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Topics - ZionRTZ

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466


Late last week, the Financial Services Agency (FSA), the top financial regulator in Japan, published a draft report which outlined the new framework for addressing cryptocurrencies and Initial Con Offerings (ICOs) in the country. The report was released following with the 11th study group meeting of the agency, and it contained a cumulation of recommendations from the previous ten sessions.

As a regulator, the FSA has to submit bills and stay accountable to the Japanese parliament, however, the agency is also responsible for supervising financial activities in the country, with companies seeking to issue investment vehicles and assets being required to register and get proper accreditation from the agency. This report, which has been the subject of numerous rumors, is seen by many as a definitive stance by the Japanese government on cryptocurrencies, a move yet to be made by most developed countries till date.

In the report, the FSA acknowledged the fact that technological innovation is continuously changing, and it has come to see the importance of collaboration with other authorized regulatory bodies.

“Because of this, we urge contributors to sign up for the qualified [self-regulatory] affiliation,” the document reads.

This way, the agency is expected to help improve techniques following the country’s laws. Back in October, the Japan Digital Foreign Money Trade Affiliation was accredited by the FSA with the aim of effecting self-regulatory laws in a legal framework. With this accreditation, the industry body was given the means to develop guidelines for domestic cryptocurrency exchanges, including measures to ensure that money laundering and insider trading are curbed.

As expected, the regulator placed restrictions on privacy coin listings, margin trading and transactions in derivatives.



On the issue of ICO regulation, the FSA explained that specific tokens might be subject to regulation depending on how they are structured. ICOs would be under the purview of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act.

The report also addressed the existence of “deemed dealers,” companies which have gotten the leeway to operate cryptocurrency exchanges while reviewing their applications. It points out that while a lot of these dealers have been advertising their platforms and urging people to sign up, many their customers are still unaware that they aren’t registered.

Concerning deemed dealers, the report proposed some regulatory measures. First, it established that they should not be able to expand their portfolio of coins until they get proper registration. Also, they won’t be able to get new customers or promote their services as well. They must also be made to notify their existing users of their situation viz-a-viz registration.

Reports in local media show that there is little to no any opposition to the proposed measures, and this means that the content of the draft is expected to form the new regulations of the agency. Earlier in August, new FSA Commissioner Toshihide Endo had told Reuters in an interview that the agency had no plans to shut down the cryptocurrency sector.

“We would like to see it grow under appropriate regulation,” he had added, at the time.


Source: https://www.ccn.com/japanese-regulators-publish-new-cryptocurrency-regulation-draft/

467


An official at the Iranian government’s vice presidency for science and technology has said blockchain can help improve the country’s national economy. His statements were reported by English-language daily newspaper The Tehran Times on Dec. 16.

Alireza Daliri, deputy for management development and resources at the vice presidency for science and technology, is quoted as saying that blockchain is one of the new technologies on which Iran should coordinate with international partners, noting that “over 140 countries” are today benefiting from the invention.

Daliri is reported to have acknowledged some countries’ concerns over the technology’s possible risks, but stated his belief that blockchain’s positive potential outweighs its drawbacks.

He reportedly outlined the principles of blockchain infrastructure, emphasizing its immutability and strong cryptography, adding that the vice presidency has decided to implement the technology across multiple — if unspecified — fields. Daliri noted that blockchain can streamline cumbersome bureaucratic procedures, and that the department would put its best efforts into enabling and supporting private sector blockchain initiatives. 

According to The Tehran Times, a group of “blockchain experts” from Tehran’s Sharif University of Technology have this month announced they are working to introduce the first Iranian blockchain-based taxi app, with the startup’s founder reporting the team has launched its own initial coin offering (ICO).

Even as the government remains receptive to blockchain, the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) banned domestic financial institutions from handling decentralized cryptocurrencies this April.

During the spring, reports surfaced suggesting that Iranians were increasingly turning to Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies in the midst of domestic economic turmoil ahead of the anticipated U.S. exit from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal (JCOA).

Iran’s National Cyberspace Center has meanwhile revealed that the draft of a state-backed digital currency project is ready, which was avowed to be a centrally-controlled means of circumventing international sanctions when the plan was officially confirmed this July.

This October, the United States Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) called on cryptocurrency exchanges to monitor Iranian use of crypto to evade sanctions.


Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/iran-science-and-tech-department-official-says-blockchain-can-improve-national-economy

468


A state-owned bank in Brazil is about to issue a crypto token designed to maintain parity with the national currency.

Revealed exclusively to CoinDesk, the Brazilian National Social Development Bank will launch a pilot in January 2019 for the BNDES token, which runs on the ethereum blockchain and is backed 1-for-1 by Brazilian real. The bank has been experimenting with the stablecoin throughout 2018 and will now use it for tax-deductible contributions to cultural institutions.

ConsenSys, the ethereum design studio, will be among the companies consulting the bank during this process. Although the Brooklyn, N..Y.-based conglomerate of startups wouldn’t comment on this Brazilian project beyond confirming its involvement, it falls squarely in line with priorities listed in an internal statement issued by its founder Joe Lubin earlier this month, stating the company will renew its focus on being a blockchain advisory specializing in architecture and token design.

For the pilot, the bank will issue several hundred dollars worth of BNDES to the National Film Agency, a film distribution company called El Cine for short, to create and promote scripts and movie productions in Brazil.

Since the bank has a history of corruption scandals involving misallocated funds and alleged bribes, the pilot creators hope public BNDES blockchain data will help bolster trust in state-owned banks.

