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Crypto Discussion Forum => Cryptocurrency Trading => Cryptocurrency Price Speculations => Topic started by: TomPluz on May 02, 2024, 03:06:11 PM

Title: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: TomPluz on May 02, 2024, 03:06:11 PM

With the "bearish" mood of the Bitcoin market right now just around two weeks after the halving, many are really wondering where is the direction the King of Cryptos can be taking us and whether we can soon see the impact and benefits of the halving come to the market so we can experience a new bull run either this year or 2025. Now, we know that halving will not immediately make Bitcoin a very attractive asset again...and surely this can be taking some months.

According to Bitfinex market report: (https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-halving-price-consolidation-ethereum-altcoin-market) "Bitcoin could experience up to two months of price consolidation following the halving.
Bitcoin could continue to be the price action benchmark for the crypto market in May and the leading indicator for the entire cryptocurrency market cap. In addition, the macroeconomic environment is more resilient than in previous years and the likelihood of rate cuts remains low in the short term."

In case this analysis can be true, then it would be good to just continually hodl and wait as this is not a question of IF but of WHEN. This can be the best time to exercise caution and not be swayed by temporary movements of the market and look for the long-term prospect of Bitcoin.



Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Stompix on May 02, 2024, 03:16:21 PM
Apart from all the could, can possible in that article there is one thing that really made me raise some eyebrow

Quote
Michaël van de Poppe, founder of trading firm MNTrading, suggests that Bitcoin’s dominance may have peaked as traders begin to shift liquidity to altcoins. Crypto trader Matthew Hyland echoed this, highlighting that Bitcoin market dominance is losing major support.

WTF is this guy smoking, Bitcoin is all over the news and there is like no talk about altcoins whatsoever, everything is about Bitcoin, Bitcoin ETF, bitcoin bonds, approval and regulations, no coin is coming even close to the spotlight and he thinks that altcoins are driving the market. One hiccup from the king and everyone is in red but lol, Bitcoin is losing dominance. Good luck keeping the market in the green with PEPE.

Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: jeraldskie11 on May 02, 2024, 06:32:44 PM
Apart from all the could, can possible in that article there is one thing that really made me raise some eyebrow

Quote
Michaël van de Poppe, founder of trading firm MNTrading, suggests that Bitcoin’s dominance may have peaked as traders begin to shift liquidity to altcoins. Crypto trader Matthew Hyland echoed this, highlighting that Bitcoin market dominance is losing major support.

WTF is this guy smoking, Bitcoin is all over the news and there is like no talk about altcoins whatsoever, everything is about Bitcoin, Bitcoin ETF, bitcoin bonds, approval and regulations, no coin is coming even close to the spotlight and he thinks that altcoins are driving the market. One hiccup from the king and everyone is in red but lol, Bitcoin is losing dominance. Good luck keeping the market in the green with PEPE.
Maybe that guy were just buying the news to encourage investors to sell their Bitcoin holdings. But we are different now, I don't think investors really believe in them particularly those old investors, maybe new investors believe in them. For me, I believe in Bitcoin dominance because I really noticed it in the market. But there are times that Altcoins prices exploded without the influence of Bitcoin, and that is what we called the Altcoins season.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: MrSpasybo on May 02, 2024, 10:02:34 PM

With the "bearish" mood of the Bitcoin market right now just around two weeks after the halving, many are really wondering where is the direction the King of Cryptos can be taking us and whether we can soon see the impact and benefits of the halving come to the market so we can experience a new bull run either this year or 2025. Now, we know that halving will not immediately make Bitcoin a very attractive asset again...and surely this can be taking some months.
~
In case this analysis can be true, then it would be good to just continually hodl and wait as this is not a question of IF but of WHEN. This can be the best time to exercise caution and not be swayed by temporary movements of the market and look for the long-term prospect of Bitcoin.
In previous cycles, BTC price has typically traded sideways for a few months after a halving before resuming its strong growth trend. Therefore, the current price correction and the 20% decline from the $73K peak is completely normal. We should accept this re-accumulation as it is necessary for the bullrun at the end of this year.

I cannot predict the exact time when BTC price could break out and make a new high, but I can only present a case on Elliott wave use count. In this wave count, BTC has gone through the first 3 waves of bigger impulse and is currently in wave 4 - a correction wave. BTC price could be pushed down to Fibo 0.382 ~ $49K or Fibo 0.618 ~ $38K. Timewise: wave 4 could last 100% or at least 61.8% of wave 3, so we should expect the end of wave 4 in early July or September of this year. In a worst-case, we may have to wait until December, and I do not hope this will happen as the bullrun needs to start before investors get frustrated and leave the market.

