Altcoins Talks - Cryptocurrency Forum
Crypto Discussion Forum => Cryptocurrency Trading => Cryptocurrency Price Speculations => Topic started by: Ambatman on April 01, 2025, 05:36:02 AM
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Happy New month everyone and welcome to Quarter 2
(https://talkimg.com/images/2025/03/30/lYPc2.png)
The image above shows that the times we had a Q1 similar to this Q2 was relatively bullish
What are your opinions on Q2?
Do you think Q1 was used to shake off weak hands?
Chart wise I'm Bullish
Utility wise I'm Bullish
Scarcity and inflation wise I'm Bullish
Trump wise well Not as bearish as previous month ;)
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Personally, like most, I expected the first quarter of this year to be bullish, but it was disappointing. This isn't surprising, as the market usually goes against most expectations.
In any case, I expect the second quarter to be positive, despite the negative first quarter. My prediction for Bitcoin's price is for it to range between $90K-$95K, and I hope it reaches $100K by the end of the second quarter. This isn't an analysis, but rather a hope.
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What are your opinions on Q2?
Do you think Q1 was used to shake off weak hands?
It's hard to predict TBH.
I'm looking at the chart and I'm waiting for something that must happen before my sentiment towards Bitcoin in the medium term will at least change a little bit and that is, to end the week above the 21 Weekly Moving Average.
Just a few hours ago before the Trump imposed tariffs to all of the countries, Bitcoin reached $88,000 yet again then went down to as low as $83,500 (current price). It happened twice already that it touches the 21 weekly MA, but let's see if Bitcoin will end this week above that line because the more it is rejected, the higher the chance of Bitcoin going down to it's recent lows or worse, even lower. The next weeks will determine what will be the price movement of Bitcoin in the upcoming months. Just my prediction only though.
That's my opinion. :D
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For the 1st quarter of the year 2025, I had an expectation that the market will be very bullish, mostly in the month of January, before and after the inauguration speech of the U.S. President, Donald Trump. Instead of Bitcoin, we saw a quick sky rock of TRUMP coin. The market has been on a sluggish movement to my expectation, though it touched a new ATH.
Very well, the first quarter of the year is out, looking towards the second quarter, so long the price doesn't break below $78k, there will be room for an uptrend in market. I feel we will hold the $80k+ this second quarter, while expecting something good before the end of this quarter.
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Personally, like most, I expected the first quarter of this year to be bullish, but it was disappointing. This isn't surprising, as the market usually goes against most expectations.
In any case, I expect the second quarter to be positive, despite the negative first quarter. My prediction for Bitcoin's price is for it to range between $90K-$95K, and I hope it reaches $100K by the end of the second quarter. This isn't an analysis, but rather a hope.
Let’s hope your hope on the market turn out to be reality. The market has not really been encouraging and many investors have lost some hopes in the market, most especially the newbie investors that are not use to market volatility like this ones. The market has been well hyped to go on a full blown bull run but unfortunately, things didn’t turn out to be so, it made many begin to have doubts of the market and the possibility of a bull run been imminent still this seaosn.
My predictions for the second quarter is for the market to be on the recovering side, not necessarily hitting the $100K mark by the end of second quarter but should at least recover to some certain price not too far from $100K. With that, there will be a lot of hope that the market will most likely still have a bull run by end of the year.
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Let’s hope your hope on the market turn out to be reality. The market has not really been encouraging and many investors have lost some hopes in the market, most especially the newbie investors that are not use to market volatility like this ones. The market has been well hyped to go on a full blown bull run but unfortunately, things didn’t turn out to be so, it made many begin to have doubts of the market and the possibility of a bull run been imminent still this seaosn.
Yes, I was optimistic about the second quarter and I was hoping that my optimism was correct, but after the large tariffs imposed by Trump the day before yesterday, I'm afraid we can no longer be optimistic.
These huge tariffs have caused the markets to fall, including Bitcoin, and it is likely that the decline will continue because the reflections of this decision have not yet fully emerged, we need some time, perhaps months, to see the real reflections of this decision.
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Actually, it is still quite difficult to predict. But what is clear is that at the beginning of the second quarter, the market has fallen quite a bit. Yes, it is true, maybe because it is a full moon. Just waiting for the market to go up again. But the question is, if the market volatility continues like this, rising and falling very significantly, what about the possibility of the ATH peak? Is it really possible that it could happen again? If I'm not mistaken, last season, the peak of bullish and altcoins in that season was in the fourth quarter, right? Will it be the same this year? Waiting for Q4 too? I still have enough strength to be patient, but I'm also a bit curious. Hehe
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It's rare to see Bitcoin's price remain low for four consecutive months, so I think we'll see a price shift in the coming months. It all depends on how bad the economic situation is in the coming months.