The trial will use the National Registry of Taxpayers’ (Cadastro Nacional da Pessoa Jurídica, or CNPJ) electronic identification certificates, which are already widely used by Brazilian companies as official registration documents

“We can enforce rules using smart contracts. The company that receives the money can only spend it with companies that are working within the [film] sector,” Vanessa Almeida, a BNDES systems development manager, told CoinDesk.

Regarding the CPNJ identifiers, she added:

Quote
“We have a kind of ID in Brazil that has a certificate to send a token to the company, the company has to sign with this certificate…we will know in advance to which address you can send the tokens.”
This project was developed, with help from Ethereum Foundation developer Alex Van De Sande, to allow filmmakers associated the nonprofit El Cine to collect and share their financial records in real-time. Recipients will only be able to redeem the stablecoin through the bank for local currency.

All that transaction data may be leveraged to develop and inform future use cases as well. “This information can help guide public policies,” said Almeida. “They will have a better map of this sector of the economy.”

Beyond trading
Stepping back, cryptocurrency traders have been the leading stablecoins users so far, storing value in their exchange accounts that can be instantly swapped for other cryptocurrencies without dealing with banks.

Exchange companies like Paxos, Gemini, and Coinbase, all added fiat-pegged cryptocurrencies in 2018. In contrast, this Brazilian pilot shows a use case for fiat-pegged crypto beyond speculative markets.

Rosine Kadamani, founder of the the educational Blockchain Academy in Brazil, told CoinDesk this pilot could have ripple effects across the country.

That’s because the government-run development bank manages funding for projects ranging from educational initiatives to building infrastructure like roads and dams.

“Because unfortunately, Brazil is very well-known for corruption, there’s a lot of questioning about the use of public funds,” Kadamani said. “They start with a stablecoin that is basically an accounting control, because everything goes back to the bank. But in the future, if it works well, there are other implications.”

Indeed, Gladstone Moises Arantes, Jr., technical lead of the BNDES blockchain initiative, told CoinDesk the bank will reevaluate the results of this pilot and consider expanding it to other organizations that receive public funding.

He told CoinDesk:
Quote
“The concept we have could be used for other institutions in Brazil or the government as a whole.”


Source: https://www.coindesk.com/this-brazilian-bank-is-using-ethereum-to-issue-a-stablecoin

469


This week, following the scheduled leave of John F. Kelly, United States President Donald Trump has chosen the pro-Bitcoin Mick Mulvaney to serve as the acting White House Chief of Staff beginning 2019.

According to the Washington Post columnist Matt O’Brien, Mulvaney has been vocal about his support of Bitcoin (BTC) and in a speech covered by Mother Jones praised the decentralized nature of Bitcoin as a consensus currency.

In 2016, Mulvaney reportedly said that the Federal Reserve “effectively devalued the dollar” and emphasized that the exercise of such control is not possible with a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin that is “not manipulable by any government.”

Is it Good For Bitcoin?
Having a high profile official and an influential member of the Trump administration is certainly positive for the long-term growth of the asset class.

While the neutral stance of Mulvaney towards the cryptocurrency sector could affect the mindset of regulators and lawmakers in the U.S. to a certain extent, it realistically cannot have a short-term impact on the roadmap implemented by commissions like the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or the Commodities and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).



The presence of pro-Bitcoin and crypto officials in the U.S. government, however, could encourage other government officials to evaluate cryptocurrencies in a neutral way and analyze the benefits that the decentralized financial systems can bring.

In Sept. 2017, the central bank of Finland, for instance, released a research discussion that explicitly described the inefficiency of regulating blockchain protocols. The research concluded that Bitcoin is not and cannot be regulated because the protocol operates under strict rules implemented by the community sustained by miners, developers, and node operators.

The paper read:

Quote
“Bitcoin is not regulated. It cannot be regulated. There is no need to regulate it because as a system it is committed to the protocol as is and the transaction fees it charges the users are determined by the users independently of the miners’ efforts. Bitcoin’s design as an economic system is revolutionary and therefore would merit an economist’s attention and scrutiny even if it had not been functional. Its apparent functionality and usefulness should further encourage economists to study this marvelous structure.”

As seen in the paper of the central bank of Finland, it is possible for a central bank or a government to analyze the structure of Bitcoin in a neutral manner and create practical regulatory frameworks around it without restricting the growth of companies in the industry.

Currently, in regards to Bitcoin and even Ethereum, the SEC has clarified that Bitcoin is not considered a security under existing laws, essentially approving the infrastructure surrounding it.

Over the past several months, the SEC in the U.S. and other authorities in the global market have been primarily working on the integration of strict Know Your Customer (KYC) policies to eliminate money laundering in the cryptocurrency market.

Neutral Evaluation
The existence of a high ranking government official in the U.S. government that understands the purpose of digital currencies could have a long-lasting effect on the cryptocurrency industry and could encourage others to evaluate the asset class under a different light.

However, as the New York Post reported on Dec. 16, Mulvaney once described President Trump as “a terrible human being,” triggering political analysts to question how long the new chief of staff can remain in office.


Source: https://www.ccn.com/new-us-chief-of-staff-bitcoin-is-good-not-manipulable-by-any-government/

470


Asia is currently one of the most regulated continents on the planet in terms of cryptocurrency laws. Hong Kong is the latest Asian nation that is set to tighten crypto laws on traders and exchanges.

The Hong Kong Securities and Exchanges Commission (SFC) is looking to tighten the current cryptocurrency laws as concerns over crypto-crime and money laundering heighten across Southeast Asia.