(https://www.tradingview.com/x/3bw9l6RT/)
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Captain Corporate on May 02, 2024, 11:41:06 PM
I would say accumulating was what I was attempting to do before this, and that will be what I will try to do for the future as well. I am not saying that its a bad business deal or anything like that, its obvious that people will be willing to sell during this period and I get that selling when its going down is a thing that people do, some will buy more at lower price, and some will just stay away, some will get in even at higher prices because they regret. I will just hold, that's what I do, and I will try to buy some more if I can but money is tight these days so it will not be that simple to find some money to get in.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: bitterguy28 on May 03, 2024, 05:56:11 AM
2 months is enough i think?

remember what we have had before the Halving happens?  we have a breaking of ATH and I think that its normal that we see this market response now.\

But the thing about investors are shifting to altcoins? i don't know if there is a room for this since the whole market is bleeding also .
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: MRY on May 06, 2024, 12:58:33 PM
2 months is enough i think?

remember what we have had before the Halving happens?  we have a breaking of ATH and I think that its normal that we see this market response now.\

But the thing about investors are shifting to altcoins? i don't know if there is a room for this since the whole market is bleeding also .
So far, seeing exchanges that are in the red due to the impact of falling bitcoin prices is very sad. It seems that bitcoin is having difficulty increasing its price again. The altcoin season may come with a bitcoin crash in the next wave when bitcoin hits bottom.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: yhiaali3 on May 06, 2024, 10:27:34 PM
Personally, I expect the downward trend to take more than two months. We may need at least the end of the year to see the real impact of halving on the ground.

This is not the first time. In most previous cycles, it took a few months for us to see the effect of halving. This time the same thing, I think. Perhaps some people thought that the large rise that occurred before halving due to the effect of the ETF would change things, but this did not happen because we are now almost two weeks after halving We see the decline continuing and we do not see major movements in Bitcoin. The market needs a lot of patience.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: LogitechMouse on May 08, 2024, 05:14:24 AM
~
In case this analysis can be true, then it would be good to just continually hodl and wait as this is not a question of IF but of WHEN. This can be the best time to exercise caution and not be swayed by temporary movements of the market and look for the long-term prospect of Bitcoin.
Why wait if you can still buy more Bitcoin how that we might experience corrections over the next 2 months. :)

I mean if you believe that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in the upcoming bull run then there's no reason for us to accumulate even more Bitcoin, right? If we believe that a bull run will happen in the next few months, then I don't see any reason why we don't buy not just Bitcoin but other top altcoins as well. Of course, if you have spare funds then you can do this, but if you don't have then follow what OP said.

Hold and wait for your selling targets to be reached. As for me, if this analysis will happen then I'll be good as I'm still continuing to accumulate even more Bitcoins and other top altcoins as well, and I hope all of us here are doing the same as well. :)
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: babo on May 08, 2024, 10:19:40 AM
(https://talkimg.com/images/2024/05/08/rDvHc.jpeg)

The black curve “Realized Price” indicator represents the average price at which traders sold their bitcoins during a dip.

The red curve, however, represents the average cost at which traders purchased the bitcoins sold during the decline.

In bear markets, this average cost acts as resistance to the "Realized Price" (i.e. the black curve is below it and fails to rise above it), while in bull markets it acts as support (the black curve bounces above during normal corrections ).
As you can see, this time too, as in the previous ones in this bull market, the black curve has rebounded.  8)
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Lucius on May 08, 2024, 04:02:59 PM
Apart from all the could, can possible in that article there is one thing that really made me raise some eyebrow

Quote
Michaël van de Poppe, founder of trading firm MNTrading, suggests that Bitcoin’s dominance may have peaked as traders begin to shift liquidity to altcoins. Crypto trader Matthew Hyland echoed this, highlighting that Bitcoin market dominance is losing major support.

WTF is this guy smoking, Bitcoin is all over the news and there is like no talk about altcoins whatsoever, everything is about Bitcoin, Bitcoin ETF, bitcoin bonds, approval and regulations, no coin is coming even close to the spotlight and he thinks that altcoins are driving the market. One hiccup from the king and everyone is in red but lol, Bitcoin is losing dominance. Good luck keeping the market in the green with PEPE.

