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Messages - TravelMug

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1
Altcoinstalks Username: Hero
BTC Segwit/Bech32 Wallet Address: bc1q4a3grug4p8e72cacr954wwlcr96sw7s4377s9z

2
It's already given that Inoue is going to win the match decisively based on what I saw in Cardenas's previous fight; Cardenas is not the fighter who can beat Inoue on any angles. On Bitcointalk, there is a poll on what round Inoue will knock out Cardenas. I think that's what everybody is betting on now, and not who will win the fight.

Yup, this is just another day in the office for Naoya Inoue as Ramon Cardenas don't pose a threat to Inoue's belt and the practical way to bet on Inoue is what round will he knockout Cardenas. Nothing against him but i think Inoue's camp should stop feeding their ward nobodies, i mean they should make Inoue fight a very competitive fight.

It's more on the confidence of Inoue to beat anyone in front of him. We haven't seen him losing and so this Cardenas might be just one of his easiest opponent.

Cardenas might just take this as a golden opportunity to go with one of the best. For sure he will believed in himself that he can beat Inoue but that is a very difficult task for him.

3
Announcements [ANN] / Re: ChainSwap - NO KYC Cryptocurrency Exchange
« on: April 12, 2025, 02:09:12 PM »
Only Telegram and X support channels?

For this kind of service, I'd be expecting SimpleX chat option as well. You can't really get quality support on X/Twitter, and not all people tust Telegram after recent events.

Perhaps the less the better for them, although those who are using it might be very careful on who they are talking as there could be criminals trying to mimic their services and support.

So in any case, any support channels that we should reach, we need to be very cautious and verify everything first.

I would skip throwing an argument because I have already tested their customer chat on X and it's indeed very fast as they are always active to reply and respond to maybe issue that customer might be facing.

But I think btw me and you, it's best to just use the verified X except maybe the telegram handle is also very because I really don't recommend telegram as it's too easy for scammers to impersonate an active channel or profile

That's what I'm trying to say, in any services that provide support, we really need to be very careful and cautious.

Verified X account and as you have said, they are very quick in their response and this is something that we customers wanted to, seamless experience and quick support.

4
Bitcoin Forum / Re: bearish signs
« on: April 11, 2025, 01:16:17 AM »
Bitcoin has good fundamentals, and will either die and become forgotten or will keep appreciating in value in the long term. Given the level of legitimisation Bitcoin has received recently, the latter option seems much more likely.
But timing/strategy matters in terms of investing in it. The 4-year cycles could be a blessing, but could also be a curse. Those who bought in at the very peak of the previous cycle didn't get good value for money. Even if they managed to sell at the peak of the current bull run, that's still a return of like 15% a year, which is not that impressive given it was in the period of high inflation and other traditional markets could yield a better return.

Fundamentals will always be there, no matter what:

a. halving event
b. cap at 21 million
c. network health and uptime.

The thing though right now is that we are not just looking at those fundamentals it's more of what and how the price are being affected by the geo-politics that we are seeing, like the war between Russia vs Ukraine or the volatility of the Middle East or proxy wars between Iran and US.

And to add to that, we have the tariff wars that Trump is imposing to every countries that really impacted everything from crypto to stock markets.

5
It won't solved any for the Chinese to switch to Bitcoin because of the tariff war. They still need to find and make money for their export/import from the US.

But with a higher tariff being imposed by the US, this is going to be very hard for them as they also rely to the US for goods no matter what. Switching to Bitcoin might just make it worst though. If there is something that they can do, then  force BRICS to used Yuan or Rubbles and stay away from the US dollar.

6
Bitcoin Forum / Re: bearish signs
« on: April 10, 2025, 12:49:43 AM »
the economic situation right now is really interesting with trump's tariffs and other countries fighting back, us stocks failing as well as regulatory uncertainty regarding eu and even trump's promise to adding bitcoin to the reserve the market seems to be unstable right now and generally not in a good place

we have been trying to figure out what could be bitcoin's next direction analyzing the events that are currently happening but now with bitcoin's price at $76k as time of writing, technical analysis indicate that if bitcoin fails to hold support of $73k we might see the bear cycle soon which we will see bitcoin drop lower than $60k

my question is how are you preparing for the expected bear cycle should it actually happen soon?

Not preparing for it because I don’t have a strong conviction of it happening soon. A lot of things needs to be looked into before such predictions are made, although we don’t control the market neither will those prediction serve as the actual guide the market will follow to obey its directions.

Bitcoin falling below $73K is still not enough for me to say we are going to see a bear cycle, why not $50K and below? That serves more reasonable and understandable. At that price, we have seen the market fell more than 50% from its current ATH, and not just 30% as $73K will give us.

