BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 09th NOV, 2021


BTCUSD: Bullish Ascending Channel Above $65,000
Bitcoin is moving in a strong bullish ascending channel above the $65,000 handle, and the continuous demand is pushing the prices of BTCUSD higher today in the European trading session. Bitcoin has already crossed its previous all-time high of $67,700 and is now trading above it.

This bitcoin rally is a result of continuous buying pressure and demand for BTC ETFs. The current trend is expected to continue with the immediate targets of $70,000 this week.

We have seen a moving averages crossover for the 5 hourly MA signifying that in the short-term, a downward correction in the levels of bitcoin is expected.

StochRSI is indicating OVERBOUGHT levels signifying that the markets can enter into a consolidation or price recovery phase at any time. Those who are looking to buy at current market levels will have to wait for the downward correction of prices to get an attractive entry for long-term holdings.

Bitcoin is now moving above its both 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages.

Medium to long term outlook remains bullish for BTCUSD with targets of $70,000 before the end of this month.

Bitcoin is slowly consolidating its gains without any significant drop in its levels today.

• Average true range indicates less market volatility
• Williams percent range is indicating an OVERBOUGHT level
• The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $67,989
• All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal at the current market level of $67,860

Bitcoin Rally Towards $70,000 Confirmed


BTCUSD has already crossed its major resistance level of $64,129 and continues to trade above the important psychological support level of $65,000.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its Fibonacci resistance level of $67,844 and Camarilla resistance level of $67,914, after which the path towards $70,000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has gone UP by +3.36% with the price change of +2215$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 40.583 billion.

Bitcoin Touches Record Highs on Inflation Fears

Since last week, Bitcoin has witnessed heavy inflow of cash investments with a total value of $95 million USD on US inflation fears. Leading investment firm JPMorgan has already revised its upwards projection for the BTC stating that bitcoin is going to cross $146,000 in the year 2022, and hit the level of $73,000 before the end of 2021.

Next week, bitcoin is also expected to roll out its biggest software update known as Taproot, which will enable increased transaction efficiency and privacy for its users.

Since last week, this news has led to an increase in the total market capitalization of bitcoin by $120 billion USD.

The Week Ahead

If the price of bitcoin continues to hold above the $65,000 handle, we can witness another rally in the markets next week which will eventually push the prices of BTCUSD towards $70,000.

A short-term correction is also expected, pushing the BTCUSD down below the $65,000 mark and also giving more opportunities to fresh buyers in the market. Since the dips in bitcoin remain well supported, there is no possibility of a trend reversal, and the uptrend is expected to continue in the next week.

This week, BTCUSD is expected to cross the $68,000 line and aim for upsides of $69,000 to $69,500 the next week. Both the medium term and long term outlooks remain positive, and next week, we could witness BTC printing at above the $68,000 mark.

Technical Indicators:

Relative strength index (14-day): at 70.04 indicating a BUY

Rate of price change: at 2.835 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 990.80 indicating a BUY

Ultimate oscillator: at 66.44 indicating a BUY

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GBP/USD and GBP/JPY Could Struggle To Recover


GBP/USD declined heavily below the 1.3600 and 1.3550 support levels. GBP/JPY also declined below 154.00 and is currently struggling to recover.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY

• The British Pound started a major decline below the 1.3600 support against the US Dollar.
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3625 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
• GBP/JPY declined heavily below the 154.60 and 154.00 support levels.
• There is a key declining channel forming with resistance near 153.20 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound started a major decline from well above 1.3650 against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair broke the 1.3620 and 1.3600 support levels.

The pair even settled below the 1.3550 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Finally, there was a spike below the 1.3500 support zone. It traded as low as 1.3423 on FXOpen and is currently consolidating losses.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart


The pair is now facing resistance near 1.3485. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3697 swing high to 1.3423 low.

The first key resistance is near the 1.3500 zone. The next major resistance is near the 1.3550 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3697 swing high to 1.3423 low.

There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3625 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. A close above the 1.3625 level could open the doors for more gains. The next major hurdle is near 1.3660 and the 50 hourly SMA, above which the pair could surge towards 1.3700.

On the downside, an immediate support is near the 1.3450 level. The next major support is near the 1.3425 level. If there is a break below the 1.3425 support, the pair could test the 1.3400 support. If there are additional losses, the pair could decline towards the 1.3350 level.

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AUD/USD and NZD/USD At Risk of More Downsides


AUD/USD started a fresh decline from well above the 0.7500 zone. NZD/USD accelerated lower and it is now consolidating near the 0.7080 zone.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

• The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above 0.7500 against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7470 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
• NZD/USD also declined after it failed to clear the 0.7200 resistance.
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7160 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

The Aussie Dollar failed to stay above 0.7500 and started a major decline against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair broke the 0.7450 and 0.7420 support levels to move into a bearish zone.

The pair even broke the 0.7400 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair traded as low as 0.7378 on FXOpen and it is now consolidating losses. An immediate resistance is near the 0.7400 level.

AUD/USD Hourly Chart


It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7470 swing high to 0.7378 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.7420 level.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7470 swing high to 0.7378 low is also near the 0.7420 level. A close above the 0.7420 level could start a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.7450.

An initial support on the downside is near the 0.7380 level. The next major support is near the 0.7350 level. If there is a downside break below the 0.7350 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.7320 level. The next major support is near 0.7300, below which the pair could accelerate lower in the near term.

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BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 02nd NOV, 2021


BTCUSD: Bullish Ascending Channel Above $60,000

Bitcoin continues to trade steadily above $60,000 in the European trading session today. Yesterday, we saw the price of BTCUSD plummet below $60,000 but soon with renewed buying pressure it touched an intraday high of $62,443.