Tightening Less-Stringent Cryptocurrency Laws

Hong Kong’s current stance on cryptocurrency is one of the least stringent in the region, which is a stark contrast to the more hardline approach taken by mainland China. As Hong Kong is one of the world’s leading financial epicenters, the SFC is set to reevaluate cryptocurrency laws, especially in terms of regulating the Initial Coin Offering (ICO) sector.

Crypto-related commercial activities in China are pretty much banned, so some people might think that this move is long overdue. According to the SFC, if an investment fund has 10% or more of digital assets they will now need to obtain a license. And even then the companies will only be able to sell their products to professional investors.

The SFC want to set up a voluntary scheme where exchanges will be able to test their digital assets in what is being deemed a “temporary regulatory sandbox” and will then be able to decide whether they need to seek a license.

Writing is on the Wall for Hong Kong
The Hong Kong SFC have been warning the industry for many months about their plans to impose tighter cryptocurrency laws. Earlier this year in February, the SFC warned seven cryptocurrency exchanges in the wake of complaints made by investors.

It is hardly surprising that Hong Kong is looking to tighten cryptocurrency laws as many major economies across the world are currently reevaluating their stance on crypto regulations.

There are many pros and cons in tighter regulatory measures on the Hong Kong crypto industry. Although many consider it essential to safeguard investors and keep a lid on the industry, others believe that the new cryptocurrency laws could be costly and work against crypto firms in Hong Kong.

Daiwa Institute of Research professional Daisuke Yasaku believes it might be a bad thing for Hong Kong when saying:

Quote
“The cost of regulations will be high. The requirements of the SFC initiative may prove too burdensome for some operators.”

The price of wider crypto adoption will always be high, but that is the price we pay sometimes to ensure the industry and investors are protected. Will the tightening of cryptocurrency laws in Hong Kong be a good or bad thing for the local industry? Only time will tell.


Source: https://www.ccn.com/hong-kong-regulators-set-to-tighten-cryptocurrency-laws/

471
Sorting Box / Top 5 Crypto Myths You Should Forget Today
« on: December 17, 2018, 10:59:56 AM »
I saw this article today about these 5 crypto myths. I think this was written for newbies since I believe more experienced crypto traders/investors is already aware of this.




Since Bitcoin made its way into people’s consciousness, the concept of digital currency has caught the imagination of financial market players and tech enthusiasts alike. In 2019, Bitcoin completes a decade of existence. In these ten years, we have seen the transition of cryptocurrencies, from being an exotic asset class to something that holds great importance for the future. Companies have adopted it as a mode of payment and so have governments. Start-ups worldwide are devising credible solutions around blockchain technology, which is touted to disrupt existing frameworks.

So, as we enter into the 10th year of the crypto-craze, it’s time to do away with some popular misconceptions around blockchain and cryptocurrencies. As only with knowledge can mass adoption of digital currencies take hold.

Myth #1: Bitcoin is Blockchain Technology and Vice Versa
Yes, the technology did debut with Bitcoin, but it is not exclusively limited to the currency. The blockchain is a distributed ledger that enables peer-to-peer consensus on the recording of transactions. It is open-source, public and anonymous. It is the underlying technology that maintains the Bitcoin transaction ledger too.

Still, Bitcoin is one of the many applications of blockchain technology. When someone uses the cryptocurrency, miners solve very perplexing algorithms to verify the legitimacy of the transaction, in turn getting rewarded with Bitcoins. The blockchain built for Bitcoin was exclusive; but, with time, this technology has been adapted to other areas. This brings us to the second myth.

Myth #2: Blockchain’s Role is Limited to Cryptocurrencies

Both technologies work in fabulous ways together, but they work brilliantly on their own too. With the advent of the Ethereum blockchain, smart contracts came onto the scene. Blockchain could now be used as a token-free shared ledger, which benefitted many industrial applications. Be it real-estate, supply-chain, identity management, banking or even food procurement; blockchain has applications in multiple sectors.

Myth #3: Cryptocurrency Markets are Non-Regulated

While this may have been the case five years ago, circumstances are different now. Major countries have taken steps to regulate this asset class. Even banning crypto trading, as China has, is a regulatory decision. The US SEC investigative report of 2017 clearly outlines that the offer and sale of digital assets by companies are subject to Federal Securities laws. Even the IRS views them as properties, on which capital gains taxes are applicable.

Myth#4: Cryptocurrency and Blockchain Uphold User Anonymity

Yes, but only to a certain extent. If Bitcoin users appear under pseudonyms, their identities are still revealed during purchases. Many government bodies have formed relationships with credible exchanges to trace the owners of wallets. But, there are coins, like Monero, which use extra features like ring signatures and address derivation to protect identities.

Myth #5: Tokens and Coins Have Same Uses
Coins like Bitcoin acts as simple storage of value. Tokens have complex functionalities. Utility tokens, which are put up in ICOs, serve purposes like providing access rights to a network, or a way to claim dividends from a company in the future. Tokens can also capture commodities or loyalty points.

472


The French financial watchdog, the Financial Markets Regulator (AMF), has blacklisted four more cryptocurrency websites in their ongoing mission to stamp out unauthorized crypto firms.

As news of riots in France batter the world news, the AMF is also using strong-arm tactics to keep then nation’s crypto sector honest and in-check with their latest move.

Official Statement from the AMF on Friday

The AMF is the main watchdog that regulates the French stock market and announced on Friday in an official statement that they have blacklisted a further four cryptocurrency websites. The reasons cited for the blacklisting of the websites are mainly centered on unauthorized investment offerings.