Just like that, Bitcoin surges to $83k as the time that I write this post. So yeah, we are not yet in the bear market, this is just another correction that we are seeing and there are still hope that a bull run will eventually happen.

So for sure, seeing the price right now is a sign of relief for us, that the price is not going down so hard after all and that investors are also resilient and waiting for just one news that will push the market upwards again for this week.

7
And with strict laws, make sense that the verdict for the teacher is jail time. Abuse of trust, then financial fraud, misuse of the money for personal gain. Could also be lessons for teachers in the same school not to do this kind of manipulation.
Yeah, I'm not surprised that some teachers are corrupt because humans are just like that. On the other hand, I heard teachers struggle because their payments aren't so good in South Korea, CMIIW. Hopefully, the government won't stop at punishing people for doing scammy activity like this but also improve their well-being to reduce stuff like this from happening in the future.

Even here in the Philippines, teachers pay are not that good and they are even forced to sell something to their students during break time. However, the previous President tries to alleviate it by increasing their salary.

So this could be a norm in most South East Asian country, but this case though went overboard by exploiting the money of his students and their parents and so he will have to punished and South Korea government sending a big message to their educators.

8
In some cases it is good to tell the public the pattern they used so we can also guide ourselves from those strategies once we notice such.
The cheaters are trying to cheat Coinomize.biz and not you, so what exactly do you want to 'guide' yourself from? It is not smart for services to expose the methods they use in catching cheaters, if not they will read it and try to evade those methods better.

I do agree, it's better to leave it like that. Not only to mixing service, but we have seen crypto base casinos refusing to reveal anything on how they found out that some gamblers are cheating their system.

It's because they don't want to the public to know what method they used because obviously cheaters are going to game that system again if they know how they are being caught, just like doing reverse engineering.

9
Announcements [ANN] / Re: ChainSwap - NO KYC Cryptocurrency Exchange
« on: April 08, 2025, 11:02:20 PM »
Only Telegram and X support channels?

For this kind of service, I'd be expecting SimpleX chat option as well. You can't really get quality support on X/Twitter, and not all people tust Telegram after recent events.

Perhaps the less the better for them, although those who are using it might be very careful on who they are talking as there could be criminals trying to mimic their services and support.

So in any case, any support channels that we should reach, we need to be very cautious and verify everything first.

10
Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling: for fun or to earn money?
« on: April 07, 2025, 03:56:36 PM »
In some special gambling threads, they are conflicted regarding the function of gambling, some consider it as fun only and some consider it as a way to earn money quickly. What about you? If I myself feel gambling is a way to earn money quickly, although defeat is inevitable.

What I think is that gambling can be just for entertainment, it can be for making quick money but it can also be very fulfilling. Because if we take gambling in a joyful way then maybe we can earn a lot of money from this. But if someone does it to make money then he will become addicted to it day by day and there is a possibility that his life will be ruined. So I mean gambling is never for making quick money it can usually be taken in a joyful way.

As long as you are not treating gambling as some kind of magic bean that will solved your financial problems, then you are going to be fine. The thing is that there are people who thinks that gambling is like a job for them, that will give them money or at least it's the way to bring food in the table for their families because it's not.

That's why it's better if you do play to have some fun and be entertained. If we win some money they good for us. And just play with the money that you can afford to lose so that it won't ruined your life if you lose that money.

11
Ang support kasi talaga ngayon ay nasa 80k$-81k$ ngayon since nasa sideways talaga tayo medyo ang hirap matukoy kung magpapatuloy ba sa pag-angat o pagbaba ng price. Magkakaroon lang naman ng konting linaw konfirmation kapag nabasag yung resistance o support.

Sa ganitong sitwasyon dito palang ulit magkakaroon ng panibagong speculation regarding sa price direction ng bitcoin, kaya nga unpredictable palagi ang sinasabi sa usaping price ni bitcoin sa merkado.
Puro pula tayo ngayun boss mukang mag retest to sa support area dito sa $81,331 pag nabasag yan baka bumaba pa ito below $81k baka ito na yung iniintay ng iba sa 70k level kung hindi ngayun bumaba ang presyo nyan jan baka bukas na natin makita ulit 78k.
Medyo magirap kung sa spot bibili ka ngayun puro red e walang masyadong buy volume halos malaki ang tinaas ng sell volume.

Yung RSI nasa area ng oversold 15M at 1H pero wala pang pattern o candlestick for reversal kaya mahirap sumugal dito kung sakaling sa futures to tight talaga na stop-loss kailangan mo kasi baka mag reverse or breakout at cHoch jan maganda mag entry kung mag rereject after pullback sa trend.

Nag check ako ngayon, tama ka nga nasa $78k na naman tayo, at bleeding lahat hehehe. So mahirap na naman ang daily trading nito. Hindi ko pa check kung anong dahilan ng pagbagsak na naman.

