What about your exit Plan ?

[Hamza2424]

Doesn't it depend on how someone invests?? So the way out also depends on how to start....a short trader will definitely sell his assets when he is sure to get profit, while long-term investors usually enter the cryptocurrency world by DCA and their withdrawal strategy is also with a special strategy... one example is https://bitcoindata.science/withdrawal-strategy ...the simulation of the tool I think is better because it is almost the same as DCA but this is the withdrawal version, not the purchase version.

Thanks for this useful reference i'm currently checking most replies and sooner I will lock the thread haha if possible because it was not a self-moderated thread so I am not sure. But one thing is for sure I'm gonna pin some useful tips from different users in the OP.

Or I will compile a reply and quote it in OP, so everyone can check, hehe while writing I've got another idea to create a new thread based on the same idea haha anyway that it.

[Crypto Library]

Basing up on previous cycle then Q4 of 2025 might be the end of cycle on which considered out to be the start of new cyle. We cant be able to say that it would be the bearish but most likely it would really be heading that way. This is why planning your exits would really be something important so that you wont really be caughting up yourself when the market would really be making its reversal or change trend. It would really be hard for you to miss out on taking profits because if it happens then you would really be holding your position for another 4 years before you would be able to recover or break even.

You are right and here I want to also said that those peoples who do the DCA investment on Bitcoin can still continue their strategy but the peoples who are looking for the big investment on bitcoin they they should start accumulation of their fund for investing in the next bear season may be it come on the 2027 or end of the 2026 but until now we can predict that the 2025 year can be a good year for cryptocurrency.

[Hisbullah]

Basing up on previous cycle then Q4 of 2025 might be the end of cycle on which considered out to be the start of new cyle. We cant be able to say that it would be the bearish but most likely it would really be heading that way. This is why planning your exits would really be something important so that you wont really be caughting up yourself when the market would really be making its reversal or change trend. It would really be hard for you to miss out on taking profits because if it happens then you would really be holding your position for another 4 years before you would be able to recover or break even.

You are right and here I want to also said that those peoples who do the DCA investment on Bitcoin can still continue their strategy but the peoples who are looking for the big investment on bitcoin they they should start accumulation of their fund for investing in the next bear season may be it come on the 2027 or end of the 2026 but until now we can predict that the 2025 year can be a good year for cryptocurrency.

Honestly, I haven't thought about the capital to buy bitcoin in 2026 and 2027, currently I am only focused on getting profit in 2025 during the bullish season by using the DCA method to increase my crypto assets, I also trade to get profit so that my assets always increase before the bullish season.

[Hisbullah]

Basing up on previous cycle then Q4 of 2025 might be the end of cycle on which considered out to be the start of new cyle. We cant be able to say that it would be the bearish but most likely it would really be heading that way. This is why planning your exits would really be something important so that you wont really be caughting up yourself when the market would really be making its reversal or change trend. It would really be hard for you to miss out on taking profits because if it happens then you would really be holding your position for another 4 years before you would be able to recover or break even.

You are right and here I want to also said that those peoples who do the DCA investment on Bitcoin can still continue their strategy but the peoples who are looking for the big investment on bitcoin they they should start accumulation of their fund for investing in the next bear season may be it come on the 2027 or end of the 2026 but until now we can predict that the 2025 year can be a good year for cryptocurrency.

Honestly, I haven't thought about the capital to buy bitcoin in 2026 and 2027, currently I am only focused on getting profit in 2025 during the bullish season by using the DCA method to increase my crypto assets, I also trade to get profit so that my assets always increase before the bullish season.

[Themepen]

According to the 4-year circle, the Bitcoin price increased a lot in the first quarter of 2025, but the Bitcoin price will dump at the highest rate in the last quarter. the current condition of Bitcoin cannot be called a bear market as the price of Bitcoin is not in a deep dip, its price has only fallen slightly from the latest ATH for correction and will soon meet it. So I think those who are currently thinking of holding on to Bitcoin are still on the right track. Elections are going on in America now and one of America's Democratic candidates, Donald Trump, has promised to do something positive with Bitcoin if he wins the election.  So if this is the case then the price of Bitcoin may change at an abnormal rate.

I also think 4 year cycle affect Bitcoin price. Bitcoin price went up a lot then went down a little but that does not mean it is bad market. It is just small correction after reaching high point. People who hold Bitcoin are probably making good choice. US election is happening and Donald Trump said he will involve in Bitcoin if he wins. If he wins and keeps his promise Bitcoin price could go up a lot. But keep in mind that politicians do not always keep their promises and cryptocurrency market can be unpredictable. Still possibility of good things happening makes holding Bitcoin a interesting idea. And I think this is the bull season signs and soon the bull season will happen. So holding on your assets is very important at this time.

[Hamza2424]

I also think 4 year cycle affect Bitcoin price. Bitcoin price went up a lot then went down a little but that does not mean it is bad market. It is just small correction after reaching high point. People who hold Bitcoin are probably making good choice. US election is happening and Donald Trump said he will involve in Bitcoin if he wins. If he wins and keeps his promise Bitcoin price could go up a lot. But keep in mind that politicians do not always keep their promises and cryptocurrency market can be unpredictable. Still possibility of good things happening makes holding Bitcoin a interesting idea. And I think this is the bull season signs and soon the bull season will happen. So holding on your assets is very important at this time.