These guys obviously have their own vision of how the crypto-market works, and it is not excluded that they try to direct those who read in the direction of investing in altcoins by selling them the story that Bitcoin is losing its dominance. I have always called articles like this cheap PR, because in reality, when you look at it, some people just want to promote themselves and their business in such a way that they will say something that people will discuss.

Logical thinking is not the forte of such people - I always remember the famous Tom Lee, whose statements could be used to write a book called "A Hundred Wrong Speculations" ::)
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: babo on May 09, 2024, 12:21:29 PM
(https://talkimg.com/images/2024/05/09/rqeOI.jpeg)

The Realized Cap represents the capital realized by holders when they sell their bitcoins at the cycle highs.

As seen in the center of the chart, during the 2021 cycle, holders sold very little at the first cyclic peak, while they sold a lot during the second peak (yellow bands: BTC sales, blue bands: ETH sales).
On the right, the small yellow and blue bands indicate that in our current cycle, there hasn't been any significant selling yet, as holders do not view the current peak as the absolute high for this cycle. This suggests that the exponential phase, during which the true highs will be reached for this cycle, is still to come.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: philipma1957 on May 09, 2024, 10:22:01 PM

With the "bearish" mood of the Bitcoin market right now just around two weeks after the halving, many are really wondering where is the direction the King of Cryptos can be taking us and whether we can soon see the impact and benefits of the halving come to the market so we can experience a new bull run either this year or 2025. Now, we know that halving will not immediately make Bitcoin a very attractive asset again...and surely this can be taking some months.

According to Bitfinex market report: (https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-halving-price-consolidation-ethereum-altcoin-market) "Bitcoin could experience up to two months of price consolidation following the halving.
Bitcoin could continue to be the price action benchmark for the crypto market in May and the leading indicator for the entire cryptocurrency market cap. In addition, the macroeconomic environment is more resilient than in previous years and the likelihood of rate cuts remains low in the short term."

In case this analysis can be true, then it would be good to just continually hodl and wait as this is not a question of IF but of WHEN. This can be the best time to exercise caution and not be swayed by temporary movements of the market and look for the long-term prospect of Bitcoin.

Or we could jump up to 111k by June 1


Don't lock into short term. move to 2025 and beyond
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: JoyMarsha on May 09, 2024, 10:45:00 PM
Personally, I expect the downward trend to take more than two months. We may need at least the end of the year to see the real impact of halving on the ground.

This is not the first time. In most previous cycles, it took a few months for us to see the effect of halving. This time the same thing, I think. Perhaps some people thought that the large rise that occurred before halving due to the effect of the ETF would change things, but this did not happen because we are now almost two weeks after halving We see the decline continuing and we do not see major movements in Bitcoin. The market needs a lot of patience.
Patience is what everyone in the crypto space needs since every one of us has a dream prices of bitcoin that they expect to come to fulfillment before the end of 2025.

The way many crypto investors are anxious about how they will see their bitcoin investment skyrocket in price would make you think that they are all ready to sell their bitcoin holdings at once, not knowing that many would still like to hodl their bitcoin for long until it reaches their desire price like above $100k
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Igebotz on May 09, 2024, 10:49:50 PM
Or we could jump up to 111k by June 1


Don't lock into short term. move to 2025 and beyond

I've never been so convinced of $100k in the next cycle but after looking at this price chart I think $100k is minimum,.I think we're heading to $200k. I don't see anything stopping it.

(https://talkimg.com/images/2024/05/09/rlBXJ.png)
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Captain Corporate on May 09, 2024, 11:05:44 PM
I do agree that it may take a while but not sure if 2 months is the right way to go with it. I think its quite close and understandable that we are going with something much better here, because we are already a little higher and I believe seeing something above 70k wouldn't be really all that crazy, by the looks of it we could say that they are doing quite well with how people are buying at the moment. Just realize that things aren't all that simple and we could just do much better in the end.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: UNIVERSE on May 10, 2024, 09:30:20 AM
Or we could jump up to 111k by June 1.
Don't lock into short term. move to 2025 and beyond
There is no way to reach $111k in the next month (June 1, 2024).
The current Bitcoin price is $62k, we are too far from $111k. If it can reach $70k, I can believe it. But to reach $111k, it is quite impossible. Even, I'm not really confident that the price may cross $100k at the end of this year.

