to do it, especially creating code on TradingView. Normally, I still get the regression results right away on Excel for ease, it's just not easy to track in real time as you do on TradingView.

This method is also quite good, predictable if the description of the market in the past is accurate and the market is still progressing according to that description and not following a new story as it matures or enters a new new wave with new behavior.

I also hope that the BTC price will go as you predict. When the price will touches 170K USD, we will recheck this topic  ;D
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: jeraldskie11 on February 14, 2024, 04:50:38 PM
b) 2025: use 4 peaks to predict the 5th peak, assuming peak reached in November 2025 ~ $170K.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/RoP2ZDP6/)

So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $170K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😁

[1] Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth (https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html)
I was amaze to know that you have learned a lot of tools to forecast the market and I can feel that you are having a good time to use this all when you go to the chart. For me, having a lot of tools to forecast the market is good but as times go by in trading, I learned that sometimes it's confusing. That's why I decided to choose only the best indicator to determine the trend, and sign of weaknesses. Well, it's up to us whether we used a lot of tools in trading as long as it works for us then go. I didn't against to traders who use a lot of tools when they analyzing the market, instead I appreciate it a lot just like you.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Learn Bitcoin on February 17, 2024, 12:32:40 PM
I guess we have another thread that you created a day before you created this thread which is this one BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316.0). The difference between these two threads is  Linear Regression ~$170K vs Trendline ~$170K. I guess we could have discussed this in a single thread. That would have created less spam. Or maybe it's better to have different topics for that because the forum needs more threads?  :D, I don't know the reason, but I just shared my opinion about it.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Mr. Magkaisa on February 18, 2024, 07:59:20 AM
         -   Honestly speaking, because of the institutional investors who are accumulating Bitcoin at the moment, especially the companies that have been approved by the SEC in the Bitcoin spot ETF, I think that the linear line that I see in the image that you gave me is more than 101% and will continue.

No one can say exactly how much Bitcoin's ATH will reach in the coming years. The aforementioned predictions may happen or maybe more, and that depends on what happens. The only thing I'm sure of right now is that it's in really high demand at the moment.
I agree with you: that it is difficult to predict BTC price, but that doesn't mean all predictions are useless ^^

Not that all predictions are useless, just that people can't predict the actual price of Bitcoin because of how unpredictable and volatile the crypto market can be.

A crypto analyst can predict a higher price of bitcoin before a particular time, and bitcoin might turn out to give a lower price at that time. We have seen it happen several times, that now makes it difficult for people not listen to people's predictions because of that, because they never get the price correctly no matter how many times they try

-   Everyone's predictions are not wrong, in fact, but it even gives us an additional idea of the predictions they share here on this platform that we belong to.
The only thing that is really important is that we have a plan for when we will sell it and at what price we will sell it.

Because if we don't have a plan for that amount, our hard-earned money can be put in jeopardy. That's why there are others who, when the 150K is reached, will sell it, and he doesn't care if it continues to rise in the market.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Crwth on February 18, 2024, 08:16:25 AM
Thank you for sharing OP, it's a great view of what the possible ATH in 2025 would be. There are a lot of things that could happen within the timeframe but it's still worth speculating because it gives us somewhat a looking forward to in terms of price.

The analysis that you gave is compelling and it hasn't failed yet with the previous highs. In the direction that we have now, I believe that we are in that direction already.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 19, 2024, 05:58:53 PM
Not that all predictions are useless, just that people can't predict the actual price of Bitcoin because of how unpredictable and volatile the crypto market can be.

A crypto analyst can predict a higher price of bitcoin before a particular time, and bitcoin might turn out to give a lower price at that time. We have seen it happen several times, that now makes it difficult for people not listen to people's predictions because of that, because they never get the price correctly no matter how many times they try
I do not try to convince others of my predictions, because I myself do not believe that I have prophetic abilities. I present this to have a convenient topic for us to discuss methods and monitor the market in the future. It would be fun if I happened to predict correctly!

According to the predictions, the maximum ATH may be $170K and the minimum ATH is around $150K. So, it is safe to say the chance for the next ATH is $150K at least. It is good if we really can reach $150K, it is a significant improvement of BTC price. If we look at the current pattern of Bitcoin price movement, it is not impossible to reach $150K. Even if it fails to reach $150K, I really expect the price may reach $100k at least.
Yeah, as stated, $150K-170K is the price zone that I will monitor in the next cycle, I really hope to see a reversal from increase to decrease of BTCUSD in this price zone in 2025.

I tried reading Harold's article and the linear regression method but still don't quite understand how to do it, especially creating code on TradingView. Normally, I still get the regression results right away on Excel for ease, it's just not easy to track in real time as you do on TradingView.

This method is also quite good, predictable if the description of the market in the past is accurate and the market is still progressing according to that description and not following a new story as it matures or enters a new new wave with new behavior.

I also hope that the BTC price will go as you predict. When the price will touches 170K USD, we will recheck this topic  ;D
Initially, I often used Excel and its Linear Regression feature but the results were not really intuitive and difficult to share or analyze.

TradingView with its huge data warehouse and PineScript is a favorite tool of mine and many other analysts. Everyone can try creating their own indicator on TradingView thanks to the support of ChatGPT!

I was amaze to know that you have learned a lot of tools to forecast the market and I can feel that you are having a good time to use this all when you go to the chart. For me, having a lot of tools to forecast the market is good but as times go by in trading, I learned that sometimes it's confusing. That's why I decided to choose only the best indicator to determine the trend, and sign of weaknesses. Well, it's up to us whether we used a lot of tools in trading as long as it works for us then go. I didn't against to traders who use a lot of tools when they analyzing the market, instead I appreciate it a lot just like you.
I believe that when multiple approaches make the same prediction, the prediction becomes more reliable. That's why I presented my multiple approaches, and they all converge on the $150K-170K price zone.