Baka may statement na naman ang US na talagang nagkapa apekto nitong market kaya bentahan na naman ang mga investors at nag out muna at saka na lang babalik.

         -     Ang dahilan nga nagpost na naman si James Cramer ng positive tungkol sa Bitcoin, kaya as usual na nangyayari sa mga sinasabi nya ay laging kabaligtaran talaga ang nagiging resulta at mukhang napatunayan na naman nya ang bagay na ito.

Kaya sa ngayon ang resistance naman ni Bitcoin nasa 77600$ at ang support nya ay nasa 74570$, in short nasa sideways new trend tayo ngayon,
hindi natin alam kung ilang araw ito mananatili sa trend na ito,

Hindi naman siguro to sa statement ni James Cramer, siguro tungkol parin to sa tariff ni Trump na talagang nag pa wipeout sa Stock market. At sabi nga nila may correlation ang price ng Bitcoin market at Stock kaya parehas tayong bumagsak sa simula ng linggo.

Sobrang baba nga lang sa ngayon na nasa $76k na tayo. Pero sabi parin ng ibang crypto analyst eh baka lag leg na to at ang kasunod eh aangat na tayo ulit at baka next week ang simula so hayaan muna nating bumagsak tayo sa ngayon.

12
Announcements [ANN] / Re: ChainSwap - NO KYC Cryptocurrency Exchange
« on: April 05, 2025, 02:30:32 AM »
For those who are into affiliates, they are offering this program,

Quote
Earnmoney bag 0.3% from each complete exchange operation you refer.

https://chainswap.io/affiliate

For the market, yes, this is very competitive, that's why the project itself need to promotion. And one way to do it is thru signature campaigns in both community.
Well or this is a good offer for those looking for affiliate promotions sure a 0.3% income is quite a good amount and worth the time, this will help you to carry out some drastic marketing approach to be able to win at least some loyalty from the followers in this situation.

Coin swaps are quit high demand these days and the rise to get more privacy has become a top priority for most cryptocurrency users, although the list of available coins on the swap service is very limited.

Yes, it's a high demand service in crypto, specially those who are looking for a quick exchange without going into KYC as this is what we don't like as a crypto enthusiast.

There could be some individuals who focus on this kind of hustle, be a affiliate because the crazy amount of money that you can make and it's like a passive income. So it's good that Chainswap has this kind of offers.

13
The impacts have been seen already, it's just a question on how big it will be as far as crypto market is. We've seen the drop to $82k, but what if it continue and then we go on the $75k-$76k which is going to be bearish already.
The issue is that the impact of the tariff hike on the markets and the global economy won't be immediately apparent because it takes time.

But there was a drop already from stocks to crypto market.

What we saw yesterday was just a negative reflection of the impact of the news. The real impact of the decision will only be seen after a period of time, when the prices of goods start to rise and the industry becomes stagnant due to the tariff hike, then we can see the real effects of the decision.

What if the impact is going to be long term? There are already forecasting that the US might be in recession,

Quote
JPMorgan believes the US economy will enter a recession in the back half of 2025 as the impact of President Trump tariffs takes hold in the economy.

The firm's chief US economist Michael Feroli sees a two-quarter recession occurring in the back half of 2025 as GDP contracts by 1% in the third quarter of the year and by 0.5% in the fourth quarter. For the full-year 2025, Feroli's team projects GDP will fall by 0.3%.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-becomes-the-first-wall-street-bank-to-forecast-a-us-recession-following-trumps-tariffs-222019272.html

14
How has the price of bitcoin changed in the market over the past month? what other changes are likely to occur in the current period?

It's obvious that there are a huge chance in the price, two months ago, we are like in heaven, seeing the price hitting $109k and we have a new all time high.

Now we are down -24% as per the current price. So that is a huge downfall since the run. And the only thing we can do is wait for the market to return to a very bullish state although I still think that we are still positive, but it hasn't been reflected on the market price.

15
The impact has already occurred, and all markets have declined, including Bitcoin, which fell from $87K to $82K today. This negative impact is entirely expected.

Hefty tariffs have been imposed on some countries, such as Cambodia (49%) and Vietnam (46%), while 34% have been imposed on Chinese imports and 20% on those from the European Union. These massive tariffs will lead to higher product prices, hinder industry, and slow growth.

With all these negative impacts, we may not see the real impact immediately, but we will see the real results after some time.

The impacts have been seen already, it's just a question on how big it will be as far as crypto market is. We've seen the drop to $82k, but what if it continue and then we go on the $75k-$76k which is going to be bearish already.

And so with Trump still wielding his power, we don't know what and who will be the next one.

Every decision he says really affected the whole financial market. So there's nothing liberation on "Liberation Day", but causing havoc on the market.

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