I've never been so convinced of $100k in the next cycle but after looking at this price chart I think $100k is minimum,.I think we're heading to $200k. I don't see anything stopping it.
It is just a price chart, it doesn't guarantee anything. How you are so confident that we are heading $200k in 2025? Before halving, I'm quite confident we may cross $100k soon and the ATH may be above $150k. But after the price drops below $60k, I becomes not really confident anymore. I just think that the price may cross $100k in the next year if we are lucky enough.

Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: babo on May 10, 2024, 09:37:27 AM
Or we could jump up to 111k by June 1


Don't lock into short term. move to 2025 and beyond

I've never been so convinced of $100k in the next cycle but after looking at this price chart I think $100k is minimum,.I think we're heading to $200k. I don't see anything stopping it.

(https://talkimg.com/images/2024/05/09/rlBXJ.png)


You almost made me faint I have to tell you
I expect 120-150k for bitcoin
if it reaches 400k nothing changes since I own cosmic nothingness
but if it were to make that amount I would be happy for some acquaintances I have, maybe they will give me some gifts
in any case this year I want to try to short $1000 at 10 leverage after the ath, I'm saving them on purpose
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Lucius on May 10, 2024, 04:21:44 PM
I've never been so convinced of $100k in the next cycle but after looking at this price chart I think $100k is minimum,.I think we're heading to $200k. I don't see anything stopping it.

Someone will have to buy a lot of BTC for that to happen, and now the question is whether we can count on retail buyers or institutional players - or maybe both? The fact is that we now have spot ETFs in the US and they have proven to be a powerful factor in pumping up the price, but we also see that money does not flow in only one direction.

I personally hope that the price at its peak will reach at least x2 compared to the post halving in 2020, which would mean around $140k. If that doesn't happen, I still hope that we will at least reach that magical $100k that everyone has been waiting for so long.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: philipma1957 on May 10, 2024, 04:52:34 PM
well it is only 20 days past the ½ ing and things suck for mining ⛏️.


if you dca and hodl it is a non issue.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Igebotz on May 11, 2024, 12:58:06 AM
I've never been so convinced of $100k in the next cycle but after looking at this price chart I think $100k is minimum,.I think we're heading to $200k. I don't see anything stopping it.
It is just a price chart, it doesn't guarantee anything. How you are so confident that we are heading $200k in 2025? Before halving, I'm quite confident we may cross $100k soon and the ATH may be above $150k. But after the price drops below $60k, I becomes not really confident anymore. I just think that the price may cross $100k in the next year if we are lucky enough.

Doesn't guarantee anything, but the last two pre and post halving price charts followed the same pattern, which could encourage many players to enter the market and stack more. Not expecting much, but my least expectation is $100k

Someone will have to buy a lot of BTC for that to happen, and now the question is whether we can count on retail buyers or institutional players - or maybe both? The fact is that we now have spot ETFs in the US and they have proven to be a powerful factor in pumping up the price, but we also see that money does not flow in only one direction.

This could be the final time we see Bitcoin below $100k I see a great opportunity for everyone to dive in before price pump. There has been little market action, as practically everyone is waiting for the final dip before the bull run to stack more. I'm still on the bench waiting for the right time to enter the market.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: babo on May 11, 2024, 07:08:27 AM
well it is only 20 days past the ½ ing and things suck for mining ⛏️.


if you dca and hodl it is a non issue.

I don't think miners are poor, otherwise they wouldn't continue mining
let's say that if you are not expert you certainly won't survive the halvings
you have to know what you do how you do it and you have to know how to base everything and in which country
it's not easy
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: SmartGold01 on May 11, 2024, 09:51:30 AM
well it is only 20 days past the ½ ing and things suck for mining ⛏️.


if you dca and hodl it is a non issue.

I don't think miners are poor, otherwise they wouldn't continue mining
let's say that if you are not expert you certainly won't survive the halvings
you have to know what you do how you do it and you have to know how to base everything and in which country
it's not easy
Do you think mining is based on country or what?
Yes I know that but it does depends because most of that seems pretty good for minning due to electricity and stable network could be another cause of not having the benefits of becoming not that active. Alternatively this could also refer as there equipment they are using although I am not an expert in mining so I can barely relates.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Lucius on May 11, 2024, 03:20:23 PM
This could be the final time we see Bitcoin below $100k I see a great opportunity for everyone to dive in before price pump. There has been little market action, as practically everyone is waiting for the final dip before the bull run to stack more. I'm still on the bench waiting for the right time to enter the market.