The price of bitcoin is now in the consolidation phase after recovering from its losses last week which saw the prices touching a low of $58,212.  This short-term bearish correction is a stepping stone towards its next leg of bull run towards $65,000.

Bitcoin is now moving above its both 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages. Relative strength index appears to be neutral signifying sideways movements for the time being.

Medium to long term outlook remains bullish for BTCUSD with targets of $70,000 before the end of this month.

Bitcoin is slowly pulling back from the selloff that was seen last week, and is in the process of creating a bullish ascending channel this week.

• Bitcoin recovered from its losses last week and is now trading above its pivot level of $61,632
• Williams percent range is indicating OVERBOUGHT level
• The price is now trading above its classic support level of $61,200
• All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal at the current market level of $61,563

Bitcoin: Recovery From Weekend Losses, March Towards $61,500


BTCUSD has gone down by 8% from its all-time high price of $66,987, and we saw that this price action was achieved after sub-bearish moves below $60,000. This is an indication of a fresh upwards move in bitcoin which can break its all-time high level soon.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its Camarilla resistance level of $61,569 and Fibonacci resistance level of $61,891, after which the path towards $63,000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs BTCUSD has gone DOWN by -0.26% with the price change of +104$, and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 34.007 billion.

Bitcoin Volatility Index


The volatility index of bitcoin shows the constant range of 85 to 95 in the preceding 3 months. This also has a significance since the value of holdings in bitcoin for the investors needs to remain stable.

With the introduction of the bitcoin ETFs, we should expect stable price movement, continued appreciation in the form of attracting more cash investments, and increased total market capitalization.

At present, the TMC of bitcoin is at $1,160 billion USD.

The Week Ahead

The price of BTCUSD is holding above the important psychological level of $60,000 and a positive momentum is seen in the short term range. It is crucial for the price to hold above the $60,000 handle for the next bitcoin rally towards $63,000.

This week, BTCUSD is expected to cross $64,000, and aim for upsides of $66,000 to $68,500 the next week. Both the medium term and long term outlooks remain positive. Next week, we could witness BTC printing above the $65,000 mark.

Technical Indicators:

Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 183.82 indicating a BUY

Commodity channel index (14-day): at 96.86 indicating a BUY

Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 140.50 indicating a BUY

Ultimate oscillator: at 56.51 indicating a BUY

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AUD/USD and NZD/USD Aim More Upsides


AUD/USD started a fresh increase above the 0.7500 resistance zone. NZD/USD also climbed higher and it might aim more upsides towards 0.7250.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

• The Aussie Dollar started a steady increase above the 0.7480 hurdle against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.7520 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
• NZD/USD also gained pace after it broke the 0.7150 resistance.
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.7175 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

The Aussie Dollar found formed a base above the 0.7450 level and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair broke the 0.7480 and 0.7500 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The pair even broke the 0.7520 and 0.7540 resistance levels. It settled above the 0.7500 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. A high was formed near 0.7554 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating gains.

AUD/USD Hourly Chart


It traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 0.7479 swing low to 0.7554 high. An initial support on the downside is near the 0.7525 level.

The next major support is near the 0.7515 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 0.7479 swing low to 0.7554 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.7520 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.

If there is a downside break below the 0.7515 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.7480 level. An immediate resistance is near the 0.7550 level.

The next major resistance is near the 0.7580 level. A close above the 0.7580 level could start a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.7650.

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EUR/USD and EUR/JPY: Euro Remains At Risk



EUR/USD failed to recover and declined below the 1.1620 support. EUR/JPY is facing a major resistance near the 132.50 and 132.65 levels.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

• The Euro gained bearish momentum below 1.1620 and 1.1600.
• There was a break below an ascending channel with support near 1.1600 on the hourly chart.
• EUR/JPY is attempting a recovery wave above the 132.30 resistance level.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 132.65 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro started another decline after it struggled to clear the 1.1665 resistance against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair broke the 1.1620 support zone to move into a bearish zone.

The pair even traded below the 1.1600 support and settled below the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near 1.1585 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting losses. It is currently facing resistance near the 1.1600 level.

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EURUSD Volatility Expected to Increase As ECB's Decision Looms



The EURUSD has been trading in relatively tight ranges recently despite important economic data releases. The pair has found strong support at the 1.16 level as buyers stepped in on every move below. However, the bounces have been shallow and with little or no follow-through.

This week, the price action on the EURUSD is expected to increase dramatically as investors prepare for two crucial events that will impact the currency pair: the European Central Bank meeting, and the Federal Reserve of the United States (FED) meeting next week.



The Fed to Officially Announce Tapering

The Fed is set to officially announce the tapering of its asset purchases at next week's meeting. Last Friday, the Fed's chair said he believed that the time for tapering had come — but the EURUSD did not react, perhaps because the news came late on a Friday afternoon.

The statement is clearly hawkish for the dollar, and it should weigh on the EURUSD pair, especially since the ECB considers an opposite strategy. It will not taper yet; thus, the two monetary policies diverge.

The EURUSD is the most popular currency pair on the FX dashboard and one that sets the course for the dollar index. Despite finding buyers below 1.16 in the last weeks, the bias remains bearish heading into the two central banks meetings.

On Thursday, the focus sits with the ECB press conference and its staff's economic projections. As always, projections for inflation expectations are key for the euro. On Friday, investors will start to prepare for the Fed meeting scheduled for next week, and if the ECB keeps its dovish bias, the chances are that the EURUSD will test its recent lows around the 1.15 level.

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