I am not so sure we are going to have fees bellow 10-15 sat/vB for a while.
Binance have a huge number of unconfirmed transactions and they usually have bad fee management.
Binance is paying out at 3x all the time and their small inputs consolidations are already in the mempool at 10sat/vb and 5sat/vb:
https://mempool.space/address/bc1qm34lsc65zpw79lxes69zkqmk6ee3ewf0j77s3hactually blockstream is better at this:
https://blockstream.info/address/bc1qm34lsc65zpw79lxes69zkqmk6ee3ewf0j77s3hUNCONFIRMED TX COUNT 3565
There won't be any game changer move coming from exchnges, they are either spending 3 times like Binance or OKex or have a ton in waiting already in the mempool, the NFT hype is down for a while , the only thing that will make a sufficient change is the difficulty adjustment that has just hit, we had a ton of extra speed in the last 13 days, that most likely will be gone.
For a bit we still have 13sat/vb last block.
Other times it is seen that when the Bitcoin market increases, Mempool increases a lot but now we see something different.
Because all the action is on CEXs and ETFs, this is all trading and nobody moves coins to actually buy or sale from or to their wallets.
Hodlers hold and sellers had the coins already there.