Are you referring to this cycle or in general that it will no longer be possible to buy under $100k? In any case, I believe that regardless of the strength of the bull run, in the end there will still be a correction, and that it will not be less than 50%, which will mean that at some point the price of BTC will again be as it is today (possibly even lower).

As for hesitating and waiting for the "right moment", it is certainly some kind of game or even gambling - because although it is possible that the price will fall even lower, it is also possible that it will not be much lower than the levels we had recently. In addition, a lot of people today are not at all satisfied, even when you tell them that within 1+ years they could earn 100% if they invest in BTC, because they dream of earnings from the past, and today's numbers are missing at least one 0 more that is not at all realistic.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Igebotz on May 11, 2024, 03:43:49 PM
Are you referring to this cycle or in general that it will no longer be possible to buy under $100k? In any case, I believe that regardless of the strength of the bull run, in the end there will still be a correction, and that it will not be less than 50%, which will mean that at some point the price of BTC will again be as it is today (possibly even lower).

As for hesitating and waiting for the "right moment", it is certainly some kind of game or even gambling - because although it is possible that the price will fall even lower, it is also possible that it will not be much lower than the levels we had recently. In addition, a lot of people today are not at all satisfied, even when you tell them that within 1+ years they could earn 100% if they invest in BTC, because they dream of earnings from the past, and today's numbers are missing at least one 0 more that is not at all realistic.

After the next bull run cycle, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $100k is not inconceivable, but it is unlikely. I'm not sure when BTC will reach $200k-400k, and if I tell my kids that I bought my first BTC below $400, they'll never believe me if they don't see a Porch or a Ferrari in the basement. LOL  :D My current purse is not enormous, and I feel that BTC is becoming further out of reach with each passing year.

Gambling is a way of life, so I'm just taking my chances now; if it falls below what I expected, I'll stack 70% of my savings; if it stays the same or rises slightly, I'll stack 40% of my savings and gamble 30% on Ethereum.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: philipma1957 on May 11, 2024, 04:56:37 PM
Are you referring to this cycle or in general that it will no longer be possible to buy under $100k? In any case, I believe that regardless of the strength of the bull run, in the end there will still be a correction, and that it will not be less than 50%, which will mean that at some point the price of BTC will again be as it is today (possibly even lower).

As for hesitating and waiting for the "right moment", it is certainly some kind of game or even gambling - because although it is possible that the price will fall even lower, it is also possible that it will not be much lower than the levels we had recently. In addition, a lot of people today are not at all satisfied, even when you tell them that within 1+ years they could earn 100% if they invest in BTC, because they dream of earnings from the past, and today's numbers are missing at least one 0 more that is not at all realistic.

After the next bull run cycle, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $100k is not inconceivable, but it is unlikely. I'm not sure when BTC will reach $200k-400k, and if I tell my kids that I bought my first BTC below $400, they'll never believe me if they don't see a Porch or a Ferrari in the basement. LOL  :D My current purse is not enormous, and I feel that BTC is becoming further out of reach with each passing year.

Gambling is a way of life, so I'm just taking my chances now; if it falls below what I expected, I'll stack 70% of my savings; if it stays the same or rises slightly, I'll stack 40% of my savings and gamble 30% on Ethereum.

Sorry for your eth choices but to each Thier own. My thoughts on eth is it is a dead coin and get out of it. Move your eth to Solana.  My thoughts are just that thoughts. I have fully liquidated all my eth and happy I did it.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Igebotz on May 11, 2024, 09:00:26 PM

After the next bull run cycle, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $100k is not inconceivable, but it is unlikely. I'm not sure when BTC will reach $200k-400k, and if I tell my kids that I bought my first BTC below $400, they'll never believe me if they don't see a Porch or a Ferrari in the basement. LOL  :D My current purse is not enormous, and I feel that BTC is becoming further out of reach with each passing year.

Gambling is a way of life, so I'm just taking my chances now; if it falls below what I expected, I'll stack 70% of my savings; if it stays the same or rises slightly, I'll stack 40% of my savings and gamble 30% on Ethereum.
Sorry for your eth choices but to each Thier own. My thoughts on eth is it is a dead coin and get out of it. Move your eth to Solana.  My thoughts are just that thoughts. I have fully liquidated all my eth and happy I did it.

