As we know, Saudi Arabia has recently made several significant statements on oil:
1. abandoning the pursuit of an oil price of 100 dollars per barrel
2. The other day - a threat to reduce the price of oil in the market to the level of 50 dollars
It would seem that judging by the situation - a country whose income depends to a significant extent on the cost of oil “shoots itself in the foot” !?? Doesn't it look silly?
But it is very difficult to call Saudi Arabia a country with stupid policy and stupid actions, which is a fact.
Back to the title of the thread - “whose problem is the high price of oil ?”. What lies on the surface - of course consumers, i.e. buyers of oil, countries that do not have their own reserves, production and refining of oil. I.e. the majority of countries !
In this case - they will be forced to buy oil and petroleum products at the price at which it is sold by producers. And here is the most delicate point. As we know - market rules are such that if there is a resource, for which the price is deliberately raised, there is always an alternative product, fully or partially replacing it ...
Now let's eavesdrop on what Saudi Arabia is saying about the oil market. not for the public:
- We are heavily dependent on the sale of oil
- We see that the rising price of oil, is leading to a very rapid development of alternative energy, which in the medium term will markedly reduce the consumption of petroleum products
- Reduced oil consumption will create an oversupply of oil in the medium term, leading to falling prices and loss of consumers
- We need a market where we will be able to trade oil as much as our resources allow us.
- Also, we do not benefit from competitors who do not comply with agreements (for example, within production limits).
- Bottom line: we benefit from a lower oil price, as it will not create additional motivation to abandon oil, actively develop and switch to alternative energy sources (where possible), and will knock the market out from under the feet of competitors, as the key competitors have production costs of about 35-45 dollars per barrel.
What are your thoughts ?