The UFC Discussion and Prediction Topic

[electronicash]

Fight went longer than my expectation but Islam won as expected. Kudos to Dustin and his team for putting a great effort and giving the champ a hard time but someone with an excellent grappling/wrestling is really a bad match up for him.

Strickland vs. Costa was also not the kind of fight I was looking forward too but the score took all the talking points there. It was probably the most contrasting judging I saw recently. The one judge that gave 4 rounds to Costa must be looking for other criteria

didn't watch the fight live i just watch the snippets on youtube but i saw the result. Strickland's fight are always this way and with the way he fight, its always boring yet he is always the ones controlling the pace because he stands his ground. as always it makes Strickland's opponent to back peddle as he throws jabs everytime.

i tried the MMA fight Picker GPT: https://chat.openai.com/g/g-a4l5RVxni-fight-analyst-advanced

lol, I didn't know they made such a tool, looks interesting. I've entered a couple of matches that have already happened in the past and the predictions were surprisingly good.

saw that link in the betting forum. it predicts well for those guys. this time it just predicted 4th round to where the fight ends. but clearly its a useful tool even for a bettor who isn't a fan of UFC.

[pawel7777]

saw that link in the betting forum. it predicts well for those guys. this time it just predicted 4th round to where the fight ends. but clearly its a useful tool even for a bettor who isn't a fan of UFC.

Yeah, it wasn't far off. I actually made a small bet on Islam winning in 4th, it didn't happen, but I'll probably keep using that tool and see where it takes me. Thanks for sharing.

Quick thoughts on 2 main event fights:

Strickland Vs Costa wasn't as much of a dog fight as expected but was still OK. Costa had a good tactic of getting out of Sean's way and chopping him with those calf kicks, but he needed to take a risk and go all in in the last rounds, but that just didn't happen as he was just too gassed out.

Despite a loss, Dustin has nothing to be ashamed of after that fight and probably has gained a lot in the eyes of the fans and the UFC. Both gave a really good show. But situation in the lightweight gets a bit complicated. Islam wants to move up to face the winner of Leon/Belal, is not looking to fight Tsarukyan, but says he will if that's what the UFC wants him to do.
Poirier has announced his "half-retirement", meaning he probably won't be looking any regular fights, unless there's something on the line there. Since he's not getting a title fight anytime soon, this probably leaves only a fight for the BMF belt with Holloway, which would make sense as both had a great fight the first time around. But I believe Holloway was set for a title shot against Topuria, so this might not happen. The other option I see for Dustin, is to get another high-profile win against someone from the top 5, and hoping that Islam will lose to Arman (if they'll fight at all) and then he could get his final fight for the 155 belt against Arman.

[pawel7777]

The UFC Fight Night event on Sat 8th June looks pretty decent:


Cannonier Vs Imanov should be a pretty close fight, with no clear favourite, although bookies slightly favour Imanov to win.
It will be an important fight for Reyes, who's on 4 losses streak and is coming back after injury. He last fought in November 2022, so quite a long time ago.

[electronicash]

saw that link in the betting forum. it predicts well for those guys. this time it just predicted 4th round to where the fight ends. but clearly its a useful tool even for a bettor who isn't a fan of UFC.

Yeah, it wasn't far off. I actually made a small bet on Islam winning in 4th, it didn't happen, but I'll probably keep using that tool and see where it takes me. Thanks for sharing.

Quick thoughts on 2 main event fights:

Strickland Vs Costa wasn't as much of a dog fight as expected but was still OK. Costa had a good tactic of getting out of Sean's way and chopping him with those calf kicks, but he needed to take a risk and go all in in the last rounds, but that just didn't happen as he was just too gassed out.

Despite a loss, Dustin has nothing to be ashamed of after that fight and probably has gained a lot in the eyes of the fans and the UFC. Both gave a really good show. But situation in the lightweight gets a bit complicated. Islam wants to move up to face the winner of Leon/Belal, is not looking to fight Tsarukyan, but says he will if that's what the UFC wants him to do.
Poirier has announced his "half-retirement", meaning he probably won't be looking any regular fights, unless there's something on the line there. Since he's not getting a title fight anytime soon, this probably leaves only a fight for the BMF belt with Holloway, which would make sense as both had a great fight the first time around. But I believe Holloway was set for a title shot against Topuria, so this might not happen. The other option I see for Dustin, is to get another high-profile win against someone from the top 5, and hoping that Islam will lose to Arman (if they'll fight at all) and then he could get his final fight for the 155 belt against Arman.

Dustin fought hard like his life depends on it. that last round tap is the last option already as Islam got it too tight. idk why something snap in Jahamal's brain that he wants Dustin to be nailed by the crowd because Dustin also lost. twitter beef is all 

Arman did some comments about Porier vs Islam too, twitter has tons of beef to follow as everyone wants to get a high profile fight. but Arman is very young. he hasn't been there yet how hard it will be for him at age 35 fighting a prime Islam.