What happened to crypto asset diversification? Where do we draw the line? I have a few Sol shitcoins in my wallet that I purchased at the $18 dip, and I haven't decided whether to get eth just yet; everything is dependent on the Bitcoin price. I imagine eth hitting $10k or more in the next bull market, and owning 2-3 pieces wouldn't be a bad idea unless you know something I don't. Tell me.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Sim_card on May 11, 2024, 11:22:02 PM
2 months is enough i think?

remember what we have had before the Halving happens?  we have a breaking of ATH and I think that its normal that we see this market response now.\

But the thing about investors are shifting to altcoins? i don't know if there is a room for this since the whole market is bleeding also .
So far, seeing exchanges that are in the red due to the impact of falling bitcoin prices is very sad. It seems that bitcoin is having difficulty increasing its price again. The altcoin season may come with a bitcoin crash in the next wave when bitcoin hits bottom.
I don't think that bitcoin will have any difficulty in price increase is just that the right time for that has not come, and when it comes you will marvel how the price of bitcoin reached a new ATH. Bitcoin is first before any altcoins and if bitcoin have not hit the bull market, I doubt if any altcoin will be bullish. We only need patience with our bitcoin hodlings for the market to be in green.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Lucius on May 12, 2024, 03:34:43 PM
After the next bull run cycle, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $100k is not inconceivable, but it is unlikely. I'm not sure when BTC will reach $200k-400k, and if I tell my kids that I bought my first BTC below $400, they'll never believe me if they don't see a Porch or a Ferrari in the basement. LOL  :D My current purse is not enormous, and I feel that BTC is becoming further out of reach with each passing year.
~snip~


I wish you were right, but every big bull run was followed by a correction that turned into a bear market - and from what I remember since 2014 every correction caused a 50%+ price drop, which would mean that even if the next ATH is $200k, we can hardly expect that after the correction the price will remain above $100k.

As for Lambo and other metal beasts, I'm not someone who strives for such things, but I understand that some people have the need to prove something to themselves and others in this way ;)


What happened to crypto asset diversification? Where do we draw the line? I have a few Sol shitcoins in my wallet that I purchased at the $18 dip, and I haven't decided whether to get eth just yet; everything is dependent on the Bitcoin price. I imagine eth hitting $10k or more in the next bull market, and owning 2-3 pieces wouldn't be a bad idea unless you know something I don't. Tell me.

Maybe I'm wrong, but our colleague is a long-time miner who probably isn't thrilled that ETH has become a POS coin, but neither are many others. I'm not saying that you still can't make money by investing in it, but maybe some other coins have much greater potential.

Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: philipma1957 on May 12, 2024, 04:23:08 PM

After the next bull run cycle, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $100k is not inconceivable, but it is unlikely. I'm not sure when BTC will reach $200k-400k, and if I tell my kids that I bought my first BTC below $400, they'll never believe me if they don't see a Porch or a Ferrari in the basement. LOL  :D My current purse is not enormous, and I feel that BTC is becoming further out of reach with each passing year.

Gambling is a way of life, so I'm just taking my chances now; if it falls below what I expected, I'll stack 70% of my savings; if it stays the same or rises slightly, I'll stack 40% of my savings and gamble 30% on Ethereum.
Sorry for your eth choices but to each Thier own. My thoughts on eth is it is a dead coin and get out of it. Move your eth to Solana.  My thoughts are just that thoughts. I have fully liquidated all my eth and happy I did it.

What happened to crypto asset diversification? Where do we draw the line? I have a few Sol shitcoins in my wallet that I purchased at the $18 dip, and I haven't decided whether to get eth just yet; everything is dependent on the Bitcoin price. I imagine eth hitting $10k or more in the next bull market, and owning 2-3 pieces wouldn't be a bad idea unless you know something I don't. Tell me.