In the official statement, the AMF outlined nine cryptocurrency firms that have been operating without approval from official regulatory bodies in France, with the four websites named on the list.

The AMF also warned potential investors that they should exercise caution when investing in companies that are new and unfamiliar. They went on to say that France has seen a surge of new and unauthorized crypto projects that are yet to seek approval from the regulatory body and that investors should be careful with the un-vetted cryptocurrency websites

Cryptocurrency Websites Blacklisted in France

The cryptocurrency websites blacklisted by the AMF include elos-patrimoine.com. live-crypto.com.net, iminage.com, and infoconso.info.

The AMF has blocked the websites for conducting crypto trading on the domestic front while failing to meet the necessary legal requirements to do so. The AMF statement said:

Quote
“It is warning the public against several companies from offering atypical investments without being authorized to do so”
Blacklisted cryptocurrency websites such as elos-patrimoine.com were allegedly offering monthly returns to investors between 3% and 5% without the authorization to offers guarantees.

The AMF is an independent regulatory body that is there to protect the interests of the public and investors. They basically keep the French crypto markets honest and ensure that crypto-related businesses adhere to the nation’s crypto regulations and maintain order in the marketplace.

Back in September, a regulatory framework for ICOs from the AMF was passed by the French Parliament. The framework was originally drafted back in March to protect those investing in Initial Coin Offerings.

The AMF and French government are working hand-in-hand to keep a lid on the ICO markets to ensure new ICOs are fulfilling their legal requirements. With the AMF now blacklisting unauthorized cryptocurrency websites, it sends out a message that although France welcomes crypto, it is also serious on keeping the sector under control.

Source: https://www.ccn.com/french-financial-watchdog-blacklists-more-cryptocurrency-websites/

473


Since the end of November, the Waves coin (WAVES) has bucked a market trend and risen in price by over 150%. The cryptocurrency has not only risen to a price, at the time of writing, of $2.49 per coin but as bitcoin price falls, WAVES value against bitcoin (BTC) is also growing.



The Waves cryptocurrency today, for a short time, entered the top 20 coins by market capitalization but has since fallen back to 22nd place as other coins show green. The coin’s market cap is now nearly $245 million, its highest since July 2018.

Why is Demand for Waves Increasing?

Waves is a blockchain platform where organizations and developers can create their own custom tokens. It has its own decentralized exchange (DEX) where these tokens can be traded alongside some of the most popular cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, Litecoin, and Monero. There are 69 tradeable coins on the Waves DEX with Waves reporting over 20,000 custom tokens in use.

Just over a week ago CCN reported that the release of an updated Waves mobile wallet that enabled credit card purchases of Waves which could then be traded into Bitcoin, or for other coins on its own DEX, could be fuelling interest in the coin. That could still be the case. According to CoinMarketCap trading volume on the exchange has increased this week too.

Waves has been busier still. After first introducing smart contract functionality to the platform in September 2018, it’s now adding smart assets and smart account trading. A Waves announcement was posted December 13, and the functionality will be added to the blockchain’s mainnet once Waves miners vote their agreement. Waves also released its wallet add-on for the Firefox browser on December 14, and will be launching a European securities token trading platform in 2019.

https://twitter.com/wavesplatform/status/1072811081540739072/photo/1

The Waves blockchain, according to Waves, is fast, supporting 6,000 transactions per minute which equates to 100 per second. Ethereum is capable of around 10-15 transactions per second currently but Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin believes once second-layer solutions like Sharding and Plasma take effect the network is capable of over one million transactions per second.

There may well be some growing confidence in the Waves blockchain. Waves announced it had processed more transactions in one day than any other on October 21, 2018, reaching 6.1 million and surpassing Ethereum at 1.3 million and EOS at 5.4 million.

Waves could also interest investors with its dual business focuses of token creation and smart contract blockchain functionality, and decentralized exchange, giving it two markets to drive success.

In terms of up and coming blockchains, Waves is not without competition. The price of TRON’s TRX isn’t performing as well as WAVES, but it too is also not being impacted as much by crypto-winter as other coins. dApp usage on the TRON blockchain surged to 1 million transactions last week and the TRON Foundation has just launched its own exchange.

Source: https://www.ccn.com/waves-surges-into-top-20-coins-as-wider-crypto-market-stumbles/

474
Forum related / Altcoinstalks New Look
« on: December 15, 2018, 12:58:20 PM »
I got confused at first when i was looking for the Bitcoin Discussion Board. I thought it was deleted but later found out that it was merged with Altcoins Discussion Board and renamed "Cryptocurrency Ecosystem".

I prefer the new arrangement and I like the new additions.

475
Cryptocurrency Price Speculations / Bitcoin Dropping to $2,700?
« on: December 15, 2018, 12:53:11 PM »
The Bitcoin price has performed relatively well in comparison to other major crypto assets and small market cap tokens in the past seven days.

But, the lack of volume in most Bitcoin markets has put the dominant cryptocurrency at risk of dipping below key support levels below the $3,000 mark.

DonAlt, a cryptocurrency trader and technical analyst, wrote:

“As BTC is approaching the target of the 2014 fractal the targets of most people change from 3k to 1k and even lower. I still think $2,700 is an excellent place to buy if we should go there. ‘History doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes.’”

This from the article: https://www.ccn.com/crypto-market-risks-dip-below-100-billion-after-dropping-15-billion-in-bad-week/

Quote
Crypto Market Risks Dip Below $100 Billion After Dropping $15 Billion in Bad Week



In the past seven days, the valuation of the crypto market has dropped from $117 billion to $102 billion, by just over $15 billion.

Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) performed poorly against the U.S. dollar, experiencing losses above the 10 percent mark.

Out of the three most valuable crypto assets in the space, the Ethereum price suffered the worst drop as ETH declined by more than 13 percent from $98 to $84.

Bitcoin at Risk of Dropping to $2,700?

The Bitcoin price has performed relatively well in comparison to other major crypto assets and small market cap tokens in the past seven days.



But, the lack of volume in most Bitcoin markets has put the dominant cryptocurrency at risk of dipping below key support levels below the $3,000 mark.

DonAlt, a cryptocurrency trader and technical analyst, wrote:
Quote
“As BTC is approaching the target of the 2014 fractal the targets of most people change from 3k to 1k and even lower. I still think $2,700 is an excellent place to buy if we should go there. ‘History doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes.’”

The analyst added that while a drop below $3,000 is always a possibility, shorting the asset can be highly risky in a period of uncertainty and extreme volatility.

“If you exclude the wick that ended the last bear market, we’re already there. Excluding it might be reasonable because even though this drop is very similar, the market is more liquid & sophisticated than back then. Not the place to add new shorts, in my opinion,” he added.

Major markets like South Korea and Japan have also started to demonstrate a noticeable decline in volume and overall demand for the asset class.

According to CryptoCompare, a crypto market data provider, Japan and South Korea, which consistently ranked above the U.S. throughout the 2017 bull market, only account for around five percent of global Bitcoin volume.

In contrast, the U.S. now accounts for 17.6 percent of international Bitcoin volume, excluding the volume of Tether (USDT).

Bad State

For the first time since Aug 2017, the crypto market is set to drop below the $100 billion mark, mostly fueled by the underwhelming performance of low volume cryptocurrencies.

A handful of tokens in the likes of ICON (ICX), VeChain (VET), and Zcash (ZEC)  have seen a 95 percent to 99 percent decline from their all-time highs. At its peak, ICX was valued at $44 billion. As of December, the market cap of ICX remains below the $100 million mark.

If cryptocurrencies remain in a bear market throughout the first several months of 2019, tokens and low liquidity tokens will continue to drop in value against both the U.S. dollar and Bitcoin.

As of current, there exists significant risk in shorting and longing Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies in the market, and many investors are observing the short-term trend of the crypto market by holding out on trades.

476
An informative piece from Timothy Enneking who is the founder and the primary principal of Digital Capital Management, LLC (DCM).
Link to the article: https://www.coindesk.com/when-theres-blood-in-the-street-why-its-not-quite-time-to-be-long-crypto


Quote



Two members of the Rothschild family are credited, perhaps incorrectly, with the (in)famous quote regarding investing: “When there is blood in the street” (James in the mid-19th century and Nathan, after the battle of Waterloo).

The family has been one of the richest in the world for over 200 years, so there’s something to be said for following the advice of its members… In the crypto space, therefore, the question becomes, Is there enough blood in the streets now that it’s the time to buy? I would argue no. Or, more precisely, not quite yet.

The basis for this conclusion is the past behavior of bitcoin (which, for the purposes of this article, I will use as a proxy for the entire crypto market – fully aware of the fact that it’s not perfect in that role, but only reasonably good).

The data set used is all related to bitcoin drops of 80 percent or more.

That’s because there is a very interesting aspect to historical BTC performance: There are no peak-to-valley drops between 57 percent and 82 percent over its trading history. Thus, it becomes quite easy to narrow the data down (since a drop of 50 percent is fundamentally and qualitatively different from a drop of more than 80 percent).

This leaves us with four instances: a bit too few in an ideal world, but enough, in some cases, to reach some rather definite conclusions.

The four drops are:





Of course, the last one is not yet over. Note that the current bear market has, to date, barely exceeded the third largest. To reach second place, BTC would have to drop to $2,553. To take first place, BTC would have to fall back to $1,239.

If we analyze the drops more closely, some interesting facts emerge. For instance, the average number of days between peak and valley is 233, or about 8 months. (The average would be 10 months without the unusual 2013 drop, which saw a peak-to-valley duration of two days.) This reinforces the conclusion that another bottom is probably close in terms of timing.

Then, once crypto markets hit bottom, how long does a recovery generally take?

We see those data below:





So, with quite a range, the average time for the price to double from the bottom is four months. The average time to reach the prior peak is one year and four months, or one year from the bottom doubling. Once that peak is reached, however, the time for the peak to double is a remarkable two months – and the range of the data is quite small: from one to three months. Conclusion: once enough momentum to reach the prior peak has been achieved, it consistently keeps going very strongly.

As we can see, the range of dates to reach and double the peak is far less than the range to double the bottom. Again, the sample is small, but the trend is clear. However, it’s also clear that the time required for all three metrics is increasing over time; thus, it may well take longer to hit each level this time around.

Are we at the bottom?

Further analysis is required to determine this. Let’s call it “spike analysis.”

BTC virtually always reaches a peak and puts in a bottom with a spike. In other words, there is not a nice round hill at the top and a gently sloping down-and-up valley at the bottom. Bitcoin’s tops and bottoms are more violent. And that “violence” can be measured.

For the first peak from the first table above, we have some statistical data, but no good graph as 2011 graphs are not generally available. However, regardless of the data source, the wick is enormous, up to 40 percent from the immediately surrounding prices.