Holloway vs Topuria would be good to watch if its happening. the Spaniard has the hardest chin, its going to be a fair fight.

[pawel7777]

Dustin fought hard like his life depends on it. that last round tap is the last option already as Islam got it too tight. idk why something snap in Jahamal's brain that he wants Dustin to be nailed by the crowd because Dustin also lost. twitter beef is all 

Arman did some comments about Porier vs Islam too, twitter has tons of beef to follow as everyone wants to get a high profile fight. but Arman is very young. he hasn't been there yet how hard it will be for him at age 35 fighting a prime Islam.

Holloway vs Topuria would be good to watch if its happening. the Spaniard has the hardest chin, its going to be a fair fight.

I took a little break from social media so must've missed all the drama.
Topuria Vs Holloway is not yet confirmed as far as I know, but Holloway is definitely the best option for Topuria right now and it's a fight that makes the most sense.

In other news, there's a lot of speculation going on on whether McGregor will be ready to fight Chandler at the UFC 303 on 30th June. Conor didn't show up to the latest promo press conference in Dublin, which is not a good sign.

[electronicash]

Dustin fought hard like his life depends on it. that last round tap is the last option already as Islam got it too tight. idk why something snap in Jahamal's brain that he wants Dustin to be nailed by the crowd because Dustin also lost. twitter beef is all 

Arman did some comments about Porier vs Islam too, twitter has tons of beef to follow as everyone wants to get a high profile fight. but Arman is very young. he hasn't been there yet how hard it will be for him at age 35 fighting a prime Islam.

Holloway vs Topuria would be good to watch if its happening. the Spaniard has the hardest chin, its going to be a fair fight.

I took a little break from social media so must've missed all the drama.
Topuria Vs Holloway is not yet confirmed as far as I know, but Holloway is definitely the best option for Topuria right now and it's a fight that makes the most sense.

In other news, there's a lot of speculation going on on whether McGregor will be ready to fight Chandler at the UFC 303 on 30th June. Conor didn't show up to the latest promo press conference in Dublin, which is not a good sign.

a lot of users were disappointed about Conor not appearing in the prescon and then its speculated the fight may not materialized and rumors coming out he was injured during a sparring.

just yesterday he posted a new photo in his account though. no injury seem to be serious in him. some say that him not going to the presscon is because he wants to play  Chandler. Chandler flew to Florida thinking the fight is cancel and then Conor posted another photo and a sparring video killing he rumor. Must be frustrating for Chandler, its like Conor owned him.

[pawel7777]

a lot of users were disappointed about Conor not appearing in the prescon and then its speculated the fight may not materialized and rumors coming out he was injured during a sparring.

just yesterday he posted a new photo in his account though. no injury seem to be serious in him. some say that him not going to the presscon is because he wants to play  Chandler. Chandler flew to Florida thinking the fight is cancel and then Conor posted another photo and a sparring video killing he rumor. Must be frustrating for Chandler, its like Conor owned him.

I don't think all that was just to troll Chandler, who, I imagine gets any updates straight from the UFC, not from social media, so he should know exactly what's really going on. So I can't imagine he would leave his training camp unless he got an info from the UFC that the fight is off.
It could be that both are trolling, or it's just a way to further hype up the fight by getting fans and media more interested.

[pawel7777]

I do understand the logic behind referees caring about fighters and stopping fights when they see they're just about to get badly KO'd but announcing Cannonier's loss was pre-mature. Yes, he got rocked, but he was successfully defending himself (including escaping) and looked like he was recovering and the worst was behind him when the ref waived his arms to stop it.

Big win by Reyes. He was an underdog, due to his 4-losses streak and over 1.5 year inactivity caused by health problems, but he managed to surprise Jacoby with a left knee and finished the job with punches. He's not yet that old at 34, so might still be able to climb back at the top of the light heavyweight.

Full results:

[electronicash]

I do understand the logic behind referees caring about fighters and stopping fights when they see they're just about to get badly KO'd but announcing Cannonier's loss was pre-mature. Yes, he got rocked, but he was successfully defending himself (including escaping) and looked like he was recovering and the worst was behind him when the ref waived his arms to stop it.

Big win by Reyes. He was an underdog, due to his 4-losses streak and over 1.5 year inactivity caused by health problems, but he managed to surprise Jacoby with a left knee and finished the job with punches. He's not yet that old at 34, so might still be able to climb back at the top of the light heavyweight.

Full results:

Jacoby was about to win, he was stalking and was throwing shots and suddenly the counter hit lol it wasn't even a swing that could throttle but its unexpected that wobbles the leg of Jacoby and that knee nailed the win. Reyes is back. not sure if it was the POTN but it could be Ferreira's win which is one of most devastating in this card.

it could be an early stoppage since Cannonier seem to have recovered. but clearly he was struggling as Imavov is also keeping the pace already. referee stepping is mostly to protect Cannonier from more beating.