I am anti eth and have been anti eth for years. basically it is not for me. Do I know anything special about eth no. but I believe it lost its way when it left POW. I also think both AMD and Nvidia would like to hurt them for leaving mining. So I feel there is a target on the back of eth. But that is just what I think
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: milewilda on May 12, 2024, 08:50:36 PM
2 months is enough i think?

remember what we have had before the Halving happens?  we have a breaking of ATH and I think that its normal that we see this market response now.\

But the thing about investors are shifting to altcoins? i don't know if there is a room for this since the whole market is bleeding also .
So far, seeing exchanges that are in the red due to the impact of falling bitcoin prices is very sad. It seems that bitcoin is having difficulty increasing its price again. The altcoin season may come with a bitcoin crash in the next wave when bitcoin hits bottom.
I don't think that bitcoin will have any difficulty in price increase is just that the right time for that has not come, and when it comes you will marvel how the price of bitcoin reached a new ATH. Bitcoin is first before any altcoins and if bitcoin have not hit the bull market, I doubt if any altcoin will be bullish. We only need patience with our bitcoin hodlings for the market to be in green.
Bitcoin would always be the main trend setter or the ones who would really be that be based up on how the market condition should really be started on.  When we do speak or talk about market consolidation then this is something that cant really be predicted as it always be because we dont know on how long or how many months we would really be keep on guessing
on when bull market would be kicking in. Basing up on last cycle then it did take 6-7 months as far as i remember or im not sure but if we do base up with those numbers
when we would really be still might be experiencing some deep corrections on upcoming months or making some sideways movement for couple of months until on Q4
but well everything would be still no sure.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: vegasus on May 12, 2024, 10:44:53 PM
Bitcoin would always be the main trend setter or the ones who would really be that be based up on how the market condition should really be started on.
Indeed, Bitcoin will always be the trend setter of altcoins. Although probably there are several altcoins that are not  following the Bitcoin market condition, the percentage is  very small. and they are probably part of coins that are being hype. OS, this will be quite different developing and progressing. But for other altcoin type, most of them are following Bitcoin. 

when we would really be still might be experiencing some deep corrections on upcoming months or making some sideways movement for couple of months until on Q4
Indeed, usually the Bitcoin price will still be very fluctuating and will still decline quite significantly and will not be able to make significant progress to rise again a few months after the halving. However, I still really hope that BTC prices can start to rise again quite significantly in Q4 this year. Because the bullish era or Bitcoin ATH occurred before the halving. Is it possible that the bull run peak process will also be faster in the future compared to the usual cycle?
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Igebotz on May 17, 2024, 09:05:58 PM
I am anti eth and have been anti eth for years. basically it is not for me. Do I know anything special about eth no. but I believe it lost its way when it left POW. I also think both AMD and Nvidia would like to hurt them for leaving mining. So I feel there is a target on the back of eth. But that is just what I think

I'm not a fan of ETH either because of the fees and congested network, it's kinda free now without those NFT shit that messed up the network. But it's a very good asset to hodl during the bull run for those with with  minimum budget. I see it as a hodl and take profits scheme and nothing more than that. I've never held ETH for more than 6 months.

What's your thoughts on AI coins? You're not a shitcoiner are you?  :o miners hates altcoins by default.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: MrSpasybo on May 18, 2024, 01:45:19 AM
Indeed, usually the Bitcoin price will still be very fluctuating and will still decline quite significantly and will not be able to make significant progress to rise again a few months after the halving. However, I still really hope that BTC prices can start to rise again quite significantly in Q4 this year. Because the bullish era or Bitcoin ATH occurred before the halving. Is it possible that the bull run peak process will also be faster in the future compared to the usual cycle?
I don't see a sharp decline in BTC after the halving because the halving is seen as a milestone marking the start of a new cycle. Typically, BTC price only re-accumulates after a period of rapid recovery to lead the market out of the harsh crypto winter. So I think we just need to endure a period of boredom instead of facing a serious market downturn right now.

I'm also worried that BTC price will need both Q2 and Q3 to re-accumulate and only really start growing again in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025. I hope that holders will not sell off tokens in panic, only diamond hands deserve to make big profits in this market!
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: milewilda on May 18, 2024, 07:25:28 PM
Bitcoin would always be the main trend setter or the ones who would really be that be based up on how the market condition should really be started on.
Indeed, Bitcoin will always be the trend setter of altcoins. Although probably there are several altcoins that are not  following the Bitcoin market condition, the percentage is  very small. and they are probably part of coins that are being hype. OS, this will be quite different developing and progressing. But for other altcoin type, most of them are following Bitcoin. 

