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😂 Noob question yeah!, but thats what a dude asked me this evening, he's a newbie though, he joined crypto late January this year (2024), I wasnt the one who introduced crypto to him, but he approached me one time in February, and I assisted him on buying his first bitcoin, and since then, he's been investing on his own.
It's good that your newbie friend has some free time to make some research, and he's learning without the help of other people I believe. If you have some free time, guide and teach him even at least the basics.

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Later on, I simply told him I don't know, that I can't predict the market, but then, I could notice he wasn't satisfied with that answer, he probably expected me to say "yes", as a way for him to reassure himself of his expections, but then again, I couldn't lie to him.
I am as well putting out the same question out here for the community, is there still going to be a bull run this year? Or should we just pack our bags and go home? 😬😁
Why do you care about his reaction towards your answer? What matters most is the fact that you really don't know what can happen in the future. Don't give him assurance as it might hurt even more because he's expecting for a bull run to happen, and yet it didn't happen. It will be very disappointing for him if he's preparing for the bull run, but it didn't happen.
Just focus on the reality. Sometimes, truth hurts so what you did is just good. Don't lie to him and just say "yes" even you really don't know what can happen in the future. As for your answer, like what you said, we don't know as well, but basing on the history of the price of Bitcoin, price of it usually go up significantly after the halving event so it can happen, but not 100% sure that it will happen.
Maybe just say to him "I don't know, but based on history, Bitcoin's price goes up significantly after the halving event." Say to him that don't expect too much as well.