For the November 2011 valley, the graph is quite interesting. The drop, while it does not look dramatic because of the tremendous jump (about 500 percent) shortly thereafter, was actually nearly 10 percent with an almost immediate recovery. The total drop was also the largest drop in bitcoin history in percentage terms at 93.6 percent.





The next peak, in April 2013 was even more dramatic, with a jump of 25-40 perecent depending on what one chooses as the starting point.





Stunningly, the next valley was put in two days later. (For those of you who, as I, lived through this, you will remember that this sudden spike and drop were directly related to the Cyprus debt crisis.)

(Please note that I am not addressing in any detail the various exogenous events which may have driven the crypto peaks and/or valleys. In addition to Cyprus in 2013, you had PBOC/MtGox in late 2013 and early 2014, the futures market-fueled rise in late 2017, ICO and general crypto regulation in 2018, etc. Good fuel for another article, but too much to address here.)

Again, depending on what one chooses as a baseline, the drop here was about 20 perecent. (It should also be noted that this drop may be viewed as a double or even triple bottom, but as it was put in over a very short period of time, the analysis still holds.) This is now the fourth largest drop in BTC history, having just been displaced by the current one.

The next peak was later that same year, in November. This peak is a bit of an anomaly for two reasons: first, the spike was only about an 8 percent increase and, second, there was a clear double top – although, again, over a very short period of time.





The next valley was just over one year later, in January 2015. This time the drop was about 15 percent and was very clear. The total peak-to-valley drop, at 86.9 percent, remains the second-largest in bitcoin history.





The final peak, and almost certainly the best known, was in December of last year. This was roughly a 12 percent peak and was extremely clear.





Finally, we look at the current price chart. We can see that there was a large drop from 6,000, but there has been nothing like a “violent” bottom put in – in fact, the opposite is true.





When capitulation?

Of course, a “violent bottom” is simply another way of saying “capitulation.” That concept has become so well known that many people, including authors of articles similar to this, are asking “have we seen capitulation yet?” (My favorite recent quote in this regard is “point of apparent capitulation” – which appeared about $1,000 ago.)

Here is my thought on capitulation: it will be obvious to nearly everyone when it happens. If lots of people are asking whether “that move down” was capitulation or not, it wasn’t.

So ,where will the bottom be? In my opinion, there is a relatively small chance of putting in a bottom around $2,800. However, I suspect that the odds are higher that the BTC price will test $2,000 within a month or two. Even if I’m correct, however, that would only move this drop to second place of all time.

One further point I would like to make is to address the question which “crypto folk” never ask, but which “fiat folk” do: Can the Bitcoin price drop to zero?

I remember almost six years ago when I first heard of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. I wasn’t convinced they would survive. After a year or so, survival wasn’t an issue, but scale and importance were. Now, it seems clear to me that crypto trading tokens (so I’m deliberately excluding blockchain applications which do not rely on “cryptocurrencies” that trade) and bitcoin are here to stay and that they will eventually play a non-trivial role in the financial system.

Without going into a long explanation, there is simply too much infrastructure that has been and is being developed, too many people with too much “skin in the game,” and too many advantages for the trading token ecosystem to utterly collapse.

The conclusion: a new bottom is nigh upon us, but not quite here yet. Or said another way, there is not yet enough blood running in the crypto streets to simply start buy bitcoin and other tokens which trade.

From an investment standpoint, however, while it’s not the time to buy, it is the time to invest. It’s obviously impossible to time the bottom exactly, so one must be positioned to invest now to maximize the benefit of the reversal. How to do that? Select a long-short investment vehicle (which the Rothschilds did not have) and invest now. I’m quite certain you won’t have to wait long for the next bull run to begin and, in the meantime, such a vehicle can make money on the balance of the drop.

477


The role of blockchain developer is the most rapidly growing emerging job in the United States, according to the 2018 U.S. Emerging Jobs report by LinkedIn released on Dec. 13.
In the course of preparing the report, LinkedIn used data from its Economic Graph to analyze the positions that companies are hastily hiring for, as well as skills related to those positions and roles that have emerged over the past five years.

The professional social network found that the role of blockchain developer has registered an increase of 33 times in the past 12 months, while cities with the highest demand are San Francisco, New York City, and Atlanta. Among major skills required for the role, LinkedIn notes solidity, blockchain, Ethereum, cryptocurrency, and Node.js.

This year’s top emerging jobs also include artificial intelligence (AI) specialists, wherein “six out of the 15 emerging jobs are related in some way to AI,” and machine learning engineers, with 12 times growth year-over-year. For the latter roles, LinkedIn names deep learning, machine learning, tensorflow, Apache Spark and natural language processing as major required skills.

As Cointelegraph previously reported, 645 vacancies tagged with the words “blockchain,” “Bitcoin,” or “cryptocurrency” were published on LinkedIn in 2016. By 2017, the number surged to around 1,800 and to 4,500 vacancies by mid-May of this year. As of recently, LinkedIn’s search system displays 13,816 records related to blockchain and 2,479 records related to cryptocurrency.

A report prepared by job review site Glassdoor shows that as of August 2018, U.S. companies had posted 1,775 vacancies related to blockchain technology, which is three times more compared to the previous year. 79 percent of the vacancies are concentrated in the 15 largest American cities, and the most saturated demand regions show that New York and San Francisco account for 24 percent and 21 percent of the total number of crypto-industry job offers.

Social network Facebook listed five new blockchain-related jobs on its careers page within the past three weeks. In the job description for blockchain engineer at the Facebook Blockchain Data Engineering team, the ad characterizes the position as technically and intellectually challenging work, which “will have massive global impact.”

