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Messages - Lucius

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436
MixTum is undergoing maintenance.

The site is still down, any info on when it should be back online?

437
~snip~
And amazingly, out of this five options, and out of the over 700 people that voted, the majority, at 32 percent said they store their bitcoin on exchanges...
---
So, I kind of find it amazing that, with the whole campaign of NOT YOUR KEYS, NOT YOUR CRYPTO, bitcoin investors still trust centralized exchanges enough to hold their bitcoins in there, forgetting all the previous incidents where an exchange gets hacked, and investors lose all their funds..


Do you know why people store their cryptocurrencies where they bought them? Some for the reason that they think that it is a crypto-bank and that they are safe there, and some others because everything else is too complicated for them. However, if 1/3 of the owners are wrong, it is much better than 5+ years ago when that percentage was very likely above 50%, which means that the situation is improving.

Quote
I ask you the same question, where do you store your bitcoin?

Anywhere I have full control over my private keys, because any other option is completely unacceptable. Larger amounts simply must be in hardware wallets or even better airgapped wallets, and everything else in hot wallets on devices that are not at risk of malicious programs. This would mean that it would be ideal to have a computer/smartphone that is used only for cryptocurrencies, recommended with Linux OS as a far better alternative to Windows OS.

438
~snip~
  • Which psychological stage do you think the crypto market sentiment is in? Please explain your opinion.

I would currently place us in the period of Optimism or Belief, given that the price has crossed and is holding above the very important psychological limit of $50 000, which we can thank for the strong accumulation of spot BTC ETFs in the US. Also, everyone already knows that we are in the year of halving, which has always been quite positive, and even more so the year after that.

Thrill could start when we reach a new ATH, and Euphoria when $100 000 is reached. This will definitely resonate in the media and create a great FOMO that will result in the mass involvement of ordinary people, mostly those who currently have nothing to do with cryptocurrencies.

Quote
  • Do you think market makers also use market sentiment charts to manipulate the crypto market?

Absolutely, all this speculation dealing with the possible prices of cryptocurrencies in the next big bull run is partly part of the plan of all those who could benefit from the big money being channeled into the cryptocurrency market. All of them actually say "invest now, now is the right time for big profits", which is actually logical because everyone is fighting for their share of the pie and trying to direct potential investors to where it suits them best.

439
It would have been good if we can see a comparison between the amount of crypto used for illicit activities versus the amount of fiat used for the same purpose. I guess the amount for cryptocurrencies would be smaller if compared to the amount of USD used in illicit activities and not to talk of other fiat or countries.

A few years ago (I can't remember exactly), a good friend of ours from another forum (Leo) wrote somewhere that even less than 1% of all illegal transactions were in cryptocurrencies, and it seems to me that this percentage is still very small (definitely less than 5%). When we think about it, it can't be different considering that the number of people who are in some way involved in cryptocurrencies is less than 5% (globally), and most of them use cryptocurrencies exclusively as an investment, not as a currency.

The reasons for the decrease could be because some bad actors which used crypto for illicit activities are getting known and revealed. Cryptocurrencies is not as anonymous as people thought it is, therefore having fiat as their preferences. Or because the bull run is not yet significant enough.

Except perhaps the so-called "private coins", everything else is very easy to follow, and those who thought differently when they did bad things with their cryptocurrencies were often unpleasantly surprised.

440
~snip~
Are you willing to give or receive Valentine's gifts in BTC? Do you think BTC can become a meaningful Valentine's gift?


I prefer more traditional gifts, and when it comes to women, I think that most of them will appreciate a bouquet of roses, special chocolate or perfume rather than something they can't even hold in their hands. Bitcoin will perhaps become a digital gift one day when everyone has a digital wallet on their smartphone and when (if) it becomes a common occurrence in society.

When I was little, I was always happy when someone brought me a present, but when I got a little older, I preferred to receive money that I could then spend on what I wanted. When Bitcoin becomes so easy to spend/convert to fiat, then it will definitely make more sense to give it as a gift.

Of course, people are happy when the price of BTC goes up, but if you give someone BTC as a gift and the price goes down, that's not really going to be a gift that someone will appreciate at that moment, is it?

441
In the last month or two, I have noticed an increase in the number of new services that offer Visa cards without KYC (albeit virtual) that can be loaded with quite solid amounts ($1000).

That's surprising, I remember 7 years ago you could find visas without KYC with limits even higher than that but it seems that they have tightened up and in recent years it was impossible to find cards without ridiculous limits, like $50. Do you care to elaborate? Or tell us where you found it?

Times have changed since then, and it is possible that some card issuers actually misused the Visa logo, as was the case with the scammers from the Centra project. However, as I already wrote, these are virtual cards that have one major drawback, which is that you cannot get cash with them (they do not work at ATMs), but they are mainly used for online payments or you can even add them to Google/Apple wallet and pay in physical stores.

There are several topics on BTT with such services, but I am not sure that I can post such links here. Check under Marketplace -> Service Announcements/Service Discussion.

442
It seems to me that the attitudes of large companies change periodically, considering the public's sentiment towards cryptocurrencies. Given that this and probably most of the next year will be extremely positive in terms of price growth and increased investment in cryptocurrencies, we should not be surprised in the least that Visa wants a piece of the pie.

In the last month or two, I have noticed an increase in the number of new services that offer Visa cards without KYC (albeit virtual) that can be loaded with quite solid amounts ($1000).

I can't say whether this development of events is completely positive for the crypto market, but the fact is that people want to spend their crypto profits, and if they can avoid paying taxes, even better.