Each person will be more suitable with a different approach to the market, I always welcome shares and comments from everyone!

I guess we have another thread that you created a day before you created this thread which is this one BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316.0). The difference between these two threads is  Linear Regression ~$170K vs Trendline ~$170K. I guess we could have discussed this in a single thread. That would have created less spam. Or maybe it's better to have different topics for that because the forum needs more threads?  :D, I don't know the reason, but I just shared my opinion about it.
Trendline and Linear Regression are two completely different approaches, although they both predict $170K for BTC's ATH in 2025. I'm not focusing on price, but I want to discuss each one with everyone. approach, so separate topics are necessary to avoid confusion.

Thank you for sharing OP, it's a great view of what the possible ATH in 2025 would be. There are a lot of things that could happen within the timeframe but it's still worth speculating because it gives us somewhat a looking forward to in terms of price.

The analysis that you gave is compelling and it hasn't failed yet with the previous highs. In the direction that we have now, I believe that we are in that direction already.
I also hope that we have gotten the right story to describe BTC's past volatility. While everything is still just a prediction, I would not be surprised if BTCUSD reverses at $170K in 2025.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Faisal2202 on February 19, 2024, 06:20:19 PM
You have made a great effort in creating this topic, and it really is helping, I am not a technical trader but I think I will learn some by reading your topics, and this one is not as lengthy as some of others, point to point, I liked that. Besides this, I also predicted that BTC might touch $100k but was not assuming it could cross $150k, as I do have a thought in my heart somewhere that BTC might touch that, after all it is a win-win in both cases.

But your analysis increases hope in me, last time it increased hope in me about AVAX, and now about BTC, I think I am going to be addicted hehe. Just kidding, but really great work keep it up. I hope everything will go smoothly and we will not see any hurdles in achieving this target.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Carbitcoin on February 19, 2024, 07:23:32 PM
Observing the past price movements of BTC, the candlesticks have shown a very bullish sentiment for 2021, reaching new price levels and a new all-time high.  Like 2021, 2024 is expected to be a very bullish year as there is a possibility that it could hit an all-time high this year.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Learn Bitcoin on February 20, 2024, 07:22:11 AM
Trendline and Linear Regression are two completely different approaches, although they both predict $170K for BTC's ATH in 2025. I'm not focusing on price, but I want to discuss each one with everyone. approach, so separate topics are necessary to avoid confusion.

Make sense.
If you ask me what is my prediction about the ATH and what is going to be the ATH of Bitcoin in 2025, then I won't say $170K is a big target. BTC is currently moving in the 50K range which is pretty good, to be honest. After the halving, it may start growing further. We might not see the pump immediately, but it will start growing slowly just like what happened after the ETF approval. ETF approval did not affect the market immediately, but as you can see, the market has started pumping again. So, even if someone says that Bitcoin will hit $200K in 2025, I would say it's possible.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Aanuoluwatofunmi on February 20, 2024, 03:12:48 PM
My predictions for BTC ATH:
1. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317160.0)
2. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Parallel channel ~$150K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317218)
3. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316)
4. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317387)

If you look more closely to these predictions one after the other, they are all being under the same range, this also means that we could have nothing lesser than $150,000 in the next coming halving as all time high and we may also have as much as above $200,000 and this will come not in any surprising format because many had already predicted almost same in previous speculations.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Crypto Library on February 20, 2024, 04:50:55 PM
Even then no one can say about the future price of bitcoin and what will be the next bull-run. But I think it is not a impossible thing to touch 150k for Bitcoin. Because if we see the past history of Bitcoin I mean the all time high price then you will find that every time in every bull season Bitcoin make 3x or 4x  from the previous all time high price.
Now if I talk about the previous bull season then we will see the Bitcoin all time price was around 69k which was three times more than previous all time high price on 2017 that time Bitcoin was at around 19k. So we can easily expect from Bitcoin that next bull-run  Bitcoin can cross 150k price.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Carbitcoin on February 20, 2024, 07:00:28 PM
Even then no one can say about the future price of bitcoin and what will be the next bull-run. But I think it is not a impossible thing to touch 150k for Bitcoin. Because if we see the past history of Bitcoin I mean the all time high price then you will find that every time in every bull season Bitcoin make 3x or 4x  from the previous all time high price.
Now if I talk about the previous bull season then we will see the Bitcoin all time price was around 69k which was three times more than previous all time high price on 2017 that time Bitcoin was at around 19k. So we can easily expect from Bitcoin that next bull-run  Bitcoin can cross 150k price.
Take into account the 2016 halving and what price Bitcoin had at its peak during that period. If Bitcoin at that moment had $1.5K, then by the next halving it rose more than 10 times to  reach 19K dollars. I’ll don't want go into clear numbers. But after that the price rose a little more than 3 times. Reaching $69K. Don't you think the trend is pointing towards a decline? Maybe we should just wait for the doubling?
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 20, 2024, 08:10:26 PM
You have made a great effort in creating this topic, and it really is helping, I am not a technical trader but I think I will learn some by reading your topics, and this one is not as lengthy as some of others, point to point, I liked that. Besides this, I also predicted that BTC might touch $100k but was not assuming it could cross $150k, as I do have a thought in my heart somewhere that BTC might touch that, after all it is a win-win in both cases.

But your analysis increases hope in me, last time it increased hope in me about AVAX, and now about BTC, I think I am going to be addicted hehe. Just kidding, but really great work keep it up. I hope everything will go smoothly and we will not see any hurdles in achieving this target.
Thank you, I hope that my technical analysis topics will be useful to someone in evaluating the market, or at least in terms of approaching the market.

