@UNIVERSE, we can hope that history will repeat itself, but we must be aware of the possibility that it may not happen. For the first time this year, we had an ATH before the halving, and that in a way already showed that the cycle was disrupted.
All those who rely exclusively on cycles when it comes to their investments are exposed to a much greater risk than those who try to look at a much wider picture.
What is definitely positive is that interest rates in the US will be reduced for the first time after 2020, but that similar moves will also take place in the EU (although there have already been cuts there), which means cheaper money for investors.
What, in my opinion, is negative (questionable) is the election for the president of the US, which will be held at the beginning of November and which, given the "obsession" of many crypto investors, obviously plays a big role in their plans. The new president will not be inaugurated until January 20, 2025, so that should also be taken into account.