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I really like this monthly Bitcoin chart :D
There was a very significant drop in February, and a little more in March
I think that at the moment all of us and any analyst, trader or market expert have no idea where the market is going
There are so many things happening at the same time that it's hard to predict which way we'll go
But as a humble prediction, I believe in relief in Q2 and maybe a good rise in Q3 or Q4...
This week BTC behaved interestingly, holding its value much more than the stock market, which could be a good sign for Q2
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What are your opinions on Q2?
I personally remain optimistic concerning the second quarter of the year because I'm following the charts, and I see that there's a possibility of a very good rebound soon.
Do you think Q1 was used to shake off weak hands?
Not enough, I think; weak hands will always exist in the market.
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As a Bitcoin enthusiast, it is natural that we will have high expectations. However, the most important thing for me at the moment is Trump's trade war. If this trade war continues, I do not think we will get anything good in Q2. The rate at which tariffs have been imposed on Chinese goods by Trump administration, China has imposed tariffs on US goods at the same rate. Since there is no positive response in global trade right now, it is difficult to say whether we will get anything good in Q2. However, there is certainly no alternative to being patient and waiting for the situation to normalize.
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If we don't see a breakout this month and if we close April in red, that would be a third red month in a row, which would indicate to me that we most likely entered the bear market.
Trump's policies are partially to blame but are not the only reason.
The positive news of the approval of spot ETFs caused the bull run to start prematurely. If, instead of looking at the halving date, we measure the time from when the price started going up to the ATH, we'll see that this bull run was already longer than the previous one.
It can still be saved by whales/institutional investors, but I think retail already lost interest and I wouldn't be hoping for them to pump up the price, especially considering that the credit card debt was at an all-time high, meaning the average Joe might simply not have any cash to spare.
There were some rumours of Trump administration planning to distribute some free money to the public ($5,000 each, was it?) to share the saving made by the D.O.G.E. I don't know what happened to that idea, but that would have a potential to start another Bitcoin rally, similar to what Covid cheques did in 2021.
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Personally, like most, I expected the first quarter of this year to be bullish, but it was disappointing. This isn't surprising, as the market usually goes against most expectations.
In any case, I expect the second quarter to be positive, despite the negative first quarter. My prediction for Bitcoin's price is for it to range between $90K-$95K, and I hope it reaches $100K by the end of the second quarter. This isn't an analysis, but rather a hope.
It should be like this when the first quarter is negative, the results in the second quarter are getting better, not decreasing, but we cannot implement our wishes where the market situation is difficult to control, we can only hope to return to 100k$ and head towards the peak of the 2025 bullrun
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Trump is crushing the entire worlds economy so I see a bigger slide than anyone can think.
The markets will drop at least another 10% this week.
Crypto will drop More especially ETH and the POS coins.
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Trump is crushing the entire worlds economy so I see a bigger slide than anyone can think.
The markets will drop at least another 10% this week.
Crypto will drop More especially ETH and the POS coins.
Oh Chim. You called it.
$75K was crossed
The economy is barely surviving. Different shii spranging up everyday.
O really don't want March to close in reds.
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My prediction for Bitcoin's price is for it to range between $90K-$95K, and I hope it reaches $100K by the end of the second quarter. This isn't an analysis, but rather a hope.
Yes, based on hope, wish and a prayer maybe, I am looking forward for Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrency club to move positively forward this Quarter 2 of the year. There is no question that Quarter 1 seems more of a disappointment to many of us and we are hoping that it was just a a little setback to a better 3 month-period ahead. There comes a time when we have no choice but to be hopefull...be positive in the sea of red waves...and that time is NOW. May the big market force be with Bitcoin so there can be dramatic rebound just ahead of us.
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Investors will not smile in this second quarter of the year and even the third quarter too but it will be better than the second quarter and in the fourth quarter that will be good for investors so anyone who is interested to invest should do so now that the price is low. Whenever the price goes down, purchase any amount you can afford at that time. And don't wait for the dip.
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My prediction for Bitcoin's price is for it to range between $90K-$95K, and I hope it reaches $100K by the end of the second quarter. This isn't an analysis, but rather a hope.