All we can do is monitor the market, and make predictions to be ready to act in case those predictions turn out to be true. I hope that I was lucky enough to correctly predict BTC's ATH in 2025 ^^

Observing the past price movements of BTC, the candlesticks have shown a very bullish sentiment for 2021, reaching new price levels and a new all-time high.  Like 2021, 2024 is expected to be a very bullish year as there is a possibility that it could hit an all-time high this year.
Yeah, history shows that halving is an important milestone for the cyclicality of BTC price. Typically, BTC will break its old ATH within 6-8 months after the halving, meaning we should expect BTC to be priced at over $69K by the end of this year.

Make sense.
If you ask me what is my prediction about the ATH and what is going to be the ATH of Bitcoin in 2025, then I won't say $170K is a big target. BTC is currently moving in the 50K range which is pretty good, to be honest. After the halving, it may start growing further. We might not see the pump immediately, but it will start growing slowly just like what happened after the ETF approval. ETF approval did not affect the market immediately, but as you can see, the market has started pumping again. So, even if someone says that Bitcoin will hit $200K in 2025, I would say it's possible.
Everything is waiting for us ahead, so we will wait together.
$170K is just a prediction for BTC price if the ATH will come at the end of 2025, in case the ATH will come in the middle of the year, the predicted price could be lower, for example $150K or $160K.

The market always has positive news to maintain its own strong upward momentum, and also maintains high FOMO to cause the majority of investors to lose money. For me, $170K is enough for BTC in 2025, but if BTC price will increase to $200K and break the linear regression model then I will also congratulate BTC and BTC holders  ;D

If you look more closely to these predictions one after the other, they are all being under the same range, this also means that we could have nothing lesser than $150,000 in the next coming halving as all time high and we may also have as much as above $200,000 and this will come not in any surprising format because many had already predicted almost same in previous speculations.
One of my purposes in presenting various technical analysis methods is to show their convergence. When this happens, the predicted price range of $150K-170K could become more reliable and worth following in 2025. It is not my intention to confirm anything, but I am the one making the prediction. So I also hope my prediction will come true ^^

Even then no one can say about the future price of bitcoin and what will be the next bull-run. But I think it is not a impossible thing to touch 150k for Bitcoin. Because if we see the past history of Bitcoin I mean the all time high price then you will find that every time in every bull season Bitcoin make 3x or 4x  from the previous all time high price.
Now if I talk about the previous bull season then we will see the Bitcoin all time price was around 69k which was three times more than previous all time high price on 2017 that time Bitcoin was at around 19k. So we can easily expect from Bitcoin that next bull-run  Bitcoin can cross 150k price.
This is also a simple approach of regression, as we see that the increase rate of BTC price decreases after each cycle:
2011 peak = $32
2013 peak = $1240 = x39
2017 peak = $19.8K = x16
2021 peak = $69K = x3.5
2025 peak < $69K x 3.5 = $241.5K.

So we can predict that BTC price in 2025 may not surpass $241.5K.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Learn Bitcoin on February 21, 2024, 07:17:56 AM
Everything is waiting for us ahead, so we will wait together.
$170K is just a prediction for BTC price if the ATH will come at the end of 2025, in case the ATH will come in the middle of the year, the predicted price could be lower, for example $150K or $160K.

The market always has positive news to maintain its own strong upward momentum, and also maintains high FOMO to cause the majority of investors to lose money. For me, $170K is enough for BTC in 2025, but if BTC price will increase to $200K and break the linear regression model then I will also congratulate BTC and BTC holders  ;D
As we know, all these are just predictions and some models. But, we cannot rely on those predictions. As you know, PlanB is considered the most expert Bitcoin analyst. He predicted that Bitcoin would touch 100K in 2021, which did not happen. A lot of us were kind of newbies by that time. I was not a complete newbie, but it was my first bull run and I made some mistakes.

I thought PlanB could not be wrong with his prediction. So, even though Bitcoin touched the 69K ATH, Still I didn't sell my Bitcoin. I was still holding because I thought we will see 100K in upcoming weeks which never happened.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 21, 2024, 08:43:03 PM
As we know, all these are just predictions and some models. But, we cannot rely on those predictions. As you know, PlanB is considered the most expert Bitcoin analyst. He predicted that Bitcoin would touch 100K in 2021, which did not happen. A lot of us were kind of newbies by that time. I was not a complete newbie, but it was my first bull run and I made some mistakes.

I thought PlanB could not be wrong with his prediction. So, even though Bitcoin touched the 69K ATH, Still I didn't sell my Bitcoin. I was still holding because I thought we will see 100K in upcoming weeks which never happened.
I learned about how PlanB predicted in March 2019[1]: PlanB also uses linear regression on the [Log(scarcity):log(Price)] plane. This is similar to what Harold did on the [Log(Time):Log(Price)] plane[2] because the scarcity of BTC increases over time, but PlanB's model was considered crude and missed a lot of data. It was just a prediction model, it had many weaknesses and it was not successful. PlanB was wrong, because PlanB's model is unrealistic and it cannot make reliable predictions, at least for now.

Recently, based on the S2F model, PlanB continues to predict that BTC will reach $500K in 2025[3]. We will wait, personally I don't think this prediction will come true!

[1] Modeling Bitcoin Value with Scarcity (https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25)
[2] Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth (https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html)
[3] Bitcoin Will be Scarcer Than Gold After Halving, $500K BTC Price Predicted (https://cryptopotato.com/bitcoin-will-be-scarcer-than-gold-after-halving-500k-price-predicted/)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Learn Bitcoin on February 22, 2024, 12:34:26 PM
Recently, based on the S2F model, PlanB continues to predict that BTC will reach $500K in 2025[3]. We will wait, personally I don't think this prediction will come true!