when we would really be still might be experiencing some deep corrections on upcoming months or making some sideways movement for couple of months until on Q4
Indeed, usually the Bitcoin price will still be very fluctuating and will still decline quite significantly and will not be able to make significant progress to rise again a few months after the halving. However, I still really hope that BTC prices can start to rise again quite significantly in Q4 this year. Because the bullish era or Bitcoin ATH occurred before the halving. Is it possible that the bull run peak process will also be faster in the future compared to the usual cycle?
Im not really that making myself to be fixated when it comes to those previous cycles that it could definitely happen in the future or on the present. Everything could change in a snap.
If it was really be that the same then all of people would really be that assuming that it would be the same on what would happen in the future and this is something which cant be possible.
Why? there would really be tons of factors that could affect the price movement or simply could be able to influence on which if we do tend to look at now where ETF is the main thing
then it would really be making things even more unpredictable.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: babo on May 20, 2024, 02:00:00 PM
(https://talkimg.com/images/2024/05/20/1hNHf.png)

the fees, gentlemen, are really very very low
stuff that hadn't been seen for many months
it means that whoever had to move things, moved them
obviously I'm referring to ordinals, inscriptions and runes

Now he seems very calm from that point of view
among other things I got an NFT
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Gurujebs on May 20, 2024, 02:21:14 PM
the fees, gentlemen, are really very very low
stuff that hadn't been seen for many months
it means that whoever had to move things, moved them
obviously I'm referring to ordinals, inscriptions and runes

Now he seems very calm from that point of view
among other things I got an NFT

I did made use of the network yesterday. I sent Bitcoin from my wallet from my wallet yesterday and I was surprised by the amount of sats requested, it was asking for 6 sats actually and I did 7 sats for the transactions and under 7 minutes, my transaction got first confirmation, this is after 5 weeks I last did a transaction and I'm happy we are here but the question is will this last?

I think the reason for this is because the market is calm for now. If Bitcoin make a move to 70k or even above, we are going to experience another month of congestion or even more depending on if bull run click or not.
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: babo on May 22, 2024, 10:49:06 AM
the fees, gentlemen, are really very very low
stuff that hadn't been seen for many months
it means that whoever had to move things, moved them
obviously I'm referring to ordinals, inscriptions and runes

Now he seems very calm from that point of view
among other things I got an NFT

I did made use of the network yesterday. I sent Bitcoin from my wallet from my wallet yesterday and I was surprised by the amount of sats requested, it was asking for 6 sats actually and I did 7 sats for the transactions and under 7 minutes, my transaction got first confirmation, this is after 5 weeks I last did a transaction and I'm happy we are here but the question is will this last?

I think the reason for this is because the market is calm for now. If Bitcoin make a move to 70k or even above, we are going to experience another month of congestion or even more depending on if bull run click or not.


more than calm I would say that the market is heating up without going online, using ETFs and other financial amenities
this is the main reason why the price goes up
ETFs are asking for x3 times the bitcoins mined at the moment, it is obvious that in such a condition the price can only rise

Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Sim_card on May 22, 2024, 04:55:34 PM
the fees, gentlemen, are really very very low
stuff that hadn't been seen for many months
it means that whoever had to move things, moved them
obviously I'm referring to ordinals, inscriptions and runes

Now he seems very calm from that point of view
among other things I got an NFT

I did made use of the network yesterday. I sent Bitcoin from my wallet from my wallet yesterday and I was surprised by the amount of sats requested, it was asking for 6 sats actually and I did 7 sats for the transactions and under 7 minutes, my transaction got first confirmation, this is after 5 weeks I last did a transaction and I'm happy we are here but the question is will this last?

I think the reason for this is because the market is calm for now. If Bitcoin make a move to 70k or even above, we are going to experience another month of congestion or even more depending on if bull run click or not.
It is good to see that you can make your bitcoin transactions and pay a lower fee unlike when the network was congested with BRC-20 tokens. I just confirmed the cheap transaction fee as I am consolidating my transactions now to one output so that in future, I don't need to pay too much for transaction fee due to smaller input that I will use an one output when making a transaction. Yea, the market is calm and so is the blockchain but I believe during the bull run the network will be congested again
Title: Re: Bitcoin post-halving price consolidation could last 2 months
Post by: Captain Corporate on May 23, 2024, 12:42:21 AM
Looks like we did quite alright, its very good right now and while there are ups and downs all together, it shouldn't really be worrying anyone at all, its still a quite normal situation without a doubt. I get that some people think that we may have dipped under 70k which could be a bad sign, its really not because we peaked over 70k so easily very recently and that should definitely be a lesson to all, bitcoin can go up very quickly. Whenever it goes down, people worry that it would be so hard to go back up, and then in a single day it goes back up to near all time high prices, which should tell people who easy it is to make a profit.