Hmm, buddy 4 years is not a certain timeline for a Bitcoin cycle, it can vary from circumstance to circumstance in the financial markets, secondly yup a dip doesn't indicate that it's a bad market haha if that's the case haha every financial market and resection indicates that this financial era is full of flaws buddy it's the universal truth if a force is driving something upside its natural it will get back to some position which in financial markets call a correction position.

[Altlover]

Your strategy reflects a common approach among investors and traders, aiming to capitalize on market peaks while managing risk:Selling in Stages: Gradually selling portions of your holdings at different stages can help lock in profits while reducing the impact of market volatility. This approach can be beneficial in capturing value as the market fluctuates.Timing and Market Peaks: Many investors anticipate market peaks around specific times, such as the end of the year or early the following year. While this can be a good target, it’s important to remain flexible and adjust based on market conditions.

[Crypto Library]

Honestly, I haven't thought about the capital to buy bitcoin in 2026 and 2027, currently I am only focused on getting profit in 2025 during the bullish season by using the DCA method to increase my crypto assets, I also trade to get profit so that my assets always increase before the bullish season.

You are not only the one person who haven't thought about the capital to buy the bitcoin in 2026/2027 and this also a human being nature that they always love to think about the present situation in the mean time they forgot to think about the future and how they will be more successful in future.

Anyway I also have the same situation like as you and after a while, I exploring the forum like as you I also found a post where a user mention like me about the accumulating fund about in the 2026 and to be honest my reply to him same like your this one.

[philipma1957]

I think we need to think about the 4 year cycle and just how much it can shift price. Each cycle has had less of an effect on price.

2013, 1300
2017   19800
2021   69000
2025    100,000?

Maybe so.

13 to 17 we did 15x
17 to 21 we did  3.2
21 to 25 a reduced num

[rizqillah]

Honestly, I haven't thought about the capital to buy bitcoin in 2026 and 2027, currently I am only focused on getting profit in 2025 during the bullish season by using the DCA method to increase my crypto assets, I also trade to get profit so that my assets always increase before the bullish season.

You are not only the one person who haven't thought about the capital to buy the bitcoin in 2026/2027 and this also a human being nature that they always love to think about the present situation in the mean time they forgot to think about the future and how they will be more successful in future.

Anyway I also have the same situation like as you and after a while, I exploring the forum like as you I also found a post where a user mention like me about the accumulating fund about in the 2026 and to be honest my reply to him same like your this one.

I actually already have a plan for the 2026 coin purchase capital but that is from the profit I get from 2025 later, I will set aside my profit for investment next year. but I also agree with you we should focus on next year first because I also don't have a lot of capital.

[pawel7777]

I think we need to think about the 4 year cycle and just how much it can shift price. Each cycle has had less of an effect on price.

2013, 1300
2017   19800
2021   69000
2025    100,000?

Maybe so.

13 to 17 we did 15x
17 to 21 we did  3.2
21 to 25 a reduced num

I've seen some more detailed calculations regarding those reduced returns each cycle, stating that, according just to those, we should expect a minimum of around $75k this cycle.
That's *some* indicator, but there are many other factors at play, including the demand for spot ETFs etc, so I wouldn't be dumping everything at that price without considering other indicators.

[doc]

I think we need to think about the 4 year cycle and just how much it can shift price. Each cycle has had less of an effect on price.

2013, 1300
2017   19800
2021   69000
2025    100,000?

Maybe so.

13 to 17 we did 15x
17 to 21 we did  3.2
21 to 25 a reduced num

I've seen some more detailed calculations regarding those reduced returns each cycle, stating that, according just to those, we should expect a minimum of around $75k this cycle.
That's *some* indicator, but there are many other factors at play, including the demand for spot ETFs etc, so I wouldn't be dumping everything at that price without considering other indicators.

Reading the prediction above, I also have confidence that the price of Bitcoin will touch $100K, because based on the calculations mentioned above, it seems that the figure of $100k is reasonable and will most likely be achieved.

[Crypto Library]

I actually already have a plan for the 2026 coin purchase capital but that is from the profit I get from 2025 later, I will set aside my profit for investment next year. but I also agree with you we should focus on next year first because I also don't have a lot of capital.

Good decision you have taken because currently market is bullish and it is not the ideal time to make good amount of investment on market I wouldn't like to say that you can not have the profit but there are also risk to not reach to your target of selling. But in this time accumulation for the next bear season investment is good idea what I have already mentioned in my previous posts.
But beside I would like to also say that if you have the ability to make investment on bitcoin with the DCA strategy then both will be super duper good idea. I am also trying to managing both of them.

[PX-Z]

I actually already have a plan for the 2026 coin purchase capital but that is from the profit I get from 2025 later, I will set aside my profit for investment next year. but I also agree with you we should focus on next year first because I also don't have a lot of capital.

Good decision you have taken because currently market is bullish and it is not the ideal time to make good amount of investment on market I wouldn't like to say that you can not have the profit but there are also risk to not reach to your target of selling. But in this time accumulation for the next bear season investment is good idea what I have already mentioned in my previous posts. ...

I never think i could think ahead of that time of 1-2 years, what i still going plan is just for this year, that depends this coming bear months, if i can profit or not by just holding and stacking weekly from signature campaign payments.

[Azharul]

I think that bitcoin price will increase day by day. I also believe that next year bitcoin price will increase, we also see that when it’s price was very down, than others crypto will be down. So it’s the best moment for investors, because if they want to invest in any crypto, they should preparation in this moment. So i think that i also want to invest in cryptocurrency, because i believe that within a short time bitcoin price cross $100k.