Yes, based on hope, wish and a prayer maybe, I am looking forward for Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrency club to move positively forward this Quarter 2 of the year. There is no question that Quarter 1 seems more of a disappointment to many of us and we are hoping that it was just a a little setback to a better 3 month-period ahead. There comes a time when we have no choice but to be hopefull...be positive in the sea of red waves...and that time is NOW. May the big market force be with Bitcoin so there can be dramatic rebound just ahead of us.
In fact, my hope has increased significantly after watching Bitcoin's performance in the past few days.
With global stock markets collapsing due to Trump's decision to raise tariffs, all markets and exchanges plummeted. After Bitcoin fell below $75K, it quickly rebounded to around $80K. This is truly an amazing performance given the difficult conditions facing all global markets and the widespread panic.
This reflects the confidence Bitcoin has gained as a safe haven and long-term store of value.
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Investors will not smile in this second quarter of the year and even the third quarter too but it will be better than the second quarter and in the fourth quarter that will be good for investors so anyone who is interested to invest should do so now that the price is low. Whenever the price goes down, purchase any amount you can afford at that time. And don't wait for the dip.
If the investors won't have a reason to smile in the next quarter, why they should invest now? :-\
I don't know why you are too easy to conclude that there is no reason for investor to smile in the second quarter and third quarter. It is not easy to predict the price movement of Bitcoin. Even if we were experiencing bad market in Q1, it doesn't mean we also will have bad market condition in Q2, Q3, or Q4. I personally assume that the market will gradually increase in Q2 and Q3. For Q4, we may see the bearish season begins. However, this is all the prediction only. The market and price movement can change surprisingly at any time.
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Investors will not smile in this second quarter of the year and even the third quarter too but it will be better than the second quarter and in the fourth quarter that will be good for investors so anyone who is interested to invest should do so now that the price is low. Whenever the price goes down, purchase any amount you can afford at that time. And don't wait for the dip.
I'm not sure if Q2 is not great time for crypto this year. In this cycle of the market, if I'm not wrong we are in the advancing phase which means that the bullish market or up trend. After the advancing the next phase will be distribution. As what I had remember in the past, before the advancing phase would end the altseason must occur first which is probably happen this year. If it will not happen this year, then obviously the market didn't repeat the history.
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Investors will not smile in this second quarter of the year and even the third quarter too but it will be better than the second quarter and in the fourth quarter that will be good for investors so anyone who is interested to invest should do so now that the price is low. Whenever the price goes down, purchase any amount you can afford at that time. And don't wait for the dip.
I'm not sure if Q2 is not great time for crypto this year. In this cycle of the market, if I'm not wrong we are in the advancing phase which means that the bullish market or up trend. After the advancing the next phase will be distribution. As what I had remember in the past, before the advancing phase would end the altseason must occur first which is probably happen this year. If it will not happen this year, then obviously the market didn't repeat the history.
in the first quarter of the year (2025) the price of bitcoin was $100+k and now we are in the second quarter of the year and the price is $83+k it has not hit $90k which means bitcoin is still down though all depends on the time of the investors. As for me I bought at the time of $108k so I am expecting $200+k to see another bull run as for now I am on my bear run in compared to the time I bought but from the time of bought my first set of bitcoin in 2022, I am on the Bull run. This is how bitcoin is all about, you don't investment once but in section by section so that at all time you are onnthe side of gaining.
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It's rare to see Bitcoin's price remain low for four consecutive months, so I think we'll see a price shift in the coming months. It all depends on how bad the economic situation is in the coming months.
I think you are right. I also think bear market is coming for next few months. We know now a days world economy is very unpredictable and risky. US president Donald J Trump taking many critical decision which is harmful for economy.
So i think in future economic situation will bad. Because US president Donald J Trump’s tax policy creating negative impact on world economy even crypto-currency. So i think Quarter 2will be bear.
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Investors will not smile in this second quarter of the year and even the third quarter too but it will be better than the second quarter and in the fourth quarter that will be good for investors so anyone who is interested to invest should do so now that the price is low. Whenever the price goes down, purchase any amount you can afford at that time. And don't wait for the dip.
