So hodling our Bitcoins til 2025 will possibly makes our investment 3× more than what we have right now right? Based on my understanding is that We must now begin hoarding using DCA up until 2025 to get a much better result. So my question here is that, when do you think is the exact time and date in the year 2025 is the next new ATH will happen? Is it happening at first, second, third or fourth quarter of that year?
Good question, everyone sees BTC continuously increasing in price and thinks "just hold for the long term and it will be profitable". However, the concept of "long-term" is very different for each investor, and usually they all act according to their understanding, meaning some people hold long-term for 4 weeks ^^
I think pictures will present things more easily. I open MA1 with an offset of n months. If the price chart is above the MA: holders will make a profit when holding for n months, and vice versa, they will have a loss.
🆘 n = 6 months: there are still many times when holders have losses.
🆘 n = 12 months: the same thing happens, although the time the holder has losses will be shorter.
🆘 n = 24 months: Holder rarely makes losses. But currently they only break even if they bought it 24 months ago.
✅ n = 36 months: holder is always profitable.
Thus, if only buying and holding BTC, investors holding BTC for 36 months or longer will always be profitable for more than a decade without any technical analysis basis.
However, I don't think this is a good way, at least for now. We have DCA, we have many ways to analyze and predict the market, each investor needs to find the appropriate method to research and apply to create the best profits.