Like you, I also do not think that Bitcoin will be able to hit 500K in 2025. At least not in the next four years. We may see a 500K price range in 2029 or 2030. But, I am not sure if something like this is going to happen or not. I wish I could have saved a good amount of Bitcoin for 2030. This is another reason I needed a wallet with a timelock feature and fortunately, I learned it from the other forum.

The $170K price range is more realistic than the $500. I guess even PlanB knows that this prediction won't be correct. I guess he does that because this shows how confident he is with Bitcoin. I remember an Indian guy said he would donate all his wealth if Bitcoin did not hit 100K in 2023. Which never happened. But, we haven't hear anything about him anymore.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 22, 2024, 07:33:44 PM
Like you, I also do not think that Bitcoin will be able to hit 500K in 2025. At least not in the next four years. We may see a 500K price range in 2029 or 2030. But, I am not sure if something like this is going to happen or not. I wish I could have saved a good amount of Bitcoin for 2030. This is another reason I needed a wallet with a timelock feature and fortunately, I learned it from the other forum.

The $170K price range is more realistic than the $500. I guess even PlanB knows that this prediction won't be correct. I guess he does that because this shows how confident he is with Bitcoin. I remember an Indian guy said he would donate all his wealth if Bitcoin did not hit 100K in 2023. Which never happened. But, we haven't hear anything about him anymore.
Anything can happen in the future, and maybe this time PlanB is right. It's just that from the perspective of technical analysis using linear regression, I don't trust PlanB's S2F model. PlanB himself in YouTube videos also said that he may also be wrong in his BTC price predictions for 2025.

Many people were too FOMO, too confident in BTC or they simply want to become famous, so they made overly optimistic statements in 2021. I believe we will soon see similar cases in 2025 .

Will you hold BTC to $500K by 2029?
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Learn Bitcoin on February 23, 2024, 04:01:33 PM
Many people were too FOMO, too confident in BTC or they simply want to become famous, so they made overly optimistic statements in 2021. I believe we will soon see similar cases in 2025 .
Yep, that's what happened in 2021. We don't know what will happen. But, some people always want some attention, or probably they just want to be viral with such a statement? I saw some influencers posted on twitter that this will go 10x, that one 50x, and bla bla bla.

Quote
Will you hold BTC to $500K by 2029?
To be honest, I don't know. It depends on the situation. I do not have plan to sell my Bitcoin holdings if I do not need urgent money for emergency or if I do not invest in a new business.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: LogitechMouse on February 23, 2024, 04:56:31 PM
I already linked it here, but I will link the YouTube video that I watched weeks ago with regards to the possible peak price of Bitcoin next year during the bull market.
https://youtu.be/UX8LPbMGyl4?si=wS75p_kBL4sAkAAt (https://youtu.be/UX8LPbMGyl4?si=wS75p_kBL4sAkAAt)

In that video, a famous mathematician (I think) predicted that the peak price of Bitcoin in 2025 might be in the price range of $160,000 - $200,000. Sounds impossible right? Watch the video because there are explanations there, and you will be shocked because the reality is, it might happen. Not promoting the video. I just love how they came up with that price prediction. :)

Overall, a prediction is still a prediction, and it has a 50/50 chance. If it happens, congratulations to those who will be able to sell it at peak or near to it. If it doesn't happen then as long as you sell at a profit then it's all good. I just know one thing. I already adjust my selling price after I watched the video, and read threads regarding price prediction here. It's higher now. :D
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 23, 2024, 06:57:03 PM
Yep, that's what happened in 2021. We don't know what will happen. But, some people always want some attention, or probably they just want to be viral with such a statement? I saw some influencers posted on twitter that this will go 10x, that one 50x, and bla bla bla.

To be honest, I don't know. It depends on the situation. I do not have plan to sell my Bitcoin holdings if I do not need urgent money for emergency or if I do not invest in a new business.
Investor psychology is especially sensitive. When they lose money: they just want to break even. When they have profits, they just want more profits and start thinking about extreme optimistic scenarios like super-cycle, BTC $100K, BTC $1M ^^

I think if you can be aware of the cyclical nature of BTC price, you can proactively buy and sell according to the cycle to optimize profits. Michael Saylor is very talented but I don't think we should follow Saylor's holding through crypto winter strategy.

I already linked it here, but I will link the YouTube video that I watched weeks ago with regards to the possible peak price of Bitcoin next year during the bull market.
https://youtu.be/UX8LPbMGyl4?si=wS75p_kBL4sAkAAt (https://youtu.be/UX8LPbMGyl4?si=wS75p_kBL4sAkAAt)

In that video, a famous mathematician (I think) predicted that the peak price of Bitcoin in 2025 might be in the price range of $160,000 - $200,000. Sounds impossible right? Watch the video because there are explanations there, and you will be shocked because the reality is, it might happen. Not promoting the video. I just love how they came up with that price prediction. :)

Overall, a prediction is still a prediction, and it has a 50/50 chance. If it happens, congratulations to those who will be able to sell it at peak or near to it. If it doesn't happen then as long as you sell at a profit then it's all good. I just know one thing. I already adjust my selling price after I watched the video, and read threads regarding price prediction here. It's higher now. :D
Yeah, I also watched this video and understood that the method presented is quite simple, similar to what Harold did in 2019[1]: put price history on the Log(Time):Log(Price ) plane, use linear regression and obtain the related predictions.

I also use this method in this topic, but I only apply it to the tops and add some tweaks to narrow the error range.

[1] Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth (https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html)
[/quote]
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: SmartGold01 on February 24, 2024, 04:09:45 PM
Many people were too FOMO, too confident in BTC or they simply want to become famous, so they made overly optimistic statements in 2021. I believe we will soon see similar cases in 2025 .
Yep, that's what happened in 2021. We don't know what will happen. But, some people always want some attention, or probably they just want to be viral with such a statement? I saw some influencers posted on twitter that this will go 10x, that one 50x, and bla bla bla.

