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Author Topic: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?  (Read 2951 times)

Offline electronicash

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could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« on: January 21, 2024, 08:59:19 PM »
since the next halving will only generate 3BTC for each block, this number could easily be absorbed by the institutions wanting to grab more BTC.  due to less supply in the market there are speculation that this could even be the last bull run. do you think so too?

and could adoption of BTC make the price less volatile that not too many people will sell and the price will be stable?
just something to foresee what could happen in the future.

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could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« on: January 21, 2024, 08:59:19 PM »

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2024, 09:12:01 PM »
The truth is I don't think it is more volatile, it may be that large companies want to get more BTC, but it is not that easy. There are people or balelnas who always have the best to do, in this matter we are people who can easily do any type of act so that bitcoin can be stable, but we cannot cover the sun with a finger, bitcoin will never be stable , a special characteristic of bitcoin will always be that, being very volatile, volatility is what makes bitcoin different from any other action in a speculative market, I know that some think that bitcoin can make a difference and it always will, but from there a less volatile swea is something I don't think will happen.

The explanation is that it is not controlled by anyone, neither by the government nor by the banks, which are the ones who could make the value of Bitcoin stable, otherwise there is demand and full supply, well, no. It will happen, of course that's my way of seeing things.
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Offline CryptoLaila

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2024, 09:16:33 PM »

and could adoption of BTC make the price less volatile that not too many people will sell and the price will be stable?

BTC  can never be stable probably  you mean less volatile  but I don't  see it getting  less volatile because the adoption  keeps increasing  and the acceptance becomes much more higher so I don't even  see it getting less volatile  sooner, maybe in the future though but not now.... the adoption  should create new ways of getting  BTC  exchange done and sooner I see it becoming more acceptable means of payment.
« Last Edit: January 21, 2024, 09:19:19 PM by CryptoLaila »

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2024, 10:57:32 PM »
OP, the adoption of Bitcoin keeps increasing year after year, and yet it doesn't stop Bitcoin from being volatile. Bitcoin is not a stable coin, and there is no way it can stop being volatile even if adoption increases more than what we already have.

Bitcoin has two seasons, which are the bear market and the bull market. During each season, there are usually some factors that contribute to volatility: either the price is going up very fast or it is falling so sharply. There are different factors that contribute to price volatility, and in order to make Bitcoin less volatile, you have to remove those factors.

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2024, 05:13:29 AM »
Bitcoin will always retain its own value. No company or organization can stabilize Bitcoin at will. Bitcoin will keep moving in its own way. We've seen the Bitcoin price skyrocket a long time ago.  From 2009 to 2024, the current value of Bitcoin has increased unimaginably. No company could interfere here and I don't think they will in the future. I think Bitcoin as its own entity will go further in the future and its value will exceed $1000.

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2024, 05:36:01 AM »
since the next halving will only generate 3BTC for each block, this number could easily be absorbed by the institutions wanting to grab more BTC.  due to less supply in the market there are speculation that this could even be the last bull run. do you think so too?

and could adoption of BTC make the price less volatile that not too many people will sell and the price will be stable?
just something to foresee what could happen in the future.
When more and more institutions get into Bitcoin which makes the majority of Bitcoin held by institutions then maybe that's when Bitcoin's rise will hit even higher and the price will probably start to become less volatile. But fluctuations will continue to occur, whether on a small or large scale. And regarding bitcoin becoming more stable, maybe that will still be a long time coming. Because currently there are still quite a lot of bitcoin holders. Whales holding bitcoin are also quite evenly distributed. But when the majority of the bitcoin supply is controlled by an institution, maybe that's when bitcoin will stabilize a little. But I think it's still a long time away.

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2024, 08:20:31 AM »
since the next halving will only generate 3BTC for each block, this number could easily be absorbed by the institutions wanting to grab more BTC.  due to less supply in the market there are speculation that this could even be the last bull run. do you think so too?

and could adoption of BTC make the price less volatile that not too many people will sell and the price will be stable?
just something to foresee what could happen in the future.
Yes. halving and then adoption can make the price of bitcoin less volatile, but I think for bitcoin to be less volatile it has to reach to a certain price mark first. I don't think that is possible within 100K. so Bitcoin price well keep volatile until it doesn't cross 100k.
Only after that if any big buy or sell happen in market then the price of bitcoin wont get effected much.

BTC  can never be stable probably 
Yeah 100% stability is obviously no possible for bitcoin.
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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2024, 08:20:31 AM »


Offline Don Pedro Dinero

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2024, 12:31:43 PM »
Yes, this is true for all types of financial assets. When they are newly created and in the first years they are very volatile. When they mature and grow in price and market cap they are obviously less volatile because moving a market cap of one billion costs much more than moving a market cap of one million.

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #8 on: January 23, 2024, 03:40:59 PM »
OP, the adoption of Bitcoin keeps increasing year after year, and yet it doesn't stop Bitcoin from being volatile. Bitcoin is not a stable coin, and there is no way it can stop being volatile even if adoption increases more than what we already have.

Bitcoin has two seasons, which are the bear market and the bull market. During each season, there are usually some factors that contribute to volatility: either the price is going up very fast or it is falling so sharply. There are different factors that contribute to price volatility, and in order to make Bitcoin less volatile, you have to remove those factors.
When studying data over the past decade of BTC, we can easily see that the BTC price has become less volatile after each cycle: % increase and % decrease are both smaller, confirming smaller fluctuations. I think this is a testament to the maturity of the market over time, as BTC finds its own place in this market.


Following this trend, as BTC becomes more accepted in the economy, the number of agents will increase and cause price fluctuations to become smaller. However if the singularity point formed and the price regime changes, we could see major volatility return to BTC and the market, and I hope that it will be positive, meaning BTC price will increased sharply instead of decreasing sharply.
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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #9 on: January 23, 2024, 04:30:29 PM »
since the next halving will only generate 3BTC for each block
The present reward is 6.25 BTC. After halving, the reward will be 3.125 BTC.

due to less supply in the market there are speculation that this could even be the last bull run. do you think so too?
I do not understand this. If there is scarcity, it will be the last bull run? Scarcity should be what can triger price increase and bull run.

and could adoption of BTC make the price less volatile that not too many people will sell and the price will be stable?
The price of bitcoin can not become stable. It is a coin created to have volatile price. But the more the marketcap, the less the volatility.

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #10 on: January 23, 2024, 05:17:07 PM »
since the next halving will only generate 3BTC for each block, this number could easily be absorbed by the institutions wanting to grab more BTC.  due to less supply in the market there are speculation that this could even be the last bull run. do you think so too?

and could adoption of BTC make the price less volatile that not too many people will sell and the price will be stable?
just something to foresee what could happen in the future.
This can be the last bull run as bitcoin is designed to always have 4yrs circle, which the bull run ends every circle. As long as bitcoin exists, there must always be a bull run after the halving event when the number of bitcoin to be mined is divided into two. Demand and supply triggers the bull run, because when the reward of miners reduces by half, the more people will want to buy bitcoin. Also the widespread of bitcoin adoption also trigger the high price.

Yea, it will reduce the volatile nature of bitcoin but bitcoin will still remain a volatile asset because this is how it has been designed.

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #11 on: January 23, 2024, 05:26:56 PM »
When studying data over the past decade of BTC, we can easily see that the BTC price has become less volatile after each cycle: % increase and % decrease are both smaller, confirming smaller fluctuations. I think this is a testament to the maturity of the market over time, as BTC finds its own place in this market.


Following this trend, as BTC becomes more accepted in the economy, the number of agents will increase and cause price fluctuations to become smaller. However if the singularity point formed and the price regime changes, we could see major volatility return to BTC and the market, and I hope that it will be positive, meaning BTC price will increased sharply instead of decreasing sharply.
With higher price of Bitcoin, it will have bigger marketcap. With time, volatility will be smaller and it is natural from only Bitcoin. We will have other factors like more regulations on Bitcoin and this market.

I believe in future, cryptocurrency market will have regulations similar to stock market. Less daily margin price change, circuit break and so forth. I am unsure when we will have those types of regulation which will be barriers against high volatility.

Meanwhile we can enjoy Bitcoin market volatility and let's see Bitcoin marketcap is still smaller than gold and silver market caps.
https://companiesmarketcap.com/assets-by-market-cap/

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #12 on: January 23, 2024, 06:55:01 PM »
As long as bitcoin exists, there must always be a bull run after the halving event when the number of bitcoin to be mined is divided into two. Demand and supply triggers the bull run, because when the reward of miners reduces by half, the more people will want to buy bitcoin.
Just because it happened basically every time in the past it doesn't mean it will keep happening indefinitely and people should be aware of that before investing so you don't end up doing something stupid like taking a loan to buy bitcoin expecting bull run after halvening.

For example, before 2022 bitcoin never went below its previous all time high, yet it happened. That of course it doesn't mean people shoulnd't looking forward to halvening, just to count on possibility of no bull run due myriad of reasons (like wars, economic crisis etc).

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #13 on: January 23, 2024, 09:59:13 PM »
Bitcoin will always retain its own value. No company or organization can stabilize Bitcoin at will. Bitcoin will keep moving in its own way. We've seen the Bitcoin price skyrocket a long time ago.  From 2009 to 2024, the current value of Bitcoin has increased unimaginably. No company could interfere here and I don't think they will in the future. I think Bitcoin as its own entity will go further in the future and its value will exceed $1000.

You're right, no one can interfere bitcoin.
But don't forget whales will always have a way to make bitcoin dump and they will buy more.
Negative issues is also will be one factor which influence crypto currency especially bitcoin.
So, As small investors we should learn about any opportunities.
Let's wait and see what will happen with crypto market.
Always buy more when low and hold when market down.

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Re: could adoption make BTC price less volatile?
« Reply #14 on: January 24, 2024, 01:07:54 AM »
More adoption and lesser weak hands will make BTC less volatile and much more valuable. Though take note that the price is not going to be stable, it won't just react significantly to crypto events and news.
since the next halving will only generate 3BTC for each block, this number could easily be absorbed by the institutions wanting to grab more BTC.  due to less supply in the market there are speculation that this could even be the last bull run. do you think so too?
I don't know where you understood this from, but it is not true. The more the supply is halved, and with the demand for BTC, there will be so many more bull runs.

 

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