I've read many quite interesting negative analyses and predictions based on different methods: they argue that the increase from $16K to $73K is just a temporary recovery (flat correction) and BTC price will continue to decrease and create a new bottom, or at least return to $30K or $20K. We all know that anything can happen in this market, and those who think BTC price will continue to fall sharply will want to trade by short-selling orders or sell all their crypto assets and then buy back at lower prices.
People will be always predicting the price movement. Whether it is a pure prediction or they have a certain purpose to make a prediction. People who have good prediction, they may try to motivate all investors to keep holding. Meanwhile people who make negative prediction, they are trying to spread FUDs. They may have the intention to make people panic and selling for losses.
IMO, dropping to $20k is something non sense. It was the dip price at the bearish season. It shouldn't happen in the bullish season. Once the price have increased above $50k, I'm sure it will survive above $50k.
However, I believe that when the halving happens, we will no longer be in the crypto winter, we will quickly enter the bullrun and BTC price is just re-accumulating and pushing capital to ALTS before continuing to grow to lead the market. With this belief, I continue to hold and DCA crypto. Honestly, I'm afraid I'll lose my position when I sell crypto and can't buy it back at a lower price when the price could suddenly spike right after my sell order ^^
It is clear that we are in the bullish season. We have reached a new ATH ($73k), this is surely the big indication for a bullish season. I am also holding my Bitcoin and keep increasing my portfolio. We have no reason to hurry selling our Bitcoin now, it should reach a new ATH. Just wait for a new pump, then we can consider to take profits.