Quote
Will you hold BTC to $500K by 2029?
To be honest, I don't know. It depends on the situation. I do not have plan to sell my Bitcoin holdings if I do not need urgent money for emergency or if I do not invest in a new business.
You to be able to hold upto that you must have additional source of income that will make you not to be in hurry to alter your holdings, I understand it's very hard to hold for long when you don't have additional source of income. That is why before venturing into Bitcoin investment we should try our best to make sure we have reserved fund or kind cushion money that will serve as a backup to our investment where we don't need to be in haste to sell our bitcoin without additional source of income. To frankly speaking, I can hold bitcoin for long as I am not in pressure to use the money other things and for that I must make sure I have a fund set aside for expenses and will make sure I regularly top up that funds whenever I noticed it's going down.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Power420 on February 24, 2024, 05:24:10 PM
The halving in 2024 is very likely to be the peak in Bitcoin price, because fewer blocks have arrived and Bitcoin prices will increase a lot. This year the amount of investors is also the highest and all the investors have targeted the year 2025. Bitcoin's price peaked in just two to three years of holding. nvestors who have not originally invested in Bitcoin coins will face the highest losses at present. Bitcoin price is very likely to reach 150k to 170k this year around 2025
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 24, 2024, 08:34:04 PM
The halving in 2024 is very likely to be the peak in Bitcoin price, because fewer blocks have arrived and Bitcoin prices will increase a lot. This year the amount of investors is also the highest and all the investors have targeted the year 2025. Bitcoin's price peaked in just two to three years of holding. nvestors who have not originally invested in Bitcoin coins will face the highest losses at present. Bitcoin price is very likely to reach 150k to 170k this year around 2025
Yeah, I still believe that Halving is an important event and has a big impact on the growth of BTC price. We will soon witness BTC's breakout past $69K and conquer new price ranges above $100K.

I hope that with linear regression approach, we can be lucky to correctly predict BTC's ATH in 2022 at $150K-170K  :)
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: vegasus on February 24, 2024, 11:36:47 PM
Yeah, I still believe that Halving is an important event and has a big impact on the growth of BTC price. We will soon witness BTC's breakout past $69K and conquer new price ranges above $100K.

I hope that with linear regression approach, we can be lucky to correctly predict BTC's ATH in 2022 at $150K-170K  :)
We all believe in the impact of the Halving on increasing Bitcoin prices, and indeed the cycle will usually be like this. It's just a matter of how long we will see this increase after the Bitcoin halving. Maybe a few months later. The increase in Bitcoin's price will of course not be far from the effects of a positive trend, we just pray that there will not suddenly be a very big negative issue, which could further affect ATH.

We hope to achieve the hope of reaching $100k in the last bullish season in the next bullish season, and even more. However, if you look at it in detail, this could reach more than $130k at least. However, for me personally, the price would probably be set at several levels, and the highest, it would increase if it could reach more than $150k.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: pacar_tiri on February 25, 2024, 12:23:44 PM
The halving in 2024 is very likely to be the peak in Bitcoin price, because fewer blocks have arrived and Bitcoin prices will increase a lot. This year the amount of investors is also the highest and all the investors have targeted the year 2025. Bitcoin's price peaked in just two to three years of holding. nvestors who have not originally invested in Bitcoin coins will face the highest losses at present. Bitcoin price is very likely to reach 150k to 170k this year around 2025
Yeah you are right, when the halving occurs, it will be difficult for miners to get Bitcoin because the level of difficulty in solving blocks will increase, so this should have an important influence on Bitcoin price movements, with support from ETFs it also makes me believe that Bitcoin has potential. to a possible $250k price tag sometime next year.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Primo1760 on February 25, 2024, 12:30:52 PM
First of all, this is not financial advice. I have no interest or responsibility in other people's investments. I share my technical analysis opinion, I hope it will be of reference value for everyone.

I have read many topics predicting BTC's ATH in the cycle 2024-2025, but none of the predictions are really clear enough and presented on the price chart. This prompted me to create this topic to share my views and receive constructive feedback from everyone.

My predictions for BTC ATH:
1. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317160.0)
2. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Parallel channel ~$150K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317218)
3. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317316)
4. BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K (https://www.altcoinstalks.com/index.php?topic=317387)
center]

So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $170K.

This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.

I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😁

[1] Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth (https://hcburger.com/blog/powerlaw/index.html)
The prediction you made I agree with your prediction I believe Bitcoin can reach $100,000 to $170,000 in 2025. Some of these more unique influential analysts have predicted that Bitcoin could go above $200,000 in 2025. Since the Bitcoin market halving is not far away, if the Bitcoin halving happens in April 2024 and the upcoming bull market begins a few months after that, Bitcoin may very well go from $100,000 to $170,000 in 2025. But not only after analyzing the market, we must proceed with that investment by investing in Bitcoin. Only if we can go ahead with that investment by investing in Bitcoin can we find its worth in the coming bull market.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 25, 2024, 08:26:33 PM
We all believe in the impact of the Halving on increasing Bitcoin prices, and indeed the cycle will usually be like this. It's just a matter of how long we will see this increase after the Bitcoin halving. Maybe a few months later. The increase in Bitcoin's price will of course not be far from the effects of a positive trend, we just pray that there will not suddenly be a very big negative issue, which could further affect ATH.

We hope to achieve the hope of reaching $100k in the last bullish season in the next bullish season, and even more. However, if you look at it in detail, this could reach more than $130k at least. However, for me personally, the price would probably be set at several levels, and the highest, it would increase if it could reach more than $150k.
In previous cycles, BTC would create a new ATH within 6-8 months after Halving. If this continues to repeat itself in the upcoming cycle, we will see a new ATH in Q4 of this year.