[Zed0X]

The comments after Dom got back to the winning column is crazy After the amount of losses he's got, they still bring up how they though he was robbed before. I think some people are trying to stir the pot for a fight with Jones but that's not gonna happen anytime soon.

[electronicash]

The comments after Dom got back to the winning column is crazy After the amount of losses he's got, they still bring up how they though he was robbed before. I think some people are trying to stir the pot for a fight with Jones but that's not gonna happen anytime soon.

they're happy to see Doms break the losing streak in his career.  i don't think he'd get another chance to Jones. besides the Jones has been ready to retire after Stipe fight. its not going to change Jones decision to retire afaik.

Reyes ranked so low in the LH, i think he'd be staying in this division for good and maybe 5 fights more he'd be ready to retire too. ranking up to the 5th is likely an uphill climb for him again.

[pawel7777]

The comments after Dom got back to the winning column is crazy After the amount of losses he's got, they still bring up how they though he was robbed before. I think some people are trying to stir the pot for a fight with Jones but that's not gonna happen anytime soon.

they're happy to see Doms break the losing streak in his career.  i don't think he'd get another chance to Jones. besides the Jones has been ready to retire after Stipe fight. its not going to change Jones decision to retire afaik.

Reyes ranked so low in the LH, i think he'd be staying in this division for good and maybe 5 fights more he'd be ready to retire too. ranking up to the 5th is likely an uphill climb for him again.

Yeah, the chance we'll ever see Jones Vs Reyes 2 is zero. Whether or not Jones will retire after the Stipe fight - I don't know, but he's definitely not going back to the light heavyweight.

Reyes was down on his luck in the previous fights. It's not just that he had lost 4 in a row, in fact, the loss to Jones was more of a win and boosted his popularity, but he suffered bad KOs in the last 3 losses, which made it look like his career was about to end. And then he got injured and suffered from deep vein thrombosis, a potentially life-threatening blood clot in the leg.
So no wonder people are happy to see him winning again, myself included.

[electronicash]

The comments after Dom got back to the winning column is crazy After the amount of losses he's got, they still bring up how they though he was robbed before. I think some people are trying to stir the pot for a fight with Jones but that's not gonna happen anytime soon.

they're happy to see Doms break the losing streak in his career.  i don't think he'd get another chance to Jones. besides the Jones has been ready to retire after Stipe fight. its not going to change Jones decision to retire afaik.

Reyes ranked so low in the LH, i think he'd be staying in this division for good and maybe 5 fights more he'd be ready to retire too. ranking up to the 5th is likely an uphill climb for him again.

Yeah, the chance we'll ever see Jones Vs Reyes 2 is zero. Whether or not Jones will retire after the Stipe fight - I don't know, but he's definitely not going back to the light heavyweight.

Reyes was down on his luck in the previous fights. It's not just that he had lost 4 in a row, in fact, the loss to Jones was more of a win and boosted his popularity, but he suffered bad KOs in the last 3 losses, which made it look like his career was about to end. And then he got injured and suffered from deep vein thrombosis, a potentially life-threatening blood clot in the leg.
So no wonder people are happy to see him winning again, myself included.

he almost lose this last fight if it weren't for his counter.  this win is going to make him keep going in UFC. its a remarkable win actually, he was about to be KO'd pushed to the cage but over turned the fight.

anyway, Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira this weekend. tried using that AI again. here's the prediction which seem to be surprising. the undefeated Tatsuro Taira will finally taste a loss. i'm having doubts to the AI already but maybe, its too early for Tatsuro Taira to be fighting someone too experienced in MMA.

[pawel7777]

Breaking news:

Conor McGregor Vs Michael Chandler fight is officially canceled (or postponed).
The main event of the UFC 303 is now Alex Pereira Vs Jiri Prochazka 2, the co-main event will be Brian Ortega Vs Diego Lopes.
Jamahal Hill also pulled out and will be replaced by Anthony Smith in the fight against Carlos Ulberg.

But there's more bad news. Khamzat Chimaev also won't be fighting against Robert Whittaker in the 22nd June event and will be replaced by Ikram Aliskerov

[0t3p0t]

Breaking news:

Conor McGregor Vs Michael Chandler fight is officially canceled (or postponed).
The main event of the UFC 303 is now Alex Pereira Vs Jiri Prochazka 2, the co-main event will be Brian Ortega Vs Diego Lopes.
Jamahal Hill also pulled out and will be replaced by Anthony Smith in the fight against Carlos Ulberg.

But there's more bad news. Khamzat Chimaev also won't be fighting against Robert Whittaker in the 22nd June event and will be replaced by Ikram Aliskerov

Chimaev is for me a very good fighter but seems he is not in a good shape and condition right now. Actually I am a fan of this guy and of course Khabib as well since they are more smart good striker and having awesome grappling skills