443
Yobit / Re: What will Yobit's future look like?
« on: February 15, 2024, 05:24:23 PM »
Of course they will continue to survive in some way. Above all, because many users who use Yobit are new and see Yobit as an easy way to earn something. They have been accused of being scammers for years, but for example at BTT they still have a signature campaign, or at least they had one not long ago.

There is no campaign of theirs on BTT and it has been for years, the admin banned them completely due to the unbearable amount of spam created by their users. Their first campaign in which I participated was during 2016/17, and after that there was a new campaign that lasted during 2019 and ended at the beginning of 2020.

I don't know if you have read the entire thread, but if you have you will have been able to see my experience (and that of many other users) a few years ago, it is for these reasons that I can never recommend Yobit to anyone.

Of course I read it, and I'm also not one of those who would recommend someone to go there to trade because over the years I've seen dozens of accusations against them that have never been resolved. I just shared my personal experience with participation in the signature campaign and with earning from referrals, and I had no problems with that.

444
Forum related / Re: What about necro bumps?
« on: February 15, 2024, 05:10:02 PM »
~snip~
So if there's nothing really important to add to an old topic, it is of course better not to bump it. But some ignore any warnings...


Thanks for the info, but in the end everything depends on the situation - because today I bumped an old topic on BTT because I had the same problem described in that topic and it didn't make sense for me to open a new one. I think that no one will (or should) be too upset about such "justified exceptions".

445
Basic Questions about Cryptos / Re: Choosing right projects to invest in
« on: February 15, 2024, 04:38:40 PM »
~snip~
CZ goes to jail for example, BNB is going to take a serious hit the moment the news hit the markets.
Just for the sake of an example, not that I wish it, the same happens if Buterin is involved in an accident.


You are very likely right, although CZ is no longer formally in charge, so that fact in synergy with the army of followers of his character and work may keep the whole thing on the surface. No matter how you look at it, his CEX is still one of the most popular among the masses.

However, the truth is that all these projects have risks in their owners, and Satoshi was intelligent enough to understand that, and that is why Bitcoin has become the cryptocurrency that most people trust today. If memory serves me, Vitalik announced a few years ago that he would step down from his position, but that did not happen.

446
Basic Questions about Cryptos / Re: Choosing right projects to invest in
« on: February 14, 2024, 06:15:09 PM »
~snip~
Now, not looking at the price evolution or else, the one I wouldn't want to have in my wallet no matter what is XRP, that's a centralized currency I don't want to touch.


All altcoins are centralized, but this is not a problem for those who want to trade with them, because nobody cares too much who is behind a project if they can make money from it. Of course, there are altcoins that are backed by institutions that may not be too dear to us, but for some, this fact is actually an advantage for investing in these altcoins.

You can still read from time to time how some people are fascinated with CBDC and think that these currencies supported by central banks will throw Bitcoin and altcoins out of the game, which of course does not make any sense.

447
Forum related / Re: What about necro bumps?
« on: February 14, 2024, 05:51:34 PM »
@Jokers, is there any warning for those who want to make a post in an old topic? I know that there is a warning on BTT, if I'm not mistaken, if no one has made a post in the topic for 120 days - but even that sometimes doesn't help that someone doesn't decide to bring up old topics for completely unjustified reasons.

448
Yobit / Re: What will Yobit's future look like?
« on: February 14, 2024, 05:38:02 PM »
Are you using Yobit? Will you continue to trust Yobit and be satisfied with all of Yobit's services?

Once upon a time, I participated in their sig campaign on the BTT forum and they were quite popular then, and then I promoted their ref link in the same way and thus I collected several hundred referrals. I was making money from them for a while, but I don't even remember the last time I visited that site.

Personally, I never had a problem with a single payment from there, but I remember that they had a very large withdrawal fee for Bitcoin, which was as much as 120 000 satoshis.

I can't say what their future is, but if they do business somewhere within the Russian Federation, I think they will survive for a long time, regardless of all the accusations I've read over the years.

449
Bitcoin Forum / Re: When will Bitcoin catch up with Gold in capitalization?
« on: February 14, 2024, 05:10:54 PM »
They say "never say never", but I don't think that will happen for a very long time (if it ever does). Gold has been present among people for thousands of years and most people have the perception that it is really valuable, and they have great confidence in it. In addition, gold has many applications in today's society, whether it is jewelry, gold bars or coins, it is used in the production of IT components and for decoration in the confectionery industry.

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a relatively new thing, and given that it exists only in digital form, it mainly attracts the younger population who mostly perceive it as a way to get rich quickly and some kind of magical internet money.

Also, most politicians and influential people in the world have a very bad or slightly less bad opinion about Bitcoin, which affects a lot of people who fall under their influence. In my opinion, this is a serious obstacle for Bitcoin to become something common, because most people still blindly listen to what they are told every day.

I also think that it is completely wrong to say that Bitcoin is some kind of digital gold and that it was invented by those who want to turn Bitcoin into what it really is not. Bitcoin was conceived as a decentralized cryptocurrency, but unfortunately they turned it into something completely different.

450
It is impossible for the price of Bitcoin to reach 288k within about 10 months, as this means that the price will rise 6 times, even though it took us about two years to return to 50k and more than 13 years to reach 70k.
The best we might see is $100,000 before the end of the year.


I would not use the term "impossible" when it comes to Bitcoin - because let's remember 2017, when in just one year the price went up twenty times. Spot ETFs in the US seem to have a fairly positive effect on the price, and this is also the halving year, which together creates the right conditions for a super storm in which the price could really explode.

I'm not saying that it will be any specific number, but compared to the current price, even $100k by the end of the year seems quite a modest estimate. Although I wouldn't have anything against it if it happened, because it is a really nice number that has been awaited for a long time.

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