Despite major fluctuations in the economy, I believe BTC has its own story, and price zones will be reached before a reversal occurs. I predicted and believed what the data suggested: I would wait for BTC at $150K-170K.

The prediction you made I agree with your prediction I believe Bitcoin can reach $100,000 to $170,000 in 2025. Some of these more unique influential analysts have predicted that Bitcoin could go above $200,000 in 2025. Since the Bitcoin market halving is not far away, if the Bitcoin halving happens in April 2024 and the upcoming bull market begins a few months after that, Bitcoin may very well go from $100,000 to $170,000 in 2025. But not only after analyzing the market, we must proceed with that investment by investing in Bitcoin. Only if we can go ahead with that investment by investing in Bitcoin can we find its worth in the coming bull market.
I am continuing to invest in BTC through the DCA strategy for the long term throughout the crypto winter. However, I believe that the main driving force that will bring BTC to the price range above $100K will come from investment funds and millions of new investors who are about to enter the market because of FOMO after the Halving.

The cyclicality of BTC will continue to repeat and we will have an extremely harsh winter after BTC's ATH in 2025. For the time being, we can safely wait for the Halving and expect an extremely strong bullrun  ;D
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Trongduy on February 26, 2024, 04:28:08 PM
So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is $170K.
I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😁
Last year, I also tried doing a regression on Excel and got quite interesting results, but not as nice as the OP's images, the predicted price was also higher, about 200k USD, not just 170k USD. Excel did everything so I don't understand where the difference might be, and the suggested results are just for fun.

If this prediction comes true next season then it is OK, we can sell crypto at a high price area, take the profits of both BTC and Alts. I think when BTC reaches $170k, the total capitalization of the entire crypto market will be about 10 trillion USD, almost equal to the current capitalization of gold.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 26, 2024, 06:14:53 PM
Last year, I also tried doing a regression on Excel and got quite interesting results, but not as nice as the OP's images, the predicted price was also higher, about 200k USD, not just 170k USD. Excel did everything so I don't understand where the difference might be, and the suggested results are just for fun.

If this prediction comes true next season then it is OK, we can sell crypto at a high price area, take the profits of both BTC and Alts. I think when BTC reaches $170k, the total capitalization of the entire crypto market will be about 10 trillion USD, almost equal to the current capitalization of gold.
Last year, I have guided people to use linear regression in Excel in the most convenient way, and I am also using it during work, it is still effective, does not affect the prediction results. If there is a difference, Excel is not as convenient as TradingView in case the user wants to choose the D - W - M time frame.

Currently, the story of the BTC peak through cycles is still being told quite accurately and can be predicted in the previous cycle, I hope the upcoming cycle will be the same, when we will be able to act promptly, won't expect unrealistic prices like $250K-500K.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: elbans89 on February 26, 2024, 09:49:01 PM
The halving in 2024 is very likely to be the peak in Bitcoin price, because fewer blocks have arrived and Bitcoin prices will increase a lot. This year the amount of investors is also the highest and all the investors have targeted the year 2025. Bitcoin's price peaked in just two to three years of holding. nvestors who have not originally invested in Bitcoin coins will face the highest losses at present. Bitcoin price is very likely to reach 150k to 170k this year around 2025
Yeah you are right, when the halving occurs, it will be difficult for miners to get Bitcoin because the level of difficulty in solving blocks will increase, so this should have an important influence on Bitcoin price movements, with support from ETFs it also makes me believe that Bitcoin has potential. to a possible $250k price tag sometime next year.

After the bitcoin ETF was approved, we all saw bitcoin showing good movement in the crypto market, and I believe the price of bitcoin will continue to rise until it hits a new ATH. although some corrections will occur. I agree with the prediction that Bitcoin will reach $150K-170K. That still makes sense. but to exceed $200K, I'm not sure yet.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: therozaq on February 28, 2024, 07:22:23 AM

Yeah you are right, when the halving occurs, it will be difficult for miners to get Bitcoin because the level of difficulty in solving blocks will increase, so this should have an important influence on Bitcoin price movements, with support from ETFs it also makes me believe that Bitcoin has potential. to a possible $250k price tag sometime next year.

I agree with you, because the bitcoin ETF has a good impact on the current increase in bitcoin prices.  I also believe bitcoin will touch the new ATH at $225K or $250K.
 Current bitcoin price is $ 57K, I am confident bitcoin will touch $ 60K at this week. Maybe during bitcoin halving bitcoin will increase around $ 70K.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 28, 2024, 04:43:45 PM
After the bitcoin ETF was approved, we all saw bitcoin showing good movement in the crypto market, and I believe the price of bitcoin will continue to rise until it hits a new ATH. although some corrections will occur. I agree with the prediction that Bitcoin will reach $150K-170K. That still makes sense. but to exceed $200K, I'm not sure yet.
Today BTC has reached $61K, I was completely surprised by this explosion, perhaps it is true that this price increase comes from BTC Spot ETF. However, there are no signs that the cyclicality and story of BTC has changed because of the ETF, I hope that the $150K-170K zone will still be an important price zone for BTC's price fluctuations in the future.

I agree with you, because the bitcoin ETF has a good impact on the current increase in bitcoin prices.  I also believe bitcoin will touch the new ATH at $225K or $250K.

Current bitcoin price is $ 57K, I am confident bitcoin will touch $ 60K at this week. Maybe during bitcoin halving bitcoin will increase around $ 70K.
I'd love to know your method of predicting whether BTC could reach an ATH at $225K-250K this year and next year. I'm really curious and want to learn more about other approaches in predicting BTC's ATH.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Jamal Aezaz on February 28, 2024, 07:53:29 PM
I agree with you, because the bitcoin ETF has a good impact on the current increase in bitcoin prices.  I also believe bitcoin will touch the new ATH at $225K or $250K.
 Current bitcoin price is $ 57K, I am confident bitcoin will touch $ 60K at this week. Maybe during bitcoin halving bitcoin will increase around $ 70K.

