'It will send BTC' — On-chain analyst says Bitcoin hodlers are only getting stronger
According to on-chain analyst Willy Woo, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) could achieve a "conservative" target of $200,000 in 2021. The prediction revolves around the fact that long-time investors seem more confident in the recent rally.
There are two key data points that suggest Bitcoin’s ongoing rally could explode higher. First, “HODLers,” or long-time BTC holders, aren't moving their funds for longer than in previous rallies. Second, BTC held on exchanges continues to decrease, which reduces selling pressure.
The re-accumulation of Bitcoin has remained a consistently bullish trend throughout 2020. It has continuously decreased the selling pressure on BTC, allowing a more stable rally without major 30%-40% corrections as frequently seen in 2017.
Woo noted that he is bullish for 2021 because Bitcoin’s re-accumulation phase means the amount of BTC that could be sold is much lower compared to the previous bull cycle.
As reported in May, Bitcoin HODL wave data also supports the argument the HODLers from the 2017-2018 bull cycle aren't selling at these relatively high prices, including high-net worth individuals or "whales."
However, this data also suggests that some earlier HODLers from three to seven years ago are taking profit after a prolonged BTC rally, heightening the chances of a correction in the short term.
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