Now Putin does not intend to invade Ukraine. With more than 100,000 troops on its borders and significant offensive weapons, he is only seeking to force Ukraine to comply with the Minsk agreements that were forced upon it in the first invasion of Russian tanks and other equipment in 2014. The implementation of these agreements, as Putin sees it, may eventually lead to the loss of Ukraine's independence and a change in foreign policy. In 2014, Ukraine did not have anything to defend itself for various reasons. Now the situation has changed largely in favor of Ukraine. If there is an invasion, it will be a disaster for both states, but in the end Putin will still be defeated.
Local wars contribute to the growth of the cryptocurrency price in this region. But if in Russia the cryptocurrency will soon be completely banned, then of course, in Russia itself everything will be very bad and this will have a temporary negative impact on the entire cryptocurrency market.