Your predictions were accurate the price of bitcoin has touched 61k$ this week which means that reaching to 70k$ during halving is not a difficult thing. Everyone's hope increases as they noticed such higher price before halving so everyone trust that halving will have more powerful impacts on the success of bitcoin.

There is a hope that one day bitcoin will surely attain new ATH of 225k$ or 250k$ but the accurate time is not possible to know yet therefore take your position on time unless it cross the value of 100k$ and you become late to accumulate bitcoin.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: sampoerna on February 28, 2024, 11:20:42 PM
Slowly, ooppps, immediately, the price of Bitcoin increased very drastically, increasing quite fantastically. Even before, I didn't expect at all that the price of Bitcoin would touch $60k before the halving, and this has really increased fantastically. Positive trends towards Bitcoin, with various drivers that make the price of this coin even better and hopefully even higher. In fact, the next hope is that Bitcoin can exceed the ATH before the halving. Do you think so? If Bitcoin's positive trend continues, it's definitely possible. But if you can't, at the very least there will be a market correction, so we have to be prepared for all the possibilities that exist.

Current price of BTC: $61.033
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
And this will be always changing again
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Mrbluntzy on February 29, 2024, 12:04:38 AM
Let's not be surprised that bitcoin all time high of 2025 would be $200, 000 or $300, 000. It could decide to beat a new all time high that no body would have expected. This is my opinion, I am no expert.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Papusha20 on February 29, 2024, 08:47:00 AM
Of course, it is very likely that the price of Bitcoin will be 1 lakh 70 thousand dollars. Because the halving is much more likely to increase the price of Bitcoin two to three times from the level it has been in the past. This is evidenced by the halving in 2020 as the year 2021 saw a two- to three-fold increase at past current prices. So in 2024 the price of Bitcoin has touched the highest $64k, so two to three times (120k-180k) it will definitely touch.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on February 29, 2024, 02:17:01 PM
Slowly, ooppps, immediately, the price of Bitcoin increased very drastically, increasing quite fantastically. Even before, I didn't expect at all that the price of Bitcoin would touch $60k before the halving, and this has really increased fantastically. Positive trends towards Bitcoin, with various drivers that make the price of this coin even better and hopefully even higher. In fact, the next hope is that Bitcoin can exceed the ATH before the halving. Do you think so? If Bitcoin's positive trend continues, it's definitely possible. But if you can't, at the very least there will be a market correction, so we have to be prepared for all the possibilities that exist.
The growth of BTC is making many investors, including me, really surprised. In previous cycles, BTC has never been so close to ATH right before Halving. We already have a pattern of 2 peaks in 2021, they have a bottom in 2022 lower than the peak in 2017, so this time BTC will create ATH before Halving is also completely possible.

If this happens, we will have new history to study and predict. However, I do not expect that the BTC cycle itself will be broken, meaning that BTC will continue to peak in 2025 and bottom in 2026 instead of growing strongly and peaking this year before a long crypto winter.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: UNIVERSE on March 16, 2024, 11:27:18 PM
If this happens, we will have new history to study and predict. However, I do not expect that the BTC cycle itself will be broken, meaning that BTC will continue to peak in 2025 and bottom in 2026 instead of growing strongly and peaking this year before a long crypto winter.
The BTC cycle between bearish and bullish will definitely continue. It's just that, actually at the moment I'm a little bit interested in the development and progress of the increase in BTC itself. Which can break the previous ATH before halving. Will this make the BTC cycle faster? Usually a 4-5 year cycle occurs to repeat. But this time, running more quickly before the halving started to show a bullrun signal. However, if the price target is correct at around $176k, it would not be surprising if currently, BTC has gone up that much.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Baofeng on March 16, 2024, 11:52:42 PM
Slowly, ooppps, immediately, the price of Bitcoin increased very drastically, increasing quite fantastically. Even before, I didn't expect at all that the price of Bitcoin would touch $60k before the halving, and this has really increased fantastically. Positive trends towards Bitcoin, with various drivers that make the price of this coin even better and hopefully even higher. In fact, the next hope is that Bitcoin can exceed the ATH before the halving. Do you think so? If Bitcoin's positive trend continues, it's definitely possible. But if you can't, at the very least there will be a market correction, so we have to be prepared for all the possibilities that exist.
The growth of BTC is making many investors, including me, really surprised. In previous cycles, BTC has never been so close to ATH right before Halving. We already have a pattern of 2 peaks in 2021, they have a bottom in 2022 lower than the peak in 2017, so this time BTC will create ATH before Halving is also completely possible.

It actually did reach a new all time high pre-halving at $73k and this is the first time that we have done it. So we might have broken the old cycle of not reaching a new all time high pre-halving so this is just the beginning.

If this happens, we will have new history to study and predict. However, I do not expect that the BTC cycle itself will be broken, meaning that BTC will continue to peak in 2025 and bottom in 2026 instead of growing strongly and peaking this year before a long crypto winter.

