There may be another reason, which is that someone who buys in large quantities does not want to influence the market, so he buys from OTC, or he wants to influence the price, so he sells on the crypto exchange.
The supply of Bitcoin, especially on a crypto exchange, can be manipulated, but the more the value of Bitcoin increases, the more billions you need to make such a risk.
I don't know, I'm still trying to make sense of the concept of supply crisis when applied to digital assets...
With
physical assets - like commodities - the concept of supply crisis makes sense. But with
digital assets?
Anyway, someone is calling for an upcoming supply crisis in BTC due to ETF demand
Bitcoin Has 6 Months Until ETF "Liquidity Crisis"Bitcoin faces a “sell-side liquidity crisis” by September if institutional inflows continue, an industry analyst says.
In
a thread on X on March 12, Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, predicted a BTC supply watershed “within six months.”
Ki: Bitcoin bears “can’t win” while ETF flows continueBitcoin as an institutional investment allocation is only just getting started, industry participants have said, as United States-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) gain momentum.
Now holding nearly $30 billion, they have become the most successful ETF launch in history.
Should the trend continue, however,
a new phenomenon could arise where there will not be enough BTC available to meet demand (this concept doesn't make any sense to Peter...)

1.4 million BTC to go?Ki showed an ongoing broad uptrend in BTC held by so-called “accumulation addresses” — wallets with only inbound transactions — with this still needing to double before the “crisis” sets in.
As Cointelegraph reported, accumulation address holdings have recently started cooling off as Bitcoin hits new all-time highs.
zerohedge.com