I'm not sure if Q2 is not great time for crypto this year. In this cycle of the market, if I'm not wrong we are in the advancing phase which means that the bullish market or up trend. After the advancing the next phase will be distribution. As what I had remember in the past, before the advancing phase would end the altseason must occur first which is probably happen this year. If it will not happen this year, then obviously the market didn't repeat the history.
in the first quarter of the year (2025) the price of bitcoin was $100+k and now we are in the second quarter of the year and the price is $83+k it has not hit $90k which means bitcoin is still down though all depends on the time of the investors. As for me I bought at the time of $108k so I am expecting $200+k to see another bull run as for now I am on my bear run in compared to the time I bought but from the time of bought my first set of bitcoin in 2022, I am on the Bull run. This is how bitcoin is all about, you don't investment once but in section by section so that at all time you are onnthe side of gaining.
There are indeed such events where we thought the price of Bitcoin would continue to rise but it didn't. And because we bought, instead of making a profit we lost. That is to be expected when investing in crypto, no matter what analysis we do, there are times when the price movement will not go the way we want. We should just always remember to avoid FOMO because the opportunity in the market never runs out.
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There are indeed such events where we thought the price of Bitcoin would continue to rise but it didn't. And because we bought, instead of making a profit we lost. That is to be expected when investing in crypto, no matter what analysis we do, there are times when the price movement will not go the way we want. We should just always remember to avoid FOMO because the opportunity in the market never runs out.
This is the beginning of Q2. Currently, there is a 2% increase. I am expecting to see a positive outcome this Q2 since, based on a daily time frame, the price is already touching the previous ATH last year. It acts as a support area based on what I see. However, there's no break of structure currently to the upside we are still on the down trend move based on the daily time frame but we already see some weakness in the downtrend. It's getting weaker, but it's still below the 200 EMA and SMA. Let's see if we break that level or the above $86k level; then we might see a positive result before the end of this second quarter.
What I want to advise is don't trade in the short term; be patient and always trade only in quality trades. You must be disciplined. Swing trading is better than doing scalping because there is lots of noise in a short time frame compared to long time frame.
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What I want to advise is don't trade in the short term; be patient and always trade only in quality trades. You must be disciplined. Swing trading is better than doing scalping because there is lots of noise in a short time frame compared to long time frame.
I totally get your point, especially now that there are lots of uncertainties in the market, especially from the disappointment of the first quarter. This is where every trader needs some form of patience and discipline to navigate through the market. However, I still believe that not every trader is good and skilled in using swing trading to their advantage. Some do well with scalping, while some can apply both strategies depending on the market condition.
Like I always recommend, traders should understand their personality and risk tolerance. No matter the strategy they choose to go for, proper risk management and consistency should be the top priority. If they understand how to manage risks effectively during this period, they will be profitable in the end
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There are indeed such events where we thought the price of Bitcoin would continue to rise but it didn't. And because we bought, instead of making a profit we lost. That is to be expected when investing in crypto, no matter what analysis we do, there are times when the price movement will not go the way we want. We should just always remember to avoid FOMO because the opportunity in the market never runs out.
This is the beginning of Q2. Currently, there is a 2% increase. I am expecting to see a positive outcome this Q2 since, based on a daily time frame, the price is already touching the previous ATH last year. It acts as a support area based on what I see. However, there's no break of structure currently to the upside we are still on the down trend move based on the daily time frame but we already see some weakness in the downtrend. It's getting weaker, but it's still below the 200 EMA and SMA. Let's see if we break that level or the above $86k level; then we might see a positive result before the end of this second quarter.
What I want to advise is don't trade in the short term; be patient and always trade only in quality trades. You must be disciplined. Swing trading is better than doing scalping because there is lots of noise in a short time frame compared to long time frame.
To those traders who used S&R as their main strategy they believe that the Bitcoin will rise up since it only touches the support but didn't break it. In many cases, there are fake bounce in the market, we thought that the price will go higher but it's just a manipulation and break the support. The bounce back of the price that we saw in the market is not the type of bounce back that I've been waiting for. I don't think if the market was ready to make a new high this time or we expect for lower price.
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It will be difficult to determine which direction the market will move at this time. Because the market is going through some uptrend and downtrend at this time. The market is moving between 84k and 88k, which is why it is not easy to determine whether it will be bearish or bullish. I hope that if the global situation remains stable, we will be able to see a bullish movement in the upcoming Q3. Although there is no specific timing for this, it can be assumed that the market will see a positive movement during that period.
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To those traders who used S&R as their main strategy they believe that the Bitcoin will rise up since it only touches the support but didn't break it. In many cases, there are fake bounce in the market, we thought that the price will go higher but it's just a manipulation and break the support. The bounce back of the price that we saw in the market is not the type of bounce back that I've been waiting for. I don't think if the market was ready to make a new high this time or we expect for lower price.
That's banks and big players who do liquidate all possible stop-losses. Usually retail traders put their SL at the end of the candlestick on the support area. Experienced traders don't enter like that; they wait for a signal for reversal. If it touches the support area, sometimes they wait for a breakout of the trend or a change of structure. If it happens, they are going to enter, and their stop-loss is below the last bearish candle below the support zone.
There's ups and downs on the current market which is sign of consolidation. Big players, or whales, are just clearing out retail traders we should be smart than them that is why sometimes they suggest putting your entry where people usually put their stop-loss because big players they manipulate them a bit to hit all possible liquidations, including stop-loss.
Manipulation is pretty common it happens daily in crypto that's why you don't overtrade. Always keep your stop-loss tight. If you enter where people put their stop-loss, then that's your counter solution for banks and big players, but I don't think it would be a good solution for this.
We are trading against other trader so we must think what they also think before we enter.
I am going to wait for breakouts and check for higher time frames. If it's oversold or overbought, that would be a signal, but I always wait for reversal patterns and breakouts for entry.
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Personally, like most, I expected the first quarter of this year to be bullish, but it was disappointing. This isn't surprising, as the market usually goes against most expectations.
In any case, I expect the second quarter to be positive, despite the negative first quarter. My prediction for Bitcoin's price is for it to range between $90K-$95K, and I hope it reaches $100K by the end of the second quarter. This isn't an analysis, but rather a hope.
- I know I'm also disappointed because I really thought that the rally in the price of bitcoin would continue in the market in the first quarter of 2025 but the opposite happened and it's something that disappointed others because they were left hanging by their expectations.
But what happened was the unexpected but even so we still had the opportunity to implement dca tools on the assets that we are saving in this era, they say everything has a good reason that what we think is negative always has a positive replacement in the future.
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It will be difficult to determine which direction the market will move at this time. Because the market is going through some uptrend and downtrend at this time. The market is moving between 84k and 88k, which is why it is not easy to determine whether it will be bearish or bullish. I hope that if the global situation remains stable, we will be able to see a bullish movement in the upcoming Q3. Although there is no specific timing for this, it can be assumed that the market will see a positive movement during that period.
I think it is no longer very difficult to understand the direction of the market. Since Bitcoin crossed $90k again, I'm sure we will return to the green market anymore. As long as the price of Bitcoin can survive above $90k in the end of this month, I'm sure we will have uptrend in the next month. You must know that Bitcoin isn't moving around $84k to $88k anymore, just forget this. ;)
I really hope we will have green market in Q2-Q3. Then we may have red market again in Q4. So, just prepare our Bitcoin and altcoins. We don't need to panic of the market situation.
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I think it is no longer very difficult to understand the direction of the market. Since Bitcoin crossed $90k again, I'm sure we will return to the green market anymore. As long as the price of Bitcoin can survive above $90k in the end of this month, I'm sure we will have uptrend in the next month. You must know that Bitcoin isn't moving around $84k to $88k anymore, just forget this. ;)
I really hope we will have green market in Q2-Q3. Then we may have red market again in Q4. So, just prepare our Bitcoin and altcoins. We don't need to panic of the market situation.
While it's good to see the market recovering and surpassing the $90,000 already, there will always be a chance that this might be a false breakout only, and we might see Bitcoin going down still.
I'm not a pessimistic investor and I believe that Bitcoin will reach new ATH again somewhere this year, but I'm just saying the other side of the coin because many are saying "We are going up already" or "Bitcoin to new ATH". I also want to see the market going upwards this month and in the following months as well, but let's just be ready just in case things go south. :)
I hope all of us here are ready to sell their Bitcoins when it reaches new ATH... that if it reaches. :D
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I really hope we will have green market in Q2-Q3. Then we may have red market again in Q4. So, just prepare our Bitcoin and altcoins. We don't need to panic of the market situation.
Yes, we are already seeing a good rise in the market and perhaps from this rise Bitcoin will get a new ATH again. From Q2, I can assume that the price of bitcoin gradually increase. Especially if the world does not rise again. But one positive aspect is that even if there is a negative impact on the traditionally financial institutions, I hope Bitcoin will remain in its upward position. Recently, we are also seeing a positive response in the Bitcoin price due to the impact of the Trump trade war. This Q2 can be a very good time for those who were waiting for the bullish movement of the market.