
Bitcoin has grown and outperformed since the 2022 – 2023 crypto winter at a faster rate than most assets. And perhaps people are wondering: “What will happen to Bitcoin in 2024?”, in response we will only answer: “Bitcoin Halving event, halving the supply in 2024”.
In today’s article, Bitcoin Magazine will share about Bitcoin halving and related concepts and meanings, such as when it takes place, whether this event has positive or negative meanings, and whether Halving will help Bitcoin increase in price. and whether the event will promote a reduction in BTC supply…
Information about Bitcoin Halving First, to understand the event, you must understand Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency so anyone can create it through a digital mining process. This involves using computers with sophisticated algorithms to decode complex mathematical problems encrypted through Proof-of-Work (PoW) – the algorithm used for verification. transaction and add it to the blockchain. Successful miners, also known as miners, receive a pre-set Bitcoin reward amount. In essence, the block subsidy reward that miners receive will be reduced by 50% due to the Halving event.
Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonym of the person (or group) who developed Bitcoin, created the Halving event to control the Bitcoin inflation rate. Reducing mining rewards will reduce the incentive to mine even more, increase Bitcoin scarcity, and increase the coin’s circulation rate. Furthermore, creating scarcity makes BTC more valuable, aiding in maintaining and increasing value over time, especially if demand continues to increase.
History of the Bitcoin Halving event When the Bitcoin network went live in 2009, the mining reward (or Bitcoin mining subsidy) was at 50 BTC per block. Satoshi Nakamoto worked on a miner reward reduction protocol and added it to the Bitcoin code as part of his monetary policy. Therefore, the block subsidy halving code will automatically execute every time miners complete 210,000 blocks. It is estimated that cuts in the rewards granted to miners will occur every four years.
Since its launch in 2009, there have been three Bitcoin Halving events, the first occurred in 2012, followed by 2016 and the most recent in 2020. Therefore, the second Halving event The fourth will occur in 2024 with a block height of 840,000, the fifth is expected to occur in 2028.
Bitcoin Halving CycleIt is almost impossible to determine the exact date or time that the Halving event will take place because everything depends on the completion of 210,000 blocks. Since confirming or adding a new block to the Bitcoin network takes about 10 minutes, the schedule for Halving is estimated to be approximately every four years.
The Bitcoin Halving cycle is significant, as it drives innovation and resilience in the native cryptocurrency code, setting it apart from fiat. This 2024 event is also extremely meaningful because it will have an impact on the speed at which new BTC circulates into the market. This event will reduce the reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, potentially motivating miners to increase their efficiency. To remain profitable, miners must find ways to optimize their operations as rewards dwindle. This could spur technological advances in mining hardware, leading to the creation of mining rigs that are both more energy efficient and more powerful.
Bitcoin’s limited supply policy ensures no more than 21 million BTC can exist, unlike fiat currencies which have no limit.
Economic significance of the Bitcoin Halving event in 2024Bitcoin Halving events have historically caused cryptocurrency scarcity in the market, putting upward pressure on prices while also explaining the surge in prices expected after each halving.
Based on past appearances, popular social media pundit and commentator BitQuant has predicted that Bitcoin price could reach an all-time high before or after the halving event in 2024. Confirmed This is hardly surprising, as all past events occurred before Bitcoin’s all-time high price. BitQuant speculates that the price could reach $250,000 – nine times the current value.
Bitcoin Halving in 2024 is also important because it is after the 2022 crypto winter and 2023 recession. By slowing down BTC creation, it will limit Bitcoin supply over time . This scarcity is similar to the scarcity for gold. Bitcoin’s deflationary nature will appeal to investors trying to retain their capital in a world where inflation devalues traditional currencies.
Having events are predetermined, transparent and predictable, unlike arbitrary central bank rulings in traditional monetary systems. Investors are reassured by this regularity, especially in unpredictable economic times. Bitcoin’s tightening monetary policy, enforced by the Halving event, will appeal to those who are concerned about unclear, unplanned actions and policy changes by central banks.
Many gold enthusiasts consider Bitcoin a valuable asset. Gold always protects us from inflation and is a safe haven during economic downturns. Bitcoin, in its digital form, has similar characteristics. Gold investors love Bitcoin Halvings because they reduce supply, similar to gold mining. The concept of “digital gold” suggests that Bitcoin could play an equivalent role in the digital age. The Bitcoin halving event is notable for long-term gold investors because both Bitcoin and gold are deflationary in nature.
The impact of the Halving cycle on Bitcoin priceSince the Bitcoin Halving event reduces the incentive to mine Bitcoin, it creates scarcity and thus also raises a pertinent question: Will the Bitcoin Halving event increase the price of BTC?
Looking at historical data, from past halving events will give us valuable insights as they all follow a similar pattern. This is mainly due to reduced mining rewards and reduced inflation as the amount of BTC circulating in the market will be tightened.
1. Accumulation phaseBitcoin users often accumulate BTC before the halving, causing stagnation or affecting the price of BTC, causing a slight bullish trend. This phenomenon occurs before the first three Halvings, lasting from 13 to 22 months.
2. Price increase phasePast halving events have typically triggered bull market periods lasting 10-15 months, with prices steadily increasing and reaching all-time highs afterward. Only once (in 2016) did Bitcoin suffer a short-term retracement, but it recovered and followed its characteristic bullish trajectory.
3. Bear market period All previous price increases ended in pullbacks or price corrections that lasted about 600 days, although the last one only lasted about a year.
Impact of the Bitcoin Halving event on minersBitcoin mining consumes a lot of resources and energy. According to some estimates, it takes 1,449 kilowatts of electricity per hour to complete one Bitcoin transaction. That’s the amount of energy a typical American household will use in 55 days. The halving of Bitcoin mining rewards will impact miners as mining costs remain high while rewards decrease.
The standard for measuring profitability in the BTC mining industry is dollars per terahash (TH) per second. This number refers to the amount of money generated by a mining rig that generates one trillion hashrate per second. One can use a mining calculator to calculate hashrate and evaluate profitability.
While Bitcoin prices are volatile, Bitcoin mining at its peak in 2017 earned $3.39 per TH/s, but by mid-2022, it had dropped to $0.104 per TH/s . The reward halving will continue to impact miners’ profits, so most of them can only hope to profit during the bull run.
Is Bitcoin Halving good or bad?Bitcoin Halving has its own pros and cons. For example, the Halving event affects the rate of new BTC issuance, creating a scarcity of capital that can cause BTC prices to increase. This comes at the cost of short-term Bitcoin price volatility, fueled by the uncertainty and hoarding created by the halving.
On the other hand, Bitcoin halving will reduce profits, meaning miners will only have half of what they earn to confirm new blocks while they have to spend the same amount on electricity costs. math and energy.
The halving could also negatively impact Bitcoin network security, as fewer miners would continue to mine due to reduced profits. That could theoretically expose the network to a 51% attack, as mining power would consolidate among fewer participants.
Source:
https://tradecoind2.com/heres-what-you-need-to-know-about-bitcoin-halving-2024/