A Crypto Executive Order may disrupt Bitcoin circle, expert says.

[Faisal2202]

The Pa that occurs in this 4-year cycle trend which is accompanied by the American presidential election is just a trend that is combined to make the presidential election look very influential on the price of Bitcoin, in fact it will not be so even though the current American president is not pro with Bitcoin.

Trump still hasn't alluded to anything about bitcoin at the moment, so the trend following the U.S. administration is still unseen.
Bitcoin will always find a reason why it has to reach a higher price, this is entirely due to the support of everyone in the world and not based on a political or group of people.

I agree with you, if people worldwide have not given their dedicated interest towards US elections then it would not be a big thing. I don't know what benefit they can get from this popularity. I mean if world will know elections are happening in USA how they (usa) are gonna benefit from this, I never heard there are elections in Venezuela, El-Salvador etc.

I think they are trying to make election cycle a big thing because they want attention, for example if most of the world is not speculating my country elections they can do unfair things (like they did many times), but if the world is seeing then no one can touch Trump and the voting will be fair. (Which was fair before too AFAIK) I am just familiarizing it with situation of my country.

Overall we should not make this a big thing, as it was before October.

[philipma1957]

Yeah supply shortage has the tendency to affect the four years circle which means we shall be entering in for an extremely scarcity of supply when there is a massive demand. If this play out in near future, that is, if demand exceed supply in a very high rate, then we may have a burst circle which i think may be inevitable.
I am hoping that demands is going be unprecedented and that may to lead to Bitcoin burst circle.

There are rumors however that UK and US are going to dump some of the BTC they seized a long time ago. Its still a threat but who knows what lies ahead especially if the banks are going to keep buying BTCs which means this 4 year cycle is going to be void in the end. Another halving will come and still the price will continue to keep its range.

With Trump still be there in 4 years, there is a chance that most of the Bitcoin holders are going to keep holding til the next cycle.

If you think about the first four years jan 2009 to dec 2012 about 50% of all coins were mined.

That is a huge amount of supply.

If you study the first 210,000 blocks maybe 40,000 are frozen which means 170,000 blocks of 50 coins did circulate.  If you do a project and follow those coins you may see we have a lot more liquidity than people think we do.

I believe that those coins which did get moved into circulation are slowly being sold off. This is why prices are kind of stuck in 90-110 k slot.

So lets recap

10.5 mill first 1/2ing
 2 milion frozen
 8.5 million did move.

track those 8.5 million and see what is happening to them.

[Z-tight]

Many people in the industry cannot stop talking about Donald Trump, bitcoiners have hinted at this even before Trump became president, especially after the BTC spot etf approval. People predicted that BTC may not fall as much as it does at the end of a cycle, we will wait and see what happens in this cycle.

[taufik123]

-snip-
Overall we should not make this a big thing, as it was before October.

Moments like this election will be normal in the end for crypto, this is just the impact of Trump who has previously included crypto in his election and Trump also often speaks out about Bitcoin and attends several seminars about bitcoin and the like

Now trump's effect also has no effect on the crypto market, just look at the crypto market after the inauguration of the crypto market has even experienced a downward trend and until now trump has not linked bitcoin and crypto in his speech.

[Faisal2202]

Moments like this election will be normal in the end for crypto, this is just the impact of Trump who has previously included crypto in his election and Trump also often speaks out about Bitcoin and attends several seminars about bitcoin and the like

Now trump's effect also has no effect on the crypto market, just look at the crypto market after the inauguration of the crypto market has even experienced a downward trend and until now trump has not linked bitcoin and crypto in his speech.

It is because he introduced his own meme coin instead of making any statement in its inauguration about BTC, if he would have made some statement about BTC or crypto market it would pumped like hell but he did not which made market bleed.

Actually, a lot of people have speculated this factor that if he would make any statement about BTC, it would pump, and bears were expecting the opposite and they won. Trump is still the centre of making crypto bullish if he make some big moves and if you are saying he is not then IMO that's even better but he is.

[yhiaali3]

Personally, I do not believe that the Trump administration can change the usual Bitcoin cycle every four years, yes, some changes can occur in it, but to cancel this cycle completely, this is what I rule out.

There may be changes such as what is the peak price and also the bottom price, as I believe that we will not witness a big bottom this cycle, there will certainly be a decline, but it will not be a deep decline like the rest of the previous cycles.

As for those who believe that Bitcoin will remain on a permanent rise, this is unlikely, yes in the long run it has only one upward trend, but we must witness many corrections.