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/linkedin-report-blockchain-developer-leads-list-of-most-rapidly-growing-jobs

478


After months of monitoring and observing the “promising and challenging” potential of distributed ledger technology (DLT), the European Union (EU) is finally making a turn into the blockchain industry.

How it all started
Back in February 2018, the European Commission (EC) launched the EU Blockchain Observatory and Forum, aimed to support European cross-border engagement with the technology and its multiple stakeholders and to unite the economy around blockchain.

Since its official launch, the newly established organization — supported by European Parliament — has released three thematic reports: the first one in July, dubbed “Blockchain Innovation in Europe”; the second one in October, “Blockchain and the GDPR”; and the third one in December, “Blockchain for Government and Public Services.”

The second major step was taken in April when 22 countries — 21 EU member states and Norway — signed a Declaration that created a European Blockchain Partnership (EBP). During 2018, five more European countries joined the EBP: Greece and Romania in May, Denmark and Cyprus in June, and Italy — the last member to join — in September. The partnership’s main focus is on cybersecurity, privacy, energy efficiency and interoperability, all in full compliance with EU law.

As Mariya Gabriel, commissioner for the Digital Economy and Society, underlined welcoming the established of the EBP:

Quote
Blockchain is a great opportunity for Europe and Member States to rethink their information systems, to promote user trust and the protection of personal data, to help create new business opportunities and to establish new areas of leadership, benefiting citizens, public services and companies (sic)



Back in the fall, ResearchAndMarkets.com published a new report dubbed “EU5 Blockchain Technology Market (2018-2023).“ In the report, the EU is expected to increase its investment into blockchain- and DLT-related projects from $94 million in 2018 to $386 million by 2020. The positive view within the document toward the blockchain industry in Europe is based on several crucial facts: The EC is liberalizing the industry’s regulation and it creates a new task force entrusted with blockchain expertise.

Another move toward blockchain was made in October this year when the European Parliament formed a resolution titled “Distributed ledger technologies and blockchains: building trust with disintermediation.” The resolution states that DLT “could potentially affect all sectors of the economy,” but it focuses on several important spheres: finances, health care, transport, education, copyrights, public governance, data protection, and some others.

The agreement shows that the Parliament has set the plans for the EC to ensure that its proposed policies would be realized, taking into account benefits of the DLT implementations and warning about some of the related risks. This resolution is a crucial document, as it means that Parliament articulated several main features.

Health care sector
The potential of DLT implementation in the health care and medical sector was among the first initiatives discussed by the European Union. My Health My Data (MHMD), the EU-funded project, has been aimed “to use blockchain technology to enable medical data to be stored and transmitted safely and effectively.” The resolution signed in October highlighted that blockchain would “improve data efficiency and the reporting of clinical trials in the health sector, allowing digital data exchange across public and private institutions under the control of the citizens/patients.”


For the EU, the main focus of the implementation of blockchain technology is on the protection of personal data (followed by the General Data Protection Regulation, known as GDPR), which gives “people more control over how they store, manage and use personal data generated online,” says DECODE, another blockchain project funded by the EU. According to the document, blockchain “should protect the privacy of sensitive health data” and allow “citizens to control their health data and benefit from transparency thereon, and to choose which data to share, also with regard to their use by insurance companies and the wider health care ecosystem.”

It also underlines the importance of improving the health care sector with DLT “through electronic health data interoperability, identity verification and a better distribution of medication,” as well as improving the management of health care systems.

Financial services
There are several major advantages of DLT implementation for the financial sector within Europe. One of them is, definitely, the significance of the blockchain technology in financial intermediation by “improving transparency and reducing transaction costs and hidden costs by better managing data and streamlining processes.”



The EC and local regulatory authorities are to monitor trends of DLT implementation in the finance industry and are encouraged to do “the research and experimentation that major financial institutions have undertaken in the exploration of the capabilities of DLT.”

The European Parliament also expressed its concern about the “volatility and uncertainty” of cryptocurrencies. It requires the EC and the European Central Bank (ECB) “to provide feedback on the sources of volatility of cryptocurrencies, identify dangers for the public, and explore the possibilities of incorporating cryptocurrencies in the European payment system.”

There are certain risks related to initial coin offerings (ICOs), and the resolution stresses the “lack of clarity with regard to the legal framework applicable to ICOs,” that could negatively affect the investment and funding potential of ICOs. The Parliament asks the EC and national regulatory authorities “to identify criteria that enhance investor protection and articulate disclosure requirements and obligations for the initiators of ICOs” to avoid risks and dangers related to ICO projects.

The certainty and clarity of the crowdfunding in the crypto space could increase investor and consumer protection and reduce “the risks stemming from asymmetric information, fraudulent behaviour, illegal activities such as money laundering and tax evasion.”

How bright is the blockchain future in Europe?
Meanwhile, the Distributed ledger technologies and blockchains resolution has more political significance than legal, as the EC is not required to do anything in response to these requests.

Last week, four major blockchain companies — including Ripple, the NEM Foundation, Emurgo (based on the Cardano blockchain) and “smart ledger” development firm Fetch.AI — formed “Blockchain for Europe” Association. It is aimed to help the EU “shape the global agenda” on blockchain by providing education on the technology’s potential and by developing “smart regulation” of the blockchain industry.

The EC does not appear to be fully involved in promoting a global regulatory framework for the blockchain and cryptocurrency ecosystems. The general idea is to focus on promoting the regulations of the technology on national levels.

