In addition to yesterday's talking points, I want to add some more thoughts that come up about prediction models and market maker behavior. So, I just got a notification that SPX500 is back at an all-time high and NVDA is trading above $131.
And I just don't recall when there was such an aggressive divergence between TradFi and Crypto. There was such a thing, yes, but it was over quickly and the market maker leveled it out and put it on one track of either rising or falling.
And given that the cryptocurrency market has become more integrated with TradFi this year because of the ETFs that have been launched, accordingly, it kind of raises questions here.
Just a second opinion that the market maker is in confusion, like for example with the BTC > ATLS operation. And here we have to work in this symbiosis: SPX500 > BTC > ATLS.
This is an example with ALTS analogy, when BTC grows, often everyone is tied to it and also grows when BTC falls - accordingly, most of the market is also bled. That is, all altcoins are tied to BTC.
And who is BTC tied to? It also has a senior fellow, which it is equal to, and now it is just in uncertainty whether SPX500 will grow further, or wait for correction and then start further rally from there. In my opinion, most people are focusing on negative factors such as MtGox, Germany and a number of other less important ones. At the same time not noticing that after halving BTC is statistically in a range, or does not grow, and after the expiration of time smoothly enters the expansion.
Also a number of other news should not be ruled out, yesterday there were moves towards ETFs on both ETH and SOL. CZ is coming out in a couple months, high expectations that they will lower the rate at the next meetings, and others that will pop up in the moment.