Cycle's will remain because halving is every 4 years so it won't be broken as this is etch in stone by Satoshi. But seeing a new all time high before halving? This is the first and perhaps what it means is that we might see a super cycle, a bull run that we haven't also seen before.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Google+ on March 17, 2024, 09:57:25 AM
After the bitcoin ETF was approved, we all saw bitcoin showing good movement in the crypto market, and I believe the price of bitcoin will continue to rise until it hits a new ATH. although some corrections will occur. I agree with the prediction that Bitcoin will reach $150K-170K. That still makes sense. but to exceed $200K, I'm not sure yet.
I am sure that the price of bitcoin will rise to the price you mentioned during the halving, because so far I have seen that there has been a price correction that has occurred. Usually,  after a correction occurs there will be a fairly high price increase, as happened in the past.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Hisbullah on March 17, 2024, 10:46:39 AM
After the bitcoin ETF was approved, we all saw bitcoin showing good movement in the crypto market, and I believe the price of bitcoin will continue to rise until it hits a new ATH. although some corrections will occur. I agree with the prediction that Bitcoin will reach $150K-170K. That still makes sense. but to exceed $200K, I'm not sure yet.
I am sure that the price of bitcoin will rise to the price you mentioned during the halving, because so far I have seen that there has been a price correction that has occurred. Usually,  after a correction occurs there will be a fairly high price increase, as happened in the past.

agree, it's just correction..Bitcoin price will rise again during halving, and as said before I believe bitcoin will touch more $150K
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 18, 2024, 06:52:30 PM
agree, it's just correction..Bitcoin price will rise again during halving, and as said before I believe bitcoin will touch more $150K
I think it is difficult to accurately predict the short-term volatility of BTC price, such as when the Halving will take place in another month. I even look forward to BTC adjusting back to the support zone below to consolidate the uptrend, in order to help ALTS start receiving more capital flow and we will have a longer Altseason, earning more profit from their price increase.

In the long term, I still expect that BTC can reach $170K if the full cycle peak will come in November 2025, even though BTC has increased earlier than I expected.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: Litzki1990 on March 19, 2024, 08:56:04 AM
By the way the market is currently growing, we can get an idea of how the market may go in the future depending on the current market. We are in early 2024, early 2025 is still a year away and a lot can happen in the market in this 1 year. Just as the market can cross $100K in this one year, the market can fall below 30 thousand dollars in this one year. However, if we observe the market candles and chart well, we have more positive ideas and based on that positive idea, we can imagine that the market may touch one hundred thousand dollars in 2025. If the market touches 100,000 dollars in the first step, we will definitely expect the market to touch more highs later.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 19, 2024, 04:40:10 PM
By the way the market is currently growing, we can get an idea of how the market may go in the future depending on the current market. We are in early 2024, early 2025 is still a year away and a lot can happen in the market in this 1 year. Just as the market can cross $100K in this one year, the market can fall below 30 thousand dollars in this one year. However, if we observe the market candles and chart well, we have more positive ideas and based on that positive idea, we can imagine that the market may touch one hundred thousand dollars in 2025. If the market touches 100,000 dollars in the first step, we will definitely expect the market to touch more highs later.
I also think that it is necessary to continuously monitor the market to make judgments and predictions with higher accuracy. The linear regression prediction itself only suggests that when the price line touches the regression band, the price is likely to reverse. The end of 2015 is just my own point of view that the cyclicity is still being carried out in this cycle.

$170K is just a calculated price range and I expect it to be the ATH of this whole cycle, but I also don't think the market needs to reach or need to reverse at this price range
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: bitbit97 on March 19, 2024, 05:16:31 PM
Why all those who make any predictions, always calculate it in such a way, that there is always growth. I think I have never saw a prediction or an analysis that shows how the price goes down. I always see only two scenarios.

1) the price will rich "$XXX" (notice that I write hundred of thousands) thousands by "YYYY" years; and draw a 45 degree line grapth
2) panic sale, fear/greed index is "close to 100%", sell while you still can.

There is never stagnation. There is never a slow drop. Only a huge jump or a deadly drop.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: therozaq on March 19, 2024, 05:45:05 PM
By the way the market is currently growing, we can get an idea of how the market may go in the future depending on the current market. We are in early 2024, early 2025 is still a year away and a lot can happen in the market in this 1 year. Just as the market can cross $100K in this one year, the market can fall below 30 thousand dollars in this one year. However, if we observe the market candles and chart well, we have more positive ideas and based on that positive idea, we can imagine that the market may touch one hundred thousand dollars in 2025. If the market touches 100,000 dollars in the first step, we will definitely expect the market to touch more highs later.

Based on the observations of senior investors, they believe the price of bitcoin will reach $100K, perhaps after the halving, for example next year. I still hold bitcoin in my wallet and have not determined a selling target because I am still observing crypto market movements, maybe after the halving I will be able to determine my bitcoin selling target.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MRY on March 19, 2024, 10:24:38 PM
agree, it's just correction..Bitcoin price will rise again during halving, and as said before I believe bitcoin will touch more $150K
This is the reason I really like bitcoin is that when a price correction occurs it has the potential to recover and will have the opportunity to become more expensive than the previous price, only bitcoin has price movements like this. Bitcoin will continue to provide profits for those who still hold Bitcoin for a long period of time.
Title: Re: BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K
Post by: MrSpasybo on March 20, 2024, 11:21:50 PM
Why all those who make any predictions, always calculate it in such a way, that there is always growth. I think I have never saw a prediction or an analysis that shows how the price goes down. I always see only two scenarios.

1) the price will rich "$XXX" (notice that I write hundred of thousands) thousands by "YYYY" years; and draw a 45 degree line grapth
2) panic sale, fear/greed index is "close to 100%", sell while you still can.

There is never stagnation. There is never a slow drop. Only a huge jump or a deadly drop.
There is a possibility that the market will reverse, meaning we could see new lower lows below $15K or even $3.5K in the future. However, the BTC price is currently rising over time, and there is no sign of a trend failure yet. Therefore, we should focus on predictions that follow the upward trend.

When the market experiences negative fluctuations, we can talk about scenarios where the BTC price could drop to $6K in the future, using a certain approach. Currently, I see us being closer to $100K than $10K.