A vivid example of it is another declaration signed on December 4 between seven southern European countries — including France, Italy, Cyprus, Portugal, Spain, and Greece. It was reportedly initiated by Malta, commonly known as the “Blockchain Island” of Europe. This declaration calls the EU for help to “promote DLT that is most associated with cryptocurrencies but is increasingly being used by governments to offer services to citizens.”

Switzerland is another European country, but not a member state, that has friendly regulation on the blockchain and crypto industries.

Europe has the ambitions to become "the global leader in the field of DLT," which can be seen from the number of initiatives taken place over the 2018 year. Still, it might want to consider bringing more legal power to them rather than just “raising the awareness.”

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/europe-takes-serious-steps-towards-blockchain-adoption

479


Blockchain courses are being adopted by more institutions as a way of teaching and equipping the next generation of crypto engineers to meet the ever-increasing demand for the technology and its applications. Now, the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) is gearing up to offer its first blockchain engineering course, thanks to a sizable donation from MouseBelt Blockchain Accelerator.

UCLA to Offer Accredited Blockchain Course
The university, which previously organized blockchain and cryptocurrency seminars through its Anderson School of Management, has now announced that it will be running a full technical blockchain programming course from January 2019.

The course will be offered as 4-credit special topics course, which would be an upper-division elective requirement that is open to both students of electrical and computer engineering and computer science. It will cover topics including an overview of blockchain-related concepts, Ethereum, decentralized apps (dApps), crypto tokens, smart contracts, hash functions, and more.

The class will be led by Professor John D. Villasenor, a professor of management, electrical, and electronics engineering, as well as public policy. He will be assisted by Jason Huan and Andrew Battat, both of whom have been running various workshops on blockchain through Blockchain at UCLA, a student organization. MouseBelt Blockchain Accelerator is known for making investments in blockchain-based projects and startups, providing them with access to crypto engineers and developers to work on their projects, as well as dedicated support staff, marketing officers, and business management personnel to help secure real-use cases.

The company has also stated that it is making plans to add more schools to the university program in 2019 and that moves towards international expansion are already in the works. 

Patrick McLain, Chief Operations Officer at MouseBelt, told CCN via email:

Quote
“While the market is scary right now, we believe the future is bright. No better way to invest in the future than investing in the youth. For us, this is only the beginning of building the bright future ahead through our University Program.”

Seats Quickly Filled up
The course is accredited through UCLA, and it does require some background in programming from some other basic-level classes. According to a MouseBelt representative who spoke with CCN, slots for the course have already been filled up, even though registration has only been open for a few days.

UCLA is joining a long list of universities to offer full-fledged blockchain-related courses. Earlier last month, the University of Tokyo also announced that it would be offering a DLT course at its graduate engineering department. The course, which has been dubbed the Blockchain Innovation Donation Course, was rolled out on Nov. 1, and the program is expected to run through October 2021. The course was made possible thanks to donations totaling about $800,000 from organizations such as the Ethereum Foundation and banking giant Sumimoto Mitsui.

Source: https://www.ccn.com/ucla-launches-first-accredited-blockchain-engineering-course/

480


The Exodus 1 is HTC’s cryptocurrency and blockchain oriented phone. It’s designed as a native blockchain mobile and to work securely with cryptocurrency and decentralized applications (dApps).

Revealed in a recent tweet by co-founder Brendan Eich, who also developed the Firefox Mozilla browser, Brave will be HTC’s default browser.

https://twitter.com/BrendanEich/status/1071445228006072320

The HTC Exodus 1 is built with the decentralized promise of blockchain in mind. It, like Brave, hopes to restore the ownership of personal data back to individuals. For cryptocurrency owners, the phone will store private keys in a secure enclave on the phone called Zion.

Though the Brave browser itself is not blockchain-based, Brave does aim to eventually decentralize its Ethereum-based BAT. Eich himself describes the BAT platform as currently “semi-centralized” due to the need to manage how its BAT tokens, used to reward Brave publishers, are distributed. Eich told TNW recently:

Quote
“We will decentralize much of the BAT platform over time, but as our roadmap describes, not all at once and up front. That is neither scalable nor anonymous on today’s main blockchains.”

Challenging the Incumbent Web

What the Brave Browser does do is offer users the facility to block all adverts and cookies, potentially delivering faster search, loading, and navigation. By doing this Brave hopes to take away some of the search market dominated by the likes of Google and Microsoft, which collect massive amounts of user data.

Brave also plans to reward users who opt-in to viewing adverts with BAT tokens, which advertisers must pay, potentially handing back the reward from the monetization of data to the data owner. As of September 2018, Brave had already achieved ten million downloads and four million active users, a growing figure likely to have influenced HTC’s choice.

HTC’s decentralized chief officer Phil Chen, according to CNET reports, said of Brave:

Quote
“It is challenging the incumbent web…advertisement-trade-for-attention model that has crippled the internet browsing experience. We’re at a crisis of giving that away for cheap endorphins and surrendering all that power to the big-data monolithic cloud companies that mine that data.”

Neither Brave or HTC have revealed much in the way of details about the partnership. HTC phones are popular but the blockchain-based mobile market is unproven. The partnership will certainly help kudos for Brave and if sales of the Exodus 1 go well, add to Brave’s user base.  The new phone is not without competition, SIRIN Labs also unveiled its crypto-native smartphone, the FINNEY, earlier this month.

Source: https://www.ccn.com/htc-exodus-1-blockchain-smartphone-will-ship-with-brave-browser/

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