First of all, this is not financial advice. I have no interest or responsibility in other people's investments. I share my technical analysis opinion, I hope it will be of reference value for everyone.
I have read many topics predicting BTC's ATH in the cycle 2024-2025, but none of the predictions are really clear enough and presented on the price chart. This prompted me to create this topic to share my views and receive constructive feedback from everyone.My predictions for BTC ATH:
1.
BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Elliott wave & Fibo Retracement ~$160K2.
BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Parallel channel ~$150K3.
BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Trendline ~$170K4.
BTC ATH in 2025 prediction: Linear Regression ~$170K1. Unrealistic expectationsIn the market, we often see many very simple ways of analyzing and predicting by connecting two consecutive peaks to predict the next peak, without any verification. BTC is also predicted by many people, but it is not difficult to see that this method was very crude and inaccurate in the past: we have not seen any 3 peaks located on the same straight line.
+ Those predicted BTC would reach $490K in 2017 failed.
+ Those predicted BTC would reach $250K in 2021 failed.
+ Those predicting BTC will reach $250K in 2025 will likely continue to fail.
2. My approachI don't like cycle peaks because they are very short-lived and do not represent either a bullish or a bearish trend.
On the contrary, I really like the bottom areas because that is where energy accumulates and represents that the price chart is very well supported in an uptrend.
I temporarily use OABC to represent volatility.
The parallel channel is formed by 2 consecutive bottoms and 1 peak.
Wave BC only retests the middle line of the parallel channel: showing market balance.
3. Verification and predictiona) 2017: correctly predicted peak at ~$18.5K
b) 2021: correctly predicted peak at ~$60K
c) 2025: assuming peak reached in November 2025 ~ $150K
Overview: 2017 - 2021 - 2025So my prediction for BTC's local ATH in the upcoming cycle is
$150K.
This prediction is confirmed by many other methods that I will present in the future.
I hope